EURUSD Last push before correction.The EURUSD pair made a new High by breaking above the 1.15725 Resistance and is extending the rally since the January 13 2025 Low. That Low was the Higher Low of the multi-year Channel Up, so the current uptrend is technically its latest Bullish Leg.
The first Bullish Leg of that pattern peaked after a +15.75% rise. We expect a similar peak for the current rally, thus targeting 1.17750, before a new pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD !!! (Big move is loading)
📈 EUR/USD – Wave 4 Buy Opportunity (2H TF)
Published by Greenfireforex | June 13, 2025
The EUR/USD pair is completing a corrective Wave 4, retracing into a premium FVG (Fair Value Gap) demand zone between 1.1500–1.1475. Price tapped into a high-probability reversal block just below the psychological level of 1.1500, offering a potential long entry.
🔹 Technical Confluences:
Wave 4 corrective structure
Fair Value Gap (Buyers) zone
Liquidity grab near 1.1478
Bullish projection towards 1.1637 (Wave 5 target)
🔸 Entry Idea:
Long from the FVG demand zone with confirmation (price action / bullish engulfing / lower timeframe structure break).
📍 Targets:
TP1: 1.1500
TP2: 1.1570
TP3 (wave projection): 1.16375
🛑 Invalidation:
Clean break below 1.1470 zone with momentum could invalidate the bullish setup.
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📊 Strategy: Elliott Wave + FVG + Price Action
💡 Watch for reaction around CPI & USD news (14th–18th June)
Hashtags (for IG/TradingView):
#EURUSD #WaveAnalysis #Forex #ForexSetup #PriceAction #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #FXTrade #ForexBreakout
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EURUSD | Bearish Below 1.1530, Break Above 1.1559 Turns BullishEURUSD | Overview
The pair is trading under bearish pressure due to rising geopolitical tensions.
As long as the price remains below 1.1530, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 1.1450 and 1.1372.
For a bullish reversal, the price must break above 1.1559 to open the path toward 1.1625.
Pivot Line: 1.1530
Support Levels: 1.1450, 1.1372, 1.1270
Resistance Levels: 1.1559, 1.1625, 1.1750
EURO/USD a sharp bearish move is anticipated.Key Technical Elements
1. Market Structure
BOS (Break of Structure):
Clearly marked where price breaks a previous high, indicating a shift in market structure.
Order Block:
A bullish order block is highlighted after the BOS, where price later retests — showing smart money interest.
Demand Zone:
A prior demand zone helped fuel the breakout to the upside earlier on the chart.
2. Resistance & Supply Area
A resistance zone is marked at the top (approx. 1.16067), where price previously reversed.
A red short-entry zone (supply area) indicates a potential sell zone where price could react.
3. Support Zones
Immediate Support around 1.1500
Deeper Support around 1.13995
These levels are potential take-profit zones or retracement targets.
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Trade Idea Highlighted
Entry Zone: Around 1.15579 (current price)
Bearish Expectation:
Price is expected to rally slightly into the red zone (supply).
After rejection from this area, a sharp bearish move is anticipated.
Targets:
First Support Zone (~1.1500)
Second Deeper Support (~1.13995)
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Professional Commentary
This setup reflects a Smart Money Concept (SMC) strategy:
It uses order blocks, BOS, and liquidity zones to anticipate market direction.
The trader anticipates a lower high formation near resistance and a continuation to the downside.
Good use of confluence between structure, supply/demand, and support/resistance.
EUR/USD Slides Below Trendline The EUR/USD pair is trending lower and forming a short-term downtrend beneath a descending trendline, as the U.S. Dollar (USD) remains supported by its safe-haven appeal amid escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1500, with bearish momentum still dominating. As long as the trendline holds, sellers maintain the upper hand — making trend-following short positions worth considering.
Wishing you all successful and smooth trading!
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
COT Data Commentary – EURUSD (Last 5 Weeks)
EURUSD climbed steadily from 1.11 to 1.15 over the past five weeks, and the COT reports consistently showed market makers increasing their long positions during this period. This steady accumulation aligns with the bullish price action and reinforces the strength behind the uptrend. Institutional interest seems to be backing the move, suggesting continued upside potential as long as positioning remains supportive.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EURUSD Under Pressure Amid Geopolitical TensionsEURUSD – Technical Overview
EUR/USD is currently trading below the pivot zone at 1.1530, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
If the price remains below 1.1450, we may see an extension of the downtrend toward 1.1373, and potentially 1.1270.
However, if the pair holds above 1.1450, it may regain bullish momentum toward 1.1558 and 1.1625.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could impact EUR/USD if the situation escalates, increasing risk-off sentiment and USD demand.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 1.1530
• Support: 1.1450 / 1.1373 / 1.1270
• Resistance: 1.1558 / 1.1625 / 1.1675
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- EURUSD reversed from the resistance level 1.1575
- Likely to fall to support level 1.1400
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance level 1.1575, which stopped the previous sharp impulse wave (1) in the middle of April.
The resistance zone near the resistance level 1.1575 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.1400 (which stopped the previous correction ii).
Potential bearish scenario for the EURUSD. First Target 1.14747Higher time frame analysis
After price took out the monthly highs of 1.15729, we look to the monthly fair value gap of 1.10649 as a draw on liquidity. While this is the basis we will use as a filter for bias. Our target will be a much shorter term target.
Intermediate timeframe analysis
Following Tuesday's (17 June 2025) price action, we noted that a type 1 bearish dealing range has been formed on the 1h chart as noted in the chart above. Furthermore, note the 1H bearish order block sitting at the equilibrium point of the dealing range. This is also supported by a 1H IFVG in the discount of the dealing range. This creates a high probability setup to enter, targeting the lows of 1.14743.
Alternative scenario 1
Should we see the high of the order block of 1.15388 ran through we will look for a potential entry at 1.15531 with the same target.
Alternative scenario 2
Should this analysis fail, we could see the relative equal highs at 1.6311 being ran out. This would be the case of Tuesdays low becomes the low of the week which is a typical signature in weekly price action.
Bonus
You may note that each setup also provides a secondary target at the terminus of the 1H bearish Market maker sell model. This can be a separate entry or a partial target of one position depending on ones appetite. This would offer a rather handsome risk to reward ratio which would be worth the while.
EURUSD Has breakout the ascending channel bullish strong now EURUSD Breakout Alert!
EURUSD has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.15100.
📈 Technical Outlook (4H Time Frame):
🔹 Key Support: 1.15100 (confirmed bounce)
🔹 1st Resistance Target: 1.16300
🔹 Bullish Order Block: 1.12900 – strong demand zone below
This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside. Stay tuned as price action develops! 🔥
📌 Like, Follow, Comment & Join us for more real-time updates!
Trade smart, stay informed 😜
— Posted by Livia
EURUSD DOWNSIDE BIAS WITH 3 CONFLUENCESMY ANALYSIS AND PROJECTIONS FOR EURUSD NEXT TARGETS FOR THE WEEK JUNE 16TH TO 21ST
I have a strong downside bias going into this week for the EURUSD.
On the daily chart it has currently made a double top while clearing the 1.16 level and making a nearyy 4 year high for the pair. The next movement I believe would be to complete that downward stroke of the M pattern and this is supported by 2 other confluences.
1. There are overbought conditions for the EURUSD and there is a 0.5% Fibonacci target of retracement for the pair for its Strong bullish move from 1.02 to 1.16,Spanning from February till June 2025.
That target is at around 1.09 price level
2. Another important confluence is fundamentally driven and this is due to the Iran/Isreal war and middle East tensions which would drive the US dollar buying making it stronger and bullish due to its safe haven status.
EUR/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.143 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move.
This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1480
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1438
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1542
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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SHOT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD Has given us a nice double top at a major resistance level.
Since then it has broken the neckline of that double bottom, creating a new low, engineering liquidity, sweeping it and now getting ready to tap into supply before it should fall.
The Dxy is also getting ready to rise from a demand level so this should also aid in pushing EU down.
Looking to catch over 200 pips.
Refined EURUSD setup Saw a 2H choch last night and today we've kept moving lower creating a new internal range.
Going to be waiting for price to shift bullish internally before trying to get into any longs. If I do not see any bullish intention then I will short following the 2H internal structure moving my SL where appropriate
I am still bullish on EURUSD but just waiting on confirmation before taking any longs
EURUSD: 4H MA50 may start aggressive rally to 1.17900.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.513, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 36.044), trading inside a Channel Up for the past 5 weeks. Yesterday it made contact with its 4H MA50, which is the most common level of support inside this pattern. Based on that, we find highly probable for the pair to start the new bullish wave. A HH on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension has been a common feature of this Channel Up, hence we are turning bullish here with TP = 1.17900.
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EUR/USD Poised for a Breakout? Watch 1.1510 CloselyEUR/USD is currently consolidating around the 1.1510 support zone after a mild pullback from the descending trendline. Price structure remains bullish, with a wedge pattern forming — signaling that a breakout could be imminent.
On the news front, expectations that the Fed may soon begin cutting rates — following a series of weak U.S. economic data — are weighing on the U.S. dollar. At the same time, easing geopolitical tensions are shifting market sentiment back toward risk assets.
If the 1.1510 support level holds firm, EUR/USD may stage a strong rebound to resume its upward momentum.
EUR/USD - continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.14390.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale