Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 145.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 143.94
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDJPY trade ideas
Complete Market Structure: Order Flow and Multiple TimeframesUnderstanding Market Structure: A Simplified Breakdown
Market structure can seem complex at first glance. But when you break it down piece by piece, it becomes much simpler to understand. At its core, price action is a visual representation of human emotion and logistic balance. It’s both calculated and unpredictable. To truly grasp price action, we must begin by understanding the foundations of the market.
1. Sentiment
In the beginning, there was just a single bar — whether on the 1-minute, 1-hour, 1-day, or 1-week chart. That one bar only had one defining trait: direction. At this early point, there was no trend, no supply or demand zones — only bullish or bearish sentiment. Over time, as more bars formed, sentiment shifted. What was once bullish became bearish, or vice versa. This shift gave rise to a new phenomenon: engulfment .
2. Engulfment
An engulfment occurs when one candle overtakes the previous one, signifying a strong shift in sentiment. When this happened for the first time, it created what we now call an order block around the engulfed candle. The engulfment generated a gap, which led to an imbalance in the market. Naturally, price tends to return to fill this gap to regain balance. Often, price will later engulf back in the original direction, continuing the cycle.
3. Order Flow / Sequence
As more bars appeared, patterns began to form. Series of bullish bars created bullish order flow, and bearish sequences formed bearish order flow. These sequences, when viewed on higher timeframes, appeared as single candles. As these larger candles began to engulf each other, it triggered a new surface-level event: bullish sequences began overtaking bearish ones, and vice versa. This is what I call internal shifting .
4. Internal Shifting
Through internal shifting — where sequences start overtaking each other — the chart begins to display more defined highs and lows. These fluctuations deepen as order flow keeps switching back and forth. Eventually, the structure is no longer just internal. Highs and lows start breaking, and broader, more visible structures form.
5. Highs, Lows, and Breaks of Structure (BoS)
As this cycle continues, the external structure of a timeframe emerges. Highs get higher, then lower, and this alternation continues. The result is a zigzag pattern — the hallmark of market structure. But this structure is not random. It’s the collective output of sentiment shifts, engulfments, sequences, internal shifts, and breaks of structure, all working together to create the full picture.
6. Multi-Timeframe Principles
In simple terms, the external structure of a smaller timeframe is just a more detailed (fractal) version of its higher timeframe. Likewise, the internal structure of a given timeframe is the external structure of its lower timeframe. This creates multiple perspectives of the same phenomena, depending on scale.
7. Same Concepts, Different Scales
What’s called an order block on a higher timeframe may be known as a supply or demand zone on a lower timeframe. An engulfment on a higher timeframe can appear as a sequential engulfment on a lower one. An internal shift on a lower timeframe might just be a pullback when viewed from above. If you go two timeframes apart — say, from low to medium to high — you’ll notice even more complexity. For instance, a higher timeframe order block becomes a premium/discount zone in the lowest of those three timeframes.
8. Low, Medium, and High Timeframes: The Complete Picture
By analyzing the market using three timeframes in unison, you can establish a complete view of market structure. When you truly understand this approach, trading becomes more strategic. Your setups gain better risk-to-reward ratios, and consistent profitability becomes more achievable.
Market structure is both logically and emotionally driven — simple, yet intricate. And while we’ve covered the logical side, the emotional side lies in trading psychology — a topic I’ll be exploring in detail next.
Want to apply this concept using indicators?
I've developed custom indicators that reflect the principles explained above. If you'd like to see how this theory works in practice, check out my TradingView page : The_Forex_Steward , where you can access these tools.
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?
The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview
BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious.
US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY.
Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart)
Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support.
EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300.
Key support zones:
144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test.
143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652
Entry: 144.650–144.700
Stop Loss: 145.250
Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126
Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments.
📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126
Entry: 143.100–143.150
Stop Loss: 142.700
Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200
Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure.
🧠 Final Thoughts
USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly.
🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
USD/JPY H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend deeper?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 144.10 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.80 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 143.37 which is a pullback support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDJPY Swing trade Signal for the Sell Once in a while we like to give a free signal. So here is one of the many trades we will have running for our subscribers.
Wait for the 1 hour candle to close below the Entry, and then a response to our entry, then you can sell.
Remember the rules, and remember your risk/reward
USDJPY Sell
🦇Entry: 143.525
⚠️Sl: 145.036
✔️TP1: 142.153
✔️TP2: 140.346
✔️TP3: 138.109
Happy trading. Any problems feel free to contact me, as over 10 years as a professional trader I can assure you there is no such thing as a stupid question.
Best,
Sarah
USDJPY Looking Very Strong sideUSD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Bullish Momentum Ahead?
USD/JPY to be gearing up for a significant breakout. Based on current market data, we are observing strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential for a major upward move.
Key Observations:
Technical Structure: Pattern seems to be forming a breakout pattern rather than a breakdown, indicating that upward price movement is more likely the U.S dollar remains one of the strongest global currencies, supported by robust economic data and interest rate differentials.
Resistance zone 148.500
Support Levels 143.000
you may find more details in the chart thanks you and Good luck Ps Support with like and comments for more insights.
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 144.203 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to ur take profit.
Entry: 144.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.00
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.13
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 145.55
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clearshort signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 144.31
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY TRADE OPPORTUNITY.This chart represents a short (sell) trade setup for USD/JPY on the 15-minute timeframe.
Chart Breakdown:
Trendline: A clear descending trendline indicates a bearish market structure.
Entry Zone: The price is expected to enter the resistance area (marked as "Entry Zone") around 144.191.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed above the resistance zone at 144.529, in case the price breaks out upward.
Target 1: 143.744 – the first level of potential profit-taking.
Target 2: 143.379 – further continuation of the bearish move.
Final Target: 143.076 – the major target if bearish momentum continues.
Idea Summary:
This setup anticipates that the price will reject the trendline and entry zone and then drop to lower support levels. It’s a classic lower high formation with trendline confluence, aiming for multiple take-profits on the way down.
USDJPY 1HThis chart illustrates a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) price action setup on the 1-hour timeframe with a potential bearish reversal pattern forming.
Key Observations:
1. Rising Wedge Pattern:
The price is moving within a narrowing range (highlighted by the two converging trendlines).
A series of higher highs and higher lows is visible, but momentum appears to be weakening.
2. Rejection at Resistance (Red Arrows):
Several attempts to break the upper resistance line failed.
Each red arrow indicates strong selling pressure at those peaks.
3. Support Zone (Green Arrows):
The lower trendline (acting as support) was tested multiple times and held—until now.
4. Breakdown Anticipated:
The orange path suggests a projected move downward if the wedge breaks.
The price has started to move below the wedge, signaling a possible breakdown.
5. Target TP (Take Profit):
Marked at around 143.600, based on the height of the wedge or past support zones.
This target aligns with prior swing lows, making it a reasonable objective.
---
Interpretation:
The chart anticipates a bearish reversal from the rising wedge pattern.
A short position might be considered on confirmation of the breakdown with stops above the last swing high (~145.200).
Traders are targeting a move to the 143.600 area.
Let me know if you want help analyzing this trade idea further or need other timeframes or indicators added.
Fake breakout, support, trend line and stop loss for USDJPYI am still bearish on USDJPY. However, you can see from the shorter time frame, there are multiple occasions where fake breakouts happen. This usually stops out the traders with tight SL. Unless you have a clear strategy, after being stopped out from this pair, it is highly likely that you will move on to other pairs/asset classes to find your next pot of gold.
But if you are persistent and have the patience, you will notice this fake breakout patterns. It is getting shorter and shorter. Now, with the support at 142.472, a breakdown will be great as it sends the price to 140 level.
If you wants to short now, it would be better to have a wider SL, say 145.60 , the previous peak where it is more likely not to surpass. A higher SL will mean you cannot be greedy in your position size initially to rein in the gains if it moves in your favour. It is better to have a small position and the market agrees with you than to go on an aggressive mode of say 5-10 contracts position size and shortly market moves against you. The stress would be too much to bear seeing the losses running........
Find one strategy that suits your personality , risk profile and work on it tirelessly.
Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged
This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following:
→ Japan’s economy is recovering moderately.
→ The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve.
→ The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain.
The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern.
In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows).
From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bullish continuation?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 143.98
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Sell attempt on USDJPY ahead of the news.We're going for a sell attempt ahead of the news on USDJPY.
Our idea is that we sell at market with a stop loss at 146.14.
That will give us a risk to reward of 1 to 1.7 (not that great). But we will calculate our position (1% risk) based on these levels.
After the news volatility has ended entirely we will then put our stop back to where it would normally be, above the high of the last 1hr green candle, after which our risk to reward will then turn into something around 1 to 5!
USDJPY Downside continuation below 145.85The USDJPY currency pair is displaying a bearish sentiment, consistent with the broader downward trend. Price action is currently in a sideways consolidation phase, suggesting indecision as the market pauses before a potential directional move.
Key Resistance Level: 145.85 — This level represents a prior intraday consolidation zone and serves as a key pivot for the next move.
Support Targets: If the pair rallies toward 145.85 and is rejected, expect renewed bearish momentum targeting:
143.00 (initial support)
142.25 (intermediate support)
141.40 (long-term support level)
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout and daily close above 145.85 would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest growing bullish momentum. In that scenario, price could aim for:
146.85 (near-term resistance)
147.60 (extended upside target)
Conclusion:
USDJPY remains technically bearish within a consolidation pattern. A rejection from the 145.85 resistance zone would confirm a continuation toward lower support levels. However, a daily close above 145.85 would shift sentiment to bullish, potentially triggering a retest of higher resistance levels. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction around the 145.85 level to confirm direction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD/JPYIn my previous analysis, I held a long bias on USD/JPY; however, recent geopolitical tensions and market-moving news have shifted the outlook. The pair has now broken below a key trendline, forming new lower lows, suggesting a potential change in structure.
At this point, two possible scenarios could unfold:
Scenario 1: USD/JPY may retest the breakout zone around the 145.000 level before continuing its move downward.
Scenario 2: The pair may continue its bearish momentum, break through the next significant support at 142.480, and potentially offer a shorting opportunity following a confirmed retest of that level.
Although the chart has shown mixed signals with both bullish and bearish formations, I’m reminded of an insightful quote I read this morning by Mihai_Iacob: “Trade the chart, respect the world around it.”
With that in mind, I will continue to focus on technical structure while remaining mindful of external factors such as geopolitical events and high-impact news that could influence volatility and market direction.
USD/JPY – Bullish Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)I’m currently monitoring the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart. The pair was in a bearish trend earlier, but after forming a Bullish Divergence, it has started to print a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs) — a classic sign of trend reversal and strength.
I’m planning a Buy Stop entry above the most recent Higher High. If the breakout occurs, I’ll execute the trade based on this bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
✅ Bullish Divergence observed — signals momentum shift.
✅ Market Structure shifting to HHs and HLs.
✅ Entry planned above recent HH to confirm breakout.
📊 T rade Setup:
Pair USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Trend: Bullish
Entry: Buy Stop @ 144.789
Stop Loss: 143.834
Take Profit 1: 145.744
Take Profit 2: 146.699
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk–Reward 1:1 and 1:2
Risk $200
Reward $300
📌 Trade will be activated only upon confirmation — a break above the previous high. Stick to proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#USDJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishBreakout #ForexSetup #TradeIdeas #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #BuySetup #DivergenceTrading #1HChart #FXMarket #RiskManagement
The US dollar retreats as the Japanese yen stages a resurgence.The USD/JPY has continued to decline, hitting a low of around 143.50 during the European session, marking a new weekly low. In terms of exchange rate dynamics, the key support level lies at 142.500, which has withstood multiple tests recently without being breached. A valid break below this level would open up further downward space, with the next support to be monitored at 141.78 (lower Bollinger Band). On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.500, a level that has repeatedly formed phased highs and suppressed price rebounds.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.