NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1D timeframe (0.58400) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.60800
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💰💵💸NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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USDNZD trade ideas
NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
NZDUSD Long📊 Chart Elements Breakdown
✅ Trade Setup
Buy Entry Zone: Around 0.60385
Stop Loss (Red Zone): Below 0.60163
Take Profit (Green Zone): Near 0.60795
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:2, showing a favorable setup
📈 Indicators & Tools Used
1. Volume Profile (Visible Range)
Displays where the most trading activity (volume) occurred in each session.
You’ve marked high-volume nodes (HVN) and low-volume areas.
Price is moving away from a high-volume consolidation zone, suggesting a breakout attempt.
2. Volume Delta (Histogram)
Shows the difference between buying and selling volume.
Currently showing increasing green bars → bullish delta, indicating buyers are gaining control.
3. CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
CCI(20) is above +100, signaling overbought conditions but also confirming bullish momentum.
This supports the bullish move continuation theory.
🧠 Trading Logic
Accumulation Zone identified before the breakout (low-volume area marked).
Price retested support and showed strength with a bounce.
The break above recent structure around 0.6035 combined with positive delta and CCI signals is a bullish confluence.
Targeting the previous swing high at 0.60795 aligns with volume-based resistance.
🔍 Summary
You're anticipating:
A bullish continuation after a clean retest of support.
Strong buying pressure confirmed by Volume Delta and CCI.
A breakout from a range, potentially targeting liquidity above 0.6079.
GBPUSD 4 Hour Chart GBP/USD has currently completed the minute degree 5th wave and is now entering a corrective 2nd wave. The 5th wave remains valid as long as the price stays below 1.36168. There is a high probability of a downward move towards the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.618 and 0.786, corresponding to the price range of 1.26811 to 1.24270, where an ABC correction is expected to complete.
NZDUSD1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
NU Short prespectiveLooking at NU on the 4 hr, we have a nice rejection with the pinbar taking out sell side liquidity. We can also observe that price retraced back into the resistance zone before the further push to the down side. Friday Market closed with bearish sentiment.
As such we have a good amount of Fvg that we can potentially target as an entry. Here we have established the .62% as an entry using the fib retracement to target the previous lows.
Now, this trade will be invalid if price fails to stay below the new LH and would make this short invalid. Currently price is testing a resistance as per historical data would present.
NZDUSD 1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
Bearish drop for Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6078
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6007
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZD/USD Registers Fresh Yearly HighNZD/USD breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week to register a fresh yearly high (0.6080).
Still need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to open up 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).
At the same time, lack of momentum to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) may push NZD/USD back toward the weekly low (0.5961), with a break/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the May low (0.5847) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NZD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup | AB=CD -Week 7Hey Traders!
I'm currently watching a possible bearish reversal setup forming on the NZD/USD 1H chart based on:
✅ Confluence Factors:
🔹 AB=CD Harmonic Pattern
Price is approaching the D point near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
AB=CD ratio aligns closely with 1.618 and 0.618 fibs for BC leg
🔹 Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI is showing a higher high while price action is also making a higher high
Classic sign of momentum weakening at the top
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to reach or slightly exceed point D / PRZ zone
Watch for clear lower highs and lower lows on price structure
Confirm entry with bearish divergence and candle confirmation
Enter via Sell Stop below support or structural break
Target: Previous support zones
Stop Loss: Above PRZ/point D
#NZDUSD #HarmonicPatterns #RSIDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ABCDPattern #Forex #TradingView
Lingrid | NZDUSD Uptrend Trend Continuation Trade FX:NZDUSD is trending within a clean upward channel, recently bouncing off the trendline near 0.60164. After consolidating in a narrow range, the pair is showing signs of upward continuation toward the 0.60890 resistance zone. A retest of the trendline followed by a bullish reaction could confirm the breakout move.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.60160–0.60220
Buy trigger: breakout above 0.60400 with momentum
Target: 0.60890
Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.60100
💡 Risks
False breakout above 0.60400 may trap buyers
Close below trendline invalidates bullish structure
Range-bound price action may delay breakout follow-through
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS
NZD/USD Buy Opportunity at Channel Support (1H)📈 NZD/USD – Bullish Channel Setup (1H Timeframe)
Price action is currently moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. After a period of consolidation, the pair has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the structure of this bullish channel.
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish (short-term) 🔹 Support Zone: Lower boundary of the channel (around 0.6020) 🔹 Resistance Zone: Upper boundary of the channel (around 0.6060) 🔹 Current Price: 0.60288 – sitting right above the channel’s midline and testing support
🔍 Analysis:
Price is respecting the ascending trendline and forming minor pullbacks along the way.
The current candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which could act as a potential bounce zone if bullish pressure continues.
If price holds above this trendline support, we could see another leg toward the channel top near 0.6060.
However, a break and close below the channel support could open the door for a deeper pullback toward 0.6000 or even 0.5980.
📌 Watchlist Setup:
Buy scenario: Look for bullish confirmation around 0.6020 – bullish engulfing or strong rejection wicks.
Sell scenario: Wait for a clear break and retest of the lower channel line for possible short entries.
🧠 Bias Caution: Always align this setup with your higher timeframe analysis (e.g., 4H or Daily) and watch for upcoming news events that could impact USD or NZD.
NZDUSD – Long Bias LiveNZDUSD – Long Bias Live
🟢 Entered long at market open
🎯 Target: 0.60305
⏳ Plan to hold ~3-5 days (usually much soon)
Price has been grinding lower into support near 0.5980–0.5990. After basing, I’m playing for a rally up to 0.60305 (red line). I’m already in this long—if you’d like to join, be prepared to hold through the next few sessions.
📝 Not financial advice—trade responsibly!
💡 All setups can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation.
#NZDUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.587 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/USD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD: Your Trading Plan For Today Explained 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is currently consolidating on a strong intraday/daily support.
To buy the pair with a confirmation, I suggest to focus on a double
bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 0.6015
will provide a reliable bullish confirmation.
Goal will be 0.6035.
Alternatively, if the price sets a new lower low on a 4H,
this setup will become invalid.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.