USDT.D trade ideas
USDT RedistributionThe accumulation i was watching a while ago turned into redistribution after hitting it's target. This model does not look as clean as the redistribution model bofore, but it's still something to keep in mind. Invalidation is above the 2nd deviation in case there is something different going on.
USDT Dominance Update (4H)First of all, as you know, the market has been going through complex corrections lately, and the scenarios are not very clear. So make sure to trade with proper risk management and a defined stop-loss.
It seems this index is preparing for a drop. It has tapped into the origin order block, and from here, it has the potential to move downward.
The good thing about this setup is that the invalidation level is close. If a 4-hour candle closes above this level, the analysis will be invalidated.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$USDT.D is going to hit the 4.9% level right at the 200 EMACRYPTOCAP:USDT.D is going to hit the 4.9% level right at the 200 EMA — expecting a rejection here.
📉 Targeting pullback to 4.5–4.3%, even 4.0%.
This move = bullish for crypto. Just a corrective wave, not full risk-off.
Watch for rejection confirmation — next rally could be loading.
Correlation between USDT.D and BTC.D
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained below 4.97 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to be on the rise.
The maximum decline is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, in order for the altcoin bull market to begin, BTC dominance is expected to fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend.
Therefore, we need to see if it falls below the 55.01-62.47 range.
The maximum rise range is expected to be around 73.63-77.07.
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In summary of the above, since funds are currently concentrated in BTC, it is likely that BTC will show an upward trend, and altcoins are likely to show a sideways or downward trend as they fail to follow the rise of BTC.
The major bear market in the coin market is expected to begin in 2026.
For the basis, please refer to the explanation of the big picture below.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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USDT Dominance $USDT.D – Channel Breakout in Action!!USDT.D has officially broken out of the descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
Key Points:
- LTF bullish divergence supported the recent push.
- Price is now testing the breakout level with potential to move higher.
- Next key resistance levels are marked at 4.85%, 5.23%
Both levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones, adding to their importance.
If this move sustains, we might see temporary pressure on alts due to increased USDT strength.
However, if price fails to hold above the channel and confirms a deviation, alts may resume dominance.
Weekly close remains key — it will either validate this breakout or trap the breakout traders.
Important Update on USDT Dominance!This might get a little tricky, guys!
On the weekly timeframe, USDT.D has broken below the 100 MA. The last time this happened, it dropped by 33%, which was enough to trigger a solid rally in BTC and the broader market.
Currently, we may see dominance attempt to retest the 100 MA, which is now acting as resistance after the breakdown. This slight rebound could bring some correction to the market — so brace yourselves and stay cautious. ⚠️
In the long run, BTC still looks strong and is likely to go parabolic. Remember, consolidation is a natural part of the market cycle — and if you know how to navigate it, you’ll be just fine. 💪
Regards,
Dexter
USDT Dominance Update (2H)The USDT Dominance (USDT.D) chart — often referred to as the “reverse chart of crypto” — is currently showing signs of strength. On the micro time frame, a new impulsive wave structure has emerged, and we are likely progressing through wave 3 of this formation.
Wave 3 appears to be targeting the 4.88% level.
A minor correction (wave 4) may follow.
Ultimately, wave 5 is projected to reach the 5.00% zone.
Market Implications:
If this scenario unfolds as expected:
Bitcoin could down toward the $100,000–$101,000 range.
However, altcoins may face a sharp correction, with potential losses of 15–20%, exacerbated by the rising BTC dominance and capital flow concentration.
⚠️ While macro bullish momentum remains intact for the market, this short-term USDT.D surge could present a temporary but significant shakeout, especially across the altcoin sector.
— Thanks for reading.
$USDT.D Rejeccted Again Altseason SignalCRYPTOCAP:USDT.D Rejected Again Altseason Signal
USDT Dominance is showing a clear rejection from the descending trendline and 200 MA, similar to the previous 16% drop.
The RSI is turning down from the overbought zone, signalling potential downside.
If this move plays out, we could see USDT.D fall toward the 4.0% zone, which is bullish for Altcoins.
DYRO, NFA
BTC/ USDT DOM.. more downside? This is USDT on the weekly.. as you can see last June and July even before this is a big level of support for USDT DOM.. Wont be surprised for some more down side here for the crypto market. I know its easy to say now after it lost 111k but I just got home and wanted to look deeper into it. Play it level by level obviously.. fib by fib but don't be surprised to see some down side.. Also you're only down if you bough in the last 2 days and that being said don't buy something that ran up to ATH and think its time to buy.. you kinda deserve it.. but lets see what happens. I hope I'm wrong
USDT DOMINANCE NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that the price bounced upward from either Demand 1 or Demand 2.
Considering that the trigger line was broken with a valid candle, it seems the orders in Demand 1 were sufficient to push the price upward.
As long as the new demand zone holds, we expect the price to move toward the orange box.
The orange box appears to be a strong resistance zone, and we will definitely see a reaction there.
Let’s wait and see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT dominance chart!The chart shows USDT.D (Tether dominance) moving within a descending channel.
Currently, USDT.D is testing the upper resistance of the channel, around 4.65%.
If the dominance gets rejected at this level, the next potential target is the lower channel support around 3.9-4.0%.
This could indicate a risk-off environment where traders move capital from stablecoins (USDT) to more volatile assets like Bitcoin or altcoins.
The 50 and 200 moving averages provide dynamic resistance levels that support this potential downside move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
#MARKET DUMPED! What's Next?Honestly, I didn’t expect this move to play out the way it did.
I’ve been warning about a potential breakout on the lower timeframes, and in hindsight, the signs were all there, but I still missed it. It happens, even to the best of us.
Took a few hits with stop-losses today. But no complaints, it’s a small dent compared to what we’ve gained over the past few weeks.
Now, shifting focus. I’m watching this chart closely — this is the 130 EMA on the 4H, which has historically done a great job identifying short-term rejections and bounces. It’s already plotted, and I’ll continue tracking it.
If we break above this level, there’s a strong chance
CRYPTOCAP:BTC can revisit the 98k zone. Until then, stay cautious and avoid High leverage.
Holding LSE:TAO $EIGEN and a few more.
No need to force trades, let the setup come to you.
One more thing, I am still not Bearish, it's a shakeout right before the real move! So be alert when opportunities come to you.
I was planning to take a break today, but not like this tbh.
Stay tuned
We adapt and move forward. Always!
Cheers
Do show your support and hit that like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
USDT.D Bounce Back After Fakeout – What It Means for Alts?USDT Dominance – 12H Chart Analysis
After a clean downtrend and multiple breakdowns, USDT.D recently attempted to break below a major support zone — but it turned out to be a false breakdown.
This move likely trapped altcoin buyers, who expected USDT.D to keep falling (which usually signals strength in altcoins). Instead, dominance quickly bounced back, showing money flowing back into stablecoins.
If USDT.D continues to rise from here, we could see pressure on altcoins in the short term.
Watch this level closely — the next move will be critical.
Destiny 1H USDT.DIn the chart you are observing, the price action has reached the upper boundary of the 4-hour channel—though this screenshot displays the 1-hour timeframe. Additionally, two key resistance zones (base areas) on both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes lie ahead in the price trajectory. Consequently, there is a high probability of a downward reversal, which could ultimately lead to a bullish breakout in the crypto market.