USDTBTC trade ideas
on weekly chart btcusdt long term shortAccording to the weekly chart it would say that btc is near or at the peak and in the next few weeks or months it will start to fall.
As can be seen on the chart, if btc continues to follow the time interval of 202 bars and the fractal structure of the previous period, the next decline should last longer than a year. The lines of resistance in that case would be:
1. green line or about 90k
2. orange line or about 55k
3. red line or about 15k
Disclaimer: This is not financial, investment, trade or other advice. This is my personal opinion which can very easily be wrong.
You trade at your own risk.
"Bitcoin’s Big Heist – Are You In or Out?"🚨 BTC/USDT HEIST MISSION – SWIPE THE BULL RUN BEFORE THE BEARS WAKE UP 💰💣
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Money Makers & Robbers, assemble! 🤑💰✈️💸
Here’s your decoded BTC/USDT “Bitcoin vs Tether” Crypto Market Heist Plan, fully loaded with Thief Trading Style 🔥 TA + FA combo. We’re prepping for a bullish breakout loot – eyes on the vault, ignore the noise.
🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK:
🎯 ENTRY (BUY ZONE):
💥 “The vault’s open—time to sweep!”
DCA/Layer your buy limit orders near the 15–30 min swing lows/highs for sniper pullback entries.
Use multi-entry method to stack positions (layering / DCA) as per your ammo (capital 💵).
🛑 STOP LOSS:
Set SL at the nearest swing low wick (4H TF) — around 115000.00, adjust based on your risk/load.
SL = insurance. Not optional.
🏁 TARGET:
Lock sights on 125000.00
🎉 Or… vanish with profits before the bear cops arrive.
🔎 MARKET BACKDROP & ANALYSIS:
📈 BTC/USDT currently signals bullish vibes on the swing/day horizon — fueled by:
Macro Fuel & Fundamentals
Sentiment Radar
COT Reports
On-Chain Pulse
Intermarket Clues
🚀 Connect the dots. The smart money's already prepping a breakout move.
🧲 Scalpers Note:
Stick to the long side only. No shorting the beast — unless you’re made of diamonds.
Secure your bag with trailing SLs.
⚠️ NEWS TRIGGER ZONE – TRADE WITH TACT:
📢 Upcoming high-volatility news events can spike charts.
Avoid new entries during releases and guard open trades with trailing SLs.
Protect the loot. Always.
💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST GANG: BOOST IT!
Smash that ❤️ to boost our thief squad’s momentum!
Every click powers this underground mission – making money with style, one pip at a time. 🎯💣💵
🚀 See you in the next heist drop.
Until then – Stay stealthy. Stay profitable. Stay legendary. 🐱👤💸🏆
BTC Hourly Analysis – Day 1 | Trend Structure & Key Reactions⏱️ We’re analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe.
👀 After breaking below its support zone at 107,402, Bitcoin experienced a correction along with increasing sell pressure. The price then moved toward the 112,200 support area, where it formed a V-pattern — which has now been broken to the upside.
🎮 We’re using Fibonacci levels to identify key resistance zones and long-entry triggers. A higher low has formed above the 112,217 support and above the 0.382 Fib level, which could serve as a strong confirmation of the breakout .
⚙️ The RSI oscillator on the 1H chart is currently above 50. If buying volume increases, RSI may enter the Overbought zone. The critical level here is 70 — breaking above it can act as a confirmation for a long position .
☄️ A specific Fibonacci-based zone, linked to market maker sellers and supply pressure, was touched, triggering a reaction — around 177 BTC were sold following that touch .
🖥 Summary : As long as Bitcoin stays above its previous high, there’s no immediate concern for long positions. Based on the confirmations above, you may consider entering a long position upon a resistance breakout and taker-seller zone clearance .
📉 No short positions are planned until the 110,000 support level is clearly broken .
Don’t Panic Yet… BTC Might Just Be ReloadingBitcoin is doing something it’s done before.
Every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC has pulled back into this key rising zone, it’s bounced back stronger. The last few dips got absorbed right at this level, and we’re seeing the same setup again now.
Price recently flipped a major resistance into new support, and that level is being tested again. If it holds, we’re likely looking at another leg up possibly towards $124K.
Nothing is broken. Just a typical retest in an uptrend.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for the reading
BTC is just beginning its correction🌐 As always, people like to find meaning in everything to make life seem simpler and more meaningful. So, once again, Trump has been blamed for the market crash.
Probably, if it weren't for geopolitics, Bitcoin would have grown indefinitely, and no one would have taken profits, but simply admired the numbers in their accounts 😁
But this is the real world, and BTC has long been asking for a correction along with the entire market, which I have been talking about for a long time in my ideas.
That is why this is not just a dip, but the likely beginning of a full-scale correction:
➡️ Last week's decline was expected because there is a GAP at $117,000 - $111,245 at these levels. Now that it is almost closed, a new GAP has formed during the decline at $118,403 - $115,245.
➡️ Volume - The volume of purchases at this price is simply negligible; no one wants to buy the dip even at $112,000. In addition, a divergence has been forming since last week in the volume of purchases, which has been declining for a long time.
➡️ Money Flow - very little liquidity entered on the rebound. This signals a lack of interest in buying the dip. The indicator is firmly in negative territory.
➡️ The price has also returned to the boundaries of the descending flag. Technically, this means a probable rebound to $118,000, the upper boundary of the flag, where the GAP is practically ending.
📌 Conclusion:
The main question now is: what next? Either we go higher and close the GAP from above, or we go down to retest the bottom from Sunday and close the GAP.
So far, everything points to the second scenario being more likely.
✍️ What do you think will happen next for BTC?
Make or Break. This next move is a big deal for me personallyTo stand behind the AI I have gone all in on this next move
Many things can go wrong, including a wick that liquidates my position, me getting in too soon or perhaps the AI did as well as it could until now, but did not get the next move correct.
Whatever happens, I'm all in. (this is not to say you should do the same, its to say I believe in my craft and am backing it with massive action).
Lets see what the Bitcoin Gods have in stall
BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Analysis |Critical Retest at Broken trendline
📅 \ Date:\ August 5, 2025
⏰ \ Timeframe:\ 1H
📍 \ Exchange:\ MEXC
💱 \ Pair:\ BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures
---
\ 📉 Trendline Breakdown and Retest\
BTC has broken below the ascending trendline and is now retesting it from the underside. This setup often signals a \ bearish retest\ , especially when momentum is weak and rejection wicks appear near previous support turned resistance.
Last rejection came around \ \$114,800\ , right at the underside of the broken trendline.
---
\ 🔍 Key Technical Levels\
* \ Resistance:\ \$114,800–\$115,000 (confluence of trendline + supply zone)
* \ Support:\ \$113,300 (horizontal green zone, strong historical demand)
Failure to reclaim the trendline might open the path toward \ \$113,300\ . A strong breakout above the trendline may flip bias short-term bullish.
---
\ 📊 Indicators Overview\
\ MACD\ :
• Bearish momentum is fading
• Bullish crossover is forming but not yet confirmed
• Needs clearer separation and histogram recovery for confirmation
\ RSI:\
• Currently at \ 49.43\ , struggling to cross the midline
• Facing resistance near \ 53.14\
• Neutral to slightly bearish momentum
---
\ ⚠️ What to Watch\
🔺 \ Bullish Scenario:\ Break and close above \$115,000 → continuation toward \$116,200
🔻 \ Bearish Scenario:\ Rejection at trendline → decline toward \$113,300
---
\ 🧭 Conclusion\
BTC is at a decision point. The next few candles will likely confirm whether this is a failed breakdown or a clean rejection. Watch volume and candle closes carefully.
\ Patience is key – confirmation is everything.\
---
\ #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendline #MACD #RSI #SupportResistance #CryptoTrading\
Bitcoin Price Outlook 2025–2030 | EMA & MACD SignalsBitcoin trades near $114K in August 2025, sitting just below EMA 9 and EMA 15, while the EMA 200 at $100,870 keeps the long‑term trend bullish. Support at $114K remains crucial, with resistance at $120K–$122K. A close above short‑term EMAs could spark a move toward $127K, while rejection may bring a retest of $110K. Long‑term analysis points toward a potential rise to $300K–$350K by 2030.
04/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,809.82
Last weeks low: $111,917.76
Midpoint: $115,863.79
First net outflow for BTC in seven weeks (-$643m) following the FOMC data release and also month end. Yet again no change by the FED but the chances of Septembers FOMC giving us a rate cut has drastically increased, currently at a 78.5% chance of a 25Bps cut.
Month end usually gives us a pullback/sell-off as larger institutions window dress which often includes de-risking somewhat. We saw this last Thursday combined with the weekends typical lower volume has resulted in quite a significant correction for BTC. Altcoins have down the same as many assets reject from HTF resistance areas, the correction has been on the cards and isn't too worrying on the face of it.
What I would say is August seasonality is generally not a bullish month and so expecting price to rebound and extend the rally would go against historical trends. I could see more of a ranging environment taking place for several weeks before any next leg up is possible.
This week I would like to see where altcoins find support and establish a trading range where some rotational setups tend to present themselves.
BTC-Stay Sharp. Self RegulateBTC Update
👀All Eyes on These Levels 👇
We’re back in A zone.
The level? 115,727.
This isn’t just any line on the chart — this is the same trendline that flipped from major resistance to support back to resistance on the same date of the infamous #bUCKmOON pump.
📈 If BTC breaks this level with strength and volume — I’m in long.🟢
No volume? No conviction. No entry.
But let’s not get carried away — resistance lurks right above at 117,000 — the former Exhaustion Zone Support now turned resistance.
A classic case of "what once held you up now wants to drag you down."
And if the bulls somehow clear that hurdle?
They'll run headfirst into the Exhaustion Zone Resistance — the real boss fight.
These are stacked walls — one after the other. No easy wins here.
🧠 As a chartist, I’m not here to write about what happens if we break through every ceiling like it’s some fanboy fantasy. That’s not analysis — that’s hopium.
🥂 Yeah yeah but— it’s fun to daydream about all the champagne showers, yacht parties, laser eyes, and the sudden urge to start a DAO that changes the world.
We all picture it.
We all love it.
And sure, when BTC rips through all resistance like butter, we’ll act like we "knew all along."
But anyways — snap back to reality...
There’s another level we can’t ignore:
112,388
👀 Even a 4-hour close below this level?
Just check the chart.
That’s when the bears come storming out of hibernation — angry, hungry, and ready to feast.
🎯Bottom line:
Stay sharp. Self Regulate.
The chart is the map. Discipline is the treasure.
BITCOIN TRADING IS 100% PROBABILITY,ANY KEY LEVEL IN THIS CHART CAN FAIL,pls manage your risk and build a strong mindset.
bitcoin is showing a bullish drive. If i retest the 123k level again and gets rejected we are selling down ,the structure has given us a clue on 135k and above possible upswing on sentiment ,this level represents the ascending trendline and a supply roof.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #eth #sol
BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)Hey Candle Fam,
The weak hands just got flushed harder than a memecoin rug—perfect. While retail panicked on the dip, smart money was quietly filling bags near $114k. Now it’s our turn to strike with precision.
🔥 BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)
🎯 Entry: $114,390–$113,800
🛡️ Stop Loss: $111,900
💰 Targets: $121k / $130k / $140k
📊 Strategy: Liquidity Grab + Weekly Demand Tap
– HTF bias: Still bullish, above key $115k zone
– LTF confluence: Sweep of lows + CHoCH forming on 12H/1H
– Footprint data: Volume absorption + delta flip confirm buyer interest
⚠️ Caution:
Breakdown below $110k would invalidate this setup and likely trigger a strong bearish leg. This is not a “to the moon” YOLO.
Stick to your system, manage risk, and remove emotion.
🧠 Final Note:
We don’t chase dreams—we execute plans.
All the hours we spend studying this game? It’s not for fun. It’s for freedom.
Financial independence is the goal—this is the craft.
Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
BTCUSDT local correction is expectedExpecting local correction on BTC, as the price didn't manage to fix above 118500. Main target is around 103-105. In case of the deeper correction - next targets are mentioned on chart.
Invalidation will occur when price will fix above 118500 at least with one full candle.
BTC Breaks Down: Retest Could Lead to More LossesHello guys!
Bitcoin has officially broken below the descending channel it was stuck in for weeks. Right now, price is pulling back to retest the broken channel, which is now acting as resistance around the 114,700 zone.
What I'm watching:
Broken channel = bearish signal
Retest zone around 114,700
Downside target near 110,400
So far, it looks like a clean setup for further downside, unless bulls manage to reclaim that broken trendline. Until then, the pressure remains to the downside.
Let’s see how price reacts here... Rejection = short opportunity.
BTCUSDT: A Bullish Foundation Meets Fibonacci FirepowerBTCUSDT: A Bullish Foundation Meets Fibonacci Firepower
BTCUSDT is currently at a critical juncture, navigating a significant upward trendline and a key Fibonacci retracement level. The chart highlights the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers following a strong multi-month rally. Price action is testing a major confluence zone, which will likely determine the immediate future direction of the market.
1. The Bullish Foundation (Late March - July):
• Long-Term Uptrend Line (White): A prominent upward-sloping trendline originating from the late March lows has defined the bullish narrative. Price has consistently found support on this line, demonstrating a strong underlying buying interest and a disciplined ascent. This trendline has been a reliable gauge of the market's health and a key area for bulls to defend.
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels: When we apply the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low to the all-time high, several potential support areas are identified. These levels are critical for understanding potential pullbacks and market structure.
2. The Current Inflection Point (Late July - August):
• Confluence Zone: The market is currently engaging with a high-stakes confluence zone. This area is defined by two key technical indicators:
o The Long-Term Uptrend Line: Price is testing this foundational support line for the first time since the July peak. A bounce from this level would reinforce the long-term bullish bias.
o The 0.236 Fibonacci Level (~$111,804): This is the first level of support in the Fibonacci sequence. The market is finding temporary footing here, and a decisive break below this level would be a bearish signal, suggesting a deeper retracement is likely.
3. Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Continuation : The most optimistic scenario involves a successful defense of the current confluence zone. A strong bounce from the white uptrend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci level, backed by increased buying volume, would signal that the bulls are still in control. In this case, a re-test of the recent all-time highs would be the next logical target.
• Bearish Retracement : If the confluence zone fails to hold, and BTCUSDT breaks decisively below the trendline and the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it would suggest a deeper correction is underway. The next major support zone to monitor would be:
o The 0.382 Fibonacci Level (~$104,666) : This level has historically acted as both support and resistance, making it a critical psychological and technical area. A drop to this zone would likely be met with renewed buying interest.
o The 0.5 Fibonacci Level (~$98,897) : A move to this level would signal a more significant correction, potentially testing the psychological $100,000 mark.
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is at a pivotal moment. The market's reaction to the current confluence of the long-term uptrend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level will dictate the short-to-medium-term direction. A bounce from here would confirm the strength of the uptrend, while a break lower would open the door for a deeper retracement toward the next key Fibonacci levels. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume at these critical levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.