USDTBTC trade ideas
BTCUSDT Bearish Expect the resistance 120KBTCUSDT is currently showing signs of a bearish trend, aligning with our previous analysis. The price faced strong resistance near the 120,000 level, from where we expect a move toward the downside.
Technical Insight:
After the recent strong bullish momentum, Bitcoin may enter a corrective phase. This local correction could attract fresh interest from buyers at lower levels. Watch closely for any bounce or consolidation near the 110K 115K zone, which could act as a decision point for the next major move.
Note: A sustained break below 114K could accelerate the downside pressure towards 110K. Conversely, any recovery above 120K would invalidate this bearish scenario and suggest continued bullish strength.
You May find more details in the chart.
Ps: Support Growth like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #143👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. Today, the weekly candle will close and the market will return to its normal condition starting tomorrow. It’s very important to have a solid analysis today so we can make profits in the upcoming week.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin had another short drop and wicked down to around the 111747 zone, but then returned above the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
💥 Even from this timeframe, it’s clear that a long trigger has formed on lower timeframes, and it seems like a V-pattern is being formed, which we’ll analyze in the lower timeframes.
📊 If the market activates the long trigger today, I’ll try to enter so I don’t miss out in case a bullish move starts with the new weekly candle and I can have an open position.
✔️ The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold zone yesterday and exited it. Since Bitcoin is still above the 110000 zone, I still view the trend as bullish. So this double bottom that formed on the RSI is a very good sign for bullish momentum in the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-Hour timeframe, we had a short trigger at the 114560 zone in the previous analysis, which was activated and the price moved down. I had mentioned in that analysis that I wouldn’t open a short position with this trigger, and I didn’t.
🔽 Now the position of that trigger has shifted and moved to the 114028 zone. Today I’m watching the market closely, and if the price moves up toward this trigger with increasing volume, I’ll open a long position if 114028 breaks.
🔍 This is one of those positions where you can use either a small or large stop loss. If you go with a larger stop, you can ride the next bullish leg that may push the price back toward the 120000 zone. But if you go with a smaller stop, it becomes a short-term trade that will be closed with smaller risk-to-reward ratios.
📈 Personally, I prefer to go with a larger stop loss so that if Bitcoin starts another bullish leg, I can have a well-positioned entry. (Just make sure to practice proper risk management — I personally won’t risk more than 0.25% on this position since the main momentum hasn’t entered yet.)
💫 As for short positions, I won’t provide any triggers for now because I’m not opening shorts myself, and if you open one, I won’t be able to guide you on what to do with it.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
#BTC enters neckline resistance zone📊#BTC enters neckline resistance zone⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we hit the daily neckline support and began to rebound. Unfortunately, it's about $170 away from the overlapping support zone I'm focused on, and the rebound didn't establish a 1-hour bullish structure. This suggests a high probability of encountering resistance and a pullback after this rebound. Therefore, don't chase the rally at the neckline resistance zone! Only if we can break through the neckline resistance zone and stabilize for a day or so should we actively consider a bullish move.
➡️Support is clearly around 120,000. Even if it falls below this level, as long as the 4-hour closing price is above it, this support level will remain valid. Extreme support is still around 110,000!
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided.
The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high.
After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens.
It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated.
Bullish Continuation Scenario
If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point.
For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.
BTC accumulates, slightly adjusts down💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – START OF THE WEEK (04/08)
🔍 1. Current Technical Structure
Price Pattern: The chart shows BTC is forming a falling wedge pattern, with converging support and resistance lines.
False Break: There was a false break below the strong support zone around ~112,000, followed by a sharp rebound. This indicates buyers are actively defending this level, showing potential buying pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement: From the recent low to high, the 0.5 (115,559) and 0.618 (116,361) Fibonacci levels are acting as key resistance zones.
Key Price Levels:
• Strong support: 111,800 – 112,300
• Near resistance: 115,500 – 116,500
• Next resistance: downtrend line and previous high around 118,000 – 119,000
🔄 2. Possible Trend Scenarios
✅ Main scenario (bullish):
BTC made a false break below the wedge → rebounded toward Fibonacci resistance → potential:
• Continue rising to the 115,500 – 116,500 zone
• If it breaks and holds above this zone, BTC could break out of the wedge pattern and target 118,000 – 120,000
• A longer-term target could be the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension around ~123,159
❌ Alternative scenario (bearish):
If BTC fails to break above 116,000 and gets rejected:
• It may retest the 112,000 support zone again
• A breakdown below this support would bring back the downtrend
🔄 3. Bullish Supporting Factors:
• The false break signals a shakeout of weak sellers.
• A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, supporting a bullish reversal.
• Moving Averages (MA): Price is nearing the 200 MA (red) – a possible bullish crossover with shorter-term MAs may occur, signaling a buy.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Safe buy zone: Around 113,500 – 114,000 if there’s a pullback.
• Take profit in stages: 116,500 – 118,000 – 120,000
• Stop-loss: Below 112,000 in case of a confirmed breakdown
Bitcoin Analysis (3D)Bitcoin is currently trading in a very specific zone that resembles a classic bull flag continuation pattern, similar to the one we saw during last year’s rally.
Back then, a slow-forming bull flag broke to the upside, pushed to new all-time highs, and then retested the top of the same flag before continuing higher.
Now, we are witnessing a similar setup, but this time the formation has developed much faster.
The key difference:
While last year’s bull flag took a longer time to mature, the current one is more compressed, indicating a potentially sharper move if confirmed.
The $108K daily level is critical.
As long as Bitcoin remains above this level, the structure favors a new rally.
This could be the start of another impulsive leg, targeting the $128K Area.
Bitcoin Price Flow From Liquidity Grabs to Structural BreakoutsBitcoin Price Action Analysis:
In recent sessions, Bitcoin has been consistently making Breaks of Structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating a strong bullish trend. Most recently, after forming another BoS, the market retraced downward and precisely tapped into a previously established Bullish Order Block (OB). This reaction led to a temporary upward movement; however, during this process, the market also created a zone of internal liquidity.
Currently, Bitcoin is showing signs of a downward move again, potentially aiming to capture Internal Drawdown Market (IDM) liquidity. Just below this level lies another key Order Block, which could serve as a strong support zone. If the price reacts positively from this region, we might see the market initiate another upward leg, potentially forming the next Break of Structure to continue the bullish narrative.
Note: Always perform your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BITCOIN BULLISH POSSIBLE VIEW🧠 Key Observations (Smart Money Concepts - SMC Style)
🔄 Market Structure:
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Price recently made a MSS after a BOS (Break of Structure), indicating a shift to bullish structure.
BOS (Break of Structure): Seen on the move up from the demand zone.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity) taken before the recent bullish move — classic liquidity sweep behavior.
📦 Zones:
Demand Zone: Between ~$111,000 and ~$113,000
4HR Supply Zone: Around ~$115,000 to ~$116,000 — where price is currently reacting.
Golden Zone (Entry/POI): Near the origin of the move that caused the BOS.
📍 Entry & TP/SL Setup:
Buy Limit: Placed at 111,931.32, right at the edge of the demand block.
Stop Loss (SL): Set just below at 110,453.42
Take Profit (TP): Targeting 113,676.39, right before the next resistance.
📊 Volume Analysis:
Large bullish volume spike aligns with the most recent BOS.
Diminishing sell volume during retracement suggests exhaustion of bearish momentum.
✅ Trade Idea (Based on Chart Setup):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 111,931.32 USDT
Stop Loss: 110,453.42 USDT
Take Profit: 113,676.39 USDT
Risk/Reward: ~1:1.5 to 1:2
🔍 Additional Notes:
Liquidity Sweep: SSL cleared → indicates potential for long setups.
BOS + MSS Confluence: Bullish intent confirmed.
BB (Break of Block): Indicates intent to move higher if resistance is broken.
ERL Target: Final target is shown far above current price, near 123,280.88, could be a longer-term swing target if price holds structure.
🔄 Next Steps (as per typical TradingView publish ideas):
Set alerts at the demand zone.
Monitor price action when it taps into the Buy Limit level.
Watch for confirmation candle or volume spike before manual execution (if not using limit orders)
Technical Analysis: All About Its Origin
Technical Analysis is the discipline that studies and graphically records the price and volume changes of a stock or asset, with the aim of exploiting recurring patterns and phenomena with predictive characteristics.
The origins of Technical Analysis date back to 17th-century Japan, in the rice futures markets of Osaka. After a century of internal wars among the daimyo—Japanese feudal lords—General Tokugawa emerged victorious at the Battle of Sekigahara (1600), initiating the unification of Japan. To maintain the loyalty of his subjects, Tokugawa, appointed Shogun, consolidated his power and ensured the allegiance of his followers by concentrating the political-military elite and their families in Edo (modern-day Tokyo).
At that time, the primary source of income for the daimyo was rice collected from the peasants working their lands. Since transporting rice to Edo was impractical, it was stored in the port of Osaka. The proximity of the daimyo in Edo sparked a competition for prestige, manifested through luxuries and other excesses. To sustain this lifestyle, the daimyo sold stored rice and even future harvests. For this “future rice,” warehouses began issuing contracts known as “empty rice.” These contracts were traded in a secondary market, giving rise to one of the world’s first futures markets.
The most prominent trader in this market was Munehisa Homma, who operated in the early 18th century. For Homma, markets were heavily influenced by the psychology of investors, who sometimes perceived a harvest differently from reality. In his book, *The Fountain of Gold*, he expressed ideas that remain highly relevant today, particularly what many Western traders know as contrarian opinion:
“When the price of rice begins to rise, orders come in from all directions at once, and soon the Osaka market joins the frenzy. The price of rice rises faster when people place orders even for stored rice, and it becomes clear that a buying fever is underway. But when you want to be in the position of placing buy orders like everyone else, it’s important to be on the side of those placing sell orders. When people move in unison, rushing westward with the determined intention of participating in the rise, that’s the moment for you to head east, and you will discover great opportunities.”
Steve Nison, an investor who popularized the use of Japanese candlesticks in the West, states in his book *Beyond Candlesticks*:
“In the material I translated, candlestick charts are often called Sakata charts, in reference to the port city of Sakata, where Homma lived. However, based on my research, it is unlikely that Homma used candlestick charts. It is more likely that these charts were developed in the early part of the Meiji period in Japan (late 1800s).”
It is worth noting that, although Homma may not have used candlestick charts, this type of graphical representation was the evolution of centuries of experience using price records for predictive purposes.
The Revolution of Japanese Candlestick Charts
The graphical representation of prices has been a determining factor in the evolution of technical analysis, marking a clear distinction between investment approaches in the East and the West. While traditional bar charts, predominant in the West, were limited to showing opening and closing prices, Japanese candlestick charts offered a more comprehensive view of investor psychology. These charts incorporated not only the opening and closing prices but also the highs and lows of each session, represented intuitively through the body and wicks of the candles.
Perhaps Western investors, constrained by the simplicity of bar charts, developed an approach more focused on studying price formations, while the Japanese could make decisions based on the analysis of small groups of candles. Over time, however, both approaches proved equally practical, and a multi-timeframe understanding became part of the operations of both Western and Japanese investors.
An example of the application of a multi-timeframe approach in the West is found in the father of modern technical analysis, Richard W. Schabacker, who, despite his short life, left a prolific body of work. In his book *Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits* (1932), he classifies markets into major movements (monthly), intermediate movements (weekly), and minor movements (daily). In Japan, Goichi Hosoda, the creator of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, is the best example of an investor who dedicated his life to cataloging and studying price formations beyond the use of candlestick patterns.
Over time, modern Western investment platforms adopted the innovations of Japanese candlestick charts, integrating the ability to display highs, lows, openings, and closings in a single format.
In the early 20th century, scholars of charts in the West were known as chartists, but today, “Chartism” is associated with a classical methodology popularized by journalist and investor Richard W. Schabacker (1899–1935) and later by the book *Technical Analysis of Stock Trends* (1948) by authors Robert D. Edwards and John Magee.
Theory on the Emergence of Technical Analysis
Since the dawn of humanity, people have sought to represent the phenomena around them to understand or communicate information. Whether through cave drawings, symbols, or written records, visual representation has been a fundamental tool for making sense of the world. Undoubtedly, price fluctuations were a phenomenon that invited analysis.
The earliest investors, using graphical representations, aimed to find order in chaos. By meticulously recording price movements, these pioneers likely discovered something surprising: repetitive patterns that seemed to predict future behavior. This discovery must have been thrilling, as it offered the promise of significant profits, often with seemingly low risk.
Without needing to understand market psychology, as later technical analysts would, these early investors found a practical advantage in these patterns. When enough of them identified and acted on the same pattern, it tended to fulfill itself more frequently, reinforcing its validity. Thus, what began as an intuitive observation evolved into a structured practice, laying the foundation for what we now know as Technical Analysis: a discipline that thousands of investors use to interpret market behavior and make informed decisions.
Fun Fact
The first work to describe the phenomenon of stock market investing is titled *Confusion of Confusions* (1688) by José de la Vega, set in Amsterdam, the financial hub of Europe at the time. More than a detailed study of the investment methods of the era, this novel seeks to entertain and inform readers about the risks of speculation.
Its author, moreover, employs a narrative style that surpasses even the florid prose of his contemporaries:
“They strive to perpetuate the unrest of those who frequent their dealings, and just as they imprison them in their towers, they cast the locks into the sea so that the hope of ever removing the bolts may never flatter them.”
Conclusions
Some might consider the history of technical analysis a curious but irrelevant tale for modern practice. However, history shows us that markets are more than just numbers—they are a reflection of human psychology. Far from being a mere catalog of tricks to memorize, technical analysis invites us to understand psychological dynamics to make informed decisions.
Recognizing that markets are shaped by historical patterns grants us a strategic advantage. By studying how past investors interpreted prices and emotions—from rice traders in 17th-century Japan to modern analysts—we can anticipate market movements with greater precision. This perspective not only enriches our trading but also positions us as more aware and prepared investors in an environment where collective psychology remains the dominant force.
References
Nison, S. (1994). *Beyond Candlesticks: New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed*. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons.
Schabacker, R. W. (1932). *Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits*. New York, NY: B.C. Forbes Publishing.
Edwards, R. D., & Magee, J. (1948). *Technical Analysis of Stock Trends*. Springfield, MA: John Magee.
Rabassa, Y. (n.d.). *How to Master Japanese Candlesticks?* . YouTube.
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high.
⸻
🔻 Key Developments:
• After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel.
• This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone.
• The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution.
⸻
💡 Trading Thesis:
We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to:
• Attract liquidity up to $116K
• Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower
⸻
🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS)
• 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F
• 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected
• 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range
• 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets
⸻
🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric)
• Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Channel boundary now capped at $116K
• Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K
⸻
📌 Primary Scenario:
• Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected
• Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K
🧯 Invalidations:
• Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure
• Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts
⸻
⚠️ Risk Management:
• $116K = key distribution zone
• Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation
• Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K.
⸻
💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
The key is whether it can rise above 115854.56
Hello, traders!
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Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the newly created DOM (60) indicator point of 119086.64.
If this fails and the price declines, we need to check for support near the previous all-time high (ATH) of 108,353.0.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near 108,353.0, this area is expected to serve as important support and resistance.
-
(1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115,854.56 and maintain its upward momentum.
If not, further declines are likely.
-
To rise above 115,856.56,
- The StochRSI indicator must rise within the oversold zone and remain above K > D.
- The On-Bottom Volume indicator must continue its upward trend with OBV > OBVEMA. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should maintain an upward trend. (If possible, it's best to rise above the 0 point.)
If the above conditions are met and the price rises above 115854.56, it is expected to attempt to rise above 119177.56.
This period of volatility is a significant period of volatility.
Therefore, if the price falls below the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and encounters resistance during this period, you should prepare for further declines.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to result in a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended as the basic trading strategy.
When executing a trade, appropriate profit taking secures the liquidity of your investment, giving you the opportunity to seize new opportunities.
To achieve this, you should consider your intended investment horizon before initiating the trade and divide the trade accordingly.
-
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 89294.25.
Therefore, I believe the market believes it's in a position to take profit.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Bull Flag Pattern Hints at Potential BreaBTC price Outlook: Bull Flag Pattern Hints at Potential Breakout Toward $129K
The local format of the corridor is interrupted by a wide, stronger one, based on which one can conclude about a rebound, and it is quite possible that this will happen tomorrow, during the opening of markets and trading
Also on the local BTC chart, this figure forms an incompletely formed "Bullish Flag" pattern, which also indicates growth
Also, this scenario does not contradict my previous analysis, where a global "Head and Shoulders" pattern is emerging on a 5-year time frame
Current price: $114.227
Expected according to the local scenario $123k and the price according to the global "Head and Shoulders" pattern remains within the same limits of $124k or $129k
Low probability of breaking through the $112k level, since this mark is the bottom of the ascending corridor
This analysis is based on the technical pattern and also incorporates AI to provide more accurate results.
How to use Free TradingView Indicator to detect Liquidity TrapsPerformance on Shared BTC/USDT Chart
Indicator : Liquidity Trap Detector (LTD)
Timeframe: 15-sec (as per chart)
Observation Period: Full session visible in the screenshot
1. Bull Traps Detected: 4
• Major traps occurred during local tops where price sharply reversed.
• Example: ~19:15 and ~21:00 marked strong reversals after fake breakouts.
2. Bear Traps Detected: 5
• Triggered near local bottoms, followed by short-term rebounds.
• Example: ~22:15 and ~00:30 triggered after sudden downward sweeps.
3. Accuracy:
• Approx. 70–75% of traps correctly led to meaningful reversals.
• A few signals occurred during trend continuation, indicating strong momentum rather than a trap.
4. False Signals:
• Some Bull Trap signals appeared during minor pullbacks that continued trending up.
• Filtering with cooldown periods or trend filters (e.g., EMA alignment) can reduce noise.
⸻
Key Takeaways
• Best Use Case:
• Short-term scalping and identifying liquidity sweeps before reversals.
• Works well in ranging or high-volatility conditions.
Caution:
• In strong trending markets, some signals may mark pause points, not full reversals.
• Combining LTD with higher timeframe trend confirmation improves reliability.
BTCUSDT | Key Trend Channel Breakdown & Major Support AheadBitcoin has broken below a key trend channel on the 4H chart, currently trading around $113,891. Price is reacting after a sharp drop, approaching a major demand zone located between $107.5K and $109K, which previously acted as a strong support.
📉 Downside Potential:
Main Demand Zone: $107.5K – $109K
A possible bullish reaction is expected here if buyers step in aggressively.
📈 Upside Targets if Price Rebounds:
First Target: Upper boundary of local channel – ~$117.5K
Second Target: Full bullish recovery – ~$135K
⚠️ Note: This move comes after an extended consolidation and a sudden breakdown. Pay close attention to the lower boundary zone, as failure to hold could trigger a deeper correction.
📊 Chart Type: BTCUSDT – 4H (Binance)
🔧 Tools Used: Trend Channels, Support/Resistance Zones
📅 Date: August 3, 2025
BTC, ETH & Market Structure Outlook – Is the Pullback Over or Ju
💎🚀 BTC, ETH & Market Structure Outlook – Is the Pullback Over or Just Beginning? 🔥♦️
🧠 Dow Theory | Multi-Cycle Technical Breakdown | Index Watch
👉 Don't forget to LIKE, FOLLOW, and COMMENT to support the content!
♦️ BTC/USDT Analysis
🔻 The key support at 115,725 was broken – but has the macro trend turned bearish? Not yet.
📉 From the HWC (1D) perspective, BTC has dropped only ~4.5%, which still looks like a pullback.
🟥 However, if price stabilizes below 109,000, we will begin shifting to a bearish macro bias.
🧠 Weakness in trend is present but not confirmed.
🔄 MWC (4H) – Sideways, Then Breakdown
📊 After a strong rally, BTC ranged for about 17 days, then broke below the range support.
🔽 The 4H trend leans bearish, but it's not a strong or confirmed downtrend.
⏱️ LWC (1H) – Clearly Bearish
📉 Lower highs and lower lows are forming. The trend is decisively downward in 1H.
🚀 Bullish Scenario:
If BTC bounces from 112,000, we need:
• A strong new high
• A healthy pullback
• A breakout of the new high → then long entries are valid
❗ Bearish Scenario:
If 109,000 breaks with volume → strong bearish continuation likely.
♦️ ETH/USDT Analysis
🔸 The 3538 level is key.
✅ If ETH shows clear reaction, followed by a breakout, a long position becomes valid.
⚠️ But only after a confirmed trend shift on the 4H timeframe.
♦️ Top Altcoins
⭕ Most alts are in an uncertain phase.
🕒 It's best to wait until new highs/lows and a valid structure are formed.
♦️ BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
💥 BTC.D broke through the critical 62.22 level.
🟡 Now we wait: Will it hold above or fake out and reverse?
🔻 If BTC is dropping while BTC.D is rising →
👉 Result: BTC drops moderately, but alts drop much harder.
♦️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
📉 This chart reflects market fear & greed.
Currently showing reduced greed (risk-off behavior).
🔸 Next resistance levels: 4.63 and 4.72
❗ If these break → bearish bias becomes dominant.
⭕ However, a fakeout here could create a fast early entry opportunity.
♦️ TOTAL Market Cap
📍 Market is sitting on a major support level – but BTC remains the key driver.
❗ No confirmed long setups until BTC structure shifts bullish.
♦️ Strategic Outlook
1️⃣ Not a good time to open fresh positions – wait for clear 4H structure formation
2️⃣ Bias remains bullish overall, but waiting for confirmation
3️⃣ Until BTC trend clearly reverses, we are not focused on BTC.D reversals – they remain secondary
4️⃣ On the Bitcoin chart, you can see another red zone — breaking the first one will invalidate the bullish outlook, and breaking the second one will trigger a search for short positions.
5️⃣ To return to a strong uptrend, breaking the green zone around 120,000.00 is essential.
6️⃣ I’ve drawn two green upward paths on the chart. I’ll be looking for such a path for an early long entry.
💎 Stay cautious, manage risk, and follow structure!
🚀 Smash that ROCKET, leave a LIKE, and hit FOLLOW for daily crypto insights!