Will BTC Hold the Line? Support Levels TestedBitcoin is currently trading at 114,420 USDT on the 45-minute timeframe. This setup highlights a structured technical analysis using Ichimoku Cloud, Fibonacci retracement, and clearly defined support/resistance levels.
Key price zones:
- Resistance: 115,723.51 / 114,831.13
- Mid-range: 114,279.06 / 113,832.86
- Support: 113,386.67 down to 109,605.37
A downward arrow suggests a potential revisit to lower support zones, possibly around 105,824.08 USDT, indicating a watchlist area for accumulation or bounce confirmation.
💬 “Monitoring BTC’s reaction around key Fibonacci levels. Potential support zone in sight.”
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC/USDT Analysis – Reached Resistance
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the CryptoRobotics trading analyst.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the resistance zone at $115,000–$116,300 (a mirror volume zone), and we are already seeing a reaction from sellers.
Our primary expectations remain unchanged since yesterday — we anticipate a move back down toward the local low. If there’s no reaction at that level, we could see a further decline toward the next support zone at $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume). A shift to a bullish scenario is only possible if strong market buying appears, which would be reflected in a sharp spike in volume and upward positioning.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
Sell Zones:
$115,000–$116,300 (mirror volume zone)
$117,600–$118,600 (accumulated volume)
This publication is not financial advice.
127000 USD on BTC? Analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on the TradingView platform reveals several key observations. The current price is hovering around $114,249.14, suggesting a short-term decline following a previous significant rise, evident as a high peak on the chart. The two moving average lines—green (shorter period) and red (longer period)—indicate an upward trend, as the green line is above the red, signaling bullish strength in the broader perspective. However, recent red candles point to selling pressure, with the price approaching a support zone around $113,000–$114,000, which could serve as an area of consolidation or a potential rebound.
In the lower part of the chart, the oscillator (e.g., RSI or another momentum indicator) remains in a neutral zone, suggesting no significant overbought conditions but also a lack of strong momentum for further declines. It’s worth noting that the price is currently testing a critical support level, and a break below this could lead to further downside, while a bounce could target higher levels. Based on the current trend and historical price action, a suggested target price of $127,000 USD appears achievable if the support holds and bullish momentum resumes, potentially driven by a breakout above the recent high.
Potential TP: 127 000 $
BTC-----Sell around 114500, target 113500-113000 areaAugust 5th BTC Contract Technical Analysis:
Today, the daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with prices remaining high. However, the accompanying indicator forms a death cross. While the broader trend remains bearish, the market is still trending downwards. However, yesterday's significant upward trend suggests a range-bound trend in the short term. Without a continuation of the trend, a significant unilateral move is unlikely. On the hourly chart, yesterday's intraday gains continued in the European and American sessions, but prices failed to break above the previous high. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish candlesticks, with prices trading below the moving average and the accompanying indicator forming a death cross. Therefore, continued support is crucial for the day, with the strength and potential breakouts of the European session also key.
Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy:
Sell on pullbacks to the 114,500 area, with a stop-loss at 115,000, and a target of 113,500-113,000.
Bitcoin Turned Down — It Was Only a Matter of TimeBitcoin Turned Down — It Was Only a Matter of Time
When the price gets stuck at the top and can’t move higher, it’s always a reason to stop and think. BTC got stuck around $118,000, started to form long upper wicks, and the volume started to decline. All of this pointed to a classic case of fading bullish momentum.
At this point, my indicator gave several key signals: weakening buying power, a change in momentum, and the formation of a potential reversal zone. I refrained from opening long positions — and this decision turned out to be the right one. The price went down and is now trading around $114,000.
Next, I will wait for a retest of the imbalance zone and work from the reaction from this zone.
It is important to understand: this correction is not something unusual. This is a technically sound phase after a strong rally. The market gets rid of speculative positions, gets rid of excessive leverage and prepares for either a reset or a deeper correction.
The market has weakened predictably, and that's actually a good thing. When the structure becomes clear, we can trade with a plan rather than just following our gut instinct.
Okay, Let's Take a Live Look Into the Market 📺⚡ Okay, Let's Take a Live Look Into the Market 💹🔥
Important levels across S&P 500, Bitcoin, and XRP are all flashing 🔴 right now. Here's what I'm seeing in real-time:
📈 S&P 500 Futures – 6,351 Is Everything
The 6,351 level marks the midpoint of the rising channel.
On Friday, I flagged 6,430 as critical resistance — price rejected perfectly.
Now we’re attempting a rebound, but we’re stuck at mid-channel.
⚠️ A confirmed breakout above 6,351 could reignite upside momentum.
👉 Yes, this is a 1-minute chart, but precision matters when watching key structural levels — especially in legacy indices.
💥 BTC – 115,700: The Grandmaster Level
Zoom out and see the massive yellow horizontal on the chart: 115,700.
It’s not just any number — this is the ultimate resistance-turned-support battleground.
We’re currently under it, which keeps pressure to the downside.
A reclaim flips the structure bullish and opens room for trend continuation.
📌 Until we’re above it, this remains the dominant resistance across the entire crypto macro framework.
🧩 XRP – Still Facing Rejection
On the 2H/3H chart, XRP continues to flirt with resistance but fails to confirm strength.
This aligns with both the S&P 500 stalling at 6,351 and Bitcoin being capped at 115.7K.
📉 When multiple assets respect key levels in sync, it signals market-wide hesitation.
🔄 Cross-Market Confluence
It’s fascinating to watch:
A TradFi index (S&P)
A macro crypto asset (BTC)
A mid-tier alt (XRP)
...all pivoting around hyper-precise structural resistance at the same time.
✅ These aren’t coincidences. They’re systemic correlations.
🔮 What’s Next?
If S&P 500 breaks above 6,351, it could act as a risk-on signal.
That momentum could help BTC flip 115,700 — a massive deal.
And if that happens, XRP could finally follow with a stronger move.
Until then? We respect resistance and wait for confirmation. 📊🔍
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC retracement planDon’t chase breakouts above $115K without confirmation—false signals are common in volatile crypto conditions.
Watch for volume spikes at key levels like $115K or near $117,800 for validation.
Use tight stop-losses given intraday volatility—it’s easy for sharp 1–2% swings in crypto.
Note that technical sentiment (RSI, MACD) remains neutral to slightly bearish across intraday and daily indicators .
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT Price has shown recovery over the past 24 hours, but now faces a critical test at the weekly reversal level ($115,300). The inability to establish sustained footing above this level may trigger a deeper correction
Key Scenarios:
Bullish: Hold above $108K maintains ATH potential
Bearish: Failure to consolidate above $115.3K opens downside risk to 110k
Let the market confirm its direction first
BTCUSDT Expanded Flat Correction may be overBear with me (pun intended). I know I'll probably get some slack from the 5 wave correction counting of wave C. Most people would place the 3rd wave in June instead of May, but a few things suggest me that the 3rd wave down was actually in May:
This C wave lies at the 123.6% extension of wave A which is a common area for the Expanded Flat correction.
Volume and RSI printing a divergence
2M RSI just broke out of its falling wedge
BTCUSDT resiliance at the 19k level, in contrast with the current equity price action & general sentiment, which goes against the previous sell offs of April and June
All of the above considered, there's still something missing : that the C wave should hold RSI divergence between wave 3 and 5 at completion, which did not happen with this counting. Also BTC would not only have be above the 19.3k resistance of the 123.6% extension of wave A (which is being rejected @ the moment) as it would also need to break & retest that yellow trendline (hands tied with the faster EMA's) that is holding its price down. But where is the fun in posting ideas when all of the cards are on the table? =D
All I'm saying is that this correction is closer to its ending than the other way around, and what I'm suggesting is that I wouldn't be surprised if it would be already over.
DYOR. Not advice
"BTC Moves Down — Scenario Confirmed"As expected, the market couldn’t sustain the overheating.
Over the past few days, Bitcoin has shown clear signs of weakness. The rally from $105K to $118K happened too quickly, without proper correction, and with noticeably declining volume toward the end of the move. In such situations, the market often loses footing — and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now: BTC has corrected down to $114,000.
If you've been following my analysis, you know I pointed out signs of overheating earlier: strong deviation from moving averages, weak reaction at key resistance levels, and upward wicks without volume confirmation. My indicator gave an early warning of trend weakening around the $117–$118K zone. That’s when it became clear momentum was fading.
This isn’t a crash or panic — it’s a normal, healthy market correction. Overleveraged long positions are getting flushed out, and late entries at the top are being shaken off. In such phases, it’s crucial not to react emotionally but to follow a clear system.
The key point: markets don’t reverse “suddenly.”
Everything happening now was visible in advance — if you were looking not just at price, but at the structure of the movement.
$BINANCE:BTCUSDT Needs a Clean Break Above $117,000The BINANCE:BTCUSDT pair has shown a mild bounce over the past 24 hours, now trading around $114,000. But zoom out, and the weekly performance still shows a nearly 4% dip, raising the question of whether this bounce has real legs or is just noise.
From a long-term holder perspective, on-chain selling pressure has been easing. Data from spent output bands shows that older wallets, particularly those holding BTC for 7–10 years, were active between July 23 and August 1.
However, the extent of selling was notably lower compared to the earlier July 10–19 stretch, when BINANCE:BTCUSDT dropped from $ 123,000 to $ 117,000. Even during this recent distribution phase, BTC managed to hold above $113,000, indicating strong market absorption and reduced overhead pressure.
Valuation-wise, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio currently sits at 2.19. Historically, this zone has acted as a reliable launchpad for Bitcoin rallies. Back in June, a similar reading of 2.16 preceded a move from $101,000 to $110,000. And in April, a 2.12 print led to a surge toward $119000. Right now, BINANCE:BTCUSDT sits in the same zone, supported by a quiet shift in trader sentiment. The long/short ratio flipped from a bearish 0.89 to 1.02, indicating more traders are finally betting on the upside.
From a price action standpoint, BINANCE:BTCUSDT needs to make a decisive move. It is currently holding above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $113,600. This level is derived from the June low of $ 98,000 to the all-time high of $ 123,000.
The next visible support levels sit at $111,900 and $110,000, while $107,000 remains the invalidation zone for any bullish thesis. However, the true pivot remains $ 117,000; a level marked by historical significance, volume clusters, and failed breakouts. Unless BINANCE:BTCUSDT clears and holds above $117,000, the broader uptrend remains vulnerable to yet another failed rally attempt.
Analytics: Market Outlook and Predictions
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, US President Donald Trump once again "shook up" the financial markets.
The report published by the White House was received positively and contributed to the recovery of the Bitcoin price. But soon after, new import duties were introduced, which changed the short-term trend of the first cryptocurrency to a downward one. Unfortunately, no one is immune to FUD.
The local minimum was recorded at $112,000, after which the price rebounded slightly, but didn’t reach the key zone of $110,000-$107,000 (accumulated volumes).
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Currently, buyer activity remains weak, with significant volumes concentrated above the current price, and no active demand at the local lows. Another wave of sales is likely from the $115,000-$116,300 zone to the formed low of $112,000.
On the other hand, wave analysis shows the weakening of sellers. The market has already absorbed the last wave of sales, and there was a break on the hourly timeframe. With the growth of buying volumes, a rebound to the nearest volume resistance is possible. However, we’ll most likely not be able to do without strong sales, and we’re highly likely to see Bitcoin at $110,000.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
Sell Zones:
$117,600–$118,600 (accumulated volume)
$115,000–$116,300 (mirror volume zone)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events that we’re following this week:
• Tuesday, August 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for July;
• Tuesday, August 5, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (ISM) for July;
• Thursday, August 7, 11:00 (UTC) — announcement of the UK interest rate decision for August;
• August 7, Thursday, 11:30 (UTC) — publication of the Bank of England's letter on UK inflation;
• August 7, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Market - BTC - ETH Analysis
💎 Market - BTC - ETH Analysis💎
🟠 Current Market Status: ⚠️ / Low Risk-Reward ❗️ / Avoid Overtrading 🚫
🔷 BTC/USDT (Multi-Timeframe Analysis)
• Weekly (HWC): Last week’s red candle tapped into a buyer zone. A balance or sideways movement is likely this week.
• Daily (MWC): Minor retracement in a downtrend. No clear bullish reversal yet.
• 4H (LWC): Still in a downtrend. For a bullish reversal, we need a Higher Low (HL) followed by a break of the previous High.
• 1H: Breakout above level 116 would signal a short-term trend reversal. Breaking the upper channel confirms bullish continuation in the lower timeframe.
✅ Strategy Outlook:
• HWC: Bullish
• MWC: Bullish
• LWC: Bearish
→ We're not shorting based on LWC unless it turns bullish or MWC flips bearish.
🕒 Conclusion: Stay on the sidelines until the structure shifts clearly.
🔶 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
• Currently rejected in the 4H chart, but not yet a confirmed bearish structure.
🧭 Two setups to watch before rotating into altcoins:
1. Clear lower highs and lower lows in 1H and 4H
2. Box formation and breakdown in lower timeframes
🚨 Key Level: A break below 60.40 may trigger sharp altcoin rallies.
🌐 TOTAL / TOTAL2 / TOTAL3
• All three charts share a similar structure.
• 1H TOTAL: Break of 4.72 confirms a V-pattern and may trigger upside momentum.
• TOTAL2: Watch 1.42 as a critical level.
→ Until then: No action – Wait for breakout confirmation.
💵 USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
• Ideally should not retrace beyond 4.64 – if it forms a top here, that’s a bullish sign for the market.
• Level 4.44 is less relevant for now.
• Failure to reclaim 4.53 increases the importance of 4.64.
• If it starts dropping, enter before a breakdown of 4.13 to stay ahead of bearish pressure.
🟠 ETH/BTC
• Consolidating in a 4H box.
• Break of 0.03278 is a trigger for long ETH exposure — ideally hold post-breakout.
• Wait for SMA7 on the Daily to turn upward for stronger confirmation.
• Break of 0.03288 on ETH/BTC likely aligns with $3850–$4000 breakout on ETH/USDT.
→ Position should be taken before this breakout to catch the move early.
📌 Final Note:
We are in a low momentum, low R/R environment.
Only trade confirmed breakouts and structural shifts.
Avoid overtrading, keep risk exposure limited, and rely on higher-timeframe confluences for clearer direction.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. I think we need to extend the pink wave Y as wxy in purple counting => W, and then XY as orange counting. This all happened after getting the green D with not preferred closing as I mentioned yesterday.
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, bros
BUY BTC 4.8.2025Confluence order: BUY at H1~M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The current top is not touching anything, expected to rise to the H1 above.
- M15~FIBO 0,5-0,618 (same position)
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the last bottom (114,119)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 113,707
- SL at 113,311
- TP1: 114,119 (~1R)
- TP2: 114,906 (~3R)
- TP3: 115,963 (~5R)
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)