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USDTBTC trade ideas

its btc short according to mirrior concept A Bitcoin short position based on Fibonacci levels and market sentiment is a trading strategy to profit from a price drop. It involves: 1. **Technical Analysis:** Using Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 61.8%) to identify a potential price reversal point after a bounce. 2. **Sentiment Analysis:** Confirming the reversal signal by checking for "extreme greed" in the market, which suggests overbought conditions and an impending correction. A trader enters a short trade when both signals align, expecting the price to fall from that key resistance level.
Short
by Money_Trix
1
Smart Money Watching This Line — Are You?Bitcoin is holding strong above a key trendline that has acted as dynamic support since March. Every time price touched this line, buyers stepped in, and once again, it’s doing its job. What was once resistance has now flipped into solid support. The recent pullback seems healthy, and the price is trying to bounce from the trendline area again. As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC respects this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact. If it holds, we could see another leg up from here. DYOR, NFA Thanks for reading!
Long
by unichartz
BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure & Path Projection: BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level. Two bullish paths are suggested: One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725). The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher. 2. Key Zones: Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation. Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken. Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base. 3. EMA 200 (Blue): EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario. 4. RSI (14): RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200) Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone Targets: TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone) TP2: 130,312.02 (main target) Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
BTC -MACD Triggered the Breakout Early, MACD MasteryYou didn’t need 20 indicators. Just one system that actually worked. The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy flipped long on BTC just before the latest 4H breakout — catching an 11.39% move with perfect histogram and EMA alignment. 🔍 Here’s what happened: – Histogram flipped positive on July 23 – EMA filter cleared — clean long trigger – Histogram rose into a momentum peak – Strategy closed just before consolidation This is exactly what the Liquidity Tracker was built for: ✅ Spot clean trend shifts ✅ Confirm strength via momentum ✅ Filter out noise using EMAs ⚙️ Settings Used: – MACD: 25 Fast / 60 Slow / 220 Signal – EMA Filter: 50 / 9 / 3 – Entry Mode: Histogram + Crossover Combo
by Quant_Trading_Pro
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. We finished the pink Y wave as wxy in purple counting. Now we are moving into creating a confirmation for starting the Big Yellow C wave. >> our confirmations: * 4Hr TF: I need to close above the 113420 level. * 1D TF: I will prefer to close below 113297 and above its opening 112550, and the next double days break today's high. Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
Btc just hit the 1.618 golden fib no analysis keep posted Keep posted if interested, i just cant show it right now i want to have million of confirmation that it is accurate but i plotted it just right it really just hit it in red cherry just like in game of darts keep posted how i unfold it in coming months/years, it is still the same asset we know the only thing thats different is btc just trying hard to mimic the past moves but its clear as day that its shorthanded in terms of market capitalization. 🥏🐝✅✅..
by mr_heuss
2
Chart Breakdown – Smart Money Concept in ActionThis chart showcases a textbook example of a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC): BOS (Break of Structure) at the left confirms a shift in momentum. A strong engulfing candle pierces into a supply zone, setting the stage for a potential reversal. Price forms an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and returns to fill the imbalance, offering a high-probability entry within the Bearish Order Block (OB). A clear CHoCH (Change of Character) signals a bearish trend shift, validated by the second BOS. The trade targets Sell Side Liquidity, resting below the recent lows—just where smart money aims. 🎯 This setup combines precision, patience, and the power of understanding institutional moves.
Education
by tradersboat
DOW THEORYBack to the Roots: Learn the Theory, Improve Signal Charles Dow Before we explore Dow Theory, let’s take a moment to understand who Charles Dow was — and why his ideas still matter today. Charles Dow wasn’t a financial expert. He was a journalist with a sharp eye for market behavior. In the late 1800s, he began to write about how prices move, how trends form, and what they might mean. His goal was simple: to bring structure and logic to the chaotic world of stock prices. More importantly, he believed that markets move in trends , and that these trends reflect the collective psychology of all investors. This basic idea became the starting point of technical analysis . Dow created one of the first stock indexes, which helped investors see the bigger picture instead of focusing only on individual stocks. He also promoted transparency in financial data — long before it was required by law. In 1889, Dow co-founded The Wall Street Journal, a newspaper that became the voice of financial markets. Through its pages, he published his observations on price behavior, setting the foundation for what would later be known as Dow Theory . Dow Theory At the heart of Dow Theory lies a simple but powerful idea: The market discounts everything. This means that all known information — earnings reports, interest rates, economic events, political changes, and even future expectations — is already reflected in the price. Price is not random. It is the result of collective investor behavior based on all available knowledge. Charles Dow didn’t write this exact sentence, but his work clearly reflected this belief. He trusted that by analyzing price movements alone, one could understand the overall direction of the market — because price already includes all the important signals. Dow and later analysts outlined a set of guiding principles. These are now known as the Six Core Principles of Dow Theory , and they continue to serve as a foundation for modern technical analysis. The market discounts everything The market moves in three trends Major trends have three phases Averages must confirm each other Volume confirms the trend A trend stays in place until it clearly reverses 🔸🔸🔸 The Market Moves in Three Trends 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, market movements are not random. Prices move in three different dimensions and time frames: the primary trend , the secondary trend , and the minor (short-term) trend. These three types of movement often occur at the same time. It is very important for an investor to distinguish between them. The primary trend shows the general direction of the market and can last for months or even years. It’s the major upward or downward movement. The secondary trend refers to corrections or pullbacks that move in the opposite direction of the primary trend. The minor trend typically consists of daily or weekly fluctuations and is often considered market “noise.” These short-term movements can occur in the same or opposite direction of the primary trend and may last from a few hours to two or three weeks. Dow Theory emphasizes that understanding this three-layered structure can protect investors from many mistakes. The theory not only classifies trends but also offers valuable lessons about investor behavior. It especially highlights the importance of three key principles: Don’t go against the main trend Short-term moves can easily confuse traders. Trading against the primary trend often leads to losses. That is why it is crucial to identify the main trend and follow it. Diversify your exposure In Dow’s time, technology wasn’t as advanced as it is today, but he still followed multiple indexes (like industrials and transport) to reduce risk. The same principle applies today: investors shouldn’t rely on a single asset — diversification remains a critical part of managing risk. Define your holding period before entering a trade Each type of trend comes with a different time expectation. The holding period you choose will play a key role in shaping your trading strategy and aligning it with your financial goals. Instead of debating how long each type of trend should last, it’s more important to define your intended holding period before entering a position. Your answer to the question “Which holding period suits me?” reflects not only your trading style and lifestyle, but also determines which chart timeframes and indicator timeframes you should use. 🔸🔸🔸 Major Trends Have Three Phases 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, major (primary) trends consist of three phases. This structure reflects how investor psychology changes over time and how those emotions are reflected in price action. Regardless of whether the trend is bullish or bearish, each major trend includes these three stages: Accumulation Phase The first stage of a bull market often looks like a small bounce during a bear trend. Most people still feel negative about the market. They are afraid to buy again after losing money. Trading volume is low, and prices move in a narrow range. The market stops making new lows, but investors are still unsure. Many have left the market or are very careful now. The price action becomes slow and sideways. It feels boring. But during this quiet time, smart investors slowly start buying. This is how a new trend begins — silently and with doubt. However, there is no clear signal that a bull market has started. Buying now carries two big risks. First, the market may still go lower. Second, even if a bull trend is coming, no one knows when it will start. How long can you wait while the market does nothing? Holding positions in a flat market has costs — financial, emotional, and missed opportunities elsewhere. That’s why this phase is difficult for most traders to handle. Public Participation Phase The market begins to recover, and the broader investor base starts to notice positive changes. News improves, technical indicators give bullish signals. Prices rise, and trading volume increases. This is usually the strongest part of the trend. At this stage, more disciplined and research-driven investors — who follow the market closely — start buying in. They see confirmation in both price action and economic data. Their confidence supports the trend, and momentum grows. The market attracts more attention. Confidence replaces fear. Many investors who stayed out during the earlier phase now feel safer to enter. Joining the market during this phase is important. The trend is already underway, but there’s still room to grow. Risk is lower than in the early phase, and potential rewards are still high. For many investors, this is the best time to take a position. Excess Phase The market enters a phase of excessive optimism. Prices have been rising for a long time, attracting more and more participants. However, during this stage, institutional investors and professional traders who entered earlier begin to gradually take profits. Although prices remain high, momentum weakens, and the rate of increase slows down. Looking at the volume profile, prices may reach new highs but often without volume support. Technical indicators frequently show bearish divergences. These conditions generate early technical signals that the primary trend may be coming to an end. 🔸🔸🔸 Averages must Confirm Each Other 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, a market trend is considered valid only when different indexes move in the same direction. The term “average” here refers to an index or the general direction of a price series. This principle is used to assess whether a price movement is supported by broad market participation. A single index reaching a new high or low is not enough. For a real and sustainable trend to be confirmed, related indexes are expected to show similar movement and generate signals in the same direction. If this confirmation is missing, the current move may be considered weak or temporary. How to Analyze It: Identify related indexes Choose multiple indexes that represent the same market, sector, or economic domain. Compare trend direction Review the price structures of the selected indexes. Are they all showing similar patterns? Did the new highs or lows form around the same time? Look for confirmation If multiple indexes form new structures in the same direction (e.g., all make new highs in an uptrend), this increases the validity of the trend.If only one index is moving while others are not participating, confirmation is lacking. Be cautious without confirmation When confirmation is missing, trading strategies should be more conservative, or additional signals should be awaited before taking action. 🔸🔸🔸 Volume Confirms the Trend 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, the validity of a market trend depends not only on price movement but also on trading volume. For a trend to be considered strong and sustainable, price action should be supported by volume. Why Is Volume Important? In a rising market, increasing volume is expected. This indicates growing investor interest and broader participation in the trend. In a falling market, if the decline happens with high volume, it suggests serious selling pressure and strengthens the trend. Declining volume may signal a loss of momentum and suggest that the current trend is weakening or nearing its end. How to Analyze It: Observe the relationship between price and volume: Price rising + volume increasing → Strong trend Price rising + volume decreasing → Lack of confirmation; caution is advised Check volume during breakouts: If resistance or highs are broken with strong volume → Reliable signal If breakouts happen on low volume → May indicate a false move (fakeout) 🔸🔸🔸 A Trend Persists Until a Clear Reversal Occurs 🔸🔸🔸 This core principle of Dow Theory is at the heart of all trend-following strategies. It states that once a price begins moving in a certain direction, the trend is assumed to continue — until there is clear and technically confirmed evidence that it has ended. Why Is This Principle Important? Follow, don’t predict Instead of guessing what the market will do next, traders stay with the current direction. Reduces emotional decisions Trades are based on technical signals, not assumptions like “the price is too high, it must fall.” A weak trend is not the same as a reversal Not every pullback means the trend is over. You need clear confirmation before assuming a reversal — such as a breakdown, volume shift, momentum loss, or structural change. How to Apply It First, identify the trend direction clearly, and trade in that direction. Pullbacks are seen as normal movements within the trend — not as reversals. Even when signs of a reversal appear, wait for confirmation before acting. Confirmation signals may include: Failure to form new highs or lows A break of previous support or resistance Sudden drop in volume or volume rising in the opposite direction Weakness or divergence in momentum indicators Strategic Benefit This principle is especially useful in trend-following strategies. It helps avoid premature exits and allows traders to stay in profitable trends longer. By focusing on technical confirmation instead of speculation or panic, it encourages disciplined and systematic decision-making.
Education
by ARrowofTime
15
BTC New Upodate (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We previously stated that Bitcoin lacks the strength to move upward, and we expect the price to soon reach the green zone (114K-112K). The price is now dropping toward this zone, which is the rebuy area. The process of reaching the green zone has been and still is somewhat time-consuming, and during this time, it may repeatedly mislead beginners. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
3
BTC TRADE PLAN 11/07/2025 - Diamond PatternDear traders, Technical Analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/USDT) – July 11, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 4H Price has broken above the major resistance at $110,000 and is now trading around $118,000, forming a Diamond Top pattern — a classic reversal formation that may signal an upcoming downtrend or correction. 🔻 Key Highlights: Major Resistance: $118,000 – current top and potential reversal point. Key Support: $110,000 – if broken, next targets may lie around $95,000–$100,000. Diamond Pattern: Typically a bearish reversal signal after a strong uptrend. RSI Indicator: Currently in overbought territory (above 85), suggesting buyer exhaustion. 📉 Possible Scenario: Price may reverse from $118,000 -120,000 and test the $110,000 support. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction in the coming weeks. Regards, Alireza!
Short
by alirezak
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis Market Overview Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,788, with an intraday high of $119,311. The market has recently tested a major resistance zone and is showing signs of a potential pullback toward a key demand zone before a possible continuation to higher levels. Projected Scenario (Bullish Bias) Expected pullback to the support zone around $105K – $108K. If price holds and shows a bullish reversal, a breakout above $124K is expected. Primary upside target: $142,807 (Fibonacci projection / potential new high).
Short
by Aziztvt
1
BTC Analysis (2H)Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, suggesting indecision in the market. However, a breakout is imminent — and when it comes, it will likely be sharp. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $120K would likely lead to a new All-Time High near $124K. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $116,400 opens the door for a quick drop toward the $112K–$110K zone, which should be considered a buy opportunity. ⚠️ Pro Tip: There’s a volume imbalance just below the $116.4K level. If price breaks below it, the move down may be faster and more aggressive than expected — so plan accordingly. Regardless of short-term volatility, the macro trend remains bullish, and Bitcoin will rise again. Thanks for reading.
by vs_sayin
BTC Trade Plan 03/08/2025 - where to buy BTC?Dear Trader, Bitcoin's price is currently moving within a double channel, with the midline of the channel around 108,000. The first scenario is that the price reaches the midline of the channel and then starts an upward movement. The second scenario involves a sharp downward move towards a stop hunt target around 97,000-100,000. In both cases, as long as the price remains above the 100822 level(Daily Close), the bullish trend will continue. Regards, Alireza!
Long
by alirezak
Bitcoin can continue to decline and break support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following an earlier upward trend, bitcoin entered a prolonged phase of consolidation, forming a large upward pennant where price action was tightly contested between the seller zone near 117000 and an ascending support line. This period of balance, however, has recently resolved to the downside with a significant change in market structure. A decisive breakdown has occurred, with the price breaking below the pennant's long-standing support line, signaling that sellers have ultimately gained control. Currently, after the initial drop, the asset is undergoing a minor upward correction, which appears to be a classic retest of the broken structure from below. The primary working hypothesis is a brief scenario that anticipates this corrective rally will fail upon encountering resistance from the broken trendline. A confirmed rejection from this area would validate the bearish breakdown and likely initiate the next major impulsive leg downwards. The first objective for this move is the buyer zone around the 112000 support level, but given the significance of the pattern breakdown, a continuation of the fall is expected. Therefore, the ultimate target price for this scenario is placed at the 109,000 level, representing a logical measured move target following the resolution of the large consolidation pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
8