USDTBTC trade ideas
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...?
Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over.
My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices.
For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels:
110,880
109,770
Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens.
Be sure to open the analysis link and boost the analysis with your likes.
How to Capture Reversals/Breakouts with MAD IndicatorBTC/USDT 15M – Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Captures Reversals & Breakouts
⸻
Description:
On this BTC/USDT 15-minute chart, the Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) is actively highlighting high-probability market turning points and anomaly zones.
Key Observations from the Chart:
1. Green & Red Zones = Expected Price Range
• Green Line (Upper Band): Expected top of the range.
• Red Line (Lower Band): Expected bottom of the range.
• Price usually travels green → red → green, forming a natural oscillation.
2. Buy/Sell Signals = Breakout + Reversal Detection
• Buy Signal: Triggered when price closes above the green line or recovers from below the red line.
• Sell Signal: Triggered when price closes below the red line or rejects from the green line.
• This reverse psychology logic helps catch false breakouts and stop-loss hunts.
3. Performance on This Chart:
• Signals aligned with key reversals during the sideways-to-downtrend transition.
• The strong downtrend in the second half of the chart shows multiple accurate sell signals, confirming trend continuation.
• Sideways movements had minimal false signals due to cooldown + volume filter.
4. Unique Advantage (USP):
• Statistical approach using Z-Score & Standard Deviation.
• Multi-filter confirmation with RSI, volume, and higher timeframe trend.
• Visually clear anomaly zones:
• Green background = Bullish anomaly
• Red background = Bearish anomaly
• Gray background = Neutral range
Takeaway:
MAD helps traders anticipate anomalies rather than react late, offering high-probability trade entries and reversals in trending and volatile conditions.
BITCOIN: THE PERFECT STORM - MULTIPLE BREAKOUT PATTERNS ALIGNED⚠️ CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS
🛡️ Support 1: $115,000 (-3%) - Triangle support
🛡️ Support 2: $110,000 (-7%) - Channel support
🔴 DANGER ZONE: $105,000 (-11%) - Multiple pattern failure
So...
Strategy: Quick profits on pattern completion 🎨
Entry: $115k (Triangle breakout confirmation) 📊
Stop Loss: $114k below (Tight risk management) ❌
Target: $125k (+10%) ✅
Time Horizon: 2-3 weeks 📅
Risk/Reward: 1:6 🎯
________________ NOTE _____________
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Bitcoin is highly volatile and risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose completely. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately 🚨
BTCUSDT 1D – Retesting Key Support, Will Bulls Hold the Line?Bitcoin is retesting a crucial structural support level around $112K after its recent local top near $120K. This zone previously acted as resistance and is now being tested as support — a textbook bullish continuation signal if it holds.
Historically, these flips (from resistance to support) have triggered strong upside momentum, as seen after the $78K breakout earlier this cycle. However, failure to hold this level could open the door for a deeper correction toward $100K or even the $90K region.
This chart outlines the major structural zones:
Long-term accumulation base near $70–78K
Resistance flip zone at $110–112K
Local resistance near $120K
📌 If bulls defend this zone and reclaim momentum, we could see another push toward cycle highs. If not, patience is key — the next high-conviction entry may come lower.
How are you positioning around this zone? Let me know in the comments 👇
BTC/USDT Bearish Continuation SetupChart Identification:
Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H
Pair: BTC/USDT
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud
Pattern: Price broke down from cloud resistance and is retesting previous support
Setup: Bearish continuation with consolidation before next leg down
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✅ Trade Setup (Sell):
🔹 Entry Point:
Sell Entry: Below 113,500.84
This level marks the neckline of a small consolidation zone.
Wait for clean candle close below this level.
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🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit):
1. TP1: 110,955.16
Previous minor support
2. TP2: 108,091.84
Key support/demand area
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🧠 Optional Confirmation:
You can wait for:
Bearish candlestick pattern at 112.1K zone
Rejection of retest near 113.7K–114.3K (top of cloud)
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📌 Summary:
> BTC/USDT Short Setup
🟢 Entry: Below 113,500.84
🎯 Target 1: 110,955.16
🎯 Target 2: 108,091.84
Bearish bias as price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and shows signs of continuation.
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT.
Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite.
The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves.
Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation.
In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up.
Let’s dive in!
Table of Contents
➺ Volume Profile
➺ TPO
➺ Key Technical Insights
➺ Market Structure
➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch
➺ TLDR
⦿ Volume Profile
Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance.
The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is:
Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground?
Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce.
In simple terms:
– Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels
– A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas
The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands.
⦿ TPO
Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes.
The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top.
Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation.
Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in.
⦿ Key Technical Insights
▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance
Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels.
▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control
Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly.
▸ No Value Built Below Yet
The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base.
▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support
Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf.
▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud
Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins.
⦿ Market Structure
The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown.
This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built.
All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance.
We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase.
⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch
As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions:
Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance
▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K.
▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal.
▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume.
Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity
▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone.
▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction.
▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength.
Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower
▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low).
▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built.
▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift.
I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint.
⦿ TLDR
▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion.
▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand.
▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower.
▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+.
▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K.
What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act.
If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰
What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉
⚠️ Disclaimer
As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #142👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's get into the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its correction and we need to see what is going to happen in the market today.
📅 Daily Timeframe
First, let’s take a look at the higher timeframe. On the daily chart, that curved upward trendline we had was broken by yesterday's candle, and the breakout candle had high volume.
✔️ For now, I don’t consider this trendline as broken and I’m waiting to get confirmation of the break.
🔍 Currently, the price is in a correction phase, and this correction is quite natural since the price had very low volatility for a long time and was stuck below the 120000 zone.
💥 But no trend reversal has occurred yet. In my opinion, as long as the price is above the 110000 zone, the trend is bullish, and I will consider the trend reversal confirmed only if a lower high and a lower low below 110000 are formed.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the corrective movement of the price continued, and after a pause at the 0.5 Fibonacci level, another bearish leg formed down to the 0.618 zone.
🔔 The RSI oscillator also entered the oversold area and then exited it again. I believe there’s a high possibility that until the end of the week, Bitcoin will range in these areas and the probability of a bullish or bearish move is much lower.
🔽 However, if the 0.618 Fibonacci level breaks, the price can move to lower areas like the 111000 zone. I think the likelihood of this happening in the future is high because that zone is a strong PRZ, and at the same time, it counts as a pullback to the 110000 zone.
📈 In the bullish scenario, if the price is supported from this area and starts to move upward, since we currently have no highs below the 116000 zone, we need to wait until the first bullish leg is formed and then enter on the second leg after the new high is broken.
⚡️ For now, I’m not opening any short or long positions. I prefer the price to form more structure so I can make a more comfortable decision.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Mastering bullish candlestick patterns - How to use it!In this guide, we will explore some of the most important bullish candlestick patterns used in technical analysis. These patterns are essential tools for traders and investors who want to better understand market sentiment and identify potential reversal points where prices may start moving upward.
What will be explained:
- What are bullish candlestick patterns?
- What is the hammer?
- What is the inverted hammer?
- What is the dragonfly doji?
- What is the bullish engulfing?
- What is the morning star?
- What is the three white soldiers?
- How to use bullish candlestick patterns in trading?
What are bullish candlestick patterns?
Bullish candlestick patterns are specific formations on a candlestick chart that signal a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. These patterns are used by traders and investors to identify moments when the market sentiment may be shifting from bearish to bullish. Recognizing these patterns can help traders time their entries and make more informed decisions based on price action and market psychology. While no single pattern guarantees success, they can provide valuable clues when combined with other forms of analysis such as support and resistance, trendlines, and volume.
What is the Hammer?
The Hammer is a single-candle bullish reversal pattern that typically appears at the bottom of a downtrend. It has a small real body located at the upper end of the trading range, with a long lower shadow and little to no upper shadow. The long lower wick indicates that sellers drove the price lower during the session, but buyers stepped in strongly and pushed the price back up near the opening level by the close. This shift in momentum suggests that the downtrend could be coming to an end, and a bullish move might follow.
What is the Inverted Hammer?
The Inverted Hammer is another single-candle bullish pattern that also appears after a downtrend. It has a small body near the lower end of the candle, a long upper shadow, and little to no lower shadow. This pattern shows that buyers attempted to push the price higher, but sellers managed to bring it back down before the close. Despite the failure to hold higher levels, the buying pressure indicates a possible reversal in momentum. Traders usually look for confirmation in the next candle, such as a strong bullish candle, before acting on the signal.
What is the Dragonfly Doji?
The Dragonfly Doji is a special type of candlestick that often indicates a potential bullish reversal when it appears at the bottom of a downtrend. It forms when the open, high, and close prices are all roughly the same, and there is a long lower shadow. This pattern shows that sellers dominated early in the session, pushing prices significantly lower, but buyers regained control and drove the price back up by the end of the session. The strong recovery within a single period suggests that the selling pressure may be exhausted and a bullish reversal could be imminent.
What is the Bullish Engulfing?
The Bullish Engulfing pattern consists of two candles and is a strong indication of a reversal. The first candle is bearish, and the second is a larger bullish candle that completely engulfs the body of the first one. This pattern appears after a downtrend and reflects a shift in control from sellers to buyers. The bullish candle’s large body shows strong buying interest that overpowers the previous session’s selling. A Bullish Engulfing pattern is even more significant if it occurs near a key support level, and it often signals the beginning of a potential upward move.
What is the Morning Star?
The Morning Star is a three-candle bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend. The first candle is a long bearish one, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish, bearish, or a doji), indicating indecision in the market. The third candle is a strong bullish candle that closes well into the body of the first candle. This formation shows a transition from selling pressure to buying interest. The Morning Star is a reliable signal of a shift in momentum, especially when confirmed by high volume or a breakout from a resistance level.
What is the Three White Soldiers?
The Three White Soldiers pattern is a powerful bullish reversal signal made up of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles. Each candle opens within the previous candle’s real body and closes near or at its high, showing consistent buying pressure. This pattern often appears after a prolonged downtrend or a period of consolidation and reflects strong and sustained buying interest. The Three White Soldiers suggest that buyers are firmly in control, and the market may continue moving upward in the near term.
How to use bullish candlestick patterns in trading?
To effectively use bullish candlestick patterns in trading, it’s important not to rely on them in isolation. While these patterns can signal potential reversals, they work best when combined with other technical tools such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, trendlines, and volume analysis. Traders should also wait for confirmation after the pattern forms, such as a strong follow-through candle or a break above a resistance level, before entering a trade. Risk management is crucial—always use stop-loss orders to protect against false signals, and consider the broader market trend to increase the probability of success. By integrating candlestick analysis into a comprehensive trading strategy, traders can improve their timing and increase their chances of making profitable decisions.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BITCOIN - Price can turn around and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price reversed its prior downtrend with a decisive breakout from a falling channel.
This breakout triggered a strong upward impulse, which then began to consolidate into a large symmetrical pennant.
However, the price recently failed to hold the lower support trendline of this pennant and broke to the downside.
The asset is currently trading just below this broken trendline, in what appears to be a liquidity grab.
To continue upwards, buyers must now overcome the immediate resistance located at the $116300 level.
I expect that this breakdown was a fakeout, and the price will soon reverse, break through the $116300 resistance, and continue its rally toward the $121000 target.
$BTC /USDT – Breakdown from Channel, Bears Gaining ControlBitcoin has broken down from its descending channel on the 4H chart after repeated rejection from the upper trendline. Price is now hovering near key support at $111,785.
Key Technicals:
Rejection from the descending trendline resistance
Breakdown of the mini-channel structure
Current price: $113,637
Support levels:
$111,785 (Immediate)
$106,057
$101,409
$98,398
Bearish continuation is likely if $111,785 breaks with volume
If the $111.7k zone fails to hold, BTC could see further downside toward $106k and even $98k in the coming sessions.
Invalidation: Bullish only on reclaim of $117K+ with strength.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025
Unfortunately, Bitcoin has closed below its current channel and now appears to be retesting that level. If this retest confirms, I expect a pullback down to the $110,000 zone. However, if Bitcoin manages to re-enter the channel, its first target will be $118,800. Although it’s a descending channel, moving within it suggests a relatively stable market. Closing below it may not end well and could deepen the retracement. That's why I recommend caution with all coins right now.
Even though it seems like a distant possibility at the moment, don’t forget there’s also an imbalance zone around the $103,500 level. A sharp wick or a significant drop could bring Bitcoin back to revisit that area. The probability is currently low, but it can’t be ruled out completely. I don’t recommend rushing into any long or short positions at this stage.
Deep Dive Into Bollinger Bands 🗓This article explores the Bollinger Bands indicator—a powerful volatility tool used by traders worldwide. You'll learn how it works, how to calculate it, and how to use it to detect potential breakouts, trend reversals, and overbought or oversold conditions in the market.
📚 Introduction to Bollinger Bands
In the fast-paced world of trading, understanding market volatility is key to making informed decisions. Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, offer a visual and statistical method to measure this volatility. Unlike simple moving averages, which only tell you the trend, Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on recent price action, helping traders spot overbought, oversold, or consolidation phases.
These bands dynamically adjust to market conditions, making them one of the most popular indicators for trend-following, mean-reversion, and breakout strategies. Whether you’re trading crypto, stocks, or forex, Bollinger Bands can help you identify high-probability setups by combining trend direction with volatility.
📚 How Bollinger Bands Are Calculated
Bollinger Bands consist of three lines:
Middle Band – This is a simple moving average (SMA) of the price, typically over 20 periods.
Upper Band – The middle band plus two standard deviations.
Lower Band – The middle band minus two standard deviations.
Middle Band = SMA(n)
Upper Band = SMA(n) + (k × σₙ)
Lower Band = SMA(n) - (k × σₙ)
Where σₙ is the standard deviation of the price for n periods and k is the multiplier, typically set to 2, which captures ~95% of price action under normal distribution. The middle band shows the average price over the last 20 candles. The upper and lower bands adjust based on how volatile the price has been — expanding in high volatility and contracting in low volatility.
🤖 For those traders who want to implement Bollinger Bands into algorithmic strategy we provide formula it's calculation in Pine Script:
basis = ta.sma(src, length) // Middle Band (SMA)
dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) // Standard Deviation × Multiplier
upper = basis + dev // Upper Band
lower = basis - dev // Lower Band
📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies
⚡️Bollinger Band Squeeze (Volatility Contraction and Expansion)
The idea is pretty simple, а squeeze indicates low volatility and often precedes a breakout. The squeeze is the situation when the Upper Band and Lower Band contract, and BB width is at a local minimum. In this case you shall be prepared for the high volatility after the period of low volatility. This strategy doesn’t predict direction — it prepares you for volatility.
Long setup:
Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it.
Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways.
Open long trade when candle shows a breakout and closes above the Upper Band.
Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band.
Short setup:
Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it.
Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways.
Open short trade when candle shows a breakdown and closes below the Lower Band.
Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band
📈Long Trading Strategy Example
1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame.
2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods.
3. Open long trade when candle closes above the Upper Band.
4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame.
2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods.
3. Open short trade when candle closes below the Lower Band.
4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band.
⚡️Mean Reversion (Rebound from the Bands)
This is the most common approach to use Bollinger Bands. The idea is also very simple, we just want to open long if price touches Lower Band and short if price reaches Upper Band. Price tends to revert to the mean (Middle Band), especially in range-bound markets. It's very important to trade in the direction of the major trend to reduce the probability of the large move against you.
Long setup:
Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it.
Open long trade when price touches the Lower Band.
Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage below entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit.
If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven.
Close trade when price reached the Upper Band.
Short setup:
Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it.
Open short trade when price touches the Upper Band.
Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage above entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit.
If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven.
Close trade when price reached the Lower Band.
🧪 Important: the most common approach to close trades is the Middle Band touch, this is classic mean reversion. We experimented multiple times with different approached and revealed that usually it's better to take profit at the Upper/Lower band for long/short trades and use Middle Band only for setting stop-loss at breakeven. This approach provides better risk to reward ratio.
📈Long Trading Strategy Example
1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame.
2. Open long trade the Lower Band.
3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% below the entry price.
4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven.
5. Close long trade at the Upper Band.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame.
2. Open short trade the Upper Band.
3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% above the entry price.
4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven.
5. Close short trade at the Lower Band.
🧪 Important tip: notice that initial stop-loss is needed only to avoid disaster in case of price moves strongly against you. This percentage shall give enough space to avoid its reaching too often. Mean reversion strategy provides fast trades with the small average gain, so you shall maintain the high win rate (perfectly above 70%). You have to choose stop-loss based on particular asset volatility.
⚡️Combined Approach: Mean Reversion + Trend Following
Skyrexio made multiple researches about Bollinger Bands strategies and we found that we can receive better gains in combination of different approaches. Mean reversion gives you great entry with discount but you don't need to exit that early. Use the trading stop and allow to gain profit while market is moving in your direction.
This approach you can find in our advanced strategy Bollinger Bands Enhanced Strategy which we shared in 2024. Click on the link to read about it and understand how you can combine best features of this popular indicator.
📚 Conclusion
Bollinger Bands are more than just a volatility indicator — they provide a flexible framework for understanding price dynamics and market conditions. By visualizing the relationship between price and standard deviation around a moving average, traders can gain valuable insights into whether an asset is consolidating, trending, or preparing for a breakout.
The real strength of Bollinger Bands lies in their versatility. They can adapt to different trading styles — whether you’re a short-term scalper, a swing trader, or a long-term position holder. From identifying squeeze setups to riding strong trends or capturing mean reversion moves, BBs offer a strategic edge when used correctly.
However, Bollinger Bands should never be used in isolation. Like any technical tool, they work best when combined with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, volume analysis, and price action signals. Context is key: a signal that works well in a ranging market may fail during high momentum trends.
Ultimately, Bollinger Bands help traders make more informed, disciplined decisions by clarifying where price stands relative to recent history. When paired with sound risk management and broader market awareness, they become a powerful ally in navigating market uncertainty.