WTI MONTLY OUTLOOK! PRICE MIGHT EXPLODE!!Crude futures rose on demand as we saw price climb $73 per barrel as the time of publishing this report. Looking at the price action from the monthly chart, we’re seeing a possible bullish price action to continue after price found a new low around the $56 level.
Technically, we’re also seeing a morning star candlestick pattern which indicates a bullish reversal.
USOIL trade ideas
USOIL CRACK!Usually, these types of events are great selling opportunities as they are short-lived. However, this time may be different.
I would expect a pullback then if it lasts and escalates a breakout. For now, just observe, have patience, and look for the 2nd crack!
If it cracks a 2nd time, it is definitely not good for US inflation.
Crude Oil Weekly Chart Watch
The weekly crude oil line is still running within the channel. This is very interesting.
Last week, due to geopolitical conflicts, crude oil rose rapidly to the upper edge of the weekly channel.
It closed with a long upper shadow weekly K line.
This point is not suitable for chasing more. Observe more.
Wait and see
My personal opinion:Still leaning towards bullish
If it were you, what would you choose?
Welcome to discuss
OIL VS GOLD : COMMODITIESHELLO THERE.
Fine ? Me no, i'm tired.
OIL VS GOLD
We have a historical canal and OIL is very out if this. Do you believe it's for IRAN ? No, it's not, OIL just take an excuse for up.
Gold will fall ? No but oil will up because all currencies are destroy. So oil have to go up.
Imagine the consequences for the inflation now, when OIL WILL reach the white line of stabilisation : x3 versus GOLD.
Low indicator show a reversal.
Buy some OIL COMPANIES.
GL
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows.
Key Effects on Oil Prices:
Price Surge:
Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday
Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022.
Risk Premium and Supply Concerns:
The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil.
Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably.
Potential for Further Price Increases:
Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations.
Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes.
Broader Market Impact:
The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens.
Summary
The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide
#USOIL #OIL
"Go long on crude oil with strong unilateral pullback"The market is weighing the impact of global trade tensions on the global crude oil demand outlook. After two days of intense consultations in London, the Asian giant and the U.S. have reached a framework agreement on restarting trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said after the negotiations that the framework still needs review and approval from President Trump. Crude oil continued to rise after a pullback correction, showing a single bearish candlestick retracement pattern on the daily chart. With price supported at the MA5 level, it continues to make new highs, and this rally could target the 67.0 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@64.0-64.5
TP:66.5-67.0
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil looks overbought after a test of key daily horizontal resistance level.
A violation of a minor horizontal support on an hourly time frame after its test
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a retracement to 66.33 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
WTI Technical Analysis – WTI (1H Chart)
Structure & Momentum:
WTI recently broke out of a short-term bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
However, momentum appears to be weakening, with divergence showing between price action and volume (or internal strength), hinting at a potential short-term pullback.
Liquidity & Reaccumulating:
There’s a visible liquidity pool resting below the recent swing lows, around the $62 level, which aligns with a bullish order block or prior consolidation zone on the 1H chart.
If price revisits this zone, it would likely be a liquidity grab followed by reaccumulating.
✅ Scenario Outlook:
"WTI might pull back to the $62 area to clear resting liquidity and mitigate previous demand imbalances. If the level holds with strong bullish intent, we can expect a continuation toward higher levels—targeting the $67–$70 range in the coming sessions."
Trade Setup Concept (SMC-style):
Wait for price to sweep the $62 level.
Look for a shift in market structure (CHOCH) on lower timeframes from bearish to bullish.
Entry: Post-CHOCH confirmation above local high.
SL: Below liquidity sweep.
TP1: $66.80
TP2: $69.90
🛢️ Geopolitical Context:
If Iran retaliates directly or if Strait of Hormuz tensions rise, crude could spike suddenly.
But U.S. SPR releases or weak global demand data might offset rallies—watch macro data.
Oil Surges on Israel-Iran Nuclear Strike Fears🛢️ Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites are pushing oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI , BLACKBULL:BRENT ) higher!
Bloomberg reports Trump’s G-7 exit and Tehran evacuation warning as Israel-Iran strikes intensify (June 17, 2025). Analysts warn of Strait of Hormuz risks, with 17M barrels/day at stake.
4H Chart Analysis:
Price Action: WTI ( BLACKBULL:WTI ) broke $75 resistance (June 2025 high), exiting a 3-week range. Brent ( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) mirrors at $78.
Volume: 4H volume spiked 15% vs. prior week, confirming breakout buying.
Key Levels:
Current Support: $75 (WTI), $78 (Brent) – former resistance, now support.
Next Support: $73 (WTI), $76 (Brent) – prior range lows, tested twice in June.
Context: Oil gained 2% this week, driven by Middle East supply fears, with WTI at a 1-month high.
Trading Insight: The $75/$78 breakouts signal bullish momentum. $73-$76 is a key support zone for dips. Watch Iran retaliation news and volume for supply disruption clues.
What’s your 4H oil trade? Post your setups! 👇 #OilPrice #WTI #Brent #IsraelIran #TradingView
The best opportunity is when crude oil falls
💡Message Strategy
Crude oil futures fell in the European session on Monday (June 16), giving up earlier gains, as a new round of hostilities between Israel and Iran had limited impact on oil production and exports.
WTI briefly rebounded to $77.49, close to last week's high, which was also our second profit target, but failed to break through the key resistance level near $78.09.
Oil prices surged 7% on Friday, driven by geopolitical risks, pushing crude to its highest level since January. However, Monday's reversal reflected the lack of immediate threats to supply routes, especially the strategically important Strait of Hormuz.
If Iran's production drops sharply due to the conflict, the global oil supply buffer will be quickly exhausted and oil prices may usher in a new round of surges. Faced with this complex situation, investors, oil-producing countries and consumers need to be prepared to meet the possible energy storm.
This is also the reason why we repeatedly emphasize that crude oil should be long when it falls. We can foresee its upward momentum, and the pullback is only in a moment without any signs.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward.
In the morning, the oil price hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillating upward rhythm.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:69.50-70.50
The first target is around 73.00
The second target is around 75.00
USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
Oil prices surge amid Middle East turmoil
💡Message Strategy
WTI prices climbed to a nearly two-month high, weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is upward around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly oscillating upward. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range.
From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 80 line.
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and hit a new high of 70. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. The K-line closed with a large real positive line in the early trading, showing an upward main trend.
The MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to break upward during the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.00-72.20,Target 75.50
WTI US OIL 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEAThe WTI Crude Oil (US Oil Spot) chart shows price action still trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by dynamic resistance and support dating back to mid-2022. Currently, price has bounced strongly off the $67–$58 demand zone, rallying toward the descending trendline around $76–$78, which also aligns with key historical supply levels. This area poses a significant challenge for bulls and may trigger short-term rejection. However, the recent impulsive bullish leg suggests renewed demand, possibly driven by geopolitical uncertainty and speculation of potential supply disruption.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, WTI recently swept liquidity below the $58.69 low and formed a bullish Change of Character (ChoCH) as price broke through short-term structure levels. This confirms that smart money may have accumulated long positions in the discount zone. The rally targeting the $76.77–$78.30 range appears to be part of a mitigation move toward a supply zone, and traders may anticipate either a reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts near that level.
Macro & Geopolitical Context:
This bullish momentum in crude oil comes amid elevated tension between Iran and Israel, which historically injects volatility into energy markets. Any escalation could threaten oil production or export routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of global oil supply flows. Such events can drive speculative and fundamental buying in oil, pushing prices higher in anticipation of reduced supply. However, oil traders must also remain aware of OPEC+ policy decisions and U.S. inventory data, which can quickly shift sentiment.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish until $76–$78 zone; watch for rejection or breakout.
Entry: Pullback entries between $70–$71 with bullish confirmation are ideal.
Stop Loss: Below $66 or invalidation at $64 (below structure support).
Take Profit: Conservative TP around $76.77; extended target at $78.30–$79.37.
Alternative View: Strong rejection at the descending trendline may result in a return to the $67 or even $58 support if risk-off sentiment declines or supply concerns ease.
In summary, oil is currently reacting to both technical and geopolitical catalysts. While the technical structure suggests a short- to medium-term bullish move toward the upper channel resistance, sustained upside will depend heavily on how the Iran–Israel conflict unfolds, and whether market participants anticipate further disruptions to global oil supply.
Crude Oil Challenges 2-Year ChannelAmid rising summer demand, an inverted head and shoulders breakout from oversold 2020 levels, and the recent outbreak of war between Israel and Iran, crude oil has tested the upper boundary of the declining channel originating from the 2022 highs. This test comes as supply risks for the coming month intensify.
This upper boundary aligns with the $77 resistance level. A confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level could shift momentum more decisively to the bullish side, potentially paving the way for a retest of the $80 and $83.50 levels.
On the downside, if oil fails to maintain its gains and resumes a pullback, key support zones are located around $69, $66, and $64, reestablishing bearish dominance within the channel.
— Razan Hilal, CMT
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 67.337.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 69.433 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL:A long trading strategy
Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation.
Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@70.5-70.8
TP: 71.8-72.3
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
SELL TRADE IDEA Entry Point: 68.30SELL TRADE IDEA
Entry Point: 68.30
🔻 Initiating a SELL position on USOIL
🔍 Bearish trend forming – short-term weakness spotted
🎯 Final Target: 64.50
📉 Room for downside movement
📊 Following resistance rejection and trend signals
🛑 Risk Management Comes First
📌 Always set a stop-loss before entering
💼 Risk only what you can afford to lose
🔒 Protect your capital – it’s your trading fuel
🧠 Emotionless trading wins over time
📈 Adjust lot size to match account risk plan
⚠️ Oil markets can move fast – stay alert
⏱ Timeframe: Intraday to short-term swing
🚫 Avoid revenge trading – trust your setup
🔁 Re-evaluate if structure changes
🔧 Use trailing stops once in profit
💬 Smart trades are protected trades
#USOIL #CrudeOil #SellSignal #Commodities #RiskManagement #OilTrade
Bulls on the Loose: US Oil Spot/WTI Heist Strategy! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: US OIL SPOT/WTI TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the US Oil Spot/WTI Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk Red ATR line Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🕵️♂️ Entry 📈
💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on!
Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 Target
🏴☠️💥 69.000 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target
🔥 Market Heist Overview
The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝
📰 Additional Tools & Analysis
📊 Get the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Targets—check our bi0 liinks 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management
📰 News can rattle the vault! 💥
✅ Avoid new trades during news releases.
✅ Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits.
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Let’s make money every day in this market with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
👀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan, thieves! 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
WW3 Scenario - Bull flag potentialWe bottomed at the gap fill at $57, a long term target I had been expecting. A bullish retest at the golden pocket followed, now all we need is a clean break above $80 to end the lower high downtrend. I don't want to comment on politics, but suffice to say the price of oil will tell us what's really going on. A supply shock has the potential to send oil to the $200 level. I don't know what the world will look like in that scenario, but I can assure you it will be a global catastrophe. Inflation will reignite, the interest rates will likely go up.
This is the single most important chart to be watching now. Forget Apple, forget Nvidia. Oil and the DXY is where the chart will reveal the news. Pay attention!