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AMD trade ideas

AMD Explodes +9%! Will Momentum Continue or Fade? Jun 17AMD Explodes +9%! Will Momentum Continue or Fade into the Gamma Ceiling? 🧠 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Breakdown: * Key Gamma Zones: * Gamma Wall / CALL Resistance: $125 – currently the pivot zone, also the NET GEX peak. * CALL Walls: * $128.12 → Local high, thin resistance. * $130 → 2nd CALL Wall. * $135 → Final ceiling (GEX9/10 cluster). * PUT Walls: * $114–$113 → Major PUT support and gamma flip danger zone. * Below $114 could trigger accelerated dealer hedging to the downside. * Options Metrics: * IVR: 12.3 (low vol, potential expansion) * IVx avg: 46.7 * Calls Flow: 47.2% — highly bullish options flow * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (strong bullish tilt) * Interpretation: * AMD is parked at the Gamma Resistance Wall (GEX max zone) — further upside requires volume + broad strength. * A rejection could push price back toward $120–123, which is also where gamma flips to neutral. 📉 15-Minute SMC Chart Breakdown: * Current Price: $125.09 * Structure: * Clean BOS (Break of Structure) from $116 → $128. * Now experiencing CHoCH (Change of Character) at the supply zone, signaling possible short-term pullback. * Price just tapped the supply zone and reversed; currently consolidating around the Gamma Wall. * Trendline + Demand Zones: * Strong ascending trendline holds above $120. * Multiple demand zones from $117.8 → $115 (where volume initiated the breakout). * Watch for retests of the gap zone (shaded FVGs) for bounce entries. 🧭 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break and hold above $128.12 * Target 1: $130 (2nd CALL Wall) * Target 2: $135 (GEX9 cluster) * Stop-loss: Below $124.50 (if fails to hold breakout) This would confirm dealer chasing and continuation of the breakout move. 🚨 Bearish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Clean break below $124.00 and failure to reclaim * Target 1: $120–$123 (gamma flip + support zone) * Target 2: $117.80 → Demand box * Stop-loss: Above $126.50 Ideal for short-term PUTs or premium fade. Watch for volume confirmation below supply. 🧠 My Thoughts: * Strong move today, but now sitting at the gamma apex — could magnetize or reject hard. * IV is still low (IVR 12), so options premiums may expand if volatility reenters. * Volume surged on breakout — likely institution-backed. But if price fails to reclaim $126–$128, profit-taking could kick in. * Stay nimble — this is not the ideal place to chase unless price cleanly reclaims highs. 📌 Conclusion: AMD has printed a textbook breakout and is now testing the Gamma Wall at $125. If bulls reclaim $128+, the move to $130+ is on the table. Otherwise, expect a pullback toward $120–$123 as dealer positioning cools off. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBearInsights
AMD Elliott Wave Analysis: 5 Wave Rally Supports Bullish BiasSince bottoming out on April 10, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has embarked on a robust rally, signaling a bullish trend. Technical analysis reveals a five-swing sequence from the April 10 low, favoring continued upward momentum. The initial ascent, wave (1), peaked at $97.91, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that found support at $83.75. The stock then surged in wave (3) to $122.52. A subsequent retracement in wave (4) concluded at $107.10, as depicted in the one-hour chart below. Currently, wave (5) is unfolding, structured as an impulse in a lesser degree, driving the stock higher. From the wave (4) low, the subdivision of wave (5) began with wave ((i)) reaching $117.05, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to $108.62. The rally resumed in wave ((iii)), peaking at $119.40, with wave ((iv)) retracing to $114.25. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $124.60, completing wave 1 of a higher degree. A corrective wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag, with wave ((a)) declining to $119.88. Wave ((b)) rebounded to $121.35, and wave ((c)) bottomed at $115.06. As long as AMD holds above $107.10, expect one more upward leg to complete wave 3. Then it should be followed by a wave 4 pullback and a final push in wave (5) to conclude the cycle from the April 10 low. This structured advance underscores AMD’s bullish outlook, with key support levels guiding its near-term trajectory.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
AMD's Long Awaited Reversal Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has maintained a well-defined long-term ascending channel since 2019, marked by cyclical touches at both the upper and lower bounds. The current setup signals a bullish reversal following a successful retest of the channel’s lower boundary AMD now shows a strong bullish reversal: ✅ Broke above a multi-year downtrend line with volume support 📈 Currently retesting resistance $128, a breakout zone historically met with selling 🎯 Channel target projection: $300, offering 140% upside from current price 🔄 Price action consistently respects this trend structure with rhythmically timed expansions every 18–24 months 🧾 Fundamental Tailwinds (2024–2025 Context) 🔥 1. AI Infrastructure & Data Center Dominance AMD’s MI300X AI GPU series has gained significant traction against Nvidia, with major cloud customers like Microsoft Azure and Meta adopting it for inference workloads. Revenue from AMD’s Data Center segment surged >80% YoY in Q1 2025, driven by hyperscaler demand and Genoa EPYC chips. Guidance for 2025–2026 includes double-digit YoY growth across AI and cloud sectors. 🧠 2. Product Roadmap Strength AMD maintains competitive momentum with Zen 5 CPU launches and RDNA 4 GPU architecture set to arrive late 2025. Management reaffirmed commitment to high-margin enterprise products and scalable AI inference. 📉 3. Valuation Reset + Earnings Reacceleration After correcting from $164 to under $100, AMD entered a consolidation phase, allowing for multiple compression reset. Now trading at ~35x forward P/E (down from 60x peak), with EPS expected to grow >25% YoY into FY2026. 💵 4. Balance Sheet & Buyback Support Over $5.7B in cash, near-zero debt, and an active $8B share buyback program reinforce shareholder value. Gross margin in Q1 2025 stood at ~51%, with continued improvements expected from data center mix shift.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by HernandezCapital
AMD at Decision Point — Will $125 Hold or Break into Gamma Gap?🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Call Walls / Resistance: * $128.89 = Gamma Wall (Highest positive NET GEX) * $130.69 = 2nd CALL Wall * $132–$135 = Heavy call congestion, unlikely unless breakout with macro tailwind * Put Support Walls: * $125 = Current Gamma Flip Level (critical) * $122 / $121 = PUT support zone (GEX cluster + structure) * $113 = 2nd PUT Wall (flush risk zone) * Options Flow Metrics: * IVR: 15.6 (modest) * IVx avg: 48.3 * Call Flow: 33.8% (bullish leaning) * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (moderately bullish, but fading under $126) * Interpretation: * AMD is trapped just below $128.89 Gamma Wall, failing to reclaim the high. * If $125 breaks, dealer gamma hedging could intensify toward $122–$121. 🧠 15-Minute Smart Money Price Action: * Current Price: $126.95 * Structure: * CHoCH confirmed after rally peaked at $130.69. * Supply rejection zone (pink box) held hard — price reversed and dropped into trendline test. * Currently compressing between $126.40 and $125.06, right above the CHoCH floor. * Volume: * Fading volume = consolidation after weakness * Watch for a volume spike at the $125 line to confirm breakout or bounce * Trendlines: * Still above ascending trendline, but momentum weakening. 🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Clean break and 15-min close below $125.06 * Target 1: $122.00 (PUT wall + support) * Target 2: $121 → possible gamma flush zone * Stop-loss: Above $127.20 (above minor CHoCH reclaim) Gamma + SMC breakdown at $125 = likely acceleration to $122. Volume confirmation critical. 🟩 Bullish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim and 15-min close above $127.50 * Target 1: $128.89 (Gamma wall) * Target 2: $130.69 (previous high + 2nd CALL Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $125.50 Only valid if macro supports or SPY/QQQ bounce. Otherwise, just a fade opportunity for premium sellers. 💭 My Thoughts: * AMD is hovering above a critical gamma/structure level at $125 — if it breaks, expect dealer flows to push it quickly toward $122. * Volatility is still relatively low → options are priced favorably for directional trades. * Watch SPY/QQQ correlation — if market remains weak, AMD likely leads tech breakdowns. * Patience pays here — don't front-run. Wait for candle close confirmation at $125 or reclaim of $127.50. ✅ Summary for June 18: * Bias: Neutral → Bearish * Key Breakdown Level: $125.06 * Bearish Targets: $122 → $121 * Bullish Reclaim: Above $127.50 = potential move to $130 * GEX Danger Zone: Below $125 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBearInsights
AMD – Breakout Watch (Daily Chart)NASDAQ:AMD surged +9.12% on June 16 with volume 1.8× above average, reclaiming the 200-day SMA for the first time in 7 months. This marks a clear character change, but not yet a setup. Price stalled into multi-quarter trendline resistance around 128–130. No pivot, no contraction — just strength into supply. Still needs to consolidate below trendline resistance for a valid trade. Key Levels: • Resistance: 130 / 145 • Support: 124.35 (breakout zone), 116.55 (MA stack) • Watch for: Tight coil, volume dry-up, pivot pattern formation Not chasing — watching for structure. Patience is a position. 📉 Weekly chart also reclaimed 30-week MA for the first time since Nov ’24. #AMD #technicalanalysis #breakoutwatch #tradingview
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by KT_Charts
AMD looking at a uptrend resumption NASDAQ:AMD has broken out of the downtrend line since March 2024 and with the bullish morning star closing above the 9-period conversion and 26-period base line, AMD is on track to the upside. Furthermore, the stock has seen strong confirmation of a v-shaped rebound. MACD and stochastic have confirmed the mid and long-term momentum returning. IChimoku showing strong three bullish golden cross and volume is strong. Target is at 158.00 and 215.00 over the longer-term period.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by William-trading
AMD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025 - AMD rose above the resistance level 136.16 - Likely to rise to resistance level 150.00 AMD recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 136.16 (former strong support from 2024) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3, which belongs to the multi-month upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of April. AMD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 150.00, former monthly high from November and the target for the completion of the active wave (3).
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by FxProGlobal
Amd - This starts the next +200% rally!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - is preparing a major rally: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) It has - once again - not been unexpected at all that we now see a major reversal rally on Amd. After the harsh drop of about -65%, Amd retested a significant confluence of support and already created bullish confirmation. It is quite likely that this now starts the next bullrun. Levels to watch: $100, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
23
AMD Approaching Key Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout?📌 Thesis: AMD is approaching a critical 1D supply zone ($122–$130) with bearish RSI divergence, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion. 🔍 Technical Overview: ✅ Structure: Bullish recovery confirmed with Break of Structure (BoS). 📈 Price Action: Higher highs into known supply zone. 📉 RSI: Forming lower highs, showing classic bearish divergence — a common warning signal near key resistance. 🧭 MACD: Still positive, but momentum is slowing. 📊 Volume: Healthy, but not confirming a breakout (yet). 📌 Base Case (Bias): Rejection from supply zone is likely, given weakening momentum. Watch for bearish reversal candles around $122–$130. If rejection confirms: 🎯 First target: EMA cluster ($116). 🛑 Invalidation: Clean breakout above $130 with volume. 🔁 Alternate Scenario: If AMD breaks and holds above $130, divergence is invalidated. Next upside target: $140–$150 (previous resistance zone). ✅ Trade Plan: 🔹 Short setup: Bearish rejection + divergence confirmation at supply zone. 🔹 Long setup: Breakout + retest of supply zone turned support. Conclusion: This is a technical inflection point for AMD. Price action in the coming sessions will likely define the short-term direction. Trade the setup, not the prediction.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by fredcast80