LULU trade ideas
Symmetrical TrianglePrice has bumped in to the old neckline from a prior H&S pattern.
T1 met. T2 is in smaller type then T3 is in even smaller type.
Earnings are 12-8 AMC. This one usually beats earnings but it will depend on how the market is feeling at earnings date.
This is a high end retailer and I love LULU, but nothing is cheap. They say the rich (which I am not) do not feel inflation and recessions like the middle and lower classes. I guess time will tell.
No recommendation.
I also see a bull flag a little while back.
$LULU - Head & ShouldersIdeally the neckline would slope upwards instead. Still a beautiful pattern ... in formation.
No breakout below the neckline yet.
This breakout could be exactly the trigger which the bears are looking for to trade this downtrending market.
For the bears still, watch out for the two ugly bullish candles that arose at the end of the year. Volume below average but the candle size is threatening anyhow.
Cheers,
Bye Bye Lulu (Just in the near term not forever)A break back below $295 spells trouble for my favorite pair of leggings.
Good risk/reward set up as we are consolidating below structure in a bearish way.
H&S topping pattern in the making after a long term (TCT) Thrust, Consolidation, Thrust has played out on the monthly.
Lulu has over-produced based upon last earnings call with inventory rising 85% and if we are nearing a recession then more downside is to come for this beloved brand.
In addition, Viori has emerged as possible competition for LULU by taking some market share, especially amongst middle to upper aged men. (I know this isn't the target market for Lulu but more and more women I know are giving it a try.)
On the weekly:
I've got an alert set up for a break below the solid turquoise line
LULU re-test and dip below $300 likely on the way very soon...USING HEIKIN-ASHI CANDLES on the DAILY CHART
- Heavy selloff after earnings on December 8, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bullish to bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from bullish to neutral.
- Broke below key trendline on December 14, 2022 with bearish signal courtesy of Lux Algo.
- Dipped and closed below Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line - a.k.a. the yellow line in the chart screenshot - with force on December 19, 2022 - changing short-term technical sentiment from bearish to very bearish, and long-term technical sentiment from neutral to bearish.
- Relative Strength Index close to convergence at 40% , which could act as additional resistance.
- Double Top rejection below the Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average Line , which provided a strong confirmation for short trade entry and stop loss (above TRAMA line at $321) .
Exit target for profit-taking:
- $300 (whole number general buyer reaction anticipated)
- $277.5 (current swing low)
LULU - Short OpportunityTechnical Analysis:
A bearish head and shoulder pattern has emerged and a short signal appeared. A break below 273.6 would be a clear confirmation of long term downtrend.
Fundamental Catalyst:
LULU inventories increased 85% in Q3 2022 compared to Q3 2021. With over 60% of their revenue coming from retail, LULU will continue to face immense competition from e-commerce sellers of athleisure wear that offer equally good quality apparels but at more affordable prices. The recession will likely hit the company hard. LULU has been underperforming in the retail sector index.
Will observe the price action for the next few days / weeks and update when there is an entry opportunity.
NASDAQ:LULU
$LULU - breaking down below $182 would be badLulu looks like it's still playing out H&S with the neck line at $282.
Breaking down below $282 neck line will be bad and could send the stock to $247 again.
The full measured move for the break down is $75 and it is quite hard to imagine the stock going down to that level.
I am neutral. 👀ing for opportunity to load.
——
Trade is done when it hit one of the target or stop loss is hit.
Disclaimer: Trading note. Not an investment advice.
Holding the Breakout Since breaking out of its cup with handle base LULU has held above the breakout level and the left side high of the base. That is something that we haven’t seen much of this year. LULU has formed a nice flag with a multitouch trendline. If LULU can push above the trendline it is actionable
LULU shortLULU pi RSI is at 100 on the 1hr chart. A short entry trade is on my radar. Especially going into next week's macroeconomic Calendar events.
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
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Newsworthy current events
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+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
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