Earnings watch 6/2Earnings watch 6/2:
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PD
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OKTA
HRL
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LULU
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LE
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LULU trade ideas
LULU: Fade the rally!Lulumelon Athletica
Short Term - We look to Sell at 329.26 (stop at 346.16)
They reported better than expected earnings and the stock jumped up premarket. The medium term bias remains bearish. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode higher. Bespoke resistance is located at 332.00. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 284.68 and 272.00
Resistance: 332.00 / 410.00 / 478.00
Support: 283.00 / 246.00 / 129.00
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9/1 - Lulu Pre-Earnings Analysis Higher probability of downside move with Lulu earnings scheduled evening of 09/01:
1. Multi-month head and shoulders was cleanly pierced and then retested with downward pressure from its base.
2. Multi-week down trend off of 200 SMA.
3. Multi-day weakness leading to today, with overall rounding of price to the downside.
4. Multi-year support would occur around 245.
5. General market weakness and downward revisions from retailers.
Conclusion: Earnings volatility on 09/02 could see test of $245.
Bearish Wedge Sell Points (in red)Two different types of Wedges both showing a similar sell point entry
The sell point is right below the wedge, so if a breakdown occurs, a retest and consequent rejection follows
This is common between both wedge patterns
From personal experience I have seen Rising Wedges act more bearishly than Broadening (megaphone) structural wedges
However both of them have the potential to be bearish.
LULU inside weekInside week on LULU and also forming a triangle pattern. Top of the trendline and 50DMA are pretty close to each other. Most of the names had inside weeks last week and we have FED on Jul 27th. The only thing i am thinking about is if market moves past its range this coming week or the week after when FED makes an announcement but nonetheless these setups can be played either way.
If LULU breaks out, JUL 22 295C can work. There is a gap to fill 293.39 and then another gap 297.50 - 302.13 which can be targets
If it gets rejected from 50DMA or top trend line can try 280P for a trade down to the opposite side of triangle.
LULU Bearish DivergenceLULU finding some resistance within the Volume profile POC and showing a ROC Divergence here. The ROC showing lower high readings as LULU continues in the short term uptrend, a negative for any continuation here. Expecting a test of the VAL (286). I think this 286 wont be a strong support either and might see a stronger support at 250.
LULU | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Patient🧘♂️.
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: Several MA Crosses, %B +Band walking, Bandwidth approaching a pivot point.
Position: Swing trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating the market to buy/sell the earnings surprise 6/02/22 AMC: www.estimize.com
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: I do not advise an option trade for LULU the volume & open interest are too low and the BidxAsk spread is too wide.
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after a profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
About the Security: "lululemon athletica, Inc. engages in the designing, distributing and retail of athletic apparel and accessories. It operates through the following business segments: Company-Operated Stores, Direct to Consumer. The Company-Operated Stores segment comprises lululemon and ivivva brands; and specialize in athletic wear for female youth. The Direct to Consumer segment is involved in the e-commerce business, building brand awareness, particularly in new markets. The company was founded by Dennis J. Wilson in 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada."
About the Author: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply. I do strive to build an esteemed reputation with a prolific following and earn the titles of a Tradingview Wizard & Top Author; along those lines I'm a financial scientist and my contributions offered to the community are apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
LULU is going downLULU has weakening momentum, a long term H&S and volume cueing in a downside move. You can see that historically, LULU likes to make H&S patterns with the neccessary retest at the end of the H&S slightly overextending the trendline before capitulating. Taking a long-term short for a few months out is my play of choice. A calandar spread is a good way to hedge but with the potential for capitulation, I think an ATM or Slightly OTM naked put is the best strategy to go with.
Head and ShouldersPossible short entry 277 or below.
Earnings 6-2 AMC.
Short percent 2.52.
I love this stock but looks like LULU is going down with the ship for now. I will catch her at the bottom )o:
Possible stop above neckline or a level of resistance
No recommendation.
If there were no luck involved I would win every time )o:
Be safe//Laura
POSSIBLE HUGE CRASH!Lulu is highly successful retailer.
It is a well know brand world-wide.
But it is obvious that stock price valuations is just too high.
A correction is imminent.
On the monthly chart, there is a text-book head and shoulder pattern.
Price action broke the neck to the downside.
If price close this month below neck area which is around 302 USD, things will accelerate in favor of bears.
There is an uptrend that started a decade ago and probably in couple of weeks price is going to test the trend line.
If price cant hold that line, 192 USD is possible in the short term.
Lulu can test 78 USD area depending on FEDs actions.
Important support areas for the long term
302
245
224
192
166
139
120
78
Follow for more ideas and charts!
LULU PUTS BELOW 306 -As we observed last week the beautiful breakout of that 349 level we immediately went right down AMAZING breakout trade
-Now we are heading down towards the next major support at 278.53... We shall look for the breakout of the minor support line at 306.60
-This is a daily set up so we can play this w monthly options or we can get in and out to manage risk
LULU FALLING BEHIND -I like to trade Lulu typically bc she’s usually a day behind so we can expect a break below 350.26 Monday and play puts from there
-There is a lot of range once we break these levels we have range down till 317 to where we might meet smack in the middle with the cloud
-looking for an entry once we break 350 support