ROKU: Making it difficult to tradeIn my last post I was trying to stay bullish, but the price action has made me get out of my position. Sep 6 failure has marked the previous EW count invalid and it's looking more like a leading diagonal pattern of contracting kind. At the moment keeping an eye on the daily RSI to get support at 45. If that level breaks, it might induce additional selling. Contracting diagonal wave 4 cannot be bigger than wave 2, so if price falls below $66.62, this count will need to be revisited. Right now looking for a bottom between $78 and $72 and a bounce to around $110-$120 by EOY. Below $62, will start looking for shorting opportunities as bull case will get significantly diminished.
ROKU trade ideas
Roku Pulls Back After an Earnings RallyLike many growth stocks, Roku pulled back sharply in 2022. But now after a year of consolidation, the streaming-video company may be trying to recover.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on July 28 after quarterly results beat estimates.
Second, ROKU pulled back to form a base around $76 after the rally. That was near the peaks of mid-June and mid-July. Has old resistance become new support?
Third, August’s trough represented a higher low than late July, continuing the series of higher lows that have developed all year. The recent spike above $98 was also the third successive higher high.
Next, the bounce in mid-August occurred at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The 50-day SMA additionally had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in April, which may suggest its longer-term uptrend has turned more bullish.
Shorter term indicators could also be more positive as stochastics rebound from oversold and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed back above the 21-day EMA.
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Roku in a sequence of higher highs and lows.Roku - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 75.11 (stop at 69.11)
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
The trend of higher lows is located at 74.50.
Previous resistance at 75 now becomes support.
We look to buy dips.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 90.11 and 93.11
Resistance: 79.50 / 84.44 / 88.00
Support: 75.65 / 74.00 / 70.50
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ROKU: Trying to stay bullishRoku price action is not the easiest to count. The uptrend since May is wonky but clearly an impulse. It is possible that this uptrend has been a B wave and new lows are yet to come, but, for that need to see price breaking below key support levels, $68, $58 and most importantly, $50. For now, price is bouncing off key fib retracement target, so still staying with this bullish count. If this is correct, then the strongest wave 3 of 3 of this intermediate cycle should start fairly soon and it should be spectacular. If price action stays sluggish and choppy then I would eventually have to abandon this idea. Right now staying long with a target back to $90 area for a B wave, but, will jump ship if price falls below $78 low right away and reassess.
Roku is in...again?Roku's stock price has been on an upward trend recently. However, it is unclear whether this trend will continue, as the company's financial performance has been lackluster. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which will be released later this week, could have a significant impact on the stock price. Only time will tell whether Roku will continue to rise or if the CPI report will cause it to fall.
ROKU Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ROKU`s double top:
Or bought the dip here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ROKU prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price puts with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $7.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$ROKU to make a comeback?Ever since the 12 months double top from Nov20 - Nov21 resulted in the plunged of stock price from the high of about 480 to 90, stock price of NASDAQ:ROKU has been on side way for awhile
Where will it go from here.
My own guess is mean reversion sometime to come
The ~55 is a pretty fragile line, if price continue to drop below 55, the more plunge or consolidation will be expected.
Otherwise, the next upside target within next 24 months is likely to be around 172
Beware of huge fluctuation in between
Just my own humble opinion and not soliciting any trades
Roadmap for ROKUBlue solid lines are established downtrends, green dotted lines are established uptrends. Both the uptrend and downtrend lines are established from equilibrium points, (not highs and lows). Thickness of lines illustrates strength of previous price action. Circles are the crossing of uptrend and downtrend, usually resulting in reactions.
ROKU to 110This trade is a bullish-long term trade
ROKU has been going down since the pandemia.
However, when you analyze in terms of fundamental and technical analysis, it is a good stock to have in your portfolio because the chance that has to go up!
ROKU has a lot of value in MOATs.
ENTRANCE= at or above 74.78
Afther we enter, it can go to 115 in a couple of weeks.
SL= 51.66
If you already have this stock, I recommend u to hold it!