XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3587
2nd Support – 3555
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XAGUSD trade ideas
Rate Cut Bets Keep Silver in FocusSilver slipped toward $36 per ounce as investors locked in gains after hitting a 13-year high. The metal remains supported by strong industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven interest during global uncertainty. Industrial uses, especially in solar and electronics, account for over half of the demand. A fifth consecutive annual supply deficit is expected, though the Silver Institute sees the gap narrowing by 21% in 2025. Softer U.S. inflation data for May also increased expectations of Fed rate cuts beginning in September, helping sustain interest in precious metals.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Silver the sad metalIt's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week.
Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born.
So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees.
A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now.
Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Silver expectation 1HWell, this could be tricky, as i would like to see silver consolidate for a short time, then break through that top trend line. Or, it could come down for a second touch of support, then bounce off it and bull its way to the top. Me personally, i think it might do a bullish move, buts lets wait and see. #BuyTheBull
Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum.
Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity.
However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Hourly Timeframe
📍 Context
The hourly chart is in a sideways range.
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55.
📊 Key Actions
The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%).
A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89
Daily Timeframe
📍 Context
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89.
📊 Key Actions
On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer.
🎯 Trade Idea
Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458
With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Silver Long Setup–Breakout Retest After Clearing Key ResistanceSilver TVC:SILVER has broken above the $34.50 resistance level, as it looks to catch up to the gold/silver ratio. We’re now watching for a retest of this breakout zone at $34.00–$34.50 for a potential long spot entry.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $34.00 – $34.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $37.50 – $40.00
o 🥈 $44.00 – $48.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $33.00
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.768 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.645..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Outperforms Gold, Eyes $36Silver climbed back toward $36, bouncing from over two-week lows on falling Treasury yields and a softer dollar. While the Israel-Iran ceasefire remains shaky, Fed Chair Powell said “many paths are possible,” hinting at a flexible rate stance depending on job market data.
Strong industrial demand and tight supply continue to support silver, which is up nearly 9% in June, far outpacing gold’s modest gains.
Resistance is seen at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
Market next move 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish)
1. Support Holding Firm:
The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation.
The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction:
Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels.
No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure.
3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders:
The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup.
If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop.
4. Trendline Breakout Watch:
There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline.
A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
Silver Steady at $36 as Rate Cut Bets RiseSilver steadied around $36.10 during the Asian session, paring earlier losses after the geopolitical jolt. While the ceasefire cooled nerves, markets remain alert after Iran’s limited strike on a US base. Fed commentary also weighed in: Bowman and Waller leaned dovish, though Powell’s tone remains cautious ahead of his testimony.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,612.8
Target Level: 3,572.6
Stop Loss: 3,639.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
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SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.262 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.171..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.067 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 35.716..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Consolidates After Hitting Multi-Year HighSilver holds near $36.75 in Thursday’s Asian session, steady after a slight pullback from its highest level since February 2012. The trend remains bullish, suggesting more upside. A sustained move above $36.45–$36.50 confirmed a breakout from a descending channel, forming a bullish flag. The RSI has eased from overbought, and momentum indicators support a positive near-term outlook.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time?
The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment.
This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels.
That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology.
The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
Silver H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 36.50 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 36.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 36.06 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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