XAGUSD01 trade ideas
SILVERThe price of silver is trading around $36.308 per ounce (approximately $1,203 per kilogram), showing modest gains with a slight intraday rise into a new high of 36.770
Year-to-Date Performance: Silver has gained over 14% in 2025 and about 23.6% since the start of the year in kilogram terms, reflecting strong industrial demand and safe-haven buying.
Industrial Demand: Growth in renewable energy sectors, especially solar power and electric vehicles, continues to drive robust demand for silver, which is a key component in photovoltaic cells and electronics.
Geopolitical and Market Factors: Recent geopolitical tensions, such as the Iran-Israel conflict, have supported silver as a safe-haven asset alongside gold, contributing to price strength.
Volatility: While silver has seen strong gains, short-term fluctuations remain, influenced by dollar strength, interest rate expectations, and profit-taking by investors.
silver as undervalued relative to its industrial demand and inflation hedge qualities,so expect continued upward pressure over the medium term .Supply-side risks, including mining disruptions and environmental regulations, may tighten availability and support prices.
Investors should be mindful of potential short-term pullbacks amid profit-taking or shifts in macroeconomic sentiment.
Key Drivers for price rally ,Industrial demand, safe haven, geopolitical tensions Solar energy, EVs, Iran-Israel conflict
In summary: Silver prices are currently strong, supported by industrial demand, geopolitical uncertainty, and safe-haven buying. While short-term volatility persists, the medium-term outlook remains bullish due to supply constraints and growing demand from renewable energy and technology sectors.
#silver#gold
SILVER Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,603.0.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,697.2 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
where we go from hereVery likely taking a breather. However, as silver is very volatile, it could jump up to 38 or push through and back to 36 then even lower to 28 level. I would back up the truck if it goes back down to 28. Remember this is an industrial metal and everyone is talking about it on YouTube so this could be a bull trap right now as well. be careful. I know I said it was on fire yesterday but the situation has changed
SILVERWith wars intensifying Israel vs Iran, Ukraine vs Russia global tension is rising fast. 🌍⚠️
In times like this, high-quality defense equipment becomes a top priority for nations.
And guess what?
Silver is a key component in military tech from drones and missiles to satellites and radar systems.
That’s why silver might be one of the smartest assets to diversify into right now.
Not just for protection against inflation,
but also as a strategic metal in a global defense race.
XAG USD LONG RESULT Silver price has been consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle and has been holding the support Trendline also creating consistent Higher Lows and increase in Demand Volume, all bullish indications for the asset, which was why I took the long position from the breakout point, and it moved better than I anticipated🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
SILVER On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 36.006 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 36.456
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Breaks Above Resistance and has a $50 Price ObjectiveSilver has been in an up-trend since March 2020. There is also a well defined resistance line since August 2020. Price just broke above this resistance and stayed above for 5 days. The support and resistance lines nearly form an up-sloping channel with a width of $18 to $10 ($14 average). The price objective is now $50 ($36 current + $14). This coincides with the prior high from 2011 which is the next major resistance level (orange flat line). A stop loss can be placed at the recently broken resistance line which is now support.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,599.6
Target Level: 3,126.8
Stop Loss: 3,914.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver Offers More Upside and Less Risk Than Bitcoin
In the ever-evolving landscape of investment opportunities, two assets often stand out for their allure as alternative stores of value: silver and Bitcoin (BTC). Both have captured the imagination of investors seeking diversification beyond traditional equities and bonds, yet they cater to vastly different risk profiles and market dynamics. Recently, Bitcoin has experienced a notable dip in its price, prompting renewed debate about its stability and long-term potential. Amid this backdrop, silver emerges as a compelling alternative, offering more upside potential and less risk compared to the volatile cryptocurrency. While crypto enthusiasts argue Bitcoin's dominance and rising market cap cement its position as a leading asset, silver’s fundamental strengths, historical resilience, and current market positioning make a strong case for its outperformance in the near term.
This article delves into the comparative analysis of silver and Bitcoin, exploring their respective market conditions, risk-reward profiles, fundamental drivers, and technical outlooks. It also addresses the counterarguments from Bitcoin supporters and examines why, despite BTC’s impressive $2 trillion market cap and higher global asset ranking, silver presents a more attractive opportunity for investors seeking stability and growth in the current economic climate.
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The Current State of Bitcoin: A Dip Sparks Concern
Bitcoin, often heralded as "digital gold," has been a transformative force in the financial world since its inception in 2009. Its meteoric rise over the past decade, culminating in a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion at its peak, has solidified its status as a dominant alternative asset. As of late 2023, Bitcoin ranks among the top global assets by market value, far surpassing silver, which holds a market cap of approximately $1.4 trillion based on total above-ground silver stocks valued at current prices.
However, Bitcoin’s recent price dip—following a period of intense volatility—has raised eyebrows among investors. After reaching an all-time high near $73,000 in early 2023, BTC has corrected by over 20%, trading closer to $55,000-$60,000 in recent weeks (based on hypothetical data for this analysis). This decline has been attributed to a combination of factors, including macroeconomic pressures like rising interest rates, regulatory scrutiny in major markets, and profit-taking by institutional investors. Such volatility is not new to Bitcoin; it has historically experienced sharp corrections of 30% or more during bull runs. Yet, each dip reignites debates about its reliability as a store of value, especially for risk-averse investors.
Crypto supporters have been quick to defend Bitcoin, emphasizing its long-term upward trajectory and growing adoption. They argue that Bitcoin’s market cap, which dwarfs silver’s, reflects its superior position in the global asset hierarchy. Moreover, institutional interest—evidenced by the entry of major players like BlackRock and Fidelity into Bitcoin ETFs—underscores its staying power. Proponents also point to Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and finite supply (capped at 21 million coins) as reasons it remains a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, even amidst short-term price fluctuations.
Despite these arguments, Bitcoin’s inherent volatility remains a sticking point. Its price swings are often driven by speculative fervor, market sentiment, and external shocks—factors that are difficult to predict or model. For investors prioritizing capital preservation alongside growth, Bitcoin’s risk profile during periods of uncertainty can be a significant deterrent. This is where silver steps into the spotlight as a more stable alternative with comparable, if not superior, upside potential in the current market environment.
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Silver’s Resilient Appeal: A Safe Haven with Growth Potential
Silver, often referred to as the "poor man’s gold," has been a store of value for centuries, long predating the advent of cryptocurrencies. Unlike Bitcoin, which operates purely in the digital realm, silver is a tangible asset with intrinsic value derived from its industrial applications and historical role as currency. In 2023, silver prices have shown relative stability compared to Bitcoin, trading in a range of $22-$28 per ounce, with recent movements suggesting a potential breakout above key resistance levels.
Fundamental Drivers of Silver’s Upside
Several fundamental factors position silver for significant upside in the near to medium term, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s current challenges:
1. Industrial Demand and Green Energy Boom: Silver is a critical component in various industries, notably in the production of solar panels, electronics, and batteries. The global push for renewable energy has driven a surge in demand for silver, as it is the most conductive metal and essential for photovoltaic cells. According to the Silver Institute, industrial demand for silver reached a record high in 2022 and is projected to grow by 8-10% annually through 2025. This structural demand provides a solid foundation for price appreciation, unlike Bitcoin, whose value is largely speculative.
2. Supply Constraints: Silver mining output has struggled to keep pace with rising demand, creating a persistent market deficit. In 2022, the global silver market recorded a deficit of over 200 million ounces, the largest in decades. With limited new mine discoveries and geopolitical risks affecting major silver-producing regions (e.g., Mexico and Peru), supply tightness is likely to support higher prices. Bitcoin, while also constrained by its 21 million coin cap, faces no such physical supply-demand imbalance, as its scarcity is algorithmic rather than resource-based.
3. Inflation Hedge with Lower Volatility: Silver has historically served as a hedge against inflation, much like gold. With global inflation remaining elevated in 2023 due to lingering supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, investors are increasingly turning to precious metals for portfolio protection. Unlike Bitcoin, which has shown mixed results as an inflation hedge (often correlating with risk assets like tech stocks), silver’s price tends to rise during periods of economic uncertainty with far less volatility. For instance, while Bitcoin dropped 20% in its recent dip, silver has fluctuated within a 10-15% range over the same period.
4. Undervaluation Relative to Gold: The gold-to-silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, currently stands at around 80:1, near historic highs. This suggests silver is undervalued relative to gold and could see significant price gains if the ratio reverts to its long-term average of 60:1. A move toward this level could push silver prices to $35-$40 per ounce, representing a 40-60% upside from current levels—a far more achievable target than Bitcoin reclaiming its all-time high.
5.
Risk Profile: Silver vs. Bitcoin
Silver’s risk profile is notably more favorable than Bitcoin’s for several reasons:
• Lower Volatility: Silver’s price movements are less erratic than Bitcoin’s. While silver can experience short-term fluctuations due to macroeconomic data or shifts in industrial demand, it rarely sees the 10-20% daily swings common in the crypto market. This makes silver a safer bet for investors wary of sudden capital erosion.
• Tangible Asset: As a physical commodity, silver carries no counterparty risk. Bitcoin, despite its decentralized nature, is vulnerable to risks such as exchange hacks, regulatory bans, and technological failures (e.g., network congestion or 51% attacks). Silver’s tangibility offers a layer of security absent in digital assets.
• Historical Stability: Silver has weathered economic crises for centuries, maintaining its value during wars, depressions, and inflationary periods. Bitcoin, while resilient in its own right, lacks a comparable track record, having existed for only 14 years—a period too short to fully assess its behavior across diverse economic cycles.
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Technical Analysis: Silver Poised for Breakout, Bitcoin Faces Resistance
From a technical perspective, silver’s chart patterns and indicators suggest a stronger short-term outlook compared to Bitcoin.
Silver Technical Outlook
• Price Action: Silver has been consolidating in a tight range between $22 and $26 per ounce for much of 2023, forming a bullish triangle pattern on the daily chart. This pattern often precedes a breakout, and with prices recently testing the upper boundary near $26, a move above this level could trigger a rally toward $30, a key psychological resistance.
• Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for silver is currently at 55, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum with room for further upside before reaching overbought territory (above 70). Additionally, the 50-day moving average (MA) is on the verge of crossing above the 200-day MA—a bullish "golden cross" signal.
• Support and Resistance: Strong support exists at $22, a level tested multiple times in 2023, while resistance at $26-$28 remains the immediate hurdle. A breakout above $28 could pave the way for a rapid move to $35, aligning with fundamental upside targets.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
• Price Action: Bitcoin’s recent dip has seen it fall below key support at $60,000, with prices now testing the $55,000 level. The daily chart shows a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming, which, if confirmed, could signal further downside to $48,000-$50,000.
• Indicators: BTC’s RSI is at 40, approaching oversold territory, which may attract bargain hunters. However, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) remains bearish, with the signal line below the MACD line, suggesting continued downward pressure.
• Support and Resistance: Immediate support lies at $50,000, a psychologically significant level, while resistance at $60,000-$62,000 must be reclaimed to restore bullish momentum. Until then, BTC remains vulnerable to further selling pressure.
While Bitcoin could rebound if oversold conditions trigger buying, its technical setup suggests higher near-term risk compared to silver’s more constructive chart pattern. Silver’s consolidation and potential breakout offer a clearer path to gains with defined support levels to manage downside risk.
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Counterarguments from Crypto Supporters: Bitcoin’s Dominance and Market Cap
Crypto enthusiasts have been vocal in defending Bitcoin’s position, even amid its recent dip. Their arguments center on several key points, which deserve consideration:
1. Market Cap and Global Ranking: Bitcoin’s market cap of over $2 trillion places it far ahead of silver (approximately $1.4 trillion) in global asset rankings. This reflects widespread investor confidence and institutional adoption, positioning BTC as a more mainstream asset than silver in the digital age.
2. Long-Term Growth Trajectory: Despite short-term corrections, Bitcoin has delivered staggering returns over the past decade, far outpacing silver. From a price of under $1,000 in 2017 to peaks above $70,000 in 2023, BTC’s growth story remains compelling for long-term holders.
3. Adoption and Innovation: Bitcoin’s integration into financial systems—via ETFs, payment platforms like PayPal, and corporate treasuries (e.g., Tesla and MicroStrategy)—demonstrates its growing utility. Silver, while valuable, lacks a comparable narrative of technological disruption or mainstream adoption beyond industrial and investment use.
4. Inflation Hedge Narrative: Proponents argue Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it a superior hedge against fiat currency debasement, especially in an era of unprecedented central bank money printing. Silver, while also a traditional inflation hedge, is subject to industrial demand cycles that can dilute its safe-haven appeal.
While these points highlight Bitcoin’s strengths, they do not fully address the asset’s short-term risks or volatility. Market cap, while impressive, does not guarantee stability—evidenced by BTC’s frequent boom-and-bust cycles. Long-term growth is also less relevant for investors focused on near-term opportunities, where silver’s fundamentals and technicals suggest a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Moreover, Bitcoin’s adoption is a double-edged sword; increased regulatory scrutiny could dampen its appeal, as seen in recent crackdowns in China and proposed legislation in the EU and US. Silver faces no such existential threats, as its value is rooted in physical utility rather than regulatory acceptance.
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Comparative Risk-Reward: Why Silver Edges Out Bitcoin
To summarize the risk-reward dynamics, let’s compare silver and Bitcoin across key metrics:
• Upside Potential: Silver offers a realistic 40-60% upside to $35-$40 per ounce based on fundamental demand, supply deficits, and historical gold-silver ratio trends. Bitcoin, while capable of larger percentage gains, requires a return to $70,000 (a 25-30% increase from current levels) just to reclaim its recent high—a target complicated by bearish technicals and macro headwinds.
• Downside Risk: Silver’s downside is capped by strong support at $22, representing a 10-15% drop from current levels. Bitcoin, conversely, could fall another 10-20% to $50,000 or lower if bearish patterns play out, with no tangible floor beyond speculative buying interest.
• Volatility: Silver’s historical volatility (annualized standard deviation of returns) averages around 20-25%, compared to Bitcoin’s 60-80%. For risk-averse investors, silver provides a smoother ride.
• Liquidity and Accessibility: Both assets are highly liquid, with silver traded via futures, ETFs (e.g., SLV), and physical bullion, and Bitcoin accessible through exchanges and funds. However, silver avoids the cybersecurity and regulatory risks tied to crypto trading platforms.
•
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Broader Economic Context: Silver’s Edge in Uncertain Times
The global economic environment in 2023 further tilts the balance toward silver. With central banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank tightening monetary policy to combat inflation, risk assets like Bitcoin—often correlated with tech stocks—face headwinds from higher interest rates. Silver, however, benefits from its dual role as an industrial commodity and safe haven, making it less sensitive to rate hikes. Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and US-China trade frictions, also bolster demand for precious metals as portfolio diversifiers, while Bitcoin’s behavior during such crises remains unproven over long cycles.
Additionally, silver’s lower price point compared to gold makes it more accessible to retail investors, potentially driving broader demand during economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, with its high nominal price per coin, can feel out of reach for smaller investors, even if fractional ownership is possible.
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Conclusion: Silver Shines Brighter for Now
While Bitcoin’s $2 trillion market cap and global asset ranking underscore its dominance, the cryptocurrency’s recent dip highlights the risks inherent in its volatile nature. Silver, by contrast, offers a compelling mix of upside potential and lower risk, driven by strong industrial demand, supply constraints, and its role as a traditional safe haven. Technical indicators further support silver’s near-term breakout potential, while Bitcoin faces resistance and bearish patterns that could prolong its correction.
Crypto supporters are right to highlight Bitcoin’s long-term growth story and innovative appeal, but for investors focused on the short to medium term, silver presents a more attractive opportunity. Its tangible value, historical resilience, and alignment with current economic trends make it a safer bet for capital preservation and growth. As markets navigate uncertainty in 2023, silver shines brighter than Bitcoin, offering a stable path to profit with less exposure to the wild swings of the crypto world. Investors would be wise to consider allocating to silver as a core holding, balancing the allure of digital assets with the enduring reliability of precious metals.
Silver H1 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 36.83 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 37.10 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 36.21 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Silver Up Slightly as Markets Await PowellXAG/USD rose 0.3% to $37.23 on Wednesday, though gains were capped by a stronger U.S. dollar as investors turned to safe assets amid escalating geopolitical tensions and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision. Silver’s safe-haven appeal remained, but the firmer dollar made it less attractive for non-dollar buyers. Markets are now watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on future policy and near-term direction for silver.
Resistance is set at 37.50, while support stands at 35.40.
Market next move 🔄 Disruption: Bullish Setup Building?
🧠 Problems With Bearish Interpretation:
1. Volume Surge Might Be Re-Accumulation:
Volume at the purple lightning symbol is rising — this could signal buyer interest, not distribution.
Green candles in this zone suggest aggressive buying on dips.
2. Failed Breakdown Earlier:
Price had a strong drop but bounced sharply, recovering nearly all losses.
That type of V-recovery often traps early shorts, leading to a rally.
3. Resistance Retest Might Be Breakout Setup:
The red box marks resistance, but price is consolidating just below it.
That’s typically bullish if no strong rejection occurs — classic “base before breakout.”
4. No Lower Low Yet:
Market structure still holding.
Until price breaks below ~$35.80, the bearish thesis remains speculative.
When You Are Lost Follow This 3 Step StrategyYesterday i took a long walk on
in a neighborhood.
Let me tell you what i saw..
I saw man jumping over the wall fence.
He did not look normal.
The clothes he wore represented that of a poor man.
He looked frustrated.He looked lost.
He turned to me as a leader.I got scared because
I could feel him following me.
The truth is i was lost.But
i had a landmark in my mind.
Once i see that land mark then
i know am no longer lost.
At this time i couldn't see my landmark
and so i moved in random patterns
I lost him "Thank goodness"
I said to myself with a sigh...
Later on i found a landmark and
i was no longer lost.
Learning how to trade the
markets is similar to the situation
i am just from describing to you.
Because its hard to communicate these
concepts.You need a landmark
strategy something to fall back on
As you go into this trading journey.
I studied your profile.I noticed that
you don't journal your trades.
This is not good..beyond
learning about trading strategies.
Which is very important.
The most impactful thing you
can do is journal your trades...
to journal your trades is
part of the trading strategy.So thats the goal
for this article journal your trades.
That is your landmark.
Look at silver $TVC:SILVER.It is outperforming gold.
when you see the buy signal in gold.
Then buy silver first to get a good bang for your
bucks..I learnt this strategy from
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As you can see on this chart.
This is following the Rocket booster strategy
to learn more about this 3 step this strategy
Check out the resource around this article
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Disclaimer:Trading is risky please use a
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SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.344 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Pulls Back After Multi-Year HighSilver fell 2% to $35.60 per ounce, marking its third straight session in the red. The decline followed a powerful rally to 13-year highs, as traders took profits and sold off precious metals to offset losses from geopolitical turmoil.
The Fed’s steady-rate stance and warning on inflation risks tied to Trump’s new tariffs also weighed on sentiment. Adding pressure, a massive metals discovery in Argentina was confirmed, estimated to contain over 80 million ounces of gold and silver, one of the largest finds in decades.
First resistance is at 37.50, while support starts at 35.40.
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.878 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.687..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Gains on Tensions, Eyes on FedFriday’s strong U.S. data may support the dollar, as the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 60.5 in June from 52.2, beating forecasts of 53.5 and marking the first gain in six months.
Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand, especially for silver. Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites Friday, killing military officials. On Sunday, Iran began its fourth phase of response, warning of firm retaliation to further Israeli actions.
Markets now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting. While rates are expected to stay unchanged, futures still price in two cuts this year, possibly starting in September, supported by last week’s soft inflation data.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
XAGUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!