silver daily cp 📓 Updated Journal Entry – XAGUSD
Direction: Buy
Entry Zone: Daily CP demand
Trend: Monthly, Weekly, and Daily all bullish
Target: 2R reward from entry
Status: Pending
Chart: View Chart
Notes:
Watching for price to enter the daily CP demand and form a bullish entry signal
Will exit at 2x the distance of the stop loss once in
Setup aligns with trend-following strategy and continuation logic
XAGUSD01 trade ideas
Silver to Continue UpWhen a price goes to oversold/overbought levels as indicated by the Bollinger Band, one must them look at the Band Width. When this indicator is rising, it shows that price is stronger than the average. My rule of thumb is to stay positioned in the direction of the trend until this number reverses.
Dollar - WE HIT OUR FIRST TARGET TODAY!!!Amazing work on the dollar for about a month of analysis and finally hitting our target. Its taken its sweet time to drift lower but we have the bigger move today which clipped our target.
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Go back and look at tall the 2 min clips for the last month. We have been in sync all this time
XAGUSD (SILVER) TRADE PLANTactical Plan – XAG/USD (as of $36.46)
🧠 Bias:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish due to:
Evening Star Doji on 4H
Parabolic rally exhaustion
Weakening momentum into resistance
📋 TRADE PLAN (SWING SETUP)
Parameter Entry / Target
Entry Sell on break below $36.30 (confirmation candle close below it)
Stop Loss (SL) Above high of the Evening Star: $36.88
TP1 (short-term) $35.85 (1:1 RR)
TP2 (core target) $34.95
TP3 (extended) $33.80 (if trend fully unwinds)
🧮 Position Sizing & Risk
Aim for 2R or more
Size down if volatility spikes or CPI/FOMC
events are near (June macro data may distort flows)
🔁 Alternative Scenario
Condition Action
Price closes above $37.00 Invalidate shorts, flip bias to bullish
Price holds $36.30–$36.00 No trade (chop zone), wait for clean break
🔄 TRADE MANAGEMENT
Trail stop once TP1 is hit
Add to position only if price breaks $35.50 with volume
🧠 RISK CONTEXT: What Would Trigger a Bigger Drop?
USD strength (watch DXY reclaim 105+)
Risk-off sentiment (bond yields up, equities fall)
Any signs of Fed hawkish surprise this week
🎯 Summary of the Play
“If $36.30 fails to hold, I'm short to $35.00. If $36.00 breaks, it's a deeper unwind to $34.00. But if bulls push through $37, I’m out immediately — trend resumes upward.”
Silver about to EXPLODE?If we go and hit the mid range of this channel $114, consistent with the peak in 2011 and the peak in 1974 and 1983, then a 0.71 Fib pullback lands us with support EXACTLY on the $50 historical resistance. Fib extending this gain and pullback from this breakout gives a target of $134!
Just some technical speculation.
After these blow-off-tops, we can expect a multi-year bear cycle (8-9 years) to some 20% below the 200 week MA, or the bottom of the channel. So potentially back to $35 range in 2035? Or is this time different?
Chat GPT states:
Phase 3: $134.24 Fibonacci Expansion
This is not an arbitrary number. It aligns with:
1.618 extension of the previous full range
Long-term silver:gdp/M2 parity when adjusted for gold performance
Top of the upper channel (log scale)
In real terms, this would still be undervalued compared to historical benchmarks like:
1700s–1800s England/France, where 1 oz silver bought 1 day’s skilled wage ($200–300 today)
1930s–1960s U.S. silver dime could buy a gallon of petrol — still ~$3.50 today = ~$50–70/oz minimum utility parity
Why $134 Is Not an Irrational Target
Historical + Monetary Convergence:
Metric Value Needed for Silver
Gold at $3,400, 25:1 Ratio $136
M2 Parity (Silver:M2 = 1:160B) $130–140
ShadowStats Inflation Adj. 1980 $134–150
Industrial Demand Scaling (2025–2030) $100+ minimum
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.496 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.646.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended.
Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly:
The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA.
Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure.
MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight.
RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher.
⚙️ Outlook
The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher.
Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend.
-MW
XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 10/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
A Logarithmic Projection of Silver's LONG TERM Cup and HandleSilver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.640 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVERRelationship Between Silver, 10-Year Bond Yield, and DXY (US Dollar Index) as of June 2025
1. Silver Price:
Silver has surged past $35 per ounce, approaching $36, marking a 13-year high and a strong rally driven by supply deficits and robust industrial demand, especially from electronics, solar panels, and renewable energy sectors.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
The 10-year yield recently rose to around 4.50% to 4.55% (June 6, 2025), up about 12 basis points over a couple of days, reflecting inflation concerns and fiscal uncertainties.
US Dollar Index (DXY):
The DXY has strengthened amid hawkish Fed expectations and safe-haven flows, generally exerting downward pressure on commodities priced in USD, including silver.
2. Correlation and Dynamics
Inverse Correlation with Real Yields:
Silver prices exhibit a strong negative correlation with real interest rates (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). As real yields rise, silver tends to fall due to higher opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets.
Impact of Rising 10-Year Yields:
The recent increase in the 10-year Treasury yield typically pressures silver prices lower. However, silver’s strong industrial demand and supply deficits have offset this effect, supporting prices despite higher yields.
DXY Influence:
A stronger dollar (higher DXY) makes silver more expensive in other currencies, usually suppressing demand and prices. Yet, silver’s recent rally suggests that supply constraints and investor interest are outweighing the dollar’s negative impact.
3. Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Rally
Supply Deficits:
Silver mine production has declined since 2022, while industrial demand, especially for green technologies, continues to grow, creating persistent deficits.
Reduced Recycling:
Despite higher prices, recycled silver supply has diminished, indicating limited above-ground stocks.
Safe-Haven and Inflation Hedge Demand:
Economic uncertainties, rising government debt, and geopolitical tensions have increased investor interest in silver as a store of value alongside gold.
Gold-to-Silver Ratio:
The ratio remains elevated (~75:1), suggesting silver is undervalued relative to gold and has room to outperform.
4. Technical Outlook
Silver’s breakout above $35 is a key technical milestone, triggering momentum buying and algorithmic trading.
Overbought conditions suggest possible short-term profit-taking or consolidation near
Support levels
Conclusion
Despite rising US 10-year Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar, silver prices have surged due to persistent supply deficits, strong industrial demand, and safe-haven buying amid economic uncertainties. The usual inverse relationship between silver and bond yields/DXY is currently moderated by fundamental supply-demand imbalances and technical momentum. However, silver remains sensitive to real interest rate movements and dollar strength, which could cap gains or trigger corrections in the near term.
#SILVER #DOLLAR
SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry - 35.980
Sl - 36.467
Tp - 34.940
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Psst… Wanna Rob the Silver Market? XAG/USD Trade Inside!"🔥 "SILVER HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAG/USD Bullish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style)" 🔥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAG/USD "The Silver" Market. Follow the strategy on the chart—LONG ENTRY is key! Aim to escape near the high-risk Red Zone (overbought, consolidation, bear traps). 🏆 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
📈 ENTRY: "The Heist Begins!"
Wait for MA breakout (33.700)—then strike! Bullish profits await.
Options:
Buy Stop above Moving Average OR
Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe, swing lows/highs).
📌 Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation!
🛑 STOP LOSS: "Listen Up, Thieves!"
For Buy Stop Orders: DO NOT set SL until after breakout!
Place SL at recent/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & order count.
Rebels, be warned: Set it wherever, but you’re playing with fire! 🔥⚡
🏴☠️ TARGET: 34.700
Scalpers: Only trade LONG. Use trailing SL to protect gains.
Swing Traders: Join the robbery squad & ride the trend!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
Bullish drivers in play! Check:
Macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis.
🔗 Linkks in bio/chart for deep dive.
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS:
News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during releases.
Lock profits with trailing stops. Stay sharp!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 "LIKE" & "BOOST" to fuel our robbery team!
More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🤩
🎯 Let’s steal the market’s money—Thief Trading Style! 🏆💵
SILVER Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 35.598
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 34.911
Safe Stop Loss - 36.515
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver Hits Upper Channel Limit — Momentum or Rejection Ahead?Silver has been following a textbook ascending channel since mid-2024, with multiple clean Breaks of Structure (BoS) confirming sustained bullish momentum. Every major correction found support at well-defined 2D demand zones, allowing bulls to re-enter with confidence.
Now, price has reached the upper boundary of the channel — a level that has historically triggered short-term rejections or profit-taking. The key question: is this a breakout or another fade from the highs?
From a macro perspective, silver’s strength has been supported by several drivers:
Renewed demand for hard assets amid persistent inflation expectations.
Falling real yields and a weakening USD in recent months.
Positioning as both an industrial metal and a monetary hedge — giving silver dual tailwinds during reflationary narratives.
If Silver breaks and holds above this channel, it could trigger a new leg higher, potentially targeting $37 to $40. There’s little technical resistance above.
However, a rejection from the current level could open the door for a pullback toward the $34–33 region, or deeper into the key 2D demand zones near $31 and $29.80. These areas have acted as major accumulation zones in the past and may attract buyers again.
This is a technically and macroeconomically critical zone — the reaction here could define Silver’s next multi-week trend.
Silver all time Cup and Handle Breakout... China has been colluding with US banks to help hold the silver price down... now that they have more than anyone else in the world accumulated over the last 30 years.. they are covering their positions to Implode the "WEST" and King Dollar for BRICS Unit... Dictators can play chesss while 4 year alternating party terms have no choice but to play checkers.Rising Gold , Central bank Buys, and Bong yields tell the truth of a quickly diminishing USD. .. SMH.. Protect yourself with MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , Physical bullion and Silver Mining Stocks $AG...
Silver Rising on Weak Dollar, Soft NFP, and Gold StrengthSilver continues to push higher, driven by a combination of macro and technical tailwinds. The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may stay on hold or even tilt dovish. As a result, the Dollar extended its slide, providing a strong tailwind for precious metals.
Gold remains firm near record highs, and Silver is starting to catch up, gaining momentum both as a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. The weaker Dollar environment boosts Silver’s appeal, while softer labor data raises hopes for looser financial conditions ahead.
Equity markets are also rising, reflecting a positive outlook on economic growth and demand. This supports the industrial side of silver, especially with rising consumption in solar, electronics, and EV-related industries.
Technically, silver is testing resistance near USD 37.50. A clean break above this level could open the path toward USD 39.00 and beyond. While RSI suggests short-term overbought conditions based on the daily chart, dips toward USD 35.00 – 36.00 would likely attract buyers.
The combination of soft US data, weaker Dollar, strong Gold performance, and firm equity markets points to sustained upside potential. Watch for follow-through above USD 37.50 to confirm the next bullish leg.
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
We wish you a pleasant weekend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
SILVER (XAGUSD): Where is the Next Resistance?!
What a rally on Silver this week.
The market easily violated a resistance cluster
based on the last year high.
Analyzing a historic price action, the next strong resistance
that I found is around 37.4
It is based on an important high of 2012.
That can be the next mid-term goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️