Get started
Gold Spot / U.S. DollarGold Spot / U.S. DollarGold Spot / U.S. Dollar

Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold - Pump to a new all-time high, buy here!GOLD is super bullish, and this trend should continue until around 7000 USD, so another few years! In one of my next analyses, I will tell you why. In this short-term analysis, we want to buy GOLD at the strong support of this blue ascending channel. On the chart we can see that GOLD has been moving in the ascending parallel channel and recently broke out of the bullish flag on the higher timeframe. The bullish flag was retested on June 9, so we don't need to go down anymore. Btw, that was a great buying opportunity! Soon the price will hit the support trendline of the ascending channel, so prepare your buying orders! What is the profit target? The first strong resistance is the previous all-time high level. If you want to take profit here, that's definitely reasonable. Always set your profit targets slightly below major levels and resistances. From the Elliott Wave perspective, it is obvious that GOLD is starting something huge here! We are in an impulse wave 3 of 5. Always use fibonacci extension / retracement to find strong levels on charts. I recommend using only 0.382, 0.618, and 1 levels. When we take a Fibonacci extension tool from wave (1) to wave (2) we can see that the first strong level is at 3490 with the 1:1 Fibonacci extension. Trading tip at the end: "Develop a trading strategy that aligns with your trading persona and risk tolerance." Leave a comment with your gold prediction, I am curious! Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
106
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Wedge Breakout (21.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 3425 2nd Resistance – 3451 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
75
Lingrid | GOLD Post-FOMC Price Creates Trading OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back into the confluence zone between the black trendline and the 3,353–3,355 support, aligning with the breakout zone of a previous triangle pattern. Despite the drop, the overall structure remains bullish, especially if this retest holds. A bounce here would confirm the upward channel continuation toward the 3,400 key level. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,350–3,355 Sell trigger: breakdown below 3,353 Target: 3,400 Buy trigger: clear bullish reversal from trendline support 💡 Risks Break below 3,353 may shift bias to neutral or bearish Sharp dollar strength could weigh on gold's recovery Failure to break above the triangle again may trap early buyers Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Lingrid
39
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
60
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Corrective Phase Tests SupportOANDA:XAUUSD experienced a notable pullback this week, retreating from the $3,450 resistance zone as profit-taking emerged following the recent geopolitical rally. The market appears to be entering a healthy corrective phase after the strong upward momentum driven by Middle Eastern tensions and safe-haven demand. The 4H chart reveals gold testing the critical $3,320 support level, which coincides with the lower boundary of the established upward channel. This corrective move was anticipated after the sharp rally to the resistance area marked as "TOP" on the chart. The current price action suggests a natural retracement within the broader bullish structure. Technically, the downward trendline from the recent high is being respected, indicating the correction may continue toward the $3,240-$3,270 range before finding stronger support. The flag pattern that previously drove the rally now serves as a reference point for this pullback phase. Key levels to monitor include the $3,320 immediate support and the more substantial $3,200 level below. A decisive break below these supports could extend the correction further, while a bounce from current levels would reinforce the underlying bullish bias. The market remains within the broader upward channel, suggesting this correction is likely temporary before the next leg higher toward the resistance zone above $3,450. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
35
GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty. In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus. Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise. Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320 Resistance levels: 3366, 3396 On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Continuation of the global trend... To 3350?FX:XAUUSD is testing trend support within a correction. Against a complex fundamental backdrop (the Middle East, Fed comments, Trump's desire to lower rates), the price may continue to rise. The price of gold rose from a weekly low of $3,363 on Thursday thanks to increased demand for safe-haven assets following reports of possible US strikes on Iran. Markets are ignoring the Fed's hawkish decision to maintain its tight policy and rate forecasts. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Middle East, given the risk of increased volatility due to low liquidity in connection with the US holiday. Technically, a bullish wedge pattern is forming as part of the correction. The breakdown of the pattern's support did not lead to a decline, but a return of prices and a breakout of resistance could trigger growth after liquidity returns. Resistance levels: 3373, 3403, 3420 Support levels: 3349, 3320 Before growth, a retest of the trend support or the 3350 zone is possible. However, if the price goes above 3375 and the bulls hold their ground above this level, then we can expect growth to continue within the trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3376 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3376 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3395 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3395 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3419 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3419 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3440 BEARISH TARGETS 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3330 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3288 3271 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Entry Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is attempting to stabilize after breaking below the consolidation zone and forming a new lower low near the 3,313 support. Price action hints at a bullish rebound setup, potentially targeting the 3,375 resistance aligned with the descending red trendline. The structure may shift if price forms a higher low and retests broken support as a springboard. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,313 – 3,320 Sell trigger: break below 3,313 Target: 3,375 Buy trigger: higher low and breakout above minor resistance 💡 Risks Failure to reclaim 3,313 could trigger another sell-off Resistance trendline near 3,375 remains a rejection risk Lack of volume confirmation may weaken bullish scenario If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
27
Gold Market Update: Bulls Will target 3750 USD after 3500 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update (June 19, 2025) 📊 Price & Technical Outlook Current Spot Price: ~$3,365 Technical Setup Inverted H&S pattern forming/completed on higher timeframes — confirms bullish reversal structure. Reload (buy) zone: $3,250–$3,275 (ideal accumulation range for bulls if price pulls back). Swing trade setup: Entry: $3,250–$3,275 (reload zone) Take Profit (TP): $3,750 Support: Major at $3,250–$3,275 (break below = reassess bullish bias). Resistance: $3,450–$3,500 ; next major resistance: $3,600, then $3,750. Price consolidating above $3,250–$3,350 is technically healthy — maintaining bullish structure. 🏆 Bull Market Overview The pullback appears complete; uptrend resumes amid strong macro/geopolitical drivers (inflation, rates, safe haven flows). Key Levels: $3,000 (macro support), $3,250 (bulls must defend), $3,500 (breakout zone), $3,750 (swing TP). Short-term dips = buying opportunities — “Buy the Dip” remains favored as long as support holds. Upside targets: Immediate: $3,600 Swing target: $3,750 Summary: Gold remains in a bullish mid-term structure, with the inverted H&S pattern pointing to higher prices ahead. Bulls look to reload at $3,250–$3,275, targeting $3,750 for swing trades. As long as $3,180–$3,200 holds, buying dips is the play. A sustained breakout above $3,400–$3,600 opens the door for new all-time highs.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be ideally be looking for the market to open, give us a high into that red box region 3455-60 and then give the reaction we wanted for the short trade. We didn’t quite hit that level falling just shy, but the move did present itself and as you can see all the bearish below red box targets were completed as well as KOG’s bias of the week targets which was bearish below 3465. We then posted the FOMC KOG Report in which we suggested looking for price to continue the move as long as the bias level stood, which it did and we got another move downside, but again, falling just shy of the level we wanted to then attempt that swing long. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? As we suggested on Friday, it would be a good idea for traders to be sitting neutral on the markets with minimum to zero exposure anticipating gaps and glitches across the markets on open. This news was expected so those who played discipline should be cash in account, which is also a position in the markets. We have key levels now 3350-55 support with extension 3340 which will need to break downside for us to go lower, while support there should take us up towards the 3385-90 level initially, which is the level to look for a potential RIP for the scalp short. This will give us the flip, red box activation 3380-75 which if held should allow us to complete the move to break through the 3400 level with red box target 3445 and above that 3451. This is based on there being a completely aggressive move from the open upside. On the flip, break below key level here 3335 and 3320 is the first level to consider which will continue the path we wanted from last week. Ideally, not for this news and potential for this to spike upside, we would have stuck with the plan from last week. Difference now, we need more buyers higher up and a potential test on that high again. Key Levels: Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3390, 3395 and above that 3410 Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3375 for 3378, 3390, 3395, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move Break below 3365 for 3355, 3350, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
39
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the correction did take place and was quite deep, as I wrote earlier. However, I am leaving my target unchanged—the resistance area and the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order at 3500. The waves remain in their previous places, because none of the rules of wave analysis have been violated. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
32
Luxury, War, and Clarity – This Is the Golden Reset.🟨 The Real Gold Era: Clarity While the World Burns 🟨 "While some bleed in the streets, others sip cocktails in the Bahamas. This is not a coincidence. This is the new world." Right now, we live in a time like no other. People are dying in wars they never chose. Currencies collapse. Nations threaten each other. And yet — capital flows, gold climbs, and the rich get richer. 🕰️ A war started long ago — and most never saw it: 2020–2022: They printed trillions. COVID shut down the world. Fiat was silently devalued. 2022–2023: Russia was cut off from SWIFT. BRICS started buying gold. The dollar was no longer untouchable. 2023–2024: Gold broke $2100… then $2400… now $3400+. Even high interest rates can't stop it. 2025: U.S. and Israel strike Iran. BRICS discuss a gold-backed currency. Trust in fiat? Gone. The Gold Era is no longer just metaphor. It’s the new battlefield. 💣 "War is loud. Wealth is silent." While bombs fall in the East, ✨ capital quietly moves to safe havens. While families flee, ✨ smart money finds gold, data, and sovereign positioning. While headlines scream chaos, ✨ traders make decisions in silence. 🌍 But here's the paradox: We also live in a world of unmatched abundance: You can build a brand from a phone. You can trade gold from a beach. You can learn SMC, AI, geopolitics — and use it to build freedom. You can escape the system, if you understand the structure. In this gold era, the true asset isn't just metal. It's mental clarity. Information. Sovereignty. The gold is you. 📉 This isn’t just about trading. It’s about knowing where we are in the timeline of collapse and rebirth. The markets don’t lie — they expose what’s really coming. And those who read them… can rise while others fall. 🧠 Final note: Not everyone survives a reset. But those who think in structure, who lead with clarity — they don’t just survive. They reposition. They build. They lead. 🟡 Welcome to the Real Gold Era. Where charts speak louder than news. Where truth is a position. Where you don’t wait for safety — you create it. — ✍️ GoldFxMinds – where structure meets truth. 📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by GoldFxMinds
19
HelenP. I Gold may continue to decline to support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After dropping from the support zone, the price of Gold found temporary support near the trend line and started to rise again. The upward movement was sharp and even created a gap while breaking through the previous support level, which then acted as resistance. For some time, the price hovered around this resistance area but failed to gain enough strength to break higher. Eventually, Gold pulled back to the trend line and began consolidating within a triangle pattern. Inside this structure, it managed to break above the resistance zone again, but this breakout turned out to be false. The price quickly reversed and dropped, breaking through the resistance level and exiting the triangle to the downside. This breakdown also shows that the bullish momentum has weakened significantly. Now, Gold is trading near the trend line again, showing hesitation and a lack of strong bullish continuation. Given this technical behavior, I expect a small rise toward the trend line, followed by a continued drop toward the support level at 3320. That’s the area I’m watching as my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
17
XAUUSD I Daily CLS I D1 FVG / OB Midpoint confluenceHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by David_Perk
23
XAU/USD) Back Bullish trand Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe based on a price action setup within a rising channel and a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: --- Technical Overview: Trend Structure: The price is moving within a rising channel (marked by the black trendlines). Recent touches on both the top and bottom of the channel suggest that it is being respected. Key Support Zone (Yellow Box): Price recently tested a strong support zone around $3,338 – $3,350, which aligns with: Historical price reaction area. The 200 EMA (blue line). An uptrend line support. A bullish reaction (green arrow) confirming demand. Bear Trap Breakout: There’s a false breakout below the support followed by a sharp reversal (green arrow), which could indicate a bear trap, often followed by a bullish rally. Price Projection: The projected move suggests a bullish rally toward $3,478.89, offering a potential 3.97% gain (~133 points). The path includes a possible consolidation before a breakout (illustrated by the wavy arrow). RSI Indicator: RSI is recovering from the oversold zone (~45), indicating increasing bullish momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Around $3,350–$3,370 (post-retest of support) Target: $3,478.89 Confirmation: Bullish price action at support, 200 EMA bounce, RSI reversal --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
19
Why the Best Strategies Don’t Last — A Quant TruthOver the years, I’ve built strong connections with traders on the institutional side of the market. One of the most interesting individuals I met was a former trader at Lehman Brothers. After the collapse, he transitioned into an independent quant. I flew to Boston to meet him, and the conversations we had were eye-opening, the kind of insights retail traders rarely get exposed to. We didn’t talk about indicators or candlestick patterns. We talked about how fast and aggressive algorithmic trading really is. He told me something that stuck: " People think hedge funds build one algorithm, run it for years, and collect returns. That’s rarely the case. Most algos are extremely reactive. If something stops working, we don’t fix it — we delete it and move on. That’s how the process works." This isn’t an exception — it’s standard practice. What stood out most in our talks was how adaptable these algorithms are. If market conditions shift — even slightly — the logic adapts immediately. These systems aren’t built on beliefs or opinions. They’re built to respond to liquidity, volatility, and opportunity — nothing more. This level of responsiveness is something most retail traders never factor into their approach, but it’s core to how modern markets operate. █ How Quant Funds Use Disposable Strategies — And What Retail Can Learn One of the most misunderstood realities in modern trading is how top quantitative funds like Two Sigma, Citadel, and Renaissance Technologies deploy, monitor, and replace their strategies. Unlike traditional investors who develop a strategy and stick with it for years, many quant funds take a performance-first, outcome-driven approach. They: Build hundreds of strategies, Deploy only the ones that currently work, and Retire or deactivate them the moment performance drops below their internal thresholds. This is a deliberate, statistical, and unemotional process — and it's something that most retail traders have never been taught to think about. █ What This Means Quantitative firms often run: 100s of models simultaneously, Each targeting a specific edge (e.g. trend-following, mean reversion, intraday order flow), With tight risk controls and performance monitoring. When a model: Falls below a minimum Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return), Starts underperforming vs benchmark, Experiences a breakdown in statistical significance… …it is immediately deprecated (removed from deployment). No ego. No "fixing it." Just replace, rebuild, and redeploy. █ It runs live… until it doesn’t. If slippage increases → they pull it. If volatility regime changes → they pull it. If too many competitors discover it → they pull it. If spreads tighten or liquidity dries → they pull it. Then? They throw it away, rebuild something new — or revive an old one that fits current conditions again. █ Why They Do It ⚪ Markets change constantly What worked last month might not work this week — due to regime shifts, volatility changes, or macro catalysts. These firms accept impermanence as part of their process. ⚪ They don’t seek universal truths They look for temporary edges and exploit them until the opportunity is gone. ⚪ Risk is tightly controlled Algorithms are judged by hard data: drawdown, volatility, Sharpe ratio. The moment a strategy fails to meet these metrics, it’s shut off — just like any risk engine would do. ⚪ They don’t fix broken models — they replace them Time spent “tweaking” is time lost. New strategies are always in the pipeline, ready to rotate in when older ones fade. █ Research & Real-World Validation "Modern quantitative funds must prioritize real-time adaptability and accept that any statistical edge has a short shelf life under competitive market pressures." Adaptive Trading Agents” (Li, 2023) Donald MacKenzie’s fieldwork on HFT firms found that algos are treated like disposable tools, not long-term investments. Studies on adaptive algorithmic trading (e.g., Li, 2023; Bertsimas & Lo, 1998) show that funds constantly evaluate, kill, and recycle strategies based on short-term profitability and regime changes. A former Two Sigma quant publicly shared that they regularly deploy hundreds of small-scale models, and once one fails risk thresholds or decays in Sharpe ratio, it’s immediately deprecated. Walk-forward optimization — a method used in quant strategy design — is literally built on the principle of testing a strategy in live markets and discarding it if its forward performance drops. █ Why Retail Rarely Hears This Retail traders are often taught to: “Stick with a system” “Backtest 10 years” “Master one setup” But in the real quant world: There is no perfect system. There are only edges that work until they don’t. And the moment market structure shifts — new volatility, different volume profile, regime change — the strategy is gone, no questions asked. █ What This Means for Retail Traders ⚪ Don’t idolize “one perfect system.” What worked in April might not work in June. Treat your strategies as temporary contracts, not lifelong beliefs. ⚪ Build modular logic. Create systems you can tweak or retire quickly. Test new regimes. Think in frameworks, not fixed ideas. ⚪ Learn from regime shifts. Volatility, spread, volume profile, macro tone — track these like a quant desk would. ⚪ Use metrics like: - Win streak breakdown - Market regime tracker - Edge decay time (how long your setups last) █ Final Thought The best traders — institutional or retail — understand that there’s no such thing as a permanent edge. What matters is: Having a repeatable process to evaluate strategy performance, Being willing to shut off or rotate out what’s no longer working, And staying adaptable, data-driven, and unemotional. If you start treating your strategies like tools — not identities — you’ll begin operating like a professional. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
27
XAUUSD: Is Bullish Trend Ended? Or It is just beginning big moveAs we previously stated that price can reverse between 3340 to 3350 region, which was a pivotal point for bulls. Price smoothly moved currently trading at 3376 and possibly bullish move continuing towards 3400,3450 and ultimately reaching 3600. Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction. At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced. 

AB=CD we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384. Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650. Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370. Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations. We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others. Sincerely, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
27
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Once again our levels deliver the magic!! Yesterdays update, we stated that we got the move into 3393 just like we analysed for the first level of swing and that we will now look for ema5 to cross and lock 3372 or 3393 to confirm direction. 🔄 Update: No ema5 lock above 3393 confirmed the rejection into 3372 followed with ema5 cross and lock opening the full swing range test into 3353. We got the test and the perfect bounce back into 3372. A move into 3393 will complete the full swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels, taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures gives 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back-test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends. 🌀 The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels - that's the difference between the two. BULLISH TARGET 3440 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3463 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3463 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3483 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3483 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3508 BEARISH TARGETS 3418 -DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3418 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3393 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3393 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3372 - DONE 3353 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3353 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3330 3306 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Following up on our previous weekly update = last week we saw the expected correction play out with a move down for the EMA5 detachment touch, highlighted by the circle on the chart. This was a healthy pullback within the structure and aligns perfectly with the Goldturn methodology. While we previously had the candle body close gap at 3482, that target still remains open and active. The move lower was not a breakdown but a technical retest, setting up the potential for continuation higher once momentum returns. Support continues to hold at 3281, reinforcing our buy the dip strategy within the structure. The price remains guided by the channel and is still following the expected trajectory toward the long term gap target. We'll be watching closely for renewed strength to drive back toward 3482, and any close above recent highs could reignite that move. Until then, structure remains bullish and contained. Stay disciplined and let price do the talking. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Gold Ready to Shine Again? Watch This Battle Zone Closely!Gold is consolidating above the 50% retracement (3372) after defending key structure at 3368–3378. Bullish momentum is building as Silver continues to lead, and the US Dollar (DXY) weakens post-FOMC. If buyers step in here, we could see a clean breakout toward 3415–3450 and beyond. But if 3368 breaks, the bull case is temporarily invalidated. 🧭 Technical Highlights: ✅ Support Zone: 3368–3378 (Fibonacci + bullish order block) ✅ Resistance Targets: 3395, 3415.84, 3451.84, 3470+ 🔄 Silver Divergence: XAGUSD broke higher → leading XAU bullishly 🔼 Bias: Bullish (as long as 3368 holds) 🌐 Fundamental Drivers: 🏦 Fed dot plot turns dovish – Only 1–2 cuts, but no hikes planned; supports gold upside. ⚔️ Middle East tensions rising – Iran vs. Israel/US rhetoric keeps risk premium high. 📉 DXY weakens after Powell avoided hawkish tone; real yields remain capped. 💬 Silver outperforming on safe-haven + industrial hedge flows. 💡 Trading Plan Summary: Buy Zone: 3372–3380 TP Zones: 3395, 3415, 3450+ Invalidation: Close below 3368 Confirmation: Break and close above 3395 with volume = signal to scale in 🔔 Keep an eye on: US Jobless Claims, SNB & BoE Decisions DXY 98.70 key level Silver reaction near 36.70–37.20
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ultreosforex
15
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3375 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3375 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3375 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3439 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3236 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2995 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9