Gold XAUUSD Analysis 25.06.2025The Gold shows with a recent upward trend following a period of consolidation and a dip. Key observations:
The price previously fluctuated between a support level around 3,310-3,319 and a resistance near 3,354.
The current price is consolidating near the recent high, suggesting potential for further upward movement or a pullback.
Signal:
Buy signal is present in the range of 3,316-3,319, aligning with the support level, offering a good entry point for a potential upward move.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
Is Gold Setting a Trap for Traders?Gold is currently retesting the FVG zone around 3,392 after breaking below a key trendline — a classic sell-trigger area if price gets rejected.
Bearish momentum is supported by:
U.S. jobless claims: 244K < 245K forecast → Stronger USD
Iran–Israel ceasefire → Reduced demand for safe-haven assets
If price fails to break above 3,392, the next downside target is the 3,299 support zone.
Trade idea: Watch for a rejection around 3,390–3,392 to consider short positions.
Bearish bias remains valid as long as price stays below 3,392.
Gold Challenges 2025 Trendline – Are We Breaking Lower?Following renewed Middle East ceasefire hopes and signs of exhausted buying momentum on the gold chart, the yellow metal has pulled back toward a key trendline—connecting higher lows since December 2024—currently near the 3,300 level.
If gold holds above 3,300 and continues to respect this broader trend support, the bullish trajectory may re-align, with potential upside targets at 3,400, 3,450, and 3,500.
However, a decisive close below 3,300 could signal a deeper corrective move. In that case, further downside may unfold toward 3,150, 3,050, 2,950, and 2,800, in line with the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels derived from the April 2025 high, May 2025 low, and June 2025 high.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Insist on bullish trend and wait for upward trend
Today's market analysis and interpretation:
First, gold weekly level: Last week, it closed negative, and continued to follow the yin-yang cycle. This week, it is likely to close positive again, and rely on the short-term 5-day and 10-day gradual shocks and strength; the medium-term trend continues to be bullish, and the nine-week wide consolidation is about to end. In fact, the big positive K last week has ended the shock and is ready to move upward. However, under the gradual warming of the geopolitical situation last week, it fell back and closed negative. It is indeed unexpected. It belongs to the control period. The risk aversion will always come. Wait patiently
Second, gold daily level: It closed with a long lower shadow cross K for two consecutive days. The lower track of the rising channel has always been effective support, including today, and it was only pierced, and it is still bottoming out and pulling up; the key point is When the closing price effectively stands on the 5-day moving average, then we should continue to attack upward to test the upper track of the channel, although the time cycle will basically approach 3490-3500;
Third, the gold 4-hour level: opened high to 3396, then fell back with a big negative, and did not stand on the middle track. At this time, the European session bottomed out and pulled up, breaking through the middle track again. Once the closing at 22:00 is confirmed to be above the middle track, accompanied by the golden cross below the zero axis of macd, this cycle will begin to gradually strengthen;
Fourth, the gold hourly level: the geopolitical situation is still fierce over the weekend and continues to heat up. Today's opening jumped high to 3396, then fell all the way back to 3347, and then stabilized and attacked to 3380. The overall situation is still discontinuous shock and the washing force is getting stronger each time, which shows that the competition between bulls and bears is becoming more and more intense, and they have been fighting for the gains and losses of the lower track of the daily channel; from the channel distribution, the key pressure is 3390. As long as it breaks through and stabilizes, it will be difficult to have a large-scale decline and wash; on the contrary, before 3390 breaks through and stands above, there is no need to rush to chase the rise for the time being. Pay attention to the support of 3360-65 and 3355-50. Continue to be bullish on dips and insist on pulling down and bullish. It is only a matter of time before 3390 breaks through or even stands above 3400, and this time is expected to be very near; because during the European session, the US dollar and gold continued to rise simultaneously, and gold performed quite resistant to declines, unlike last week, when it was suppressed immediately after a short sharp pull. This shows that gold's safe-haven properties are gradually recovering and returning.
XAUUSD NEXT WEEK UPDATE The chart you provided is a technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 3-hour timeframe, showing a bearish setup with the following key features:
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🔍 Chart Analysis Summary:
Price Channel:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked by two blue lines) but is now testing the lower boundary of this channel.
Breakout Direction:
A bearish breakout is projected, indicated by the large blue downward arrow. This suggests a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Entry & Target:
Current Price: ~3368.75
Target Price: ~3098.03
This matches the previous demand/support zone (yellow horizontal band near the bottom).
Stop Loss (SL):
Placed at 3528, just above recent highs to manage risk.
Risk Zone:
The red area shows the risk if price moves against the trade (stop loss zone).
The green area shows the reward zone (target profit area), highlighting a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Event Indicators:
Several economic event icons are placed near the projected move date (~June 24–26), suggesting that fundamental catalysts may support this move (e.g., FOMC, CPI, etc.).
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✅ Bearish Setup Summary:
Setup Type: Bearish channel breakout
Sell Entry: On break and close below channel support (~3368)
Stop Loss: 3528
Take Profit: 3098
R/R Ratio: Favorable
Would you like a written trade plan or a summary in table format?
Hanzo Drex | 15-Min Break Out Setup – 200 Pips in Sight🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals
👌Bullish Break : 3333.5
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Break : 3324
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAUUSD-Bearish Outlook and Price StructureA bearish outlook for gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bias toward the 3,100 area, targeting the highlighted demand zones.
Price-Movement Structure
We observe a three-wave corrective pattern that appears complete at the 3,494.98 high. Key observations:
- **Wave (A)** : Initial correction from the major low.
- **Wave (B)** : Complex sideways consolidation.
- **Wave (C)** : Extension to new highs, creating liquidity.
The current price action suggests potential institutional distribution at the highs. I am expecting a drop to approximately 3,349.94.
However, fundamentals such as interest rates, dollar strength, and geopolitical risks remain key drivers of bullish optimism.
Gold is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,360 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (1h Chart) - OANDA1-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD). The current price is $3,323.720, reflecting a decrease of $45.480 (-1.35%) over the last hour. The chart includes a candlestick representation with a notable downward trend, a support level around $3,324.455, and a resistance zone between $3,352.955 and $3,360.000. The time frame displayed ranges from 12:00 to 3:00, with the data updated as of 12:52 PM PKT on June 24, 2025.
6.26 Gold intraday analysis guideOn Wednesday (June 25), international spot gold rose slightly during the US trading session, but was still suppressed by the 20-day moving average (US$3,355). The RSI (14) was at 48.7, in the neutral range of 40-60, suggesting that the market lacks a clear direction. US$3,355 (20-day moving average) has become the recent watershed between long and short positions. If it breaks through this level, it may test the psychological barrier of US$3,400. The support below is US$3,245 (the low point on May 29). If it fails, it may drop to the integer level of 3,200 and US$3,121 (the low point on May 15). Stability of the geopolitical situation: If the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East continues, the outflow of safe-haven funds may further suppress the gold price. Fed policy expectations: If the July non-agricultural and CPI data show that inflation is cooling down, it may rekindle expectations of interest rate cuts and boost gold. The current gold market is in a "wait-and-see mode", and both long and short sides lack decisive momentum. Traders need to pay close attention to: US economic data: especially employment and inflation indicators for the Fed's policy path. Geopolitical dynamics: Any breakdown of the ceasefire agreement could quickly push up safe-haven demand. Dollar trend: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance, a stronger dollar may further suppress gold prices. Gold is expected to maintain range fluctuations in the short term, with the $3,355 moving average resistance and $3,245 support forming a key trading range. The direction of the breakthrough depends on new fundamental catalysts.
Personal operation analysis:
Trend: Oscillating trend
Support: Near 3,300.00
Resistance: Near 3,335.50
Strategy:
View logic: Short view near 3,335-3,340, stop loss 3,345, take profit near 3,300--3,280, and follow the stop loss 300 points.
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
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GOOD LUCK
persaxu
GOLD Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,290.38.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,315.54 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD Intraday H1 Chart Update For 23 June 25 GOLD Intraday Chart show mid term Bearish move for now
For Today keep an eyes on 3368 level Breakout for Buy Scalping for long trade we may wait for dip around 3330-3340 zone SL remains possibly 100 pips
As long as market sustains below 3400 Psychological Level it will remains Bearish and will try to move towards 3200-30 Psychological
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youRecent geopolitical tensions remain high, particularly in the Middle East where conflicts between Israel and Iran continue to generate new developments. Earlier this week, Iran was hit by an Israeli airstrike, a piece of news that instantly triggered a sharp rally in gold prices, pushing the metal to an intraday high of $3,450 per ounce. However, subsequent news of peace talks eased market risk aversion, causing gold to retreat rapidly. By June 18th, the price had dropped to $3,380 per ounce, with a daily volatility exceeding 2.7%.
Generally, geopolitical conflicts influence gold prices for 3 to 15 days, and when tensions ease, 50% to 70% of the conflict-driven rally tends to retrace. For example, during the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks in October 2024, gold prices fell from $2,789 to $2,650 per ounce, a 5% retracement. Although the geopolitical situation has not further deteriorated, as long as tensions persist, gold remains susceptible to sudden price swings triggered by breaking news.
In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, while the MACD indicator continues to operate below the zero axis in a bearish crossover, with green bars expanding—indicating a clear short-term bearish trend. Notably, the RSI indicator is currently in the oversold zone, suggesting potential for a price rebound. In terms of support and resistance levels, the lower support can be referenced at $3,340 per ounce, while the upper resistance focuses on $3,380 per ounce. A break above $3,380 may trigger a rebound, whereas a drop below $3,340 could lead to further declines.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3370~3380
SL:3390
TP:3360~3350
GOLD Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Chance To Sell To Get 200 PipsHere is My 15 Mins Chart On Gold and we have a very good reversal Pattern , Head & Shoulders , we have a 15 mins closure below neckline 3322.00 we can enter a sell trade and targeting at least 100 pips as scalping , we can enter after waiting the price to retest neckline and then enter . and the price can reach 3300.00 to 3296.00 again .
GOLD I Monday CLS I KL - OB/FVG I Target Monday CLS HighsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Diamond Level in Focus 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 1H Timeframe
This chart outlines key market structure levels with two possible scenarios:
🔹 Ranging Area between 3329 – 3337 is being tested.
🔹 A break above the Diamond Win Line (3368) could lead to a bullish continuation toward the major resistance at 3394.
🔹 On the downside, rejection from this zone may push price back toward the support levels at 3312 and 3295.
🔹 Watch for clean price action confirmation before entering trades.
This setup is based on price structure, clean market zones, and potential breakout/rejection scenarios. Stay patient and trade smart!
How to Manage Emotions in Trading? One Word: DisciplineHow to deal with emotions?
If you don't feel like reading a long explanation — here's the short answer: Discipline.
There are two typical emotional traps in trading:
1. After a big loss:
You feel the urge to recover quickly. Emotions kick in: despair, paralysis, frustration, snapping at loved ones — the classic downward spiral.
2. After a big win:
You feel like a king. “I’ve figured out the market. I’m unstoppable.” This leads to overconfidence, oversized positions, increased risk, and careless spending of profits — all while forgetting that black swans do exist.
What’s the cure in both cases? Discipline.
That’s your weak spot in both scenarios.
When you lose a lot, you shouldn’t even allow deep drawdowns to begin with.
Set clear exit rules:
1. Hard stop-losses.
2. A maximum loss limit (ideally 5–10% of capital), after which you completely exit all positions and take a minimum one-month break from charts and trading activity.
This protects your capital and — even more importantly — your mental health.
If you can’t follow your own stop-loss or take breaks when needed — then you don’t need emotional advice. You need to work on discipline.
When you feel euphoric from profits, this is trickier, but also manageable.
Reduce your position sizes after a major win or take a 2–3 day break to reset your brain and step back from emotional excitement
Again — the tool that helps here is discipline.
So how do you build that discipline?
Discipline isn’t just about trading. It’s a life skill that touches everything — from health to finance to habits. Here's how to develop it:
Start with physical training
Yes, really.
If you’re new, aim for 30 minutes of exercise, 3 times a week.
Even if you’re tired halfway, just walk in place — finish the 30 minutes. This trains your brain to complete what it starts, no matter how you feel.
The self-discipline from training your body will spill into every other area of your life — including trading.
Build simple habits
Start small:
Get up at the first alarm
Make your bed right after waking up
Put away clothes properly
Clean your shoes after coming home
Pick 2–3 micro-habits, and once they stick, your "discipline muscle" will grow. Over time, it becomes a natural skill.
Don’t expect results in the first week
Give yourself 30 days, and you’ll see real change.