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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD – Bearish Setup Following Liquidity Trap and Channel BreaGold has confirmed a bearish setup after breaking down from the ascending trend channel and trapping buyers near 3,390. Technical breakdown: Price engineered a liquidity trap above equal highs, inducing breakout longs near 3,390. The rejection from that level triggered a clear change of character (CHoCH) and subsequent breaks of structure (BOS) to the downside. The ascending channel, respected since early June, has now been invalidated with strong bearish momentum. Lower highs are forming beneath key supply zones around 3,340, reinforcing institutional sell pressure. Bearish bias: Price is currently retesting a minor supply zone with signs of weakness. As long as price holds below 3,340, bearish continuation is likely. Targeting the strong low at 3,261, followed by the next demand at 3,205 if momentum persists. This setup reflects smart money principles: engineered liquidity, structure shift, and supply-driven order flow. Invalidation: A clean break and close above 3,390 with BOS to the upside would invalidate this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JosProfessionalTrader
2
GOLD Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%. Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth. Market and Policy Implications: The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target. The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth. The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data. Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer. Summary: Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance.. China Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need. #GOLD
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
DeGRAM | GOLD descending wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is compressing in a descending wedge at the channel floor (3 343-3 350). Repeated long-tailed rejections hint at seller exhaustion while RSI makes higher lows, flagging hidden strength. ● A 30 min close above the wedge roof (≈ 3 357) should trigger a measured move to the intra-channel resistance band at 3 371, then the prior pivot at 3 383. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Thursday’s softer US Philly Fed index and a slip in 2-yr real yields cooled the dollar, reviving bullion bids; meanwhile Chinese customs data show May gold imports up 18 % m/m, underscoring physical demand. ✨ Summary Buy 3 345-3 355; wedge breakout >3 357 targets 3 371 ➜ 3 383. Long view void on a 30 min close below 3 335. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week. Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely. Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset. Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present. Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500. In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead. In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions. Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3308 →Take Profit 1 3320 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold Trade Plan 27/06/2025Dear Traders, 📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 27, 2025 On the 4-hour chart, Gold has faced selling pressure after testing the resistance at 3359, and is now correcting down toward the key support zone at 3250–3280. 📌 Key Support Zone: 3250 – 3280 📌 Major Resistance: 3359 🔹 The price is currently testing the lower edge of this support zone. If we see bullish reversal candles (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing) in this area, we may expect a bounce back toward the rising trendline or even a retest of the 3359 level. 🔻 However, if the 3250 support fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 3200 or lower could follow. 🛑 The U.S.–China agreement news could have a direct impact on gold’s corrective trend. Caution is advised when entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Expected reversal/resistance zone price may react here with sellChart Overview: Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 4-hour Price at time of screenshot: 3,321.910 USD 🔍 Key Zones & Labels: 🟡 Supply Zone (Top - Yellow Area): Around 3,440 – 3,460 Expected reversal/resistance zone; price may react here with selling pressure. 🟩 Strong Support (Green Area): Near 3,390 – 3,400 Former support zone that may act as resistance on retracement (support-turned-resistance). 🟧 Demand Zone (Bottom - Pink Area): Around 3,280 – 3,310 Strong buying interest shown; price likely to reverse or consolidate in this zone. 🧠 Annotated Insights: BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure shift before price tapped into the demand zone. Liquidity Sweep: The note says: “They sweep the Liquidity right now it’s going to bullish” Suggests stop-losses below demand were taken out (liquidity grab), hinting at a potential bullish reversal. Projection (Gray Arrows): Shows two possible price paths: Rejection at strong support and continuation to supply zone. Direct move from demand to supply zone. 📌 Purpose of Chart: This chart is likely used for Smart Money Concept (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow analysis, showing: Liquidity zones Structure breaks Probable bullish reversal
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge📍 XAUUSD – High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge Gold is currently reacting at a high probability BUY area, supported by multiple technical confluences: ✅ $3,300 Round Number: Psychological level and historical reaction zone ✅ Completion of 2nd Bearish Leg: A classic two-leg correction often signals exhaustion ✅ Retest of Uptrend Boundary: Long-term ascending trendline that has supported price since March 📌 Entry: Current price zone 🎯 TP1: Local highs ($3,353) 🎯 TP2: Mid-channel or upper resistance zone ($3,398) ❌ SL: 3263 This is a textbook trend continuation setup — the structure remains bullish unless proven otherwise. Wait for confirmation or manage your risk accordingly. — #XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #MJTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyZone #SwingTrade #SupportZone #TrendlineSupport #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading #MarketStructure #RiskReward #ChartSetup #ForexCommunity
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions. 🔍 Main scenario: Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur. If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter. 📰 Key macro drivers: Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates. Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold. 🎯 Strategy: Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360. Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
1
Gold Price Analysis June 25The Daily Candle shows a strong selling force breaking out of the 3-day accumulation zone. Gold hits the support zone of 3296 and bounces towards the resistance zone of 3342. Today, there is unlikely to be a rebound, there is a possibility of an increase in the Asian session and the European session, and the US session will return to the Selling force. The recovery from 3296 towards 3342, some selling force may appear around 3342, forming a strong bearish structure. The Bearish Wave Structure will weaken if it breaks 3342. The 3363 area is still noteworthy for SELL signals. The market closed above 3363, confirming the break of the downtrend and heading towards the resistance zone of 3388. The bottom support of 3302 will help prevent a temporary decline before heading towards the target of 3278.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD – Short-Term Decline, Long-Term Bullish AccumulationAfter a sharp drop of over 1,250 pips yesterday, gold reacted at the key demand zone around 3,300, where initial buying pressure has emerged. The chart still shows a valid short-term downtrend, but this area also aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term channel—previously a launch point for significant upward moves. Currently, XAUUSD is consolidating below multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps, awaiting a confirmed breakout toward the 3,361.500 region to potentially reverse the trend. In terms of news, tensions in the Middle East escalated as the U.S. launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, triggering strong volatility in gold. Upcoming key U.S. economic data—including quarterly GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE—will play a crucial role in determining whether gold has the momentum to break out or remains in consolidation. For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, but buyers are quietly accumulating strength for a potential long-term rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Gold price analysis June 23The last two D1 candles have continuously withdrawn their wicks. The Sellers may no longer be interested in dominating the market. Currently, Gold is moving sideways in a wide range. 3345 and 3375 are the two Breakout zones of the gold price in today's trading day. When breaking out of the breakout zone, the price will continue its strong trend. Limit trading against the trend when the price breaks out. Trading signals may also appear if there is confirmation from the candle that does not break out of this breakout zone. The resistance and support zones remain the same as last week. The upper limit is at 3400 and 3415. The lower limit is still at 3322 and 3296
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Eyes $3486 as Middle East Tensions Spark Flight to SafetyGOLD | Set to Surge Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions Gold prices are poised for a sharp rally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify, following reports of a U.S. airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. This has triggered a strong flight-to-safety response, pushing investors toward safe-haven assets. Analysts now forecast a broader upside range, with gold potentially trading between $3,500 and $3,700, driven by both geopolitical instability and persistent inflation concerns. Technical Outlook: Gold is expected to open with a bullish gap, with an initial move toward the key resistance at 3404. A confirmed 1H/4H close above this level would open the path toward 3448, and ultimately 3486, as long as geopolitical risk remains elevated. However, any signs of de-escalation or negotiations from Iran could halt the bullish momentum and trigger a reversal toward 3340. Key Levels: • Pivot Zone: 3365, 3379 • Resistance: 3404, 3448, 3486 • Support: 3348, 3339, 3281
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe. Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions. I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target. Take Profit: 3,377.00 Stop Loss: 3,165.00 RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back. Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area. Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXOnTop
This chart shows a Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour This chart shows a Gold Spot (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour timeframe, with technical elements typically used in smart money concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of what's shown: Key Chart Elements: FVG (Fair Value Gap): Two FVG zones are marked in pink rectangles, one around the mid-3,300s and another lower down. These indicate imbalance zones where price moved rapidly and may return to fill the gap. SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Marked below current price action, suggesting a possible liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) before a reversal. BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Marked above current price (near 3,400), indicating potential target zone for a bullish move. Price Projection Path: A zig-zag black line illustrates a projected bullish move: Dip below current price to sweep SSL. Quick recovery into FVG. Break of structure and move higher. Final target near 3,400 (BSL). Support & Resistance Zones: Marked in pink rectangles, showing historical reaction levels and potential areas of interest. News Event Symbol: Appears at the bottom of the chart, likely signaling upcoming macroeconomic data that could influence volatility. Interpretation: The chart suggests a bullish bias after a liquidity sweep below the recent lows (SSL), aiming for a rally toward 3,400 (BSL). The FVG zones may act as resistance-turned-support or retracement targets on the way up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mariam_Olv
6.26 Gold intraday operation strategy, rebound 42-48 line shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3342-48. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3314-3316 integers. The upper pressure is around 3342-48. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. The short-term long-short watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short the gold rebound at 3345-48, stop loss at 3356, target 3317-3325, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
June 23, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Trump’s firm stance on Iran continues to provide support for gold. Until new fundamental developments emerge, the strategy remains: Buy the dip on pullbacks to support. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3406 – Range top • 3400 – Psychological level • 3396 – Resistance • 3386 – Bull-bear divider • 3380 – Resistance • 3371 – Support • 3365 – Intraday key support • 3350 – Midpoint support • 3342 – Support 📉 Intraday Strategy: SELL if price breaks below 3365 → target 3362, then 3358, 3350, 3342 BUY if price holds above 3380 → target 3386, then 3391, 3396, 3400 👉 If you’d like to see how I enter and set stop-losses, drop a like! If I get enough interest, I’ll prioritize a detailed post this week. Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion, not financial advice. Please manage your risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold's Battle at Key Support: Bounce or Breakdown?Hey Traders, OANDA:XAUUSD has recently found support at a crucial demand zone around 3351.75, bouncing off this level with a sharp rejection wick, signalling buyer interest. The price action now shows a potential shift toward bullish structure with an expected retest and continuation toward higher resistance levels. Current Market Conditions: Price is rebounding from the 3351.75 support area, which has acted as a demand zone in recent weeks. The recent bullish candle suggests buyers may be stepping back in, aiming to reclaim lost territory. Short-term structure favours a possible higher low formation before continuation toward the 3403.47 and 3431.49 levels. A break below 3351.75 would invalidate this bullish setup. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: Today’s bullish sentiment in gold is fueled by the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Fed Chair Powell’s cautious tone on policy rates. The market remains sensitive to inflation expectations and risk sentiment. As long as inflation persists and global uncertainty lingers, gold could continue to attract safe-haven demand, supporting upside scenarios. Targets: TP1: 3375.91 TP2: 3403.47 TP3: 3431.49 Risk Management: Stop-loss: Below 3351.75 (key invalidation level) Maintain a minimum 1:2 R:R ratio. Adjust position size accordingly based on volatility and support behaviour. Technical Outlook: The structure suggests a potential breakout continuation if buyers hold above 3351. Look for confirmation through higher low formations and bullish momentum candles before scaling in further. Price needs to reclaim 3368–3375 levels to accelerate toward targets. Conclusion: Gold is poised at a key turning point. If bulls defend the support and reclaim 3368+, we could see a wave of upside into the 3400s. Keep your eyes on intraday momentum and global headlines, especially risk-off events. Sign-off: "In markets, clarity often lies just beyond the fear. Trade the levels, not the noise." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalSage_Ben