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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold opening market strategy analysis 💡Message Strategy In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark. At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3370
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Why is the 147k Beat in Payrolls Data Not as Strong as it Seems?Yesterday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in above expectations, but a closer look at the details reveals a less encouraging picture. Despite the headline beat, market reactions quickly faded. For instance, gold initially dropped from 3350 to 3311 in the first 15 minutes after the release but has since recovered more than 75% of that decline. So why is the June jobs report not as strong as it first appeared? According to the BLS report, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147k in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 106k. However, when breaking down the numbers, private payrolls rose by just 74k, well below expectations. Most of the gains came from government and healthcare hiring. Government jobs accounted for 73k new positions, and 63k of those came from the education sector alone. Some analysts suggest the high net hiring in education may be due more to a lack of firings, a consequence of a tight labor market in that sector. Meanwhile, the 59k increase in healthcare jobs is part of a long-term trend. Over the past two years, the U.S. has added an average of 70k healthcare jobs per month. This growth is largely driven by the needs of an aging population and reduced payrolls during and after the pandemic that have yet to fully recover. If you exclude government and healthcare hiring, U.S. payrolls increased by just 15k in June. The unemployment rate also came in better than expected, falling to 4.1% from 4.2%, while markets had anticipated a rise to 4.3%. However, this decline was driven by a drop in the labor force participation rate, which fell to 62.3% from 62.6% in just two months , a worrying sign that fewer people are actively participating in the labor market. In the first 15 minutes after the data came, gold fell to 3311 from 3350. In the following 18 hours, gold recaptures 85% of the loss. Gold is still over the broken bearish trendline in 1-H timeframe. With tariff deadline in 9th July and incoming 10-12 tariff letters coming in from Trump in the next few days, gold could have potential to go upwards with market understands this jobs data is not strong as it seems.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
XAUUSD Elliot waves update: What to expect?Bullish bias is still on. Price made impulsive wave 1 of lower degree and now we should expect price to continue up to test the upper trend line. There is also a possibility that the 4th wave is still in play and a possible triangle is about to be finished, however, this does not change our current bias to the upside. I am expecting price to drop to test the extreme order flow before continuing. To take advantage of the bullish move one need to find the entry around this extreme order flow marked with a rectangle. "Trade responsibly, this is not financial advice"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elliotwavesglobal
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish. At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD 🔍 Analysis Overview: Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations: 📌 NOTES: The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior. Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers. This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops. My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap. 📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower. The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup. 💡 Conclusion: If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader
Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone.🔍 GOLD – Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone Gold has recently broken its market structure (MSS), which is a significant shift in momentum and a potential indication of a change in the prevailing trend. Following this break, price retraced into a key supply zone, where it was rejected sharply—this rejection came in the form of a strong bearish engulfing candle, highlighting aggressive selling interest. Interestingly, the market has now printed a second consecutive bearish engulfing from the same zone. This is a powerful signal that sellers are active and defending this level, making it a valid and confirmed short-term resistance zone. The repeated rejection suggests that smart money or institutional sellers may be positioned here. Given this price action, we can anticipate a potential retracement from the current levels. The most probable downside target for this retracement would be the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has been marked on the chart. If price respects the FVG and reacts bullishly from there, we may then see a resumption of the uptrend, possibly taking price higher again. This setup presents a good opportunity for both short-term intraday traders and swing traders to watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade. 📌 Key Takeaways: MSS indicates shift in trend Consecutive bearish engulfing candles from supply zone Sellers likely active in this area Potential retracement toward marked FVG Possible bullish continuation from FVG zone 🚨 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on July 9: Core logic sorting Bull-bear game intensifies: Positive factors: Risk aversion: Trump's tariffs on Japan and South Korea (effective on August 1) caused market anxiety, and the decline of US stocks supported gold. Central bank gold purchases: The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 8 consecutive months, and long-term demand is stable. Negative factors: Stronger US dollar: The US dollar index rose to 97.67 (a one-week high), suppressing gold pricing. Technical pressure: $3345 has become a strong resistance, and multiple highs and falls show that bulls are weak. Market focus: In the short term, pay attention to the persistence of risk aversion and the trend of the US dollar index. If the US dollar pulls back or geopolitical risks escalate, gold may break through the range. In the long run, the weak US dollar (down 10% this year) and global loose policies still support gold. Key technical signals 1. Daily level Range oscillation: 3295-3345 US dollars are in a narrow range, and the moving average is glued together, and it is necessary to wait for a directional breakthrough. Long-short watershed: Break above 3345 → open upside space, target 3380-3400. Break below 3295 → may test 3270-3260 support. 2. 4-hour level Signs of pressure: double tops formed near 3345, MACD golden cross momentum weakened, if the dead cross is confirmed, the callback will be strengthened. Key support: 3300 (psychological barrier), if it falls below, look to 3270. 3. 1-hour level Short-term bearish: moving average diverges downward, K-line is under pressure from short-term moving average, and the rebound momentum is insufficient. Today's operation strategy 1. Main strategy: short on rebound Entry point: short with a light position in the 3330-3335 range, stop loss above 3345. Target: 3280-3270 (if it falls below 3270, hold and look at 3260). Logic: 3345 resistance is effective + strong US dollar + technical side is bearish. 2. Auxiliary strategy: short-term long on pullback Entry conditions: 3270-3260 stabilizes (such as K-line closes long lower shadow or MACD bottom divergence). Stop loss: below 3250, target 3295-3300. Logic: lower edge support of range + risk aversion may be repeated. 3. Breakthrough strategy Break above 3345: chase long, target 3360-3380, stop loss 3330. Break below 3260: wait and see whether the decline accelerates, avoid counter-trend operations. Risk warning Sudden events: If the US stock market plummets or the trade conflict escalates, gold may quickly break through 3345. US dollar fluctuations: pay attention to whether the US dollar index can stand firm at 97.5. If it falls back, it will ease the pressure on gold. Data impact: US economic data (such as PPI, Fed speech) may disturb the market. Summary Short-term: Prioritize shorting below 3345, and strictly stop loss. Mid-term: If it breaks through 3345, turn to long thinking, and if it breaks below 3260, wait and see.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
Gold Trading Strategy | July 9-10✅Yesterday, gold prices briefly surged due to heightened safe-haven demand, but we remained skeptical about the sustainability of the rebound and continued to uphold our strategy of shorting at higher levels. As expected, gold eventually moved lower, breaking below the previous day's low and establishing a bearish continuation pattern. Our bearish outlook was confirmed by market action. ✅In terms of price structure, although gold saw a moderate rebound during the latter part of the U.S. session, the momentum was weak, indicating that strong resistance remains overhead. The market continues to exhibit a bearish tone, so today’s strategy remains unchanged—waiting for a rebound to resume short positioning. ✅Technical Analysis: 🔸Daily Chart: Gold remains in a state of high-level consolidation with signs of momentum exhaustion. Yesterday’s price action saw resistance near the 3345 level once again, followed by a pullback. Although it temporarily broke below 3300, the price later recovered, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The candlestick pattern shows alternating bullish and bearish candles, lacking sustained direction, and no clear single-sided trend has emerged yet. 🔸4H Chart: Gold continues to trend lower in a step-like, descending pattern. The recent high at 3345 marks a lower high, and current resistance is forming near the downtrend line and the midline of the Bollinger Bands—around 3333 and 3320. Price action suggests high probability of rejection in this zone. We recommend continuing to short near resistance, with the next target at the 3255 level. The overall structure remains a slow, choppy downtrend. 🔸1H Chart: The bearish trend persists with new local lows being formed. Moving averages are aligned in a clear downtrend formation with strong bearish momentum. After breaking below 3313 yesterday, a minor rebound failed to hold, confirming 3313 as a key resistance level. Now, early trading is facing pressure near 3315, suggesting a good area to look for short entries. 🔴Key Resistance Zone: 3315–3320 🟢Key Support Zone: 3287–3275 ✅Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻Short Strategy: 🔰Enter short positions in the 3313–3315 area in multiple entries. 🔰Stop loss: 8–10 USD 🔰Target: 3300–3285, with potential extension toward 3275 if support is broken. 🔺Long Strategy: 🔰Consider long positions in the 3275–3278 range with staggered entries. 🔰Stop loss: 8–10 USD 🔰Target: 3290–3300, with further upside potential toward 3305 if resistance breaks. 🔥Note: Trading strategies are time-sensitive. For more accurate and real-time Trading Signals, feel free to contact me directly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information： 1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes 📈 Technical Analysis： Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control. At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3293-3290-3285 TP 3305-3310-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD elliot wave countOANDA:XAUUSD 📊 Elliott Wave Analysis (Overview) 🔹 Primary Structure: We're currently moving from white Wave 3 into white Wave 4. 🔹 Wave 4 Breakdown: So far, Wave 4 is developing as a typical ABC corrective pattern. Waves (A) and (B) (in brackets) have already been formed. 🔹 Wave (B) Internal Structure: Wave (B) is unfolding as an impulse: we’ve completed Bracket 1, Bracket 2, and we’re now on the way into Bracket 3. Within Bracket 3, we've already built a yellow Wave 1 and a potential yellow Wave 2. 🔹 Current Market Condition: For the bearish scenario to stay valid, we must remain below the red trendline. If we break above the red trendline, then yellow Wave 2 would likely extend higher and complete itself inside the red Fibonacci zone — making the correction deeper. 🎯 Target Zones: Targets for yellow Wave 3 and the broader Bracket 3 are already displayed on the chart. However, these targets can still be adjusted depending on how price unfolds in the coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ElliotXSolana