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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAU/USD: Long-Short Battle at $3,300 ThresholdAccurate Verification of Middle East Situation Analysis Yesterday's morning strategy focused on analyzing the authenticity of the Middle East ceasefire agreement. By deconstructing the policy logic and strategic intent behind Trump's statement, we accurately predicted that the "Israel-Iran ceasefire" had not reached an official consensus. Although logical analysis confirmed doubts about the news, gold prices still broke below the psychological integer threshold of $3,300 driven by market sentiment, highlighting the irrational feature of "emotion dominating facts" in the current market. Escalating Trade War Risks Intensify Market Volatility While the Middle East conflict remains unresolved, the EU issued an official statement last night, clearly stating it will launch retaliatory tariffs to force the U.S. to reach more favorable trade agreements. This move marks a further escalation of transatlantic trade friction, and market concerns about global economic growth may resurface. Three Key Events to Monitor Closely Gold prices are currently in a long-short stalemate at the $3,300 threshold, with the following events set to determine the short-term trend: 1.Signals of Fed Policy Pivot Focus on the degree of rate cut expectations released in Powell's speech. A dovish signal will strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. 2.Progress of EU-U.S. Tariff Game Whether the EU substantially initiates counter-tariffs directly affects market assessments of global trade system stability. 3.The Legislative Process of the One Big Beautiful Bill If the act passes smoothly this week, it may reconstruct North American trade rules—be vigilant against sudden policy shocks. Short-Term Market Outlook Before the above events materialize, gold is likely to oscillate within the range of $3,280-$3,350. Traders are advised to adopt a "buy low, sell high" range strategy: - Light short positions can be taken at the upper resistance of $3,350 with a stop-loss at $3,370. - Long positions can be initiated at the lower support of $3,280, targeting $3,320. Note: The current market is significantly driven by news. All operations must strictly set stop-loss orders, with position sizes controlled within 15%. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Potential bearish drop off major support?The Gold (XAU/USD0 has broken out of the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 3,374.04 1st Support: 3,341.44 1st Resistance: 3,398.38 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
5
#3,300.80 tested as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test." I have announced #3,300.80 test throughout yesterday's session commentary with engaging excellent Selling orders (mostly aggressive Scalps) until #3,300.80 benchmark isn't achieved. Technical analysis: Strong rejection from late yesterday's session local High’s on increased Volume indicating that Sellers are strongly positioned at that mark, which is Technically the Support fractal on the neckline of former Bullish structure / pattern over Neutral High’s / Low’s. However a strong Support presence is seen at current #3,292.80 - #3,302.80 levels where Gold rebounded on an Hourly 4 chart’s Doji Star Bullish reversal candle many times in near past. This decline is temporarily confusing the patterns but with a new Higher Low’s and as long as the Lower Low’s Upper zone stays intact, I will regardless remain Bearish awaiting retracement to test #3,300.80 psychological benchmark once again. One must be fast to adapt on market changes which are the case lately in order not to hold worthless positions. Bond Yields however climbed to fresh Annual High’s above (# +4.5%) while DX is following the sequence on parabolic downtrend delivering #3-session Selling spree on Gold. Price-action remains contained near Hourly 1 chart's #3,327.80 as my main point of interest. My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD – Short-Term Decline, Long-Term Bullish AccumulationAfter a sharp drop of over 1,250 pips yesterday, gold reacted at the key demand zone around 3,300, where initial buying pressure has emerged. The chart still shows a valid short-term downtrend, but this area also aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term channel—previously a launch point for significant upward moves. Currently, XAUUSD is consolidating below multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps, awaiting a confirmed breakout toward the 3,361.500 region to potentially reverse the trend. In terms of news, tensions in the Middle East escalated as the U.S. launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, triggering strong volatility in gold. Upcoming key U.S. economic data—including quarterly GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE—will play a crucial role in determining whether gold has the momentum to break out or remains in consolidation. For now, the short-term bias remains bearish, but buyers are quietly accumulating strength for a potential long-term rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
XAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key SupportXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key Support 📈🟢 📊 Chart Analysis: Rounded Bottom Structure ⬆️ The price has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Multiple bounces (🟠 circles) from the curved support trendline confirm the validity of this structure. Support Zone Rejection ✅ Price recently rejected from a major horizontal support zone (around 3,303.796 USD) with a strong bullish wick. This zone has acted as a springboard for prior upward moves. Falling Wedge Breakout 💥 A falling wedge (bullish pattern) has formed and is breaking to the upside. Breakout confirmation is underway, indicating momentum shift. Target Projection 🎯 The projected move from the breakout suggests a potential target at 3,385.820 USD. This aligns with previous resistance areas. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3,385.820 USD (target) and 3,425–3,450 USD (major resistance zone) Support: 3,303.796 USD (short-term), followed by 3,225–3,250 USD zone 🔔 Conclusion: Price action suggests a bullish bias with a possible upward continuation if it sustains above the wedge breakout. Confirmation above 3,330 USD with volume can fuel a rally toward the 3,385–3,400 USD target zone. 📌 Risk Management Tip: Watch for fakeouts near wedge resistance or a re-test of 3,303 USD for better entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
The current price of gold is 3330-3335, go short directly!Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom of 3295. At present, gold is just a rebound, not enough to reverse directly. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. After all, the daily line has fallen continuously, so the short momentum of gold is still there. In the short term, the rebound of gold is just a repair after oversold. Gold is currently priced at 3330-3335 and is directly short. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be arranged in a short position downward. After gold fell below the previous low of 3340 yesterday, gold has not been able to rebound again. In the short term, 3340 has become the key to long and short positions. In the short term, gold rebounds below 3340 and continues to be shorted. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at 3340 again, then gold may start to fluctuate again. Before breaking through 3340, gold is still weak and continues to maintain a short trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD 1H Analysis – Golden Point in SightPrice is currently making its way toward the Golden Point zone at 3365.120, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the recent bearish leg. This area also coincides with a descending trendline, adding confluence for a potential reversal setup. 📍 Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: 3365.120 (Golden Point / 0.786 Fib) 🔹 Support: 3302.571 (Target zone) 🔹 Swing High: 3393.776 🔹 Swing Low: 3295.200 🎯 Trade Idea: Watching for a potential rejection from the 3365 zone to catch a short down to the 3302.571 area. Bearish confirmation required around the Golden Point before entry. 📌 This setup follows the HurricaneFx Signature Strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HurricaneFx_
2
Trap Above? Reversal Brewing or Just a Pullback?Gold (XAUUSD) continues to play mind games near a strong intraday resistance zone. Price formed a nice bullish channel and just tapped into the reversal zone near 3335, aligning with past supply and liquidity sweep potential. ⚔️ After a Ch.o.C (Change of Character) broke minor structure, it’s likely we see: A deeper reversal toward support at 3323.450 Or a full breakdown heading into the FVG zone near 3308–3310 If we get a selling confirmation breakout, expect a flush back into imbalance & maybe beyond 👇 📉 Technical Bias: Bearish Rejection Setup 🧠 Sentiment: Watching for sell signals post-liquidation 📍 Key Zone: 3330–3335 = SELL Interest 🔔 Trigger: Watch 3323.450 for clean confirmation 💬 Note for traders: This could be the “trap” before NY liquidity kicks in — manage risk tight!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FaithdrivenTrades
1
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 3374 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bearish After Break : 3338 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🦸‍♂️ Tactical Note: The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
13
XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook🟢 XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook 🕐 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar – Heikin Ashi The market structure on the 5-minute chart confirms a bullish bias, supported by multiple structural shifts and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) following a valid trading range. 🔍 Key Highlights: After a clear BOS and bullish consolidation, price tapped into the TLQ (True Liquidity Zone) and reacted strongly from the Extreme Zone just above $3,316. The EPA (Entry Point Area) held effectively as a short-term support, fueling a sharp breakout move. The current price has surged past $3,322, pushing into an area of minor resistance near $3,332 – $3,336. The recent price action shows the market is inefficient, which often leads to rebalancing — watch for a potential retrace toward EPA or TLQ before continuation. 📈 Scalping Strategy Note: Traders could look for short-term retracement entries between $3,318 – $3,320, targeting the upper resistance zone while managing risk below $3,316. 📊 Structure: Bullish ✅ Efficiency: Inefficient ❌ (expect potential re-tests) Momentum: Accelerating Trend Bias: Intraday Bullish --- 💬 Scalpers should remain cautious around high volatility zones and news-driven sessions. This chart reflects an excellent model for liquidity-based entries in a trending environment. 📌 Analysis by: Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Gold:bullish wedge inside a rising channel-double trap for bearsInside the major upward channel, gold formed a falling wedge — and, of course, faked a breakdown. But the move reversed quickly: price reclaimed the wedge, surged on volume, and held above the key 3363–3368 area. This isn't just a bounce — it's a structural reclaim in line with the broader trend. Price is now in the upper part of the rising channel and has broken a local downtrend line, reinforcing the bullish signal. Consolidation around 3380–3395 might be the last pause before acceleration. Above that lies a volume gap — no resistance until 3452. MACD is flipping bullish, RSI turning upward, and volume confirms smart money presence. Classic: trap below, breakout above. As long as 3363 holds — longs remain in control.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Gold Trading Strategy June 24Quite surprised with the price gap down at the beginning of the day. A sweep to 3333 and recovery to increase again in the Tokyo trading session. This recovery completely breaks the market's bullish wave structure. 3363 and 3335 are paying attention in today's Asian and European trading sessions. This area can be traded short-term in the sideways range. The SELL area pays attention to the opening gap at 3368. The upper range has some adjustments compared to yesterday in the direction of decreasing prices, so the SELL range 3386 and 3410 is paid attention to for trading. Resistance: 3363-3368-3386-3410 Support: 3335-3322-3296 Good trading signal BUY GOLD 3323-3321 Stoploss 3318 SELL GOLD 3363-3365 Stoploss 3370
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
4
GOLD recovers market overview, key outlookOANDA:XAUUSD is under downward pressure, and ended last week's trading session with a decline. With tensions in the Middle East easing slightly and the Federal Reserve giving a hawkish signal, the safe-haven demand in the gold market tends to weaken, and investors' profit-taking intentions increase, these are the main reasons why gold recorded a significant correction this week. Gold prices fell last week as safe-haven demand weakened as tensions in the Middle East temporarily eased. President Trump said he would decide on military action against Iran in the next two weeks, a concession that helped ease fears of an escalation. Although Iran continued to launch missiles at Israel, the situation has not spread. However, the Middle East conflict remains risky and is unlikely to end completely. Gold prices are under pressure due to the Fed's hawkish tone. Although the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, Chairman Powell warned of inflation risks, especially from Trump's new tax policies. At the same time, Mr. Chris Waller's statement showed that the possibility of a July interest rate cut also depends on the inflation situation, causing market expectations to decrease and negatively affecting gold - a non-interest-bearing asset. Central banks and institutions maintain bullish medium- and long-term expectations Despite short-term pressures, most institutions maintain positive medium-term expectations for gold. Goldman Sachs reiterated its target of $4,000/oz by 2025, while Citigroup believes gold could fall below $3,000/oz by 2026. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has once again bounced from the EMA21 and reached its initial upside target at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement of $3,371, as noted in previous editions. For now, for gold to qualify for its next upside target at the raw price of $3,400, it needs to sustain price action above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, which means the 0.236% Fibonacci level is also the closest resistance at present. Once gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will be in a position to continue its short-term rally with a target of around $3,435, rather than the all-time high of $3,500. In terms of overall structure, gold still has a bullish outlook with the price channel as the main trend and RSI remaining above 50 and well away from the overbought zone, suggesting that there is still plenty of upside ahead. In the case of a sell-off, if gold is sold below the EMA21, it could test the $3,320 support in the short term, more so the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level converging with the lower edge of the price channel. Therefore, early long positions may be considered in terms of volume as well as protection of open positions. Finally, technically, gold is still trending with an overall bullish outlook, with notable positions listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,320 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435 – $3,500 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3312 - 3314⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3308 →Take Profit 1 3320 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384. Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located. Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356. Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/ Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439 Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338. The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
18