XAU/USDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD → Consolidation within a falling wedgeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating. A major player is gathering a trading position inside a wedge ahead of distribution. But the main question is: in which direction?
Gold lost ground again on Friday after mixed holiday trading on Thursday. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Fed and monitoring the situation in the Middle East. Interestingly, gold fell as the conflict escalated further (which is not logical overall). The dollar is in a global bearish trend, and traders are waiting for a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates).
Technically, if we look at the wedge, we can see how difficult it is for the market to move. The price is stuck inside the consolidation. The intraday movement is very short, with long tails and a very weak reaction to both false breakouts and level break. Large players are building up positions inside the current channel. This may only hint at the possibility of future implementation (distribution).
Resistance levels: 3360, 3396, 3420
Support levels: 3338, 3320, 3302
On D1 - H4, gold is in a countertrend (bullish trend) correction and is testing the trend support + 0.7 Fibo zone. Below, there are fairly strong areas of interest — 3320 and 3302 — which gold may test before rising. However, within the wedge, there is a fairly high probability of a breakout of resistance and the 3360 level, followed by a rally to the liquidity zone at 3396
Best regards, R. Linda!
Middle East War - Gold Price Increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/23/2025 - 06/27/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering near $3,369 and on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 1.90%, as markets digested US President Donald Trump’s decision to forgo immediate military action against Iran in favor of a diplomatic approach. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.11%.
While easing geopolitical tensions helped lift risk sentiment, additional pressure on gold emerged from concerns over potential US restrictions on allies operating semiconductor plants in China, as reported by Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged a risk-on tone, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Middle East tensions escalate, gold prices continue to recover above 3400, early next week
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3395, $3448
Support: $3302, $3256
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
"Clear Downtrend in Gold – Bearish Momentum Confirmed📉 Key Bearish Signals
Downtrend Channel
Price is consistently respecting a descending channel — lower highs and lower lows.
This is a classic bearish structure, indicating sellers are in control.
Rejection from Upper Channel Line
Price recently tested the upper boundary of the channel and got rejected.
This is a strong signal of continued downside as bulls failed to break out.
Break Below EMA 200
Price is trading well below the 200 EMA, showing a longer-term bearish bias even on intraday charts.
The EMA is acting as dynamic resistance.
Volume Confirmation
Increased volume seen during the sell-off near the channel top — confirms institutional selling or large participant exit.
Lower Highs Formation
Even when price bounces, it's making lower highs, a clear sign of distribution and selling into rallies.
Conclusion
Yes, it's a clear selling structure. Price is respecting the downward channel, rejected the 200 EMA, and has volume backing the move. Short-selling on rallies within the channel, with stops above the upper trendline or EMA, would align with the trend.
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today's second and also final trade opportunity comes from the XAUUSD pair. I consider this setup to be somewhat risky, so I recommend keeping your risk exposure at a minimum.
Earlier today, I shared a trade on GBPJPY, which has since experienced a strong upward move. As a result, I’ve updated the TP level for that trade. You can find the updated information noted under that specific post.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3323.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3340.22
✔️ Stop Loss: 3314.50
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook | June 23, 2025👋 Hello Gold traders!
We’re entering a new week with structure sharpening around key zones. Price is now hovering just below the decision shelf at 3385, and all eyes are on whether bulls defend structure — or bears trigger the first real trap. Let’s zoom in with pure Daily focus and zero noise.
🔸 DAILY STRUCTURE OUTLOOK
Gold remains in a clear bullish trend on the Daily timeframe, with the last confirmed Higher High at 3452. However, current price is in a retracement phase, testing the area just below the BOS and reacting to recent liquidity sweeps.
Despite rising USD pressure, the bullish structure remains intact unless a daily close breaks below 3315.
📌 Daily Bias: Bullish (retracement phase active)
🧭 Macro Context:
Heavy Fed week: Powell testifies Tue & Wed, Core PCE and Consumer Sentiment hit Fri.
USD may remain supported short-term, but gold still benefits from long-term inflation hedge + geopolitical risk flows.
🔹 STRUCTURAL KEY ZONES (D1)
Type Zone Confluences
🟢 Buy Zone #1 3320 – 3340 Daily OB, FVG base, EMA50 , structure HL defense
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3265 – 3285 Untapped OB + imbalance, deeper fib retrace
🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Former BOS, FVG retest, minor liquidity shelf
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3425 First sweep of equal highs, premium OB, FVG pocket
🔴 Sell Zone #2 3440 – 3460 Extreme bull trap: clean OB top, imbalance cluster
🎯 EXECUTION PLAN
🔍 Flip Zone is your battlefield — if bulls reclaim this zone cleanly, we may revisit 3405.
📉 3405–3425 offers the first sniper short opportunity: liquidity sweep + OB + FVG = prime short trigger.
📈 3320–3340 is the cleanest high-RR long zone — only enter if price reacts with strength and forms a rejection candle or bullish engulfing.
🧊 If 3320 fails, standby at 3265–3285 for a deeper correction entry backed by clean OB/FVG logic.
✅ SUMMARY & ACTION PLAN
Wait for confirmation at the Flip Zone — do not force direction.
Most precise sniper trades expected:
🔻 Sell from 3405–3425 → target Flip Zone
🔺 Buy from 3320–3340 → target 3385–3400
Only engage with clear OB reactions and strong PA confirmation — no bounce chasing.
💬 If this outlook gave you clarity, drop a 🚀 and a like to support the work — it helps more traders find it.
💡 Got feedback or want to ask something? Comment below — we read everything.
📌 Follow GoldFxMinds for high-precision sniper plans, every single day.
📌 Disclaimer: I'm part of Trade Nation's Influencer Program and receive compensation for using their charts on TradingView. This content is for educational purposes only.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold Outlook: Bullish Bias Builds🧠 Combined Market Intelligence Report
Focus Asset: XAU/USD (Gold/USD)
Current Price: $3,381.65
🌍 Macro Overview: Key Weekly Market Themes
🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence
Federal Reserve: Held rates steady; Powell struck a more cautious tone. Seven members now forecast no cuts in 2025. Rate cut probability softened early in the week, then revived after Fed Governor Waller hinted at a possible July cut.
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Cut rates to 0.00%, surprising markets and signaling potential for negative rates if needed.
Bank of Japan (BOJ): Maintained rates at 0.50%, slowed bond tapering, signaled caution amid trade and inflation uncertainty.
ECB & BOE: Mostly neutral/dovish tones. ECB may cut in 6 months; BOE remained split.
🧩 Implication: Diverging monetary paths and policy uncertainty support demand for neutral reserve assets like gold.
⚔️ Geopolitical Risk: Israel-Iran Conflict
Markets opened bullish on gold due to de-escalation signals from Iran, but risk-off sentiment returned midweek after:
Trump’s “unconditional surrender” demand
Iran’s “irreparable damage” threat
Reports of possible U.S. strikes
By Friday, Trump hit “pause” for 2 weeks of diplomacy.
🧩 Implication: Geopolitical tension is unresolved. Gold remains a top safe-haven hedge as military conflict risk persists.
📉 Macro Data Weakness
U.S. Retail Sales: -0.9% (vs. -0.4% expected)
U.S. Industrial Production: -0.2%
Philly Fed Manufacturing: -4.0
UK Retail Sales: -2.7% m/m
Eurozone Wage Growth: 3.4% y/y (missed expectations)
Australia Jobs: -2.5k (vs. +15k expected)
🧩 Implication: Global slowdown signals strengthen gold’s appeal as a defensive and inflation-hedging asset.
📊 Technical Outlook for XAU/USD (Gold)
🔹 Current Price: $3,381.65
🔸 Key Indicators (1D)
Indicator Value Signal
RSI 55.65 Slightly bullish (>50)
Stochastic %K / %D 51.23 / 53.33 Neutral zone
Williams %R -44.18 Mid-range, no strong signal
Bollinger Mid-Band 3,381.55 Price = BB midline (balance point)
Keltner Mid-Channel 3,381.94 Matching price (consolidation)
📍 Key Price Levels
Support: $3,360 → $3,345
Resistance: $3,410 → $3,430
Breakout Point: Close above $3,410 confirms upside momentum
Breakdown Point: Close below $3,360 confirms renewed selling pressure
📈 Forecast for Gold (XAU/USD) – Next 1–5 Days
🔮 Fundamental Bias: 🔼 Mildly Bullish
Unresolved geopolitical tension = sustained safe-haven flows
Global economic softness = pressure on real yields
Mixed Fed tone, SNB cut = supportive macro backdrop for gold
📉 Technical Bias: 🔁 Neutral to Bullish
RSI above 50, price above major midlines = buyers still in control
Consolidation at key pivot level ($3,381) suggests accumulation, not exhaustion
If price breaks above $3,410 and sustains, rally toward $3,430–3,460 is likely
If price breaks below $3,360, watch for a retest of $3,345–3,330 support zone
🎯 Final XAU/USD Forecast Summary
Time Frame Direction Price Targets Confidence Risk Catalyst
1–2 Days 🔁 Sideways-to-Bullish $3,390 → $3,410 Moderate News on Fed, Trump-Iran
3–5 Days 🔼 Bullish $3,430 → $3,460 High Breakout + geopolitics
Bearish Case 🔽 If < $3,360 $3,345 → $3,330 Moderate Peace deal + strong USD
⚠️ Trade Considerations
If bullish breakout (> $3,410) → potential swing trade toward $3,460
If failed breakout (< $3,360) → reversion trade toward $3,330
Avoid aggressive positions until volatility picks up, as current setup is range-bound with breakout potential.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | June 23–27, 2025👋 Hey gold traders! As we close out the FOMC week and head into the final stretch of June, gold continues to hold bullish structure — but this week's candle is entering a very sensitive premium area. Let's break it all down in full top-down clarity:
🔍 Weekly Structure Update
✅ Weekly BOS confirmed since November 2023
✅ Price holding above EMA 5/21/50 — bullish lock intact
🔼 Current HH printed at 3452
📍Price is now entering a weekly FVG + supply trap zone around 3440–3460
🟣 RSI divergence starting to appear — caution in premium
🗺 Key Weekly Zones
Type Price Range Context
🔵 Demand Zone 3150 – 3190 Weekly OB + EMA50 confluence
🟣 FVG Support 3284 – 3320 Fresh imbalance post BOS
🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Retest of BOS + FVG bottom
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Weekly OB + liquidity sweep area
🧠 Bias This Week
📌 Bullish, but extended.
We expect a reaction from 3440–3460, not blind continuation.
The next healthy buy opportunity is only valid on a retrace toward 3320–3280, aligned with imbalance + structure.
🧭 GoldFxMinds Game Plan
Above 3440–3460 = overextension — wait for trap/sweep confirmation 🧨
Below 3363 = bearish flip zone — risk of revisiting 3280
Ideal buy = 3284–3320 → only on bullish PA or reversal confirmation
📰 Upcoming Economic Events (June 23–27)
🗣 FOMC Speakers flood the week (Waller, Powell, Williams, Goolsbee, Hammack, etc.)
🏠 Existing & New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence, Pending Home Sales
🛢 Crude Oil & Natural Gas Inventory reports
📊 Final GDP q/q, Core PCE, Personal Spending/Income
📉 Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims
🧪 Bank Stress Test Results (Friday)
⚠️ This is a dense news week — stay alert for surprise volatility, especially around Powell’s testimonies (Tue & Wed).
⚠️ Summary:
We are no longer in discount — we are inside the premium trap. Gold remains bullish, but 3440–3460 is a red flag zone. If this becomes the top, watch the flip at 3363–3385. Only re-enter long if structure confirms.
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a comment, give it a like, and make sure to follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates every week!
📣 This post was made using the Trade Nation chart feed. As a partner in their influencer program, I receive compensation for using and sharing their tools.
Long XAUUSDCentral banks are still buying gold and we got risk off sentiment from Israel/Iran war. Demand for gold is still high. We are on a pullback since it is a very crowded trade+ Trump giving Iran 2 weeks for a deal + the Fed not cutting rate since they are waiting on inflation data to see if those numbers rise.
A few investment banks see gold hitting 3500 before year end.
Technically (which is 20% of the reason why I am looking at gold long) we got last leg 78.6 fib+ 50 Daily MA + H4 200 MA + bigger time frame 38.2 fib
3325 will be the zone I will look to get in... if we get there.
Trump might just attack Iran during the weekend and we get a market open gap on gold... who knows..
Good luck and happy trading!
GOLD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading along the
Rising support and is already
Making a bullish rebound so
As we are bullish biased due
To the strong uptrend we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up on Gold
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels and Trends 23/June/2025 Core Themes
1. Geopolitical Drivers: Escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, are fueling gold's "flight to safety" narrative. Analysts anticipate sustained demand for gold amid potential regional conflict.
2. Technical Bullish Bias: Gold is in an uptrend, respecting key support levels and forming higher lows within an ascending channel. Breakouts above resistance (e.g., $3,439–$3,501) could validate further gains.
3. Correction vs. Continuation: While short-term pullbacks are expected (e.g., testing $3,320–$3,200), the broader bullish structure suggests corrections are temporary.
---
Key Technical Levels
Support:
- Immediate: $3,320 (lower channel boundary)
- Deeper: $3,200 (critical level; break could extend corrections)
Resistance:
- Short-term: $3,378–$3,382 (upper channel boundary)
- Mid-term: $3,439 (previous resistance; target for bullish continuation)
- Long-term: $3,501 (potential next resistance; requires strong momentum)
Fibonacci Retracements:
- 23.6%: $3,360–$3,370 (support zone for long entries)
- 50.0%: $3,400 (conservative take-profit target)
- 61.8%: $3,415 (key golden ratio level; likely Wave (5) peak)
- 100%: $3,435–$3,440 (aggressive target; upper channel line)
---
Trade Setups & Strategies
1. Long Entry:
- Target: $3,400–$3,435 (Fibonacci extensions)
- Stop-Loss: Below $3,315 (break of key support)
- Entry Zone: $3,360–$3,370 (near ascending channel support and 23.6% Fib)
2. Bullish Confirmation:
- Breakout Above $3,378: Validates continuation toward $3,439 and $3,501.
- Volume Increase: Confirms strength at key levels (e.g., $3,360–$3,370).
---
Risk Management & Key Risks
- Stop-Loss Placement:
- Longs: Below $3,315 (protects against deeper corrections).
- Shorts: Above $3,350 (avoids false breakouts).
- Volatility: Monitor geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-Iran escalation) that could trigger rapid price swings.
- Correction Risks: If gold fails to hold $3,320, a drop to $3,200 may occur, requiring tighter stops.
---
Fundamental Outlook
- Safe-Haven Demand: Rising tensions are likely to sustain gold's appeal.
- Inflation & Rate Outlook: Persistent inflation concerns and potential rate cuts (if economic data weakens) could further support gold.
- Negotiation Risk: De-escalation or Iran's concessions may pause the bullish momentum, leading to a reversal toward $3,340–$3,320.
---
Conclusion
Gold is in a strong bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks and technical structure. Traders should focus on buying dips near $3,320–$3,370 with targets toward $3,439–$3,501. However, monitor the $3,320 support and geopolitical developments closely. If the trend breaks, a retest of $3,200 could follow. Always use stop-losses to manage risk.
Final Note: The market is highly volatile, so position sizing and risk management are critical. Stay alert for news updates and technical confirmations (e.g., closes above $3,378)
Buy GOLD now at 3352 and target 3381,3455 and 3517. 🟦 Price Action Idea: Pullback to 3356 Weekly Zone
I’m observing a pullback on the daily chart into the 3356 weekly supply zone, where I expect a potential rejection — partly due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East acting as a catalyst.
📊 Chart Simplicity:
I always try to keep my chart simple and beginner-friendly. If you choose to trade this setup:
Use proper position sizing.
You can average into your position near the blue line in the stop-loss zone.
Take partial profits at each marked level.
❗ Do NOT hold the full position until the final target. Manage your trade actively.
🟨 Good luck — and stay disciplined.
⚠️ A Friendly Reminder
I’m not a signal provider and I’m not selling anything here.
If you're looking to buy signals, some “signalists” will likely comment below, trying to redirect you to premium channels. That’s their business — not mine.
👇 To New Traders:
Here’s how many people think early on:
“Trading is easy. I’ll just follow someone with 10K, 30K, or even 100K followers and copy their trades.”
Let’s be real:
Even a 100K following doesn't guarantee quality.
Many of those accounts don’t trade their own signals — they live off selling them.
🧠 How to Protect Yourself
If you want to grow and not just follow hype, here’s a simple method:
✅ Track 30–40 trade ideas from different traders — including older posts (some move winners to the last pages to look better).
✅ Check if the direction was correct.
✅ See if the entry was actually filled.
✅ Evaluate the trade logic, not just the result.
This is how you’ll learn to think independently and avoid falling for signal-selling traps.
Trade safe. Trade smart.
Rendon1
XAUUSD LONG AFTER A LTF BOSGOLD has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control.
This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Price has already retraced back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders and there’s a liquidity sweep signaling a buy. We should be expecting a buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise.
Entry:
I’m buying from this Demand Zone. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone.
If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high.
• Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities.
• Buying upon the pullback into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.