Gold Eyes $3,361 in Bearish Setup📊 Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Chart
Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30-minute
Instrument: CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ)
Current Price: $3,386.282
Price Change: +14.757 (+0.44%)
Date: June 23, 2025
---
🔍 Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a descending triangle, characterized by:
A flat support zone around the $3,351–$3,355 range.
A descending resistance trendline, suggesting lower highs over time.
This is typically a bearish pattern, indicating that sellers are pressuring price lower.
2. Breakout and Retest
There was a recent breakout above the descending trendline (highlighted with a blue move).
However, the price may be performing a false breakout or retest, as a downward arrow suggests a potential reversal back toward the support.
3. Volume and Market Sentiment
Although volume is not shown, the chart’s structure implies selling pressure is still dominant after each rally is rejected.
Price remains within a consolidation box, indicating indecision — but leaning bearish due to the triangle pattern.
---
🎯 Target: $3,361
The label "Target 3361" marks a likely support level if the bearish pattern plays out.
This is a measured move from the triangle height and structure, projecting downward from the breakdown point.
---
🛑 Support Zones
Strong demand zones highlighted in red between $3,325–$3,340.
If price breaks below $3,351, expect a drop to $3,325–$3,330, which are historical demand areas.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (June 20), spot gold fell narrowly and is currently trading around $3,360 per ounce. London gold prices fluctuated violently under the dual influence of the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical tensions. Powell's hawkish stance cooled the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. As a non-yielding asset, international gold is under obvious pressure under high interest rate expectations. In sharp contrast to the Fed's hawkish stance, geopolitical tensions have provided important safe-haven support for international gold prices. The escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict has not only exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, but also triggered market concerns about the global security environment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often sought after when geopolitical risks rise. In the short term, the continued escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may continue to drive safe-haven funds into the gold market, but the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the specific implementation of the Trump administration's tariff policy will have a key impact on the medium- and long-term trend of gold prices.
Technical Review :
Gold maintained a volatile closing. The daily chart closed with alternating buying and selling for four consecutive trading days. There was no trend continuation. We will continue to pay attention to the 3350/3390 range during the day. Today's trading ideas are still short-term, selling at high prices and buying at low prices to participate in the volatile trend.So far this week, gold has been difficult to break out of the continuity of buying and selling. Yesterday, Thursday, under the temporary performance of gold's short-term dollar trend, we are optimistic that gold will fluctuate in the range, with the maximum range at 3350/3400, but there may often be a breakout on Thursday. Therefore, today we should pay attention to both trading within the range and the strength after the breakout.
Today's analysis:
Gold fluctuated overall yesterday due to the early closure of the US market, and the fluctuation was not large. However, gold as a whole is still biased towards selling. Gold is now weak in buying and rebounding, so there is a lot of room for gold selling. Next, we will continue to sell gold. If there is no particularly large profit to support gold, then gold buying may not cause any big waves in the short term. Gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross and sell downward. Gold selling is strong and there is still room for downward movement. After gold fell yesterday, the highest rebound was around 3378, and then it continued to fall back. After rebounding several times, it did not break through 3378 again. Gold continued to sell at high prices under pressure at 3378. Gold is now fluctuating and falling, and the center of gravity is constantly moving downward. With this trend, gold may accelerate downward at any time.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3335-3338 buy, stop loss 3328, target 3370-3380;
Short-term gold 3360-3370 short, stop loss 3387, target 3330-3340;
Key points:
First support level: 3352, second support level: 3344, third support level: 3331
First resistance level: 3378, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
"Clear Downtrend in Gold – Bearish Momentum Confirmed📉 Key Bearish Signals
Downtrend Channel
Price is consistently respecting a descending channel — lower highs and lower lows.
This is a classic bearish structure, indicating sellers are in control.
Rejection from Upper Channel Line
Price recently tested the upper boundary of the channel and got rejected.
This is a strong signal of continued downside as bulls failed to break out.
Break Below EMA 200
Price is trading well below the 200 EMA, showing a longer-term bearish bias even on intraday charts.
The EMA is acting as dynamic resistance.
Volume Confirmation
Increased volume seen during the sell-off near the channel top — confirms institutional selling or large participant exit.
Lower Highs Formation
Even when price bounces, it's making lower highs, a clear sign of distribution and selling into rallies.
Conclusion
Yes, it's a clear selling structure. Price is respecting the downward channel, rejected the 200 EMA, and has volume backing the move. Short-selling on rallies within the channel, with stops above the upper trendline or EMA, would align with the trend.
BUYS ON XAUUSD🧠 Current Context on Daily (1D):
🔸 Price is currently in a clear short-term bearish structure following a Break of Structure (BOS).
🔸 It’s dropping towards a zone where a bullish order block begins, around the 75%-100% Fibonacci retracement.
📌 The 50 EMA on the daily chart (around 3,281) is still below price, indicating the overall macro trend remains bullish, but the current move is a healthy bearish correction.
📉 What to expect in the next few hours/days:
🔻 Scenario 1 – Continuation of the drop (likely in the short term):
Price could continue falling toward:
75% retracement zone (~3,339)
100% retracement zone (~3,302), which aligns with a previous demand zone and is close to the 50 EMA
✅ In that area, we could expect:
Mitigation of the daily OB
Bullish reaction if there's a liquidity sweep or confirmation on H4/H1
📈 Scenario 2 – Reversal from current level (less likely without confirmation):
Price is close to the 71% Fib level, so a small bounce may occur, but without liquidity being taken or clear reversal signals, it’s likely to be weak or temporary.
🔥 Conclusion:
It's not yet time to buy impulsively. The price is dropping in an orderly fashion and hasn’t reached a key liquidity zone or the 50 EMA.
👉 Wait for price to reach the 3,339 – 3,302 zone and show PA (price action) confirmation of a reversal.
That could offer a high-probability long opportunity.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
XAU/USD Smart Money Setup | Daily Demand Holding SeenForex | ICT-Based Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) is respecting the Daily Demand Zone after forming a clean sweep of short-term liquidity ($$$).
Price is showing signs of potential reversal after mitigation of demand and may target the ATH liquidity above.
Key Observations:
- Daily Demand Zone tested & holding.
- Short-term liquidity ($$$) taken below recent lows.
- FVG + Break in structure expected for confirmation.
- Possible move toward $3,500 ATH area if bullish order flow continues.
- Rejection zone: $3,370–$3,395 (Short-term supply).
💡 Patience is key. Wait for clear bullish confirmation before execution.
Strategy: ICT Smart Money | Liquidity Sweep | Order Block | BOS | FVG
Analyst: SeenForex
Date: June 19, 2025
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #ICT #ForexAnalysis #OrderBlock #SeenForex #LiquiditySweep #FVG #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas
📈 Follow for more Smart Money setups – SeenForex 🔔
XAUUSD Long Setup – Retest of Broken Structure & Safe-Haven FlowGold has pulled back to retest a strong former resistance (now support) zone around $3,385–$3,390. This level aligns with a previous breakout and marks the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. The pair is now showing bullish structure with back-to-back continuation patterns (bull flags), suggesting further upside potential.
Given escalating geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel strikes, Trump-led evacuation urgency), slowing Fed cut expectations, and softening inflation-adjusted yields, gold remains in demand.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows maintained.
Support Zone: $3,385–$3,390 (retest zone) – bulls stepping back in.
Targets:
TP1: $3,451
TP2: $3,470
TP3: $3,495 (new local high)
Stop Loss: Below $3,369 (recent low)
Pattern Context: Bull flags continue to form and break bullish – reinforcing trend.
🧠 Fundamental Context (June 17):
Bullish Drivers:
Middle East escalation → safe haven bid surging (Iran missile launches, Israeli retaliation, US political chaos).
Fed on pause → real yields are subdued, favoring non-yielding assets like gold.
Convexity & bond volatility rising → investors hedging with hard assets (confirmed via CME sentiment reports).
Risks:
Sudden peace deal or ceasefire.
Unexpected US CPI spike → reawakens rate hike fears.
📅 Key Events to Watch:
Fed speeches (confirmation of dovish tone)
Any ceasefire or major diplomatic development
Oil movement (energy risk spillovers)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Confirmation SignalI observe two solid bullish signals on 📈GOLD following a pullback to a recently violated key horizontal support.
The price has risen, breaking through both the neckline of a double bottom pattern and the resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
We can expect a bullish trend towards a new higher high.
GOLD continue sideway , SELL 3393⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices remain well-supported during the North American session following breaking news that Iran has launched retaliatory strikes on US military bases in Qatar. The escalation comes in response to Washington’s weekend assault on Iranian nuclear facilities. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East dominate headlines, investors have largely sidelined US economic data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,385, up 0.39%.
Macroeconomic indicators have taken a backseat as heightened conflict drives market sentiment. Citing Israeli media, Al Arabiya reported that Iran targeted US bases in Qatar, Kuwait, and Iraq with missile strikes. In a further escalation, Tehran approved the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz and launched additional missiles at Israeli targets—amplifying safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices reacted to a decrease in positive news about peace in the Middle East, continuing to accumulate.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3392- 3394 SL 3399
TP1: $3382
TP2: $3370
TP3: $3360
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3319-$3317 SL $3312
TP1: $3327
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3349
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
The bulls are not dead yet, it’s time to ambush at low levels!Gold only opened higher and rose on Monday this week, and then reached the highest level of 3452, and then started the road of shock and retracement this week. As of today, Friday, gold is still oscillating and adjusting in the lower range, but from the 4-hour market trend, the trend of gold is still dominated by bulls. In the short term, gold is oscillating and adjusting at a low level. Today, Friday, we will first focus on the support level of 3347-3353 below, which is also the starting point of the rebound yesterday. If this position is not broken today, Friday, we will mainly rebound and close.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below focuses on 3347-3353, and the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3378-3385 level, with a focus on the 3408-3415 level. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation unchanged, and the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautiously chase orders, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3347-3355, with a target of 3370-3380.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 20, 2025🧭 Market Context
Following FOMC volatility and a Wednesday bullish reaction off 3351, XAUUSD is now hovering near 3370. The structure remains compressed between a flat EMA cluster and a key supply zone above. Thursday may bring low-to-moderate volatility early on, but watch for reaction after Philly Fed Manufacturing and CB Leading Index data during NY. Also, stay alert for a tentative Fed Monetary Policy Report release that may trigger later-session volatility.
🔍 Structural Overview
Daily Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
H4 Trend: Still respecting higher lows but price is trapped under dynamic resistance
H1–M15: Consolidation between 3351 demand and 3388 supply
RSI: Mixed; compression between 47–55
EMA Flow: Flat on M30/H1; slight compression building for breakout
Liquidity Pools:
Resting buy-side above 3388
Resting sell-side below 3351 and deeper toward 3340
📍 Key Zones to Watch
🔵 BUY ZONE #1 – 3345–3352
🔹 Demand zone | Previous NY reversal base
🔹 M15 OB + EQ zone + liquidity sweep
🔹 Below full EMA stack → oversold entry if NY flushes pre-news
🔵 BUY ZONE #2 – 3328–3340
🔹 Deeper HTF demand + RSI oversold potential
🔹 Bullish CHoCH reaction zone from last week
🔹 High RR for recovery play if price collapses during NY news
🔴 SELL ZONE #1 – 3384–3395
🔸 Rejected on FOMC wicks
🔸 Key supply zone + EMA200 (M30/H1)
🔸 Fakeout zone → valid if price spikes before NY volatility
🔴 SELL ZONE #2 – 3405–3415
🔸 Secondary high liquidity trap
🔸 Last bullish FVG inefficiency
🔸 To be used only in case of irrational spikes post-data
🟠 FLIP ZONE – 3368–3375
🔸 Compression zone + recent CHoCH
🔸 EMA50 (M15–H1) aligning
🔸 Watch for breakout and real volume entry → flip zone into continuation
📌 Note:
Tomorrow’s news events:
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
CB Leading Index m/m
Fed Monetary Policy Report (Tentative)
This could bring range plays early and a directional break later. Stay patient and wait for confirmation inside zones. Flip zone is ideal for quick scalps if volume picks up.
🔥 Stay sharp and don’t force trades in pre-news chop. Clean zones only.
Tag us if you’re using the plan, and don’t forget:
🧠 Think in structure. Enter in precision.
– GoldFxMinds
🟢 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD I Monday CLS I KL - OB/FVG I Target Monday CLS HighsHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down:
🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
USD drivers this week:
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking
🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony
🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims
🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations
Macro sentiment:
FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection.
🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS
Market structure:
Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS).
Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection.
EMA Cluster:
Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100.
EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds.
Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral
As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term.
🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map
🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification
🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance
🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB
🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA)
If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285.
A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected.
Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises.
✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan
🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point.
📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405.
📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength.
💎 Best RR zones:
Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340
Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380
🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post!
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans.
🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge.
🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts.
GoldFxMinds
Gold is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,360 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Sell Setup – 4H Timeframe📍 Entry: 3,328
❌ Stop Loss: 3,351
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,273
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,217
🎯 Take Profit 3: 3,151
---
🧠 Trade Analysis:
The market has reacted strongly from a key resistance zone, forming a potential bearish structure on the 4-hour timeframe. Current price action suggests seller strength and a shift in momentum toward the downside.
This setup offers a well-defined short opportunity with a clear stop loss and three take profit levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable for swing traders targeting medium-term moves.
Confirmation of bearish continuation can strengthen this idea. Monitor price behavior and volume closely near entry level.
---
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use proper risk management and conduct your own research before executing any trade.
XAUUSDAnother trade for today is once again from Gold—no surprises there! 😊
My strategy has just signaled a buy opportunity on the precious metal, and I wanted to share this setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3374.92
✔️ Take Profit: 3384.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 3370.21
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.