XRPUSD trade ideas
XRPUSD Technical Analysis — Bearish Retracement in PlayXRPUSD Technical Analysis — Bearish Retracement in Play
Overview:
XRPUSD is currently exhibiting signs of bearish momentum after failing to break through a key resistance zone. Price action suggests a potential retracement towards the marked target level of 3.39519, supported by multiple technical indicators and price structure.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 3.70 – 3.75 (strong supply zone; price rejected here multiple times).
Support Zone: 3.30 – 3.39 (prior demand zone and EMA confluence).
Target: 3.39519 (short-term bearish target as marked on chart).
Current Price: 3.50 (as of chart time).
Indicators & Price Action:
EMA Analysis:
EMA 20/50 (red/orange) are flattening out, indicating weakening short-term momentum.
EMA 100 (cyan) acts as current dynamic support.
EMA 200 (blue) is far below, suggesting room for deeper retracement if sentiment weakens.
Price Structure:
XRPUSD formed a double top near resistance, followed by lower highs.
Recent candle patterns show indecision and possible distribution.
Projected bearish leg toward 3.39519 suggests sellers are in short-term control.
Conclusion:
XRPUSD is likely to retest the 3.395 support level after rejecting the upper resistance zone. The bearish structure is supported by EMA alignment, price action, and repeated failure to break resistance. A break below 3.395 could open further downside towards 3.31. However, a strong bounce from support could invalidate this setup.
Trade Bias: Short-term bearish toward 3.395, watching for reaction at support.
XRP - Ready for Next LegXRP recently made a new all time high at $3.66. But what we are seeing could give credit to even higher highs about to be developed.
What we have seen over the last few days of price action is market structure respecting our old 2025 ATH.
Any dips we have seen have developed lows between $3.30-$3.40. Creating this in to what seems to be a new level of support.
In this post we outlined how that yellow dotted line (key level) would play a role in future price action. So far that is what has happen and we are seeing beautiful market structure develop.
If XRP is to break the $3.66 level we are likely to see a rapid increase in price. Some of the levels that could end up becoming key levels for the future are these:
$3.90
$4.20
$4.50
$5.30
XRPUSD – Reclaim or Reject? Critical TestXRP flushed hard to $2.95, then reversed and is now pressing back into prior breakdown levels at $3.26–$3.31. 200 SMA above is resistance at $3.31. RSI at 63.14, bullish and rising. This is the make-or-break retest zone. Break it, and we could see $3.40+ fast. Rejection = trap.
XRP THE $2.99 "NUKE" LEVEL Could Send Price To $30 to $100+ Primary Expansion Window: July 20 – Aug 3, 2025 (potential extension to Sept 20)
XRP is positioned for a structural regime shift. The pivotal $2.99 "nuke" level is on watch a clean break through this price isn't just an ignition, it's the catalyst for explosive directional flow. As algorithms flips long above $2.99, Wave 1 is triggered, opening accelerated risk toward the $30 target during this active expansion window.
Vector Confluence Rays: Dynamic Support/Resistance. order flow and price memory become most active these are potential launch points for expansion or resistance.
Nuke Level ($2.99): The term signals more than a trigger it's the critical inflection where algo's initiate volatility and momentum. When breached, price will accelerate.
What’s Next After Wave 1?
Second Expansion Window: November to December 2025
When momentum and higher timeframe structure persist, a larger breakout framework comes into play with targets of $60, $100, and, in extreme scenarios, $1,500+ if a full structural unlock unfolds.
Key Takeaways
$2.99 is the “nuke” level: The breakout ignition for Wave 1. Algo's are highly likely to accelerate above this line, targeting upwards to $30 within the first expansion window.
Lower probability predictive models do show price can reach $60 Wave 1 in extreme cases.
Expansion windows defined: First window live July–September; second window November–December for further upside potential.
Above $2.99: Upside is highly probable the algo is primed and with years of price suppression means acceleration is very likely once this level breaks.
-Neverwishing
XRPUSD - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DESPITE STRONG BULLISH PRESSUREXRPUSD SIGNALS BEARISH DIVERGENCE DESPITE STRONG BULLISH PRESSURE. WHAT TO EXPECT?👀
Ripple has been moving bullish since July 9, the same as the ETHUSD, reaching the 3.60600 resistance level. Strong bearish divergence on RSI is observed.
What is the bearish divergence?
Bearish divergence is a technical analysis pattern where the price makes higher highs in an uptrend, but a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI, MACD) forms lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum and a potential downward reversal. To trade, identify the divergence in a clear uptrend with the indicator showing lower highs (e.g., RSI above 70). Sell or short when the price confirms a reversal (e.g., breaks below a support level or trendline) with increased volume. Set a stop-loss above the recent high. Target the next support level.
Here the closest support level is local support 3.00000. is the price drops below the EMA20 on 4-h chart, there are high chances of reaching this level.
$XRPBullish Bias: The chart suggests a bullish outlook with a breakout from a multi-year wedge and Fibonacci targets as high as ~$16.8.
Current Pullback: The price is pulling back after breakout (possibly retesting previous resistance as support).
Risk Area: Orange box shows a potential invalidation or pullback zone before another rally.
Descending Broadening Wedge (Pattern)
A large wedge spans from 2017–2025, marked by two converging black trendlines.
XRP has broken above the wedge (bullish breakout).
Fibonacci Levels (Orange horizontal lines on the right)
0.618: ~$5.91
0.786: ~$17.87
0.88: ~$32.06
These levels are likely drawn from the ATH (All-Time High) to a major low.
XRP to $10? 🚨 XRP to $10? Here's What No One Is Telling You 💣
XRP is quietly being tested as a global liquidity bridge by BRICS & Gulf nations. If Ripple powers the rails of future CBDCs…
$6.50 to $10 XRP becomes a math problem — not a fantasy.
✅ Ripple IPO incoming
✅ U.S. relisting possible
✅ Token supply shrinking
✅ Wall Street quietly watching
This isn’t hype. It’s the sleeper setup of the decade.
Would you hold XRP if it replaced SWIFT?
XRP/USD H1 Educational Market Analysis – Support-Based XRP/USD H1 Educational Market Analysis – Support-Based Long Opportunity
🔍 Structure Overview:
• Support Zone: $3.21 – $3.23
This level has acted as a strong liquidity pool and base for past bullish moves. Price has tapped into it, showing signs of potential demand returning.
• Resistance Zone: $3.65 – $3.70
Acts as a key supply zone, where previous bullish attempts failed. Targeting this area after a rebound is technically sound if structure confirms.
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🔄 Price Action Insights (H1):
• Price broke down through EMAs (20/50/100/200), confirming short-term bearish pressure.
• A rejection wick from support hints at possible absorption of selling pressure.
• If price forms a higher low structure above $3.25 and reclaims EMAs, a potential bullish reversal may unfold.
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🧠 Educational Note:
• H1 charts are ideal for intraday strategies, and this structure provides a clear example of:
• Support-resistance dynamics
• The use of EMAs as trend confirmation tools
• Reversal vs. continuation setups
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🎯 Intraday Bullish Scenario:
• If price holds above $3.21 and breaks above the $3.40 (EMA cluster), bulls may push toward the $3.55290 target.
• This level aligns with the mid-range of the resistance zone, offering scalp-to-swing potential.
⸻
🚫 Bearish Risk:
• Failure to hold $3.21 could lead to a deeper correction toward $3.10 or even $3.00.
• Confirmation of bearish continuation would be a lower high rejection from EMAs without reclaiming them.
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📌 Summary:
On the H1 chart, XRP is at a critical support. Watch for a clean bounce and break above EMAs for a move toward $3.55. However, losing $3.21 could attract further downside. Use price action confirmation before entries.
Based on real-world utility and institutional integrationXRP is evolving from a speculative asset into a strategic tool for global finance. If Ripple continues to convert partnerships into active XRP usage and ETFs gain traction, XRP could be a strong long-term play. But like all crypto investments, it demands careful risk management and a watchful eye on regulatory shifts
XRP : KEEP simpleHello there.
Simple chart. XRP will never 3.50 probably again if we look chart. Is this a false breakout ? Just wait the confirmation in Weekly first, and monthly second.
This can be brutal. Like LTC and XLM, CRYPTO dino.. will run the world. I'm not a augur, but we look only the chart.
Good luck... Spot here is very good, you miss all ? Don't worry, you can gain a lot here, and if not, don't worry the life always end.
Good luck
Breakout or Bull Trap? XRP at Critical Weekly LevelWeekly Chart Insight: XRP Closing Above Previous High
XRP has just closed above its previous weekly high—a significant development that could signal a shift in market sentiment. Historically, when price closes above such a critical level on the weekly timeframe, it often leads to continuation, unless a sharp rejection quickly follows.
At this stage, the focus shifts to the 4-hour timeframe for confirmation. An impulsive move above the current consolidation zone could indicate that this breakout is legitimate, potentially leading to another bullish weekly candle.
However, caution is warranted. If the next two daily candles close weakly or fail to maintain structure above the breakout level, it could hint at a fakeout or liquidity grab before a deeper correction.
My Current Bias:
I remain neutral-to-bullish, contingent on:
An impulsive continuation on the 4HR
Strong daily closes above the key range
Price not falling back and closing below the weekly breakout level
If price begins to consolidate and hold this level, that would reinforce the bullish case. But if we see immediate selling pressure and a re-entrance below the breakout, I’ll reconsider the bias based on developing structure.
XRP's New Dawn: Beyond Bitcoin, Towards a Double-Digit Horizon
The cryptocurrency landscape is witnessing a seismic shift, and at its epicenter is XRP. In a stunning display of market dominance, the digital asset has embarked on a historic rally, fundamentally altering its perception and potential. Leaving the market's traditional bellwether, Bitcoin, in its wake with a colossal 277% outperformance over the past year, XRP has shattered its previous records. The token recently soared to a new all-time high of $3.66, pushing its market capitalization beyond the monumental $210 billion mark for the first time. This explosive growth, fueled by a confluence of regulatory triumphs, institutional validation, and overwhelming market momentum, has ignited the community and brought a once-fanciful question to the forefront of serious financial discussion: Is a $10 valuation the next logical destination for XRP?
This article delves into the multifaceted narrative behind XRP's meteoric ascent. We will dissect its remarkable outperformance against Bitcoin, explore the pivotal legal and regulatory victories that cleared its path, analyze the flood of institutional capital now entering the ecosystem, and examine the technical and on-chain data that suggests this rally may have only just begun.
Chapter 1: A Declaration of Independence - XRP's Decoupling from Bitcoin
For most of its existence, the cryptocurrency market has marched to the beat of Bitcoin's drum. Its price movements dictated the sentiment and direction for nearly all other digital assets. The year 2025, however, will be remembered as the year XRP declared its independence. The asset's 277% yearly surge against Bitcoin is not a mere statistical anomaly; it represents a fundamental rerating by the market, a recognition of XRP's unique value proposition, which is now unburdened by past uncertainties.
This divergence is starkly visible in recent trading. During the month of July alone, XRP appreciated more than 35% against Bitcoin, a powerful indicator of shifting capital flows and investor preference. While Bitcoin's narrative remains firmly rooted in its identity as "digital gold" and a hedge against inflation, XRP's story has evolved into one of proven utility and regulatory legitimacy. This newfound clarity has allowed its price to reflect its potential as a bridge currency for global payments and a cornerstone of a new, more efficient financial infrastructure.
The psychological impact of this rally has been profound. Prominent personalities like Dave Portnoy have publicly lamented selling their XRP holdings prematurely, echoing a sentiment of regret that is likely widespread among investors who exited their positions during the long years of legal ambiguity. This fear of missing out, while a potent market force, is not the sole driver of the current momentum. The rally is built upon a much sturdier foundation of institutional adoption and clear fundamental catalysts, suggesting a more sustainable trend than the speculative frenzies of the past.
Chapter 2: The Victory Lap - Regulatory Clarity as Rocket Fuel
The single most significant factor unlocking XRP's potential has been the definitive conclusion of its long and arduous legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The lawsuit, initiated in late 2020, had acted as a lead weight on the asset, alleging that Ripple's sales of XRP constituted an unregistered securities offering. This created a cloud of regulatory risk that kept many institutional investors and potential partners on the sidelines, particularly in the United States.
The tide began to turn with a landmark court ruling that determined XRP, when sold on public exchanges to retail customers, did not meet the definition of a security. This decision was a watershed moment, providing the legal clarity the secondary market desperately needed. The final chapter of this saga unfolded in 2025 as the SEC opted to drop its appeal and the parties moved to finalize a settlement. This resolution effectively ended the years of uncertainty that had suppressed XRP's value and stifled its adoption in the U.S.
This legal victory could not have come at a more opportune time. It coincided with a broader, increasingly constructive regulatory climate in Washington. The successful passage of several crypto-focused bills through the U.S. House has signaled a move towards establishing clear rules of the road for the digital asset industry. This favorable regulatory tailwind has not only vindicated Ripple's long-standing arguments but has also paved the way for the development of regulated financial products built around XRP, transforming it from a legally contentious asset into a compliant component of the future financial system.
Chapter 3: The Wall Street Endorsement - The Influx of Institutional Capital
With the legal clouds parted, the floodgates for institutional capital have swung wide open. The most tangible evidence of this is the enthusiastic race to launch XRP-based Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). An ETF is a mainstream investment vehicle that allows investors to gain exposure to an asset like XRP through their traditional brokerage accounts, representing a critical bridge between the worlds of crypto and traditional finance.
Financial services giant ProShares has led the charge, successfully launching a leveraged XRP futures ETF. The approval of such a sophisticated product by regulators is a powerful endorsement, signaling a high degree of comfort with XRP's market structure and legal standing. ProShares is far from alone; a veritable who's who of asset managers, including Bitwise and 21Shares, have also filed applications for their own XRP-based funds. The sheer volume of these filings from established Wall Street players underscores a deep and proactive institutional belief in XRP's long-term potential.
This institutional stampede is further reflected in the booming derivatives markets. Daily trading volume in XRP futures has swelled to over $235 million, while open interest—a measure of the total value of active contracts—has soared to a record high. This is the unmistakable footprint of large, sophisticated investors using these markets to speculate on and hedge their exposure to XRP. The recent price surge was amplified by a significant "short squeeze," where traders betting against XRP were forced to buy back their positions at higher prices, adding further fuel to the rally. This is not the behavior of a retail-driven fad; it is the mechanics of a market now dominated by serious institutional demand.
Chapter 4: Reading the Digital Tea Leaves - On-Chain and Whale Activity
A deeper look at the blockchain itself provides further compelling, if nuanced, insights. On-chain data reveals a fascinating dynamic among the largest holders of XRP, colloquially known as "whales." On one hand, there have been significant transfers of XRP from Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen to centralized exchanges, a pattern that often precedes selling. Throughout 2025, Larsen has moved hundreds of millions of dollars worth of the token, which could be interpreted as early insider profit-taking.
However, this potential selling pressure has been more than absorbed by a much broader trend of accumulation. Market data clearly shows a steady pattern of buying by other large, institutional-grade investors. It appears a new class of whales is confidently accumulating any supply that becomes available, creating a powerful and sustained tailwind for the price.
Adding a layer of data-driven optimism is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This advanced metric, which compares XRP's current price to the average acquisition cost of all coins in circulation, recently flashed a signal that has historically preceded enormous rallies. The last time this particular indicator showed a "golden cross," it heralded a massive 630% surge in XRP's price. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, this historical precedent provides a powerful data point that aligns perfectly with the bullish fundamental narrative.
Chapter 5: Charting the Uncharted - Price Analysis and Future Targets
The culmination of these powerful catalysts has produced breathtaking price action. In a single 24-hour period, XRP's price leaped by 22%, decisively breaking its former all-time high and entering a phase of pure price discovery. Technical analysts have described the move as a textbook breakout following a long period of accumulation, a pattern that often leads to powerful and sustained upward trends.
With no historical resistance levels overhead, analysts are now turning to technical patterns and Fibonacci extension models to project potential future targets. A prominent "bull pennant" formation on the price charts suggests an astonishing long-term target of $14. More immediate, conservative targets are clustered around the $4.00 and $4.80 levels, which many believe are well within reach if the current momentum is maintained.
This brings the conversation to the ultimate question of a double-digit valuation. Can XRP realistically reach $10 or beyond? A growing chorus of analysts believes it can. Projections for the coming years vary, but many models point to a future where XRP trades comfortably in the double digits. Forecasts for 2030 range from a conservative $4.35 to more aggressive targets of $16, $22, and even higher. These predictions are not based on pure speculation but are rooted in the assumption that the institutional adoption unlocked by ETFs and Ripple's expanding global payment network will continue to drive demand and utility.
Conclusion: A New Era for XRP
XRP's recent performance represents more than just a bull run; it signifies a fundamental transformation. It has emerged from a crucible of legal and regulatory challenges not merely intact, but stronger, more resilient, and with a clear mandate in the world's most important financial market. This hard-won victory has unleashed a powerful synergy of positive forces: the validation of institutional capital, the tailwind of a favorable regulatory environment, and the overwhelming evidence of bullish technical and on-chain metrics.
Its decisive outperformance of Bitcoin marks a coming-of-age moment, proving that a digital asset with clear utility and legal standing can forge its own path and command its own powerful market narrative. While the future in any financial market remains unwritten, the convergence of factors supporting XRP has never been stronger. The conversation has irrevocably shifted. The question is no longer if XRP can reclaim its former glory, but rather how high its newfound momentum can carry it. For a rapidly growing number of investors, analysts, and institutions, the $10 price target has evolved from a distant fantasy into a plausible, and perhaps even imminent, reality.
XRP retracement levelsWhere is XRP next likely to head next?
$2.65 is the next price level down with 4 points of contact. This level was also a weekly high as well as the 0.5 fibbonachi.
Next level down is $2.34 with 6 points of contact.
There is a downtrend forming so a breakout of this trend could be bullish for XRP 📈