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XRPUSDC.P trade ideas

XRP didn’t break down. It just returned to origin.There was no crash. Just a clean delivery. BINANCE:XRPUSDC swept the prior low and tapped directly into the 1.0 extension of the move — right at 2.0901 — closing below liquidity, only to reclaim it on the next candle. That’s not weakness. That’s Smart Money reloading. Below that low sits the 4H BTS zone, overlapping the 0.618 and 0.786 retracements (2.2038–2.2325). That zone was engineered. Built. Not random. Price has already started responding. The first draw is clear: 2.2325 — back into the inefficiency left behind on the breakdown. From there, we face a clean decision point at 2.4105. That’s where OB meets .382 retracement — and it’s a known trap zone for liquidity. If price rips through it, 2.5216 becomes the magnet. If it rejects, I’ll be watching for a final mitigation before the full macro expansion. Execution clarity: ✅ Entry: Inside BTS 4H zone (2.0901–2.2038) 🎯 Target 1: 2.2325 🎯 Target 2: 2.4105 (4H OB + liquidity pool) 🛑 Invalidation: Close below 1.9509
Long
by SmartFlowsI
Wave 1 as leading diagonal (better chart pic) I think it's worth bearing in mind that we could see some significant downside during the lull at the end of Q1. Red for Valantines, Green for St Patrick's. This shows how we may never have transitioned into wave 2, but may actually be about to finish wave 1 as a leading diagonal. We could be looking at wave 2 as a running/ expanding flat, in which case we see a significant rally, but something is niggling at me about this. Watch the break of the high at $3.39, I'll be looking at the 4hr RSI to see if there's divergence. A close above with that divergence will possibly spell more downside than just a subwave correction.
by Indiroots
Wave 1 as Leading DiagonalI think it’s worth bearing in mind that we could see some significant downside during the lull at the end of Q1. Red for Valantines, Green for St Patrick’s. This shows how we may never have transitioned into wave 2, but may actually be about to finish wave 1 as a leading diagonal. We could be looking at wave 2 as a running/expanding flat, in which case we see a significant rally, but something is niggling at me about this. Watch the break of the high at $3.39, I’ll be looking at the 4hr RSI to see if there’s divergence. A close above with that divergence will possibly spell more downside than just a subwave correction.
by Indiroots
Updated wave count shows wave D complete.So, I’ve updated my wave count to better align with what has happened, and discovered something I had missed in the process. What I thought was wave E is probably better explained as a part of wave D, and the recent breakout was the final leg of wave D. Wave D in a triangle often ends with a breakout attempt, and my anticipation in seeing it earlier but it not being there has now been resolved! In redrawing it has become clear that wave D has been trading inside a rising wedge, which is now ripe for wave E to drop out of the bottom of it. I had missed this, but price is consolidating at the bottom of the wedge now. Target for a rising wedge as a continuation pattern is the start of the lower boundary of the wedge, which puts it at $1.98. However, wave E more often undershoots expectations, as opposed to overshoots them. So my target remains $2.15 - $2.05. There is the observation of alternating wave characteristics, so if wave D is long and complex, wave E is likely to be short and simple. The arrow pointing up at the end is what I expect, but that is based on hope. It could be an arrow down and I’d have just as many reasons to explain why it’s pointing down. So, although the weekly looks as though it’s possibly targeting $1.90 as a weekly ABC, the actual structure of the correction remains a triangle and so wave E undershoot remains keen in my mind. Just keeping it real, not doing any fudding or owt.
by Indiroots
1
Wave E - Rangebound downtrend. $2-2.10Wave 2 correction has printed a symmetrical triangle, and has conformed quite tightly to it. I had been watching for this pattern from wave B top at $2.73, and wave C confirmed it. Wave d downtrend caught me slightly off guard, and wave d rally came slightly sooner then expected, but ultimately it’s what I have expected. Wave e is likely to stay rangebound, with diminishing volume, and will probably make a fakeout attempts, but probably only small wicks. I am anticipating a final shake out/fakedown/liquidity hunt some time next week to the $2-2.10 range, but it might drop out of the bottom of the triangle if there’s enough liquidity, although I imagine buyers are going to be snapping it up before then, I am thinking next week, but in reality it’s within two weeks, when a bunch of crypto bro’s who have been packing bags for 4 years get into the white house. Wave 3 is liable to be pretty explosive, and wave 4 will be much shorter in duration than this wave 2 has been, as it will alternate and be either a zigzag or a flat correction, but it might be deeper. I’ll be taking profits at $4.50, which is the 1.618 of wave 1, but I’m anticipating it running harder than that before wave 4.
by Indiroots
1
"Warning: Turbulence Ahead for XRP""XRP is dangerously overbought, heavily influenced by dark pool manipulation and volume thresholds orchestrated by whales. These hidden forces have created a mismatch in volume, artificially driving XRP’s price higher and luring retail investors into the rally. However, a significant divergence is on the horizon, signaling a potential sharp correction. While it’s uncertain how low prices may drop, my analysis suggests possible support levels at $1.90 and $1.64—but the fall could extend even further. This is a critical moment for traders to stay cautious and vigilant as market dynamics unfold."
Short
by The_ForexX_Mindset
14
Ripple Price Reversal Action Unstoppable Towards $0.22 Ripple extends bearish correction from $0.25 weekly high, targets $0.22. Technicals could remain bearish throughout the American session on Thursday. Cryptocurrencies across the board are sinking deeper into the rabbit hole. Altcoins like Ripple are erasing the gains accrued in the last one week. XRP, for example, is extending the bearish pressure from the recent high at $0.25 to levels slightly above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the last swing of $0.2530 to a swing low at $0.1643. The declines on the day have broken below the ascending channel support. The move appears to have increased the confidence the sellers have as well as their grip on the price. It is possible that the declines will test the support at $0.22. On the flip side, movements to the north will remain capped under the broken channel as well as the key hurdle at $0.23. It is essential that the bulls reclaim the position within the channel and focus on breaking the resistance $0.24 and $0.25. Technical analysis shows that the ongoing correction could last through the American trading session. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) doubles down on the bearish picture. As long as the RSI is not oversold, Ripple will continue to deal with the bearish pressure. In addition to that, the Elliot Wave Oscillator has started a new bearish session. In the meantime, the 100 Moving Average will continue to offer short term support at $0.2335. If the support at $0.22 were to give in, XRP will bank on finding support at lower levels including $0.21 and the 23.6% Fibo. Ripple Key Levels Spot rate: $0.2235 Relative change: -0.0092 Percentage change: -4.3% Trend: Bearish Volatility: High
Short
by CoinGape