The Nasdaq is holding above the February high and forming a potential bull flag pattern, which projects an approximate target around 13,500. A larger flag pattern also remains in play with a target just below 14,000, although the October high and monthly R1 around 13700 provide a likely resistance area. The daily trend is respecting the 10 and 20-day EMA's and the...
Oil prices fell to a 15-month low as investors fretted over the potential for a financial meltdown. Whilst that is yet to fully materialise (or if it does at all), investors remain a little on edge - with news of the latest Hindenburg report accusing Block (SQ) of fraudulent activity not likely to quell fears.
WTI has manged to lift itself from its 15-month...
A bullish trend is developing on the 30-minute chart and prices are consolidating near yesterday’s highs, within a potential bullish continuation pattern. The OBV indicator (on balance volume) is also confirming the rally higher to suggest bullish volume remains dominant.
The weekly pivot point is capping as resistance, so perhaps we’ll see a pullback prior to a...
Well, gold did make it to $1980 - just not the way we'd hoped. Still, a bullish structure has formed on the 1-hour chart which has regained our interest.
A bullish outside day formed yesterday and its lower wick shows strong demand around 1950. Prices are now consolidating within a potential bullish continuation pattern on the 1-hour chart, having pulled back...
After an extended pullback on the USD/JPY daily chart, we think it is time for the pair to revert higher.
A bullish divergence formed with the RSI (2) and a bullish pinbar formed on after a failed attempt to break below 130. Being a round number, there's reasonable chance of demand down at that level, and yesterday's up day is part of a 3-day bullish reversal...
AUD/USD is hinting at a potential swing high on the daily chart. And if my hunch that the Fed won’t be as dovish as market pricing currently suggest, it leaves room for USD strength and a lower Aussie.
AUD/USD seems to have completed a 3-wave retracement which perfectly respected a 38.2% Fibonacci ratio. Our bias remains bearish beneath the cycle highs, and we...
EUR/AUD closed lower for five consecutive days last week during a week of volatility and turbulence. With the Fed and five other central banks announcing a coordinated effort to provide liquidity for US swaps, and UBS agreeing to purchase Credit Suisse over the weekend, perhaps there's potential for it to confirm a swing low.
Last week's low found support at the...
Sentiment on Wall Street took a turn for the worse by yesterday's close. Janet Yellen conceded that she has not considered a "blanket insurance" for US banking deposits, and Jerome Powell pushed back on any hopes of rate cuts from the Fed this year.
The Nasdaq 100 came close to reaching out 13k target before momentum reversed sharply lower, closing the day with a...
Despite the turbulence across global assets these past two weeks, AUD/JPY is opting to hold above key support and resistance levels including the 2022 low and 2021 high.
Investors remain on edge as they cannot be sure that the worst is behind us, and there is a risk that another bank will 'break' under the pressure of higher rates, bad management and / or face...
It was about as much of a risk-on day Tuesday could have been for US markets, with bond yields and indices rising with commodity FX.
It allowed the S&P 500 E-mini futures contract to break a 3-day losing streak and form a 3-bar bullish reversal pattern (Morning Star), so perhaps the low for the week is in place?
The 15-min chart shows prices hovering just below...
The US dollar has continued to face selling pressure following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, as traders bet that the Fed may pause their tightening cycle at next month's meeting. Whilst Fed fund futures imply a 60.5% chance of a 25bp hike (or 39.5% odds of a pause), this is quite a sudden chance considering the curve suggested ~80% chance of a 50bp hike...
Friday was the most bearish day for the FTSE since September, as concerns over SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) and the potential for contagion across the finance sector weighed on sentiment. Yet a joint statement from the Fed, Treasury and FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp) released on Sunday assured that deposits at the bank will be guaranteed, which helped boost...
The weekly timeframe has been slowly developing a bullish structure. The retracement from the all-time high stalled at a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio (from the pandemic low), and prices have since rallied to trade above the previous cycle high. OBV (on balance volume) is also confirming price action high. A recent pullback from the March high has stabilised above the...
USD/JPY is grinding higher on the daily chart, although it seems wary of the 200-day MA overhead. But at the same time, it looks as though it at least wants to test it (and is sat near the daily R1 pivot).
Prices have pulled back on the 1-hour chart in a corrective fashion, and the corrective lows found support at the 50-hour EMA and a previous swing high. Prices...
The Australian economy has had a few of soft data points this week which, whilst not detrimental to the economy, will be duly noted by the RBA as they seek to cool the economy without completely breaking it (and ponder a pause in rate hikes). Yesterday we found inflation was 'only' 7.4% y/y, compared to 8.1% expected and 8.4% prior - and GDP was soft at 0.5%...
USD/CAD trades within a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart, with yesterday’s low forming above a prior resistance level. Prices are also back above the 20-dar EMA and the weekly pivot point, so perhaps we have seen the swing low. Strong economic data from the US could send the pair higher on bets of a more aggressive Fed, with a soft GDP report for Canada also...
If you see the related articles, it shows we did a pretty decent job of nailing the turning points down $1800. And with gold prices having found support around its 100 and 200-day EMA's, US yields stalling near their cycle highs and the dollar in need of a pullback, we suspect another inflection point has been seen on gold.
The 1-hour chart shows a double bottom...
