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Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Bullish momentum maintained across all major timeframes (1D to 1H). Key supports held at 116800-117200. Very high volume on low timeframes, indicating distribution/recharging. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator shows Buy across major TFs, micro-buy opportunity signaled on 15min. No extreme behavioral signals, except short-term positive micro-signal.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Cautious bullish swing bias as long as 116800-117200 holds. Monitor strong tech sector momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator). Heightened risk zone if support breaks (downward targets: 111000/110500/107200). Main catalyst: US CPI release—active trading management advised before/after. Tactical approach necessary: stop below 116200, TP 119000/120000. Closely watch low timeframe volumes and ISP signals.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
➤
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Macro & Fundamental Analysis
➤ No major macro event in the very near term
➤ Sole catalyst ahead: US CPI release, watch for possible whipsaws
➤ Institutional flows (ETF AUM record highs); on-chain stability, visible accumulation
➤ Volatility tightly compressed, coiling for next breakout on impulsive move
➤ Geopolitical noise present but limited direct impact in short term
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Summary & Action Plan
➤ Preferred scenario: Cautious swing long if 116800-117200 support cluster holds, stop <116200, TP 119000-120000+
➤ Invalidation: Prolonged breakdown of 116800: exit, wait for signal resynchronization.
➤ Catalysts: US CPI, watch for whipsaws (<1h pre/post-release).
➤ Risk management: Avoid adding if extreme volumes persist without ISP buy on short TFs (30m/1H), close monitoring ahead of data.
➤ On-chain context: Record volatility compression—major move likely soon; spot supply clustered—expect amplified reactions.
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Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Bullish momentum maintained across all major timeframes (1D to 1H). Key supports held at 116800-117200. Very high volume on low timeframes, indicating distribution/recharging. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator shows Buy across major TFs, micro-buy opportunity signaled on 15min. No extreme behavioral signals, except short-term positive micro-signal.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Cautious bullish swing bias as long as 116800-117200 holds. Monitor strong tech sector momentum (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator). Heightened risk zone if support breaks (downward targets: 111000/110500/107200). Main catalyst: US CPI release—active trading management advised before/after. Tactical approach necessary: stop below 116200, TP 119000/120000. Closely watch low timeframe volumes and ISP signals.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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- 1D: Bullish, multiple supports at 10510/107200/11050-11190, resistance at 123000/119000-120000. Strong Risk On / Risk Off Indicator acquisition, normal volumes, no behavioral overheating.
- 12H: Momentum intact, 116800-117200 key area. Volume normal, stable mature market, no emotional excess.
- 6H: Bullish retest validated on 116800, rising volume but no dramatic spikes, key moment for trend.
- 4H: Dynamic support at 116800, resistance 119000-120000. Uptrend, healthy as long as support holds.
- 2H: Very high volume amid consolidation/reloading, increased volatility around 116800.
- 1H: Still Up, but extreme volume, increased caution. Possible stop hunting.
- 30min: Slowdown, volume still very high, micro-correction or local exhaustion.
- 15min: Micro-correction but ISP buy triggered; potential short-term bounce.
- Key alignments: All TFs 1D–1H Up, supports held. 30min/15min correction on volume excess.
- Major confluence: 116800-117200 = absolute pivot: break = correction, bounce = further up.
- Divergences: Extreme volume not confirmed by ISP, except 15min.
- Technical zone of action: Bullish scenario confirmed if bounce on 116800; invalidation on breakdown.
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Macro & Fundamental Analysis
➤ No major macro event in the very near term
➤ Sole catalyst ahead: US CPI release, watch for possible whipsaws
➤ Institutional flows (ETF AUM record highs); on-chain stability, visible accumulation
➤ Volatility tightly compressed, coiling for next breakout on impulsive move
➤ Geopolitical noise present but limited direct impact in short term
- To watch: post-CPI reactions, low timeframe volumes, defense/break of 116800-117200 cluster, micro ISP 15min signal, volatility & ETF institutional flows.
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Summary & Action Plan
➤ Preferred scenario: Cautious swing long if 116800-117200 support cluster holds, stop <116200, TP 119000-120000+
➤ Invalidation: Prolonged breakdown of 116800: exit, wait for signal resynchronization.
➤ Catalysts: US CPI, watch for whipsaws (<1h pre/post-release).
➤ Risk management: Avoid adding if extreme volumes persist without ISP buy on short TFs (30m/1H), close monitoring ahead of data.
➤ On-chain context: Record volatility compression—major move likely soon; spot supply clustered—expect amplified reactions.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.