Bitcoin

BTCUSD 4H Triangle Compression. Watch for Breakdown Below 100.7K

75
Bitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 4H timeframe, showing tightening price action between lower highs and rising support. The price is compressing just under the triangle resistance (~104.4K) and approaching a key decision point.

Key Technical Observations:
• Structure: Symmetrical triangle
• Support: ~100,762 (also aligns with 55 SMA on higher timeframe)
• Resistance: Descending trendline capped at ~104,400
• RSI: Sitting at 51.26, indicating indecision
• Volume: Modest increase, not yet showing breakout conviction
• 0.5 Fib retracement level lies at 99,585, potential first support on breakdown

What I’m Watching For:
• A 4H or preferably daily candle close below ~100,762
• RSI dropping below 40 to confirm bearish momentum
• Volume spike to validate breakout strength

If Confirmed Breakdown:
• TP1: 99,585
• TP2: 98,000 zone
• SL: High of breakdown candle or above prior structure highs (~104K)
• Bearish momentum needs to be strong to avoid false breakdown traps

This is not a trade yet—just a technical setup in play. Watching for confirmation before engaging.

Time to stay patient.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.