BTCUSDT big players won't let it come down as long as huge amounts of money keep getting added to their pockets as short positions. when ppl stop opening shorts and convinced its not going down and start to build up longs . then its going downBTCUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract forum
BTCUSDT big players won't let it come down as long as huge amounts of money keep getting added to their pockets as short positions. when ppl stop opening shorts and convinced its not going down and start to build up longs . then its going down
BTCUSDT 🔹 1. Technical Analysisa. MACD
Current status: The histogram is decreasing, with the MACD line still above the signal line, indicating that buying power is weakening but no clear sell signal has appeared yet.
MACD Summary: Currently in a slight correction phase. If a clear bearish crossover occurs, a deeper correction will be confirmed.
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b. RSI
Current status: RSI is around the 70 level, indicating an overbought zone, warning of a potential upcoming correction.
RSI behavior: A slight drop from the RSI peak shows weakening bullish momentum.
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c. Price Action & Volume
Price: Stabilized near the recent high (118,880 USDT).
Volume: The previous strong volume supported the recent upward move, but the current lower volume at higher prices signals a possible short-term correction.
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🔹 2. Fundamental Analysis & Experts’ Opinions
a. Main fundamental drivers this week
1. US CPI data: Inflation continues to decrease, supporting BTC prices.
2. Upcoming FED decision: Expected to keep rates unchanged, providing a positive environment for risk assets like BTC.
3. Bitcoin Spot ETF news: BlackRock and Fidelity resubmitted their amended ETF applications, creating renewed optimism.
4. Global economy & Dollar index: A decline in DXY (Dollar Index) is providing psychological support for BTC.
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b. Leading analysts’ insights
🔹 Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)
Emphasized ongoing institutional inflows into BTC and maintains a mid-term target above 150,000 USDT.
🔹 Willy Woo (On-chain analyst)
Stated that BTC is currently in a reaccumulation phase after the recent pump, with no large-scale distribution signals seen yet.
🔹 PlanB (Stock-to-Flow model)
According to the S2F model, the current price is aligned with the long-term trend, and post-2024 halving, BTC could enter a new bullish phase.
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🔹 3. Summary & Suggested Strategy
✅ If you are a holder: Continue holding, given the positive fundamentals and no clear MACD sell signal.
✅ If you are a short-term trader:
If a bearish MACD crossover occurs and support at 116,000 USDT breaks, plan for a correction down to the 112,000–110,000 USDT range.
If the current high (118,880) holds as support, the next targets are 122,000 and then 125,000 USDT.
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