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US 10 YR. T-NOTE 4 HR./ CORRECTIVE WAVE 4 IS LIKELY OVER!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 107. 2). Risk Assets are Weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline is intersecting with target fib. level 50% TOWARDS 107! 6). Corrective wave 4 is likely dropping to complete wave 5. 7).
Steepening Yields & Uncertainty: What says the Bond Markets?
CBOT:ZN1!
US Yield Curve in Image Above
Showing yields on May 27, 2024 vs May 27, 2025 . What happened in a year and how to understand this?
Looking at the image above, the yield curve was inverted on this day last year. Comparing last year’s term structure to today’s, we can see t
Ten-Year Treasury Notes (ZN) Face Persistent Selling PressureThe decline in Ten-Year Treasury Notes (ZN) from the high on July 4, 2025, is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure, signaling potential bearish momentum. From that peak, wave (W) completed at 109’08, followed by a corrective rally in wave (X) that topped at 112’02. The Notes have since
Bearish Outlook for 10-Year Treasury Note Futures Next WeekTargets:
- T1 = $108.75
- T2 = $107.50
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $111.20
- S2 = $112.50
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Bonds Could be Forming a Big Low The drop in bonds took them down the 76 retracement level and this is where we're stalled out, at least for now.
Action in this area is consistent with a head and shoulders - and if that pattern is in play then we'd be into the rally in bonds now.
Something that's always worth noticing is when t
Current Mechanics playing out in US and Global MarketsCBOT:ZN1!
COMEX:GC1!
CME:6E1!
CME:6J1!
US Bond Market:
The US bond market—specifically US 10-year Notes—has long been considered a safe haven amid market turmoil. Historically, during periods of uncertainty, investors have flocked to these “flight to safety” assets, resulting in incre
Elliott Wave Pattern Suggests Higher EURUSD and Lower US YieldsSome nice retracement on 10-year US notes in the last three weeks looks corrective because of a clear three-wave drop with a triangle in wave (B). This suggests US yields could be trading at resistance, and if we consider the somewhat dovish stance from Powell and the FOMC last week, the market migh
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A representation of what an asset is worth today and what the market thinks it will be worth in the future.
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.
Frequently Asked Questions
The nearest expiration date for 10-Year T-Note Futures (Dec 2024) is Dec 19, 2024.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell 10-Year T-Note Futures (Dec 2024) before Dec 19, 2024.