US500 Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,960.96.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,538.99.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SPIUSD trade ideas
US500 - Will the stock market reach ATH?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the index to continue moving, and on the other hand, if the index declines towards a certain zone, you can also look for the next S&P long positions with a risk-reward ratio.
Yesterday, a U.S. federal court halted the implementation of President Trumpโs โFreedom Dayโ tariffs. The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that these tariffs exceeded the legal authority granted to the president and unanimously decided to revoke them. Nonetheless, Trump still retains the right to appeal the ruling.
Following the courtโs decision, President Trump promptly filed an appeal. In response, the White House issued a statement asserting, โThe decision on how to handle a national emergency should not fall into the hands of unelected judges.โ
Meanwhile, the market reacted strongly to Nvidiaโs latest financial report. The companyโs stock surged by as much as 5.8% in after-hours trading, before settling at a 4.8% gain compared to the previous day.
This bullish movement reflects investorsโ confidence in Nvidiaโs continued strong performance.
Nvidia is actively expanding into new markets, including the Middle Eastโan indication that the company is poised for sustained growth even if its presence in China is constrained.
The rally in Nvidiaโs stock didnโt just lift semiconductor companies; broader markets followed suit. The S&P 500 index climbed to 6,005.75 points, representing a 1.7% increase from the prior session.
According to the companyโs announcement, Nvidia posted $44.1 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, marking a 69% increase year-over-year and slightly surpassing analystsโ expectations. Revenue from data center operations rose 73% to reach $39.1 billion.
CEO Jensen Huang stated: โOur Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputerโdesigned for reasoning and acting as a โthinking machineโโis now being mass-produced by system builders and cloud service providers.โ He added, โThere is enormous global demand for Nvidiaโs AI infrastructure. Over the past year alone, AI inference token generation has grown tenfold. As AI agents become mainstream, the demand for AI compute will continue to surge.โ
A Reuters poll now projects that the S&P 500 will reach 5,900 by the end of 2025โdown from the 6,500 level forecast in February. Similarly, the Dow Jones index is expected to close 2025 at 43,708, compared to the previous projection of 47,024 from the February survey.
Separately, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) reported that the increase in U.S. bank profits was largely driven by growth in noninterest income. Bank earnings in the first quarter of 2025 rose by 5.8%, reaching $70.6 billion. While overall asset quality remains favorable, the commercial real estate loan portfolios continue to show signs of weakness. The number of โproblem banksโ declined by three, bringing the total down to 63. The banking industry also reported a slowdown in lending growth; the annual loan growth rate for the first quarter was just 3%, down from the pre-pandemic average of 4.9%.
SP500 // Stock Market Still a Buy? Hereโs My ETF ApproachUnlike the Forex market, in the stock marketโeven when weโre hitting new highs and running out of chart spaceโit still makes sense to continue accumulating positions in U.S. indices. For a more profitable and diversified approach, ETFs offer a wide range of options: SPY, TQQQ, QQQ, and international ones like VEA.
Where do you trade stocks? I'm curious to hear what platforms and strategies others are using.
If you have any questions about building a portfolio or selecting ETFs, feel free to reach out. Happy to share insights and help where I can.
Wishing you consistency and strong returns.
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Itโs been a while since weโve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the marketโs now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/Rโdonโt miss this one! ๐ Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Letโs dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. ๐
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, itโs firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trendโexactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , weโve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and weโre on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Letโs zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now weโre primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, letโs check the 1-Hour Timeframe.
For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but donโt close the whole positionโsince weโre trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, Iโve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! Iโd wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, thereโs zilch.
๐ฌ Letโs Talk!
If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boostโit means a lot! ๐ Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging outโ letโs grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) โ๏ธ
SHORT The S&P 500 Index: Not A Bear Market, Just A CorrectionWe are about to witness an inception of bearish action. A correction within a correction.
After 7-April, the Cryptocurrency market started to recover, but the main Altcoins that were growing were all memecoins, and I wondered, "Why are mainly memecoins growing?" I know that when memecoins grow the market is actually bearish on the bigger picture. I shrugged it off and went LONG.
It seems I have an explanation now, this recovery was only a partial recovery or, we are just in front of a classic retrace, a small correction. This means that regardless of how fast and strong it goes the end will result in a higher low, compared to 7-April. This means that the bullish structure will remain intact, but you can't change the fact that strength is not present on this chart.
The SPX is going down next. There two main support levels to consider, you decide which one is the one that you should take. My job is to alert you of the event before it happens, great timing and entry prices, you can take care of the rest.
Thank you for reading.
This is a friendly reminder.
Market conditions can always change.
Namaste.
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPXโ ๏ธ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging โ A Closer Look
I havenโt seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while โ and itโs definitely not a pretty one ๐ฌ. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market:
๐ Massive upside expectation:
It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000.
๐ Limited downside protection:
Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place โ especially unusual with Fridayโs expiry approaching.
๐ป Current Key Zone: 5925-5930
The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot.
Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower.
Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900โ5925 range, which includes ITM puts โ not OTM, as youโd typically expect from retail.
๐ง Institutional Footprint vs. Retail
This hedging pattern โ closer to ATM rather than deep OTM โ suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision.
In contrast, retail traders donโt seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this.
๐ผ What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout
If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone.
From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push ๐.
The details show the same picture when examining more details:
SPX conclusion
๐ฌ In short: weโre at a tipping point.
Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional.
Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 โ but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
SPX500 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 6001.65, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 5849.37, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 6153.88, a swing high resistance.
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SPX: This is what I see happening...This will be a roller coaster ride for the next year or two. I am seeing 3 waves structures everywhere....a ginormous ending diagonal finish that may take SPX to 7500 to 8k. What comes next will be anyone's guess! For now, need to stay vigilant and manage money with caution.
Throw over top?On a 6 month time frame, price diverged from the trendline in the first half of 2019, their was some apprehension in 2022, but then everyone bought the dip..
Shaded area could be the throw over top, and prices could potentially reverse going forward to the 2nd half of 2025 and beyond, or it could just be a consolidation zone
Range Bound MarketS&P 500 Daily Price Chart with Bollinger Bands; Moving Averages 200;50 days.
Some of the big moves were triggered by tariff announcements. Market will
react to economic numbers, tariff news, and earnings. It seems that a recovery from
the lows in April brought the market within 5% of the all-time high.
SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief.
About to test a most important zone of its lifetime.
Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair.
Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare.
It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click).
The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high.
It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after.
It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C".
I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP.
==================
Previous Plots below
==================
5901 TOP warning:
5668 Tariff warning:
5100 Tariff Relief Entry:
===============================================
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S&P 500 USD 4 HR./ CORRECTIVE WAVE B NORTH IS LIKELY OVER!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 5300. 2). Risk Assets are Weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline is intersecting with target fib. level 50% TOWARDS 5300! 6). Corrective wave C is likely dropping to complete wave 4. 7). At the bottom of wave 4 we will look for a long (Buy) position!
S&P500 6300 is the minimum short-term Target right now.The S&P500 index (SPX) is extending Friday's rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following an impressive rally after the April 07 bottom. That is technically the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
This quick consolidation technically resembles all 4 short-term pull-backs (blue circles) that took place since April 2023. The minimum % rise on those before they pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again was +10%.
As a result, we expect 6300 to be the minimum Target by the end of July, which of course will be an All Time High.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Major LowI'm buying puts expiring on October 31st, All Hallow's Eve.
I'll give price room to keep melting up to 666 at the farthest, that is my stop level. If we breach that price, then just know that tech is unstoppable and Artificial Intelligence is the Mark of the Beast.
If the market doesn't drop here, then the sky is the limit.
US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! ๐
Money chasers and market rogues, ๐ค๐ธ letโs execute a daring heist on the US500/SPX500 Index CFD market using our ๐ฅThief Trading Style๐ฅ, powered by sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Stick to the charted long-entry strategy, aiming to cash out near the high-risk Pink zone. Stay alert for overbought conditions, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish bandits dominate. ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ช Lock in your profits and treat yourselfโyouโve earned it! ๐
Entry ๐
The vaultโs cracked open! ๐ฆ Snatch the bullish loot at the current priceโthe heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss ๐
๐ Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.๐ Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
Target ๐ฏ
Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! ๐ฐ
Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! ๐
Focus on long-side scalps. Big capital? Dive in now! Smaller funds? Team up with swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to protect your loot. ๐งฒ๐ต
US500/SPX500 Market Intel ๐
The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, ๐ fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. ๐check
โ ๏ธ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety ๐ฐ
News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul:
Avoid new trades during news releases.
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. ๐ซ
Join the Heist! ๐ฅ
Back our robbery planโhit the Boost Button! ๐ Letโs stack cash effortlessly with the Thief Trading Style. ๐ช๐ค Stay ready for the next heist, bandits! ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐
"US500/SPX500" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
๐I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss ๐: "๐ Yo, listen up! ๐ฃ๏ธ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout ๐. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to ๐, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like ๐คช - just don't say I didn't warn you โ ๏ธ. You're playin' with fire ๐ฅ, and it's your risk, not mine ๐."
๐ Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (5200) Day trade basis.
๐ SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐ต๐ด๐ธ"US500/SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness๐.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis,Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score...... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
Price Action and Technical Analysis says I should BUY S&P 500!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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SPX500 : We could look for mean reversion here. "London should buy again if US is Selling."
This chart suggests a potential redistribution of liquidity across sessions, highlighting a play on inter-session trade balance and session highs/lows targeting.
๐ Key Confluences:
1. Premium Zone Rejection
Price is consolidating below a premium supply zone, rejecting near 5,926โ5,930.
EQH and BOS suggest liquidity was swept above the recent high.
Bears defending weak high structureโpotential for a fakeout to downside if buyers step back in from London or Asia.
2. Session-Based Imbalance Logic
New York (NY) session drove into premium and is now distributing/selling.
Watch if London/Asia step in to reaccumulate from the discount OB zone (~5,856โ5,877).
Volume spikes confirm institutional decision points โ highest vol aligned with New York push into highs.
3. Equilibrium Reclaim Potential
5,901.41 is marked as equilibrium.
Expect buyers to defend this zone if NY fades โ if price reclaims EQ, bullish continuation is in play.
Fail = revisit strong demand below.
4. ORB Range Context (0930โ0945 ET)
ORB high = 5,877.37
ORB low = 5,856.85
Price is above the ORB, reinforcing current bullish structure unless US session breaks structure down.
5. CHoCH + BOS Sequencing
Multiple CHoCH โ BOS โ EQH sequences signal internal structure breaks, consolidating into reversal potential.
If Tokyo holds current low (5,924 avg), price may spring higher during upcoming London session.
๐ Trade Bias: Bullish Bias (Conditional)
Watch for a liquidity sweep โ reclaim setup around 5,901 or deeper at 5,877 for a long entry toward 5,940+.
๐ Scenario 1 โ Buy Setup:
Entry Zone: 5,877.37โ5,901.41
Invalidation: Below 5,856.85
Targets:
TP1: 5,926 (retest of EQH zone)
TP2: 5,940+ (true breakout)
๐ Scenario 2 โ Sell Setup:
If NY drives price below 5,856.85, look for a break-and-retest of EQ for shorts into 5,830 zone (volume gap fill).
๐ง Institutional Flow Insight:
This chart reads like a "sessional liquidity rotation":
Tokyo: Buy programs
London: Accumulated
New York: Profit-taking / Distribution
So if US sells, London may bid again, making this a great session echo play.