WTI trade ideas
WTI Crude Oil: Double Engulf + H&S Breakdown Points to $40Hello guys! Let's dive into WTI!
The weekly chart of WTI Crude Oil reveals a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern playing out over a long-term descending channel. Price recently got rejected from the upper trendline, showing weakness despite a short-term bounce.
- Engulfed 1 & 2:
Two major engulfing zones failed to hold as support, turning into strong resistance.
- Bearish Scenario in Play:
After the recent upside move into resistance, price is likely to follow one of two paths:
- Continuation Within the Channel:
Rejection from the upper bound of the descending channel leads to a stair-step decline toward the $47–52 zone.
- Final Rejection from Supply Zone ($83–89):
A larger corrective push could test this area before a full collapse toward the long-term demand zone.
Main Target:
The blue shaded region ($36–47) stands out as a strong long-term demand zone, where buyers may finally step in.
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Invalidation point:
Unless crude oil breaks above the $89 zone with strong volume, all signs point to further downside.
The chart structure favors a slow bleed with temporary bounces, ultimately targeting the $40s.
(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:(WTI Crude Oil) on the 30-minute timeframe:
You have a clear triangle breakout happening.
The chart shows two bullish target positions marked with blue arrows.
Based on your chart:
Current Price Zone: Around 66.20 - 66.25
Target Levels:
✅ First Target: 67.00
✅ Second Target: 68.00 - 68.10
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Summary Trading Idea:
Breakout above resistance trendline confirmed.
First resistance and partial target at 67.00
Final target near 68.00 - 68.10, where the next significant resistance lies.
Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a detailed entry strategy.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% lvl Fibo area of 70.00.Colleagues, after a long break, I think it is worth returning to oil forecasts. The situation is stabilizing a bit and now I think that the price is in a strong correction (ABC) at the moment I see wave “B”, which may reach the area of 50% Fibonacci 70 level.
It is possible that wave “A” will continue to develop towards the 62-63 area, but I still hope for an upward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Will It Rise More?
Quick update for my yesterday's analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
As I predicted yesterday, the price went up to the target.
We got one more strong bullish confirmation after a New York
session opening:
the price violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may rise even more and reach 69.25 level.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Consolidation is Over
Crude Oil was consolidating for 6 trading days in a row
after a test of a key daily support.
The yesterday's Crude Oil Inventories data made the market bullish
and the price successfully violated a minor resistance of a sideways movement.
We can expect that the market will grow more.
Next resistance - 69.27
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OIL Price ForecastOIL Price Forecast
In this video, I break down the potential price developments for oil in the weeks ahead.
So far, the price action appears contracted, suggesting a period of consolidation.
However, after this pause, a further decline remains the most likely scenario.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
Crude oil continues to fluctuate upward
💡Message Strategy
OPEC+, led by Asian countries, announced on Saturday that it would increase production by an additional 548,000 barrels per day from next month, more than 30% higher than market expectations of 411,000 barrels per day, accelerating the pace of resumption of production after the production cuts in 2023.
In addition to supply-side factors, demand prospects are also affected by trade concerns. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that the country-specific tariffs that the Trump administration intends to implement will officially take effect on August 1, later than the previously scheduled July 9, leaving trading partners with a short breathing space.
Market concerns about the impact of this policy on crude oil consumption have intensified, especially among importing countries, mainly Asian countries.
Confidence in the Asian market remains, and Saudi Arabia raises prices to Asia
Despite the increase in supply, OPEC+ still emphasized in its statement that "the global economic outlook is stable and the market fundamentals are healthy." As a signal of confidence, Saudi Arabia has raised the prices of major crude oil varieties for Asian customers, indicating that it believes that the Asian market has the ability to absorb additional supply.
According to OPEC+ representatives, the alliance will consider whether to increase supply by another 548,000 barrels per day in September at its next meeting on August 3, thereby fully restoring the 2.2 million barrels per day quota cut last year.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward and tests around 75 in the medium term. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective trend remains upward. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakened. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
After the short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuates and consolidates, it turns into an upward rhythm. The moving average system is arranged in short positions, and the short-term objective trend is upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis, and the bullish momentum is full. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise after a slight rebound during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:66.00-67.00,SL:65.00,Target:69.00-70.00
Crude oil moves up alternately during the day
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil prices snapped a three-day winning streak and were trading around $66.00 a barrel in early European trading Thursday. Crude oil prices fell as rising U.S. crude inventories heightened concerns about weak demand in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 78. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (4H) fluctuated and consolidated for two trading days. The oil price repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and the objective trend direction fluctuated. From the perspective of the primary and secondary rhythms, the current rhythm is a secondary oscillation rhythm. According to the law of primary and secondary alternation, the subjective trend still maintains an upward direction. In terms of momentum, there are signs of weakening upward momentum, and it is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to be mainly upward.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.00,SL:64.50,Target:69.00-70.00
Crude oil next move (expecting mild bullish move) (30-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the mid term (30-06-2025)
Current price- 65.00
"if Price stay above 63.00 then next target is 67.00, 70.00 and 76.00 and below that 61.00"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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USOIL is Nearing the Daily TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 64.30 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 64.30 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Falling towards pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 63.73
1st Support: 56.03
1st Resistance: 71.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Move Up Ahead!
Last week, I already shared a bullish setup on WTI Crude Oil
on a daily time frame.
I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation today.
After a test of an underlined blue support area,
the price went up strongly and violated a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
The market is going to rise more.
Goal - 68.2
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Crude Oil Eyes Bullish Breakout – Demand Zone Holding StrongCrude Oil (USOIL) is forming a potential bullish reversal structure on the 1H timeframe, supported by repeated bounces from a well-respected demand zone. Price currently consolidates below the key resistance level with a visible expanding channel, hinting at possible volatility and breakout.
🔹 Trade Idea:
I’m waiting for a clear break and close above 66.50 for a valid long entry. The setup remains invalid unless price confirms this breakout.
🔹 Technical Highlights:
- Strong demand zone held price multiple times
- Formation of higher impulses with retracements aligning well with Fibonacci levels
- Market structure suggests a continuation toward upper targets if 66.50 is broken with momentum
🔹 Trade Plan:
- Buy Above: 66.50 (breakout confirmation)
- Stop Loss: 64.40 (below demand zone and structure support)
- Target: 69.00 (near 2.272 Fibonacci extension)
⚠️ Note: No entry unless 66.50 is broken convincingly. Setup favors disciplined execution only on confirmation.
Strong USOIL Setup: Long from Support + 4.34 R/RHey Guys, hope you're all doing well!
I've placed a limit buy order on USOIL from a key support level. Below are the relevant levels for your reference:
- 🔵 Entry Level: 67.424
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 66.803
- 🟢 Target 1 (TP1): 67.908
- 🟢 Target 2 (TP2): 68.456
- 🟢 Target 3 (TP3): 70.036
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.34
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DON'T TRADE THE NOISE - Trade what the chart is telling you!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 70.08
1st Support: 65.56
1st Resistance: 73.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Cautious — this Chart is Slippery!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🛢️After surging by over 35% in the past two weeks, USOIL took a hit following Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
However, from a technical perspective, USOIL is approaching a strong daily support zone marked in red.
As long as this support holds, the bulls remain in control.
📊The next bullish impulse will be confirmed upon a break above the last minor high marked in blue.
In such a scenario, a move toward the supply zone (also marked in red) would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich