GWMK2026 trade ideas
NATURALGAS1! Short time Breadkdown Alert !!This is the 4 hour chart of Natural Gas Futures.
NATURALGAS1 has given a short-term channel breakdown; the previous support may now possibly act as resistance at 300 level.
The breakdown target is the lower boundary of the broader channel, which may now act as support near at 240 level.
If lop is sustain then we may see lower prices in NATURALGAS1.
Thank You !!
NG1! BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
NG1! SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3.737
Target Level: 3.205
Stop Loss: 4.089
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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Natural Gas Futures Signal Breakdown Below Mid-Band Support
The most recent candle closed below the middle Bollinger Band (20 SMA), indicating potential downside momentum.
The price recently spiked toward the upper band (~$4.20) but was strongly rejected, creating a bearish reversal pattern.
Volume has been increasing on down days, especially the last few sessions, suggesting institutional selling pressure.
Natural Gas Slips Below Support – More Downside Ahead ?
Recent candles are large-bodied bearish candles, indicating strong selling pressure.
Bollinger Basis is sloping downward, showing short-term bearish momentum.
Price is currently below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
NATGAS: Forecast & Trading Plan
The analysis of the NATGAS chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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NATGAS SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 3.450$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 3.600$
LONG🚀
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NATGAS Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.896
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3.662
Recommended Stop Loss - 4.034
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NG1!: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.894 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3.993.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATGAS REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS went down to retest
A horizontal support of 3.820$
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 3.984$
LONG🚀
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NATGAS: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NATGAS pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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NATGAS Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a great
Bearish correction and
And then retested a
Horizontal support
Around 3.800$ from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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NATGAS STRONG RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅NATGAS has been growing recently
And Gas seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 4.256$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Will Middle East Flames Ignite Winter Gas Prices?The global natural gas market is currently navigating a period of profound volatility, with prices surging and defying typical seasonal trends. This significant upward movement is primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, specifically the intensifying conflict between Iran and Israel, coupled with the looming potential for direct US military intervention. This complex interplay of factors is fundamentally reshaping perceptions of global energy supply and influencing investor sentiment, pushing natural gas prices towards critical psychological and technical thresholds.
Direct military strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure, including the world's largest gas field, the South Pars, have introduced a tangible threat to supply at the source. This is compounded by the strategic vulnerability of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a significant portion of the world's liquefied natural gas (LNG) transits. Despite Iran possessing the world's second-largest natural gas reserves and being the third-largest producer, international sanctions and high domestic consumption severely limit its export capabilities, making its existing, albeit modest, export volumes disproportionately sensitive to disruption.
Europe, having strategically pivoted to LNG imports following the reduction of Russian pipeline gas, finds its energy security increasingly tied to the stability of Middle Eastern supply routes. A prolonged conflict, especially one extending into the crucial winter months, would necessitate substantial LNG volumes to meet storage targets, intensifying competition and potentially driving European gas prices higher. This environment of heightened risk and volatility also attracts speculative trading, which can amplify price movements beyond fundamental supply-demand dynamics, embedding a significant geopolitical risk premium into current market valuations.
This confluence of direct infrastructure threats, critical chokepoint risks, and Europe's structural reliance on global LNG flows creates a highly sensitive market. The trajectory of natural gas prices remains inextricably linked to geopolitical developments, with potential for further substantial increases in an escalation scenario, or sharp reversals should de-escalation occur. Navigating this landscape requires a keen understanding of both energy fundamentals and the intricate, often unpredictable, currents of international relations.
Possible decline in natural gas prices? Possible decline in natural gas prices?
Natural gas futures in the United States fell to $3.40/MMBtu, the lowest level in six weeks, due to increased production and subdued demand. Mild weather conditions reduced heating and cooling needs, favoring above-normal storage injections. On the supply side, average gas production in the 48 contiguous states increased to 105.9 bcfd in June, compared to 105.2 bcfd in May. In addition, LNG export demand weakened, with flows to the eight major US export terminals averaging 14.3 bcfd in June, down from 15.0 bcfd in May.
The European gas market is also experiencing a significant downturn. European natural gas futures fell more than 10% to €33.3 per megawatt hour, reaching their lowest level in over a week, following the announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel by US President Donald Trump.
The importance of weather conditions
Meanwhile, weather forecasts indicate a mixed picture across Europe. A heatwave is affecting the southern and western regions of the continent, with temperatures reaching 40°C in Madrid and 36°C in Zagreb, likely increasing electricity use for cooling. However, cooler and stormy conditions are expected in the Nordic countries and Eastern Europe due to a low-pressure system extending from Germany to the Baltic States.
The situation continues to deteriorate, with high production generating a surplus of supply on the market. This scenario could lead to new historic lows in prices, especially if the summer turns out to be cooler than expected. Analysis of the futures curve also provides negative indications. The curve is in a state of amplified contango, which occurs when demand is weak and supply is excessive.
Production is high
The shape of the futures curve is of considerable importance to speculators and investors seeking to mitigate risk through the purchase of commodities. It provides relevant indications of both the current state of the commodity market and its future prospects.
From a technical standpoint, the situation is negative: recent declines have been accompanied by above-average volumes, and prices are below the 200-period moving average. In light of this, we do not recommend buying natural gas, as prices are expected to reach new historic lows in the coming months.
However, it is important to consider that there is a current condition that could favor energy sector commodities.
The US dollar continues to weaken. Therefore, if I were to buy an energy sector commodity right now, I would opt for oil. Oil is generally priced in dollars on international markets, which means that when the value of the dollar falls, the price of oil tends to rise. This dynamic occurs mainly because a weaker dollar makes oil less expensive for buyers using other currencies, thus increasing demand and, consequently, the price.
The importance of a weak dollar
In addition, geopolitical events, such as conflicts in oil-producing regions, can affect both the price of oil and the value of the dollar. For example, tensions in the Middle East can lead to higher oil prices.
It is essential to monitor the geopolitical situation in the Middle East on a daily basis and analyze oil inventory data on a weekly basis to understand whether the market will continue in its current deficit phase. I expect a prolonged sideways phase for oil prices; therefore, it may be appropriate to invest in an undervalued oil sector stock that distributes dividends.
NG1!: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3.745 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bullish Trend Remains IntactNatural Gas has been trading inside this rising channel for just over 2 years now. Tested the bottom of this channel for most of this year, now it’s looking to go back up to the top of the channel once again. I would stay long until it hits the top of the channel, unless it closes above the top of the channel on a weekly basis in which case that would be very bullish and I would stay long.