Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence
🎓 Mastering Delta–Volume Divergence: How to Read Institutional Absorption and Trap Setups
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1️⃣ What Is Delta?
Delta measures the net aggression between buyers and sellers:
• Market Buys: traders lifting the ask
• minus
• Market Sells: traders hitting the bid
✅ Positive Delta indicates stronger buying pressure.
✅ Negative Delta indicates stronger selling pressure.
Delta shows who is initiating trades, not just that trading is occurring.
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2️⃣ What Is Volume?
Volume measures the total number of contracts traded, regardless of who initiated them.
Every matched buy and sell contributes equally to volume.
Volume reveals activity, but not who controls the move.
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3️⃣ What Is Delta–Volume Divergence?
Delta–Volume Divergence occurs when:
✅ Volume is high (lots of trades happening),
✅ But Delta is near zero (neither side dominates).
This signals:
• Intense two-sided activity between buyers and sellers,
• Strong participation on both sides,
• Passive absorption—institutions quietly filling large orders without moving price significantly.
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4️⃣ Chart Breakdown – Bar by Bar
Below is a clear example of this concept in practice, reviewing each daily bar from your footprint chart:
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🔴 June 24
• Delta: -8,240 (strong net selling)
• Volume: 575,720 (very high)
• Interpretation:
• Heavy, aggressive selling.
• Clear trend-confirming action.
• No divergence.
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🟢 June 25
• Delta: +4,650 (net buying)
• Volume: 343,990 (moderate)
• Interpretation:
• Counter-trend buying or short covering.
• Less volume and less conviction.
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🟢 June 26
• Delta: +2,690 (mild net buying)
• Volume: 416,820 (higher)
• Interpretation:
• Rising volume but weaker delta.
• Early sign of balance developing.
• Possible absorption beginning.
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🟨 June 27 (Critical Bar)
• Delta: +272 (near zero)
• Volume: 540,310 (very high)
• Interpretation:
• Huge volume churn.
• Neither buyers nor sellers in control.
• Likely institutional absorption of aggressive orders.
✅ This is a textbook example of Delta–Volume Divergence.
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5️⃣ Why This Matters
Professional Insight:
• Sellers had been aggressive for several sessions.
• Suddenly, volume remained elevated, but delta flatlined.
• This suggests:
• Exhaustion of selling aggression, or
• Institutional accumulation and passive positioning.
This often sets the stage for:
• A trap reversal (short squeeze), or
• A continuation flush if sellers regroup and push lower.
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6️⃣ Confirmation Scenarios
Scenario A: Bearish Continuation
• Watch for renewed strong negative delta (e.g., -5,000 or worse).
• Price remains below the last support (~3,250).
• Confirms absorption failed and sellers remain dominant.
Scenario B: Short Squeeze Reversal
• Price reclaims the VAL (~3,285–3,300).
• Delta flips strongly positive (+5,000 or more).
• Trapped shorts begin covering, driving price back toward supply.
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7️⃣ Common Misinterpretation
⚠️ High volume alone does NOT mean momentum.
Key Point:
If delta is flat, high volume simply means churn, not directional energy.
This is why inexperienced traders often get caught:
• They see heavy volume and assume a breakout is underway.
• In reality, the market is absorbing liquidity to trap both sides.
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8️⃣ Professional Tips for Trading Divergence
✅ Wait for confirmation before entering:
• Clear delta shifts, and
• Price reclaiming or rejecting key levels.
✅ Be aware of stop zones:
• Under recent lows if buyers fail,
• Above recent range if sellers get exhausted.
✅ Avoid trading during pure churn without clear follow-through.
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9️⃣ Quick Recap
✅ Delta–Volume Divergence: High volume, flat delta, no clear directional control.
✅ Typically signals absorption and position buildup.
✅ Requires confirmation before committing to trades.
✅ Recognizing it helps you avoid traps and false breakouts.
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🔟 Final Thought
Learning to read divergence is what separates professional traders from retail:
“Volume tells you how hard the market is working. Delta tells you who’s winning.”
Combine both to see the hidden game behind every price bar.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This lesson is for educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial advice.
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SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX)
In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character.
Change of Character relates to market trend analysis.
In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis.
🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market.
They believe that the trend is bullish ,
if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them.
The market trend is considered to be bearish ,
if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them.
Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice.
One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs.
🔘Of course, trends do not last forever.
A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading.
Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation.
📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high.
While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish .
However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal,
it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend.
In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern.
Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold.
After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave.
📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish.
A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern.
Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below.
In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level
quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal.
Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know.
First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
When Charts Lie: How Fundamentals Rescued My Forex TradingEvery trader knows the frustration: your analysis is technically flawless, but the market moves against you. I learned this brutally in Q1 2024 when my USD/CAD short—backed by textbook bearish divergence and order block rejection—got steamrolled by a 190-pip rally after Canada’s surprise oil export announcement.
The Blind Spot in Pure Technicals
Price action traders often dismiss fundamentals as "noise," but three scenarios consistently break chart-based systems:
Policy Surprises (SNB removing EUR/CHF floor)
Geopolitical Shocks (Rubles during Ukraine invasion)
Structural Shifts (BOJ abandoning YCC)
These events share one trait: they change the market’s fundamental DNA, invalidating historical patterns.
A Practical Filter
I need to train myself to do something like this: To overlay two fundamental checks before technical entries:
Central Bank Calendar
No trades 12 hours before scheduled meetings
Monitor yield spreads (10YR US vs. DE)
Commodity Links
AUD/USD: Iron ore inventories
USD/CAD: WTI backwardation
Case Study: April 2024 GBP/USD
Technicals suggested continuation above 1.2700
Fundamental red flag: UK real wages shrinking
Outcome: False breakout, 140-pip drop
Your Turn
Try this today: On your next trade, ask:
Is there scheduled event risk?
Does this align with rate expectations?
Are commodities/equities confirming?
The goal isn’t perfection—it’s avoiding obvious mismatches.
For me, I read my own words on what should be done, and most probably, I won't do it. I think the above is too much. I believe there must be an easier way to merge Technical and Fundamental Analysis.
SMC Mechanical Entry Models✅ SMC Checklist:
1. Market Structure
🔹 Identify HTF Trend (H4 or H1): bullish, bearish, or range
🔹 Confirm Break of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (CHoCH) on M15–M5
🔹 Look for lower highs/lows (downtrend) or higher highs/lows (uptrend)
2. Liquidity Zones
🔹 Look for equal highs/lows (liquidity pools)
🔹 Asian highs/lows — common targets during London/NY session
🔹 Recent internal range liquidity
🔹 Trendline liquidity — fakeouts often occur here
3. Premium & Discount Zones (PD Arrays)
🔹 Use Fibonacci from recent swing high to low
🔹 Look for entries at Discount (Longs) or Premium (Shorts) pricing
🔹 Ideal entries happen between 0.62–0.79 retracement
4. Supply & Demand Zones
🔹 Find fresh OBs (Order Blocks) that caused a break of structure
🔹 Use last bullish candle before strong drop (for short) or last bearish candle before strong rally (for long)
🔹 Confirm zone isn’t mitigated yet
5. Imbalance / Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
🔹 Identify large imbalanced candles (no wick overlap)
🔹 Ideal entries are inside the FVG aligned with direction
🔹 High probability if FVG is within OB or confluence with structure/liquidity
6. Confluences for Entry
🔹 Entry aligns with liquidity sweep or FVG/OB tap
🔹 Volume spike or rejection wick confirms interest
🔹 RSI divergence or exhaustion = bonus confirmation
🔹 Use M1/M5 for entry trigger after setup is formed on M15–H1
7. Entry Trigger
🔹 CHoCH or BOS on lower timeframe (M1-M5)
🔹 Confirmation with engulfing candle, FVG fill, or break/retest
🔹 SL below/above recent swing or OB boundary
8. TP/Exit Zones
🔹 TP1: After BOS/structure shift + partial
🔹 TP2: Next liquidity level (equal high/low or OB)
🔹 TP3: Opposite OB or major FVG
🔹 Adjust SL to breakeven after reaching TP1
9. Session Timing (Important)
🔹 Asian range → look for liquidity setup
🔹 London Open (3PM–6PM PH))→ manipulative move (liquidity grab)
🔹 NY Open (8PM–11PM PH) → continuation or reversal opportunity
🔹 Avoid high-impact news releases unless breakout
🔹 Use Forex Factory / MyFXBook for news calendar
10. Post-Trade Journaling:
🔹Screenshot HTF → LTF Setup (H4 > M15 > M1)
🔹Don’t skip journaling — it’s your #1 improvement tool.
Middle East peace/war = Bitcoin’s Explosive Price CoilDo you know why every time tensions rise in the Middle East, Bitcoin springs upward like a compressed coil?
This market reaction isn’t just a coincidence it’s the result of a mix of psychological and economic factors we’ll explore today.
Get ready to understand how these crises can create golden opportunities for the world’s favorite digital currency.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Price is approaching a significant support level that has held strong historically. A potential rebound from this zone could lead to at least a 7% upside move 📈, with the primary target set around $115,000—near a key descending trendline on the daily chart. Watching this level closely for confirmation 🔍.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
Market Psychology: When War Plays with Fear and Greed 🧠
Middle East crises act like a spring: when released, they trigger intense fear in the market. Many traders react emotionally and start selling their holdings. The key point: this fear often flips into greed.
When Bitcoin’s price drops due to war fears, savvy traders seize the opportunity and enter the market. This cycle of fear and greed causes Bitcoin’s price to surge faster than usual just like a compressed spring suddenly releasing.
If you understand these market emotions and trade without bias, you can maximize gains from such volatility.
Key TradingView Tools for Bitcoin Analysis 📊
When the Middle East conflict heats up, market volatility spikes, affecting Bitcoin as a high-risk asset.
Using essential indicators like RSI , Fibonacci retracements , and volume on TradingView helps you pinpoint precise entry and exit points and better understand market reactions.
Practical Tips for Better Tool Usage ⚙️
To get the most out of TradingView:
Activate several indicators simultaneously and compare price movements with volume.
Draw Fibonacci retracements on previous trends to find key support and resistance levels.
Check RSI to see if Bitcoin is overbought or oversold.
Monitor trading volume to confirm momentum shifts.
This approach turns your analysis from guesswork into a logical, actionable strategy.
How Middle East War Drives Bitcoin Growth: Final Analysis 🚀
As tensions escalate, investors seek safe-haven assets, and Bitcoin, known as digital gold, attracts massive attention. Also, banking restrictions and sanctions push liquidity toward cryptocurrencies.
These condition s, combined with market psychology and the analytical tools we covered, make Bitcoin behave like a compressed spring that suddenly leaps upward, driving significant growth. Traders aware of these trends and skilled in using indicators and sentiment can find better profit opportunities.
Recommendations 📌
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East act as a powerful trigger for Bitcoin volatility. Understanding market psychology, smart use of TradingView tools, and having a solid risk management strategy are key to success in such times. I recommend keeping an eye not just on technical analysis but also on market sentiment and political news to make the best timely decisions.
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We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛
Big thanks,
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📜 Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
How to Trade When Buy/Sell Alerts Conflict with Market StructureQuestion:
If we have a buy/sell alert and an opposing Market Structure, how can we tell which will prevail or is heavier?
Answer (VX Algo System perspective):
In the VX Algo system, both the alert signals (buy/sell) and the market structure are crucial, but they serve different roles:
Alerts are dynamic triggers based on price action, momentum, or specific algorithmic conditions. They indicate potential entry or exit points.
Market Structure reflects the broader trend and underlying order flow, indicating the prevailing direction of the market (e.g., higher highs and higher lows for bullish structure, or lower highs and lower lows for bearish structure).
When an alert contradicts the prevailing market structure, the heavier factor is usually the Market Structure because it represents the dominant order flow and sentiment. In other words, alerts give you tactical timing, but market structure provides strategic context.
How to tell which prevails:
Confirm with Market Structure: If the market structure is bullish (uptrend), a buy alert aligns with it and is more likely to succeed. A sell alert against that structure is a warning sign that the alert may be weaker or a potential false signal.
Volume and Momentum: Use volume or momentum indicators (built into VX Algo or complementary tools) to see if the alert has strength behind it. A strong sell alert with high volume during an uptrend may indicate an imminent structure shift.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Check if the opposing alert is supported or rejected on higher timeframes. A buy alert on a lower timeframe against a bearish higher timeframe structure is less likely to prevail.
Risk Management: If you trade against structure alerts, reduce position size and tighten stops until the structure confirms the shift.
Summary: Market structure is heavier and more reliable for directional bias. Alerts provide tactical entry timing. When they conflict, lean on structure for bias but watch for alert strength as early signals of possible structure changes.
Sharing the advanced Bollinger Bands strategyHere are the Bollinger Band trading tips: *
📌 If you break above the upper band and then drop back down through it, confirm a short signal!
📌 If you drop below the lower band and then move back up through it, confirm a long signal!
📌 If you continue to drop below the middle band, add to your short position; if you break above the middle band, add to your long position!
Pretty straightforward, right? This means you won’t be waiting for the middle band to signal before acting; you’ll be ahead of the game, capturing market turning points!
Let’s break it down with some examples:
1. When Bitcoin breaks above the upper Bollinger Band, it looks strong, but quickly drops back below:
➡️ That’s a “bull trap”—time to go short!
2. If Bitcoin crashes below the lower band and then pops back up:
➡️ Bears are running out of steam—time to go long and grab that rebound!
3. If the price keeps moving above the middle band:
➡️ Add to your long or short positions to ride the trend without being greedy or hesitant.
Why is this method powerful?
It combines “edge recognition + trend confirmation” for double protection:
1. Edge Recognition—spot the turning point and act early.
2. Trend Confirmation—wait for the middle band breakout and then confidently add positions!
You won’t be reacting after the fact; you’ll be ahead of the curve, increasing your positions in the trend’s middle and locking in profits at the end. This is the rhythm of professional traders and the core logic of systematic profits!
Who is this method for?
- You want precise entry and exit points.
- You’re tired of “chasing highs and cutting losses.”
- You want a clear, executable trading system.
- You want to go from “I see the chart but don’t act” to “I see the signal and take action.”
Follow for more. Make sure to like this if you found it useful.
#AN011: NATO Summit, 5% for Defense
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and after the NATO Summit meeting, I want to analyze the situation a bit. Remember that my opinions are strictly personal and what I say may not reflect your thoughts. I do not write with a political or personal ideology. I analyze the situation objectively.
I thank in advance our Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE for the support in creating this article.
🔍 Key points of the NATO Summit
Yesterday's NATO Summit in The Hague attracted global attention, with the 32 member countries committing to a strong increase in defense spending, with the goal of 5% of GDP by 2035, of which 3.5% for basic military spending and 1.5% for broader security measures, such as strengthening cybersecurity and infrastructure.
US President Trump praised the outcome as a "major victory" and stressed that increased spending would likely benefit US defense contractors, while reaffirming NATO's commitment to Article 5.
However, countries such as Spain have expressed concern, indicating that it could include military aid rather than pure budget increases.
📈 Financial Market Reaction
🔹 Defense & Aerospace Stocks
Major defense companies across Europe posted immediate gains:
Babcock (UK) +10.7%,
Rheinmetall (Germany) +3.1%,
Thales (France) +2%+,
Leonardo (Italy) +2.6%
🔹 Bond & Currency Action
According to KBC Bank market commentary:
The bond market steepened bearishly, particularly in Europe, as governments are reassessing their fiscal balances to accommodate defense budgets.
The US dollar remained strong, supported by dovish Fed expectations, countering the spike in bond yields.
🌍 Currency Market Implications
EUR/USD:
The momentum of a dovish Fed and US fiscal pressure could support the dollar. However, divergence in bond yields could support moderate euro strength if the ECB remains cautious.
EUR-linked currencies (e.g. SEK, NOK):
These could come under pressure from rising risk premia and possible increase in government bond issuance.
JPY and CHF:
Likely to benefit from high volatility and safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions.
🧭 Strategic Outlook
Theme Market Impact
Increased defense spending Supports government bonds, increases government bond yields.
Fiscal tightening Increases credit risk premia.
US defense dominance Strengthens the USD in the short to medium term.
Geopolitical unity Strengthens investor confidence, mitigates risk-off tendencies.
📝 Conclusion
NATO summit signals a geopolitical shift that extends to currency and credit markets. Forex traders should pay attention to:
Yield changes in the US versus Europe due to increased deficit financing.
Currency inflows into the US dollar on defense and risk themes.
Safe-haven demand if tensions in Russia-Ukraine or the Middle East flare up again.
Thanks a lot for making it this far. Stay tuned for more analysis.
Utilising ICT’s Breaker BlocksBreaker blocks or simply called breakers are failed order blocks which are being retested same way with the break and retest entry pattern.
However I simply don’t trade this pattern whenever it presents itself on the charts.
There are certain conditions that has to be met before I seek to enter.
1. Firstly, prior to the order block(turned break block) being failed I need to see a grab of liquidity(either buy side or sell side liquidity depending on our directional bias which is the draw on liquidity).
2. After the grab of liquidity I expect to see a clean failure of the order block. Price has to push through the order block with momentum.
3. I expect to find a fair-value-gap as a result of that clean break within that failed order block (turned breaker block).
4. With these 3 factors in place I would not consider to enter if this setup does not occur at key levels. Which could be at the liquidation of an old higher timeframe swing low or high, higher timeframe fair-value-gap or inverted fair-value-gap, or a higher timeframe order block. This is to help understand market structure and direction.
5. Lastly, the above 4 factors needs to align with the I.C.T kill zones. I preferably prefer the London morning session 2am to 5am New York time.
Having these factors in complete alignment, my target is usually at the 50% mark of the Fibonacci or a key internal level (internal liquidity for example swing high/low, fair-value-gap etc) close to the 50% mark.
The chart picture above is an example of the breaker block entry model on EurAud during the London morning session.
Skeptic | RSI Masterclass: Unlock Pro-Level Trading Secrets!Hey traders, it’s Skeptic ! 😎 Ready to transform your trading? 95% of you are using the Relative Strength Index wrong , and I’m here to fix that with a game-changing strategy I’ve backtested across 200+ trades. This isn’t a generic RSI tutorial—it’s packed with real-world setups, myth-busting insights, and precise rules to trade with confidence. Join me to master the art of RSI and trade with clarity, discipline, and reason. Big shoutout to TradingView for this epic free tool! 🙌 Let’s dive in! 🚖
What Is RSI? The Core Breakdown
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) , crafted by Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures a market’s strength by comparing average gains to average losses over a set period. Here’s the formula:
G = average gains over n periods, L = average losses.
Relative Strength (RS) = | G / L |.
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS)).
Wilder used a 14-period lookback , and I stick with it—it’s smooth, filters noise, and gives a crystal-clear read on buyer or seller momentum. Let’s get to the good stuff—how I use RSI to stack profits! 📊
My RSI Strategy: Flipping the Script
Forget what you’ve read in books like The Handbook of Technical Analysis by Mark Andrew Lim— overbought (70) and oversold (30) aren’t just for shorting or buying. I go long when RSI hits overbought, and it’s been a goldmine. I’ve backtested over 200 trades with this approach, and it’s my go-to confirmation for daily setups. Why does it work? When RSI hits overbought on my 15-minute entry chart, it signals explosive buyer momentum. Here’s what you get:
Lightning-Fast R/R: I hit risk/reward targets in 30 minutes to 2 hours on 15-minute entries (longer for 1-hour entries, depending on your timeframe).
Massive R/R Potential: An overbought RSI on 15-minute can push 1-hour and 4-hour RSI into overbought, driving bigger moves. I hold for R/Rs of 5 or even 10, not bailing early. 🚀
Rock-Solid Confirmation: RSI confirms my entry trigger. Take BTC/USD:
BTC bounces off a key support at 76,000, sparking an uptrend.
It forms a 4-hour box range, but price tests the ceiling more than the floor, hinting at a breakout.
Trigger: Break above the box ceiling at 85,853.57.
On 15-minute, a powerful candle breaks the ceiling, and RSI hits overbought—that’s my green light. I open a long.
Soon, 1-hour and 4-hour RSI go overbought, signaling stronger momentum. I hold, and BTC pumps hard, hitting high R/R in a short window.
This keeps trades fast and efficient—quick wins or quick stops mean better capital management and less stress. Slow trades? They’re a mental grind, pushing you to close early for tiny R/Rs. 😴
Pro Rules for RSI Success
Here’s how to wield RSI like a trading weapon:
Stick to the Trend : Use RSI in the direction of the main trend (e.g., uptrend = focus on longs).
Confirmation Only: Never use RSI solo for buy/sell signals. Pair it with breakouts or support/resistance triggers.
Fresh Momentum: RSI is strongest when it just hits overbought/oversold. If the move’s already rolling, skip it—no FOMO, walk away!
Customize Zones: Overbought (70) and oversold (30) can shift—it might show reactions at 65 or 75. Adjust to your market’s behavior.
Backtesting RSI: Your Path to Mastery
To make RSI yours, backtest it across at least 30 trades in every market cycle— uptrend, downtrend, and range. Test in volatile markets for extra edge. 😏 Key takeaways:
Range Markets Kill RSI: Momentum oscillators like RSI (or SMA) are useless in ranges—no momentum, no signal. Switch to ROC (Rate of Change) for ranges—I use it, and it’s a beast. Want an ROC guide? Hit the comments!
Overextended RSI Zones: On your entry timeframe (e.g., 15-minute), check higher timeframes (e.g., 4-hour) for past RSI highs/lows. These are overextended zones—price often rejects or triggers a range. Use them to take profits.
Final Vibe Check
This RSI masterclass is your key to trading like a pro—fast R/Rs, big wins, and unshakable confidence . At Skeptic Lab, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Guard your capital— max 1% risk per trade, no excuses. Want an ROC masterclass or more tools? Drop a comment! If this fired you up, smash that boost—it means everything! 😊 Got a setup or question? Hit me in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
Is every fall an opportunity?Is every fall an opportunity?
Of course not! Because sometimes, the lower you get, the lower you get. You need to know 2 things here:
1- Why did we buy?
2- How long is our maturity?
➡️ Example:
I believe that Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC will continuously increase in value in the long run. Because I know why I bought it. It's simple math (fixed in my article profile). But is there no risk?
Of course, there is risk.
❌ For example, if the US bans it?
This is unlikely today, but of course it can happen. As a matter of fact, the US banned gold investment between 1933-1974. Such a thing would not end Bitcoin, but it would make the road very long.
✅ So?
1- If you believe that what you are buying will appreciate in the long run and you have a long maturity, declines are opportunities.
2- But if you've only heard about your investment from someone, then you're more likely to get scared and sell at every drop.
Thanks for reading 🙏
Timeframes in Trading: Which Chart Tells You WhatHello, traders! 👋🏻 Why can the same chart tell a different story on 1D, 4H, or 15M? You’ve probably been there. BTC looks bullish on the daily… bearish on the 4-hour… and totally sideways on the 15-minute. So, which one is right?
The truth is: none of them is wrong. They’re just telling different parts of the story. Understanding timeframes in trading isn’t just a technical skill. It’s how you decode what the market is actually doing.
Every Timeframe Has a Role
Think of timeframes like zooming in and out on a map: The 1W chart tells you where the mountain ranges are, the macro trend. The 1D chart shows the highways and the current direction within that macro. The 4H chart reveals city streets, the local trend swings. And the 15M chart? That’s the back alleys, where the noise and micro moves live. BTC, for example, doesn't behave the same way across these views, and it shouldn't.
What Happens If You Ignore Timeframes?
You try to short a "breakdown" on the 15M, only to realize you just sold into 4H support.
You enter a 1D bullish breakout, only to panic when price pulls back aggressively on the 4H… forgetting that the 4H was just doing a retest. Or worse, you start trading against the macro trend, thinking the 15M chart holds more weight than it actually does.
How Professionals Read Timeframes (BTC Example)
Example:
You can start high, work down: 1W → 1D → 4H → 1H/15M. Check the macro first. Is BTC bullish, bearish, or ranging on the 1D or 1W? Then, you can map key levels: Support/resistance from higher timeframes is 10x more meaningful on lower timeframes. For example, BTC’s $30K, a weekly level, creates reactions even down on 5-minute charts. And, align context: A bullish setup on 15M is excellent, but check if it aligns with the 4H trend direction. If the 4H is also bullish, your setup has context. If not, expect chop.
🔗 BTC Right Now: Timeframe Confusion in Action
Just look at the current BTC structure. On the 1W, BTC is still trending higher, higher highs and higher lows from the $15K bottom in 2023. On the 1D, BTC trades inside a broad consolidation range after a strong uptrend. The price has repeatedly tested the $107K–$112K zone, acting as a key resistance cluster, while forming a series of higher lows. It's not a breakdown but a correction inside a bullish structure, testing previous supply zones. The 4H? Chaos. The price bounces between $105K and $112K, which is pure range behavior. The 15M? Traders are getting whipped trying to catch fake breakouts that mean nothing in the daily or weekly context.
Which Chart Tells You What?
All of them. But differently.
THE 1W TELLS YOU THE NARRATIVE.
THE 1D SHOWS YOU THE CURRENT DIRECTION.
THE 4H REVEALS TRADEABLE SWINGS WITHIN THAT DIRECTION.
THE 15M CAPTURES THE NOISE, THE TRAPS, AND THE MICRO OPPORTUNITIES.
If you’re only looking at one timeframe, you’re only seeing part of the picture. So, timeframes aren’t about right or wrong. They’re about perspective. If you’re a day trader, you probably live on the 5-minute to 15-minute charts, while still peeking at the 1H or 4H for structure.
If you’re a swing trader, the 4H and 1D are your home base, with the weekly chart guiding the bigger story. And if you’re thinking in months or quarters, the 1W and 1M are what actually matter – everything else is just noise.
So next time BTC feels “confusing”… zoom out. Or zoom in. The answer is probably hiding in the chart, just not the one you were looking at. Which timeframe do you trust the most when trading crypto? Drop it in the comments!
Anatomy of a Breakout: How to Spot It Before It Fakes You OutFew things in trading are as appealing as a breakout. The chart tightens, volume starts to stir, headlines align, your alerts start going off , and suddenly — boom! Price explodes above resistance. Your adrenaline spikes and you pop open that long.
But just as often, that breakout turns out to be nothing more than an expensive head fake. Price stalls. Sellers swoop in. Your stop gets clipped. And now you’re sitting there, blinking at your screen, “Welp… that was quick.”
Welcome to the bittersweet world of breakouts — where opportunity and deception dance like partners at a high-stakes poker table.
📢 What Is a Breakout, Really?
Let’s get the basics out of the way: A breakout happens when price pushes beyond a key support or resistance level that’s been holding for a while.
That level could be a previous high, a consolidation range, a trendline, or a psychological number that traders obsess over because humans love round numbers (did someone say Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD at $120,000 ?).
The logic is simple: Once price clears a well-watched level, trapped shorts have to cover, new longs pile in, and momentum feeds on itself. That’s the dream scenario.
But markets aren’t always that generous. For every clean breakout, there are a few fakeouts lurking — luring in overeager traders with the promise of easy money before slamming the door shut.
⚠️ Why Breakouts May Fail
If breakouts were easy, we’d all be rich. The problem is that breakouts attract a special kind of crowd: late-to-the-party momentum chasers, breakout algorithm bots, and retail traders who read one blog post about technical analysis.
The moment price nudges above resistance, FOMO kicks in. Volume surges. But if the move isn’t backed by genuine institutional buying (you need lots of billions to move the needle nowadays), it quickly becomes what seasoned traders call a “liquidity vacuum” — thin air where the only participants are you, a few equally optimistic Reddit threads, and market makers more than happy to take the other side.
Sometimes breakouts fail because:
The move lacked volume confirmation.
Macro headlines shifted mid-breakout.
A key level was front-run, and the real buyers have already taken profit.
It was a deliberate trap set by larger players to hunt stops before reversing.
Or — more often — the market just needed an excuse to shake out weak hands before resuming the actual move later.
🍸 Volume: The Truth Serum
Let’s be very clear: Breakouts without volume are like dating profiles without photos — you should be suspicious.
When real breakouts occur, you’ll usually see strong accompanying volume. That’s your proof that big players — funds, institutions, serious money — are committing to the move. No volume? Maybe the summer vibes are already here .
Smart traders wait for confirmation:
Is volume above average relative to recent sessions?
Is price holding above the breakout level after the initial pop?
Are follow-through candles printing convincingly?
Are we seeing continuation across related sectors or instruments?
Without these signs, that breakout candle may just be a cruel joke.
🤯 Breakout Psychology
Breakouts prey on two of the most dangerous emotions in trading: greed and urgency. The market whispers, “If you don’t get in now, you’ll miss it.”
This is where breakout psychology becomes more dangerous than the chart itself. Once a breakout happens, most traders are no longer analyzing — they’re reacting. They buy late, set tight stops below the breakout level, and become easy prey for stop-hunting algorithms.
✨ Types of Breakouts
Not all breakouts are created equal. Here’s the lineup you should be watching for:
Clean Breakouts:
The rarest and most beautiful. Strong move, high volume, sustained momentum. You’ll know it when you see it — or after you’ve hesitated and missed it.
Fakeouts (a.k.a. False Breakouts):
Price nudges just past resistance, triggers breakout orders, then swiftly reverses. Designed to shake out breakout traders before resuming the original trend.
Break-and-Retest Setups:
Often the highest-probability trades. Price breaks out, then pulls back to retest the former resistance (now support). If buyers defend this retest, you’ve got confirmation.
News-Driven Breakouts:
Triggered by earnings, economic data, or political events. Volatile, fast, and often unsustainable unless backed by real fundamental shifts.
📈 The “Pre-Breakout Tell”: Reading the Tape
Good breakout traders aren’t just watching levels — they’re watching how price behaves near those levels in advance.
Tight consolidation? Lower volatility into resistance? Declining volume as price grinds higher? That often signals an impending breakout as supply dries up.
Conversely, choppy action with large wicks and erratic volume often signals indecision — ripe conditions for failed breakouts and fakeouts.
Tape-reading matters. The cleaner the structure before the breakout, the better your odds.
💰 Breakout Traders Need Thick Skin
Even with perfect analysis, breakout trading requires accepting that many will fail. That’s the game. Your job isn’t to nail every breakout — it’s to size your positions properly , keep losses small when faked out, and let the clean breakouts run when you catch one.
Stop-loss discipline is everything. Breakouts are binary events: you’re either right quickly, or you’re cutting the trade quickly. There’s no room for “maybe it’ll come back.”
The most painful breakouts are the ones that fake out, stop you, then continue in your original direction. Every breakout trader has lived that nightmare. Accept it. Build it into your risk plan.
👉 Takeaway: Prepare the Setup, Anticipate the Fakeout
Breakouts will always be part of every trader’s playbook. But they require discipline, experience, and an iron stomach. The market loves to tempt you with early signals — your job is to separate signal from noise.
Pro tip: Start your day by checking the Economic calendar and browsing the latest news — staying informed (and witty) helps you build better context for smarter decisions.
So before you chase that next breakout candle, ask yourself:
Is volume there?
Is the broader market supportive?
Have I managed my risk before clicking buy?
Because in trading, the only thing worse than missing a breakout… is getting faked out and blowing up your account chasing it.
Now over to you : Are you a breakout trader or a fakeout victim? Share your best (or worst) breakout stories — we’ve all been there.
What Is a Change of Character (CHoCH) and How Can You Trade It?What Is a Change of Character (CHoCH) and How Can You Trade It?
Navigating the nuances of Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading requires a keen understanding of market signals like the Change of Character (CHoCH). This concept can help traders detect and react to potential trend reversals. Today, we’ll delve into the mechanics of CHoCHs, explaining how they manifest in different market conditions and how they can be strategically leveraged for trading decisions.
Understanding Breaks of Structure
Understanding Breaks of Structure (BOS) is essential for traders before delving into concepts like Change of Character (CHoCH). A BOS in trading signifies a continuation within the current trend and is marked by a clear deviation from established swing points that indicate previous highs and lows.
In the context of an uptrend, a BOS is identified when the price exceeds a previous high without moving below the most recent higher low. This action confirms that the upward momentum is still strong and likely to continue as buyers push the market to new heights.
Similarly, in a downtrend, a BOS occurs when prices drop below a previous low without breaking the prior lower high, suggesting that sellers remain in control and the downward trend is set to persist.
By recognising these points where the market extends beyond its former bounds, traders can confirm that the current trend is robust and act accordingly. This foundational concept of BOS not only helps in assessing trend strength but also sets the stage for understanding more complex patterns like CHoCH, where the focus shifts from trend continuation to potential trend reversals.
CHoCH Trading Meaning
In trading, a Change of Character (CHoCH) signals a potential shift in market dynamics, often indicating a reversal from the prevailing trend. This concept is particularly valuable as it helps traders discern when the momentum is shifting, offering a strategic point to consider adjusting their positions.
A CHoCH occurs when there's a noticeable deviation in the market's price trend. For example, in a bullish trend characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows, a CHoCH is indicated by the price failing to set a new high and subsequently falling below a recent higher low. This suggests that buyers are losing control, and a bearish trend could be emerging.
Similarly, during a bearish trend marked by lower highs and lower lows, a bullish CHoCH would occur if the price unexpectedly breaks above a recent lower high. This break indicates that sellers are losing their grip, and a bullish trend may be starting.
The Significance of CHoCHs Across Timeframes
The fractal nature of financial markets means that patterns and behaviours recur across various timeframes, each providing unique insights and implications for trading. Understanding CHoCHs in different timeframes is crucial for traders to effectively align their strategies with both short-term opportunities and long-term trend shifts.
In intraday trading, where decisions are made on lower timeframes (like minutes or hours), a CHoCH can signal a possible short-term trend reversal. For example, if a currency pair in a downtrend on a 15-minute chart suddenly posts a higher high, this could indicate a weakening of the bearish momentum, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
Traders might use this information to close short positions or to consider a long position, capitalising on the emerging upward trend. These short-term CHoCHs allow traders to respond quickly to market changes, potentially securing returns before larger market shifts occur.
Conversely, CHoCHs observed on higher timeframes, such as daily or weekly charts, are particularly significant because they can indicate a shift in the broader market trend that might last days, weeks, or even months. Such changes can then be used by both long and short-term traders to adjust their positioning and directional bias.
How to Identify a CHoCH
The initial step to identify a CHoCH in trading involves clearly defining the existing trend on a specific timeframe. This is done by marking the significant swing highs and lows that delineate the trend's progress. These points should represent somewhat meaningful retracements in the price, providing clear markers of trend continuity or potential reversal points.
According to the Smart Money Concept (SMC) theory, the integrity of an uptrend is maintained as long as the price does not trade through the most recent significant higher low. Conversely, a downtrend is considered intact if the price does not surpass the most recent significant lower high. Therefore, traders focus their attention on these critical points.
To identify a CHoCH, traders watch for a break in these crucial high or low points. For instance, in an uptrend, a bearish CHoCH is indicated when the price achieves a higher high but then reverses to descend below the previous significant higher low.
Similarly, in a downtrend, a bullish CHoCH occurs when the price drops to a lower low before reversing to break above the previous significant lower high, setting a new high. Both types of breaks signal a potential reversal in the trend direction.
How to Trade a CHoCH
When trading a CHoCH, it’s essential to recognise that it should be integrated with other aspects of the SMC framework to get the best results. This includes the use of order blocks and imbalances, which are key components in identifying potential reversals.
Order Blocks and Imbalances
An order block is essentially a substantial consolidation area where significant buying or selling has occurred, and prices often revisit these zones before reversing. These blocks can be seen as levels where institutional orders were previously concentrated.
An imbalance, also known as a fair value gap, occurs when the price moves sharply up or down, leaving a zone that has not been traded extensively. Price often returns to these gaps to 'fill' them, establishing equilibrium before a potential reversal happens.
In practice, traders can look for a sequence where the price first approaches an order block and begins to fill any existing imbalances. This setup increases confidence in a potential reversal. As the price meets these criteria and a CHoCH occurs, this indicates that the influence of the order block is likely to initiate a price reversal.
Practical Example on GBP/USD
Consider the 4-hour chart of the GBP/USD pair above. We see the pair encounter an order block on the left, one that’s visible on the daily chart. As the price interacts with this block, it begins to retrace, attempting to fill the imbalance but moves away. Eventually, the price completes the fill of the imbalance and meets the previously established order block.
Switching to a 1-hour timeframe, this scenario unfolds similarly. After reaching the order block on the 4-hour chart, another CHoCH occurs, signalling the start of a new uptrend. This lower timeframe CHoCH, following the meeting of the order block, corroborates the potential for a reversal initiated by the higher timeframe dynamics.
This example illustrates how CHoCHs can be effectively utilised across different timeframes, tying back to the fractal nature of markets discussed earlier. By recognising these patterns and understanding their interaction with order blocks and imbalances, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalise on potential market reversals, aligning their trades with deeper market forces at play.
CHoCH vs Market Structure Shift
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) is a specific type of Change of Character that includes additional signals suggesting a potential trend reversal. Unlike a straightforward CHoCH that typically indicates a trend is shifting but may also be a false break, an MSS can be seen as a higher confluence CHoCH. An MSS occurs after the market first makes a key movement contrary to the established trend—forming a lower high in an uptrend or a higher low in a downtrend—without plotting a higher high or lower low.
Following these preliminary signals, an MSS is confirmed when there is a decisive break through a significant swing point accompanied by a strong displacement (i.e. impulse) move, creating a CHoCH in the process. This sequence not only reflects that the prevailing trend has paused but also that a new trend in the opposite direction is establishing itself.
Due to these additional confirmations, an MSS can offer added confirmation for traders, indicating a stronger likelihood that a new, sustainable trend has begun. This makes the MSS particularly valuable for traders looking for more substantiated signals in their trading strategy.
The Bottom Line
The concept of a CHoCH is instrumental in navigating the complexities of SMC trading. By identifying these crucial market signals, traders may align their strategies to capitalise on market movements efficiently.
FAQs
What Is CHoCH in Trading?
In trading, CHoCH is a technical observation that signifies a change in the trend's character, where the price movement breaks from its established pattern of highs and lows, suggesting a potential reversal or substantial shift in the market's direction.
What Is CHoCH in SMC Trading?
In Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading, a Change of Character (CHoCH) refers to a clear shift in market behaviour that indicates a potential reversal of the prevailing trend. This concept is used by traders to detect early signs of a momentum shift that might lead to significant changes in price direction, enabling strategic adjustments to their trading positions.
What Is a CHoCH in the Market Structure?
A CHoCH in market structure is identified when there is an observable deviation from established price patterns — specifically when new highs or lows contradict the current trend. It signifies that the previous market sentiment is weakening, and a new opposite trend may be starting, prompting traders to reassess their strategies.
How Do You Identify a CHoCH?
Identifying a CHoCH involves monitoring significant swing highs and lows for breaks that are contrary to the existing trend. For instance, in an uptrend, a CHoCH would be indicated by a failure to reach a new high followed by a drop below the recent higher low, suggesting a shift to a bearish outlook.
What Is ChoCH vs BOS in Trading?
While both CHoCH and Break of Structure (BOS) are critical in assessing market dynamics, they serve different purposes. CHoCH indicates a potential trend reversal by highlighting a significant change in the price pattern. In contrast, a BOS indicates a continuation of the current trend by showing the price surpassing previous significant highs or lows, reinforcing the ongoing direction.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FED, rate cut possible on July 30? With the US Federal Reserve (FED) meeting on July 30 fast approaching, the markets are scrutinizing the slightest signals likely to indicate an inflexion in monetary policy. While a rate cut seems unlikely in the short term, it cannot be ruled out altogether. Despite Chairman Jerome Powell's firm stance, some influential members of the Monetary Policy Committee (FOMC) are actively pushing for monetary easing this summer.
1) Jerome Powell is not the only decision-maker on the FOMC, and there is pressure for a rate cut in July
Jerome Powell adopts a very cautious stance, making any monetary easing conditional on clear convergence towards the 2% inflation target. His main concern is the potentially inflationary impact of the tariffs currently under negotiation. However, Powell does not have absolute power. The FOMC has 12 voting members, including 7 permanent governors, the president of the New York Fed and 4 rotating regional bank presidents.
Although each vote is worth as much, the Chairman largely shapes the agenda and guides the discussions. Some members, such as Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, appointed under the Trump presidency, are pushing for a cut as early as July. Donald Trump's implicit support for this option adds political pressure, even if his direct influence is limited.
Below is a table showing the current balance of power between the voting members of the FOMC.
2) There will be a rate cut on July 30 if and only if the unemployment rate becomes worrying
On the fundamentals side, inflation measured by the PCE index, the FED's benchmark, remains slightly above target, but several key components are showing signs of normalization. Oil, which accounts for around 11% of the basket, is not showing any alarming technical signals with the geopolitical calm in the Middle East. The real estate sector and healthcare spending, also heavily weighted, are showing positive indications in favor of further disinflation. Moreover, tariffs are only marginally affecting services, which account for 67% of the PCE.
Despite this, Powell remains concerned about the risk of exogenous inflationary resurgence, especially if the universal 10% tariff were to apply to all US trading partners, with an expected impact on core PCE of +0.2% to +0.3%.
Markets are anticipating a first decline in September, but a July changeover cannot be ruled out if employment data, notably the NFP report of July 3, show a marked weakening of the labor market.
3) The S&P 500 index will need the FED's pivot to go higher, as it has returned to its all-time high
On the financial markets, a FED pivot would be a decisive bullish catalyst, especially for US equities, Bitcoin and other high-beta assets. Technical analysis of the S&P 500 shows a favourable technical configuration since the beginning of April, with a V-shaped recovery. But with the market now in contact with its all-time high, very positive fundamentals will be needed to consider going higher.
In short, the decision on July 30 will depend on a subtle trade-off between political pressures, inflation dynamics and the health of the job market. A status quo remains the central scenario, but a reversal is conceivable in the event of a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic data, good inflation figures or positive surprises on trade diplomacy.
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This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
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All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Sharing ScreenerSharing Screener with Others
There is no option to share my screeners with others so one can add Screener to a Layout and Publish. Then allow layout sharing which will give a sharable link
Step 1: Activate Screener on Chart using right side bar
Step 2: Save Layout as new name
Step 3: Publish Layout
Step 4: Share Layout and copy link
How to Spot Head & Shoulders Patterns in TradingViewDiscover how to identify and validate Head & Shoulders patterns using TradingView's built-in pattern recognition tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures. Chart patterns are essential tools for many futures traders, and the Head & Shoulders formation is among the most recognized reversal patterns in technical analysis.
What You'll Learn:
• Understanding the Head & Shoulders pattern: a key reversal formation in technical analysis
• How to access and use TradingView's pattern drawing tools and objects
• Step-by-step process for identifying potential Head & Shoulders formations on any timeframe
• Techniques for spotting the "head" by locating the highest high or lowest low pivot points
• How to identify matching "shoulders" on either side of the head formation
• Validating your pattern identification using TradingView's drawing tools
• Real-world example using crude oil futures on an hourly chart from October 2024
• Key characteristics that distinguish bearish Head & Shoulders reversal patterns
• Best practices for using pivot points and swing analysis in pattern recognition
This tutorial may benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to improve their chart pattern recognition skills in TradingView. The techniques demonstrated could help you identify potential reversal opportunities and make more informed trading decisions when these classic formations appear on your charts.
Keywords: Head and Shoulders pattern, TradingView tutorial, chart patterns, technical analysis, reversal patterns, futures trading, pivot points, swing analysis, pattern recognition, trading education
Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
Your investor profileEach investor has unique characteristics:
The amount of their current investments and savings
Their capacity to generate future income and allocate it to savings
Their personal and financial circumstances that may condition their liquidity needs
Their motivations and objectives for saving
Their discipline
Their willingness to learn
The time available for monitoring
Their knowledge and experience
Their risk aversion
All these characteristics are called investor profile .
Unless all these characteristics of your profile change, you must stay true to your investor profile. Bullish market environments are a temptation to take on more risk than we should.
It is also important to keep in mind that your investor profile changes with your life cycle .
While it’s great to share experiences, your investor profile is unique . When making your decisions, take advice based on your individual characteristics.
It is very important that you seek advice from trusted platforms and professionals and pay special attention to ensure that there is no clear commercial bias that could lead you to certain products or operations that may not suit your investor profile.
It is not a wise decision to copy from others : friends or forums created by entities with an obvious commercial bias, because your investor profile is unique.
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by HollyMontt
Four Ways to Improve Focus When Trading“Execution is everything.” It’s a phrase you’ll hear time and again in trading circles, and for good reason. Having a solid strategy is important, but it means very little if you can’t stay focused enough to follow through. One moment of hesitation, one distracted click, and the edge you worked so hard to find can vanish in an instant.
Focus is the gateway to execution. Without it, even the best setups fall apart. Yet in a world of constant noise with live charts, endless alerts, social media and background distractions it’s never been harder to stay present and in control. Here are four ways to improve your focus while trading. Two are grounded and practical. Two are a bit more unconventional. All of them can help you sharpen your focus where it really counts in the moment of decision.
1. Start with a Written Game Plan
This is the foundation. Before you even open your trading platform, write down your trade ideas, key levels, and any news or events that could impact your market. It doesn’t have to be elaborate. A simple list of “if this, then that” scenarios is enough.
By putting your plan on paper, you free up mental space and reduce emotional interference. You’re no longer reacting to every tick or candle. You’re tracking a few clear ideas and waiting for price to confirm your bias. That alone can dramatically improve focus. When your brain knows the plan, it doesn’t need to make it up on the fly.
More importantly, a written plan acts as an anchor when the session heats up. If you get shaken by a false breakout or tempted by something that wasn’t in your prep, it’s easy to refer back and reset. The best traders are those who execute simple ideas with discipline, not those who chase every signal that flashes across the screen.
2. Silence the Noise Around You
Multitasking is the enemy of trading. One browser tab for news, another for Twitter, five charts open, notifications popping up on your phone it all adds up to mental chaos.
Clean up your digital workspace before you start trading. Close all tabs that aren’t directly relevant to your session. Mute group chats. Set your phone to silent and put it face down, or better yet, in a drawer. Keep your trading screen as clean as possible. Use one or two key charts. Turn off indicators you don’t need.
If you trade in a noisy household or shared office space, noise-cancelling headphones can be a game changer. Some traders even use ambient sound apps like brain.fm or simple white noise to drown out distractions and stay locked in. A quiet mind is a focused mind.
3. Stand Up Before You Enter a Trade
Here’s something a little unorthodox, but surprisingly effective. Before you click the buy or sell button, physically stand up.
This small physical action creates a moment of separation between your thinking and your doing. It forces you to pause, breathe, and check in with yourself. Am I acting on plan or emotion? Is this trade aligned with my prep, or am I forcing it out of boredom?
We’ve all taken impulsive trades, only to regret them seconds later. Standing up adds a layer of intentionality. It breaks the rhythm of screen-staring and puts your brain back in the driver’s seat.
Think of it as your personal circuit breaker. It gives you a chance to double-check your logic and stops you from slipping into autopilot mode. Some traders even take it a step further and stretch or roll their shoulders before re-engaging with the screen. It might sound silly, but the effect on your mindset is real.
4. Use a ‘Focus Trigger’ to Prime Your Brain
Our brains love routines. You can use that to your advantage by building a simple ritual that tells your mind, “It’s time to trade.”
This doesn’t have to be anything elaborate. It might be playing a song you only use when trading or doing a brief breathing exercise. Some traders even use the act of cleaning their desk or making a fresh cup of coffee as a cue to shift into a focused state.
Over time, these small rituals become associated with mental readiness. They condition your brain to transition from passive scrolling or chatting into active concentration. That’s powerful, especially on days when you’re feeling a bit foggy or distracted.
The goal isn’t to create a superstition. It’s to build a reliable on-ramp into a focused headspace something that centres you and sets the tone for your session.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC
Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG!
In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided.
I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily.
Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies.
Change of Character in Bearish Trend
In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high.
Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend.
For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT .
One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal.
According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH.
Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend.
CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change.
Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction.
Look what happened with GBPNZD.
Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction.
That's a perfect bullish reversal model.
It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend.
Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements.
Examine a price action on USDJPY.
Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend.
Change of Character in Bullish Trend
In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low.
Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH.
For many traders, that is the signal to open short.
However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there.
According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish
if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH.
Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed .
Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend.
EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling:
not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also
a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action.
Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision.
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4 Powerful, Daily Affirmations for Faith-Based TradersAffirmations make a huge difference.
But why?
It's because they shape our beliefs.
Whatever we think, affects what we say.
Whatever we say, affects what we do.
Whatever we do, is who we become and what our life actual looks like.
Repeat these affirmations daily and watch your life change before your eyes.
Wealth flows to me with ease as I walk in purpose.
I reject scarcity and embrace Kingdom abundance.
I am open to divine provision in expected and unexpected ways.
I have more than enough to thrive and to give.
Happy trading!
For those of you who are trading to make a bigger impact in the world, I am praying for you!
Learn how to trade EOD / FOD Professional StrategyEOD /FOD is an acronym for End of Day buy or sell short entry that holds overnight and the First of Day sell the ETF or stock at Market Open. This is a strategy for experienced to Elite aka Semi-Professional Traders. Beginners need to hone skills and practice in a simulator.
Professional Traders use this strategy all the time. They rarely intraday trade aka "day trading" unless they are Sell Side Institution floor traders who do intraday trading all daylong.
EOD /FOD is a very simple, easy to learn strategy for when Buy Side Giant Dark Pools have accumulated OR have Supported the Market and the Dark Pools foot print of a rectangle that is narrow with consistent highs and lows.
TWAP Dark Pool orders trigger at a low price or lower and usually move price minimally. When in Support the Market mode. The run up is a long white candle.
TWAPs are automated Time Weighted At Average Price. These orders ping at a specific time and buy in accumulation mode. If the stock price suddenly moves up beyond the high range of the TWAP, then the orders pause or halt.
Then pro traders do nudges and runs are instigated by either Gap Ups by HFTs, OR smaller funds VWAP ORDERS, or MEME's or other large groups of retail traders all trading and entering orders in sync or as close to sync as possible to create a flood of small lots that do move price upward OR downward rapidly.
Using the EOD /FOD requires understanding of how the Dark Pools, Pro Traders and other groups react to price and what, where and when orders are automated.
When ever you see a platform trend pattern such as we have on the QQQ yesterday at close and early this morning, then the entry would have been in the last 5 minutes of yesterday's market.
Subtle Trading Challenges: Under-Discussed Psychological and OpsWhile traders often focus on well-known pitfalls like fear, greed, or overtrading , there are other subtle issues that can quietly undermine trading consistency and mindset. Below are a few under-discussed problems – touching on both psychology and day-to-day operations that many traders face.
Self-Worth Tied to Trading Performance
Some traders unknowingly tie their self-esteem or sense of self-worth to their trading results. When they have a losing day, they don’t just lose money – they feel personally defeated. This can trigger intense negative self-talk and emotional reactions to losses, sometimes causing traders to abandon their strategy or second-guess decisions in the heat of the moment. Because admitting such vulnerability is often seen as a weakness in trading circles, this issue rarely gets openly discussed, even though it can greatly sabotage a trader’s confidence and long-term consistency.
Analysis Paralysis and Decision Fatigue
In the age of overflowing data, traders can fall into “analysis paralysis” – overanalyzing market information to the point where they can’t make a clear decision. With countless indicators, news feeds, and opinions, it’s easy to get bogged down comparing options until no clear choice emerges, and this inaction can lead to missed profitable opportunities. Moreover, the mental strain of constantly dissecting information can cause decision fatigue, quietly diminishing the quality of any trades that are made. Unlike impulsive errors, this problem often masquerades as diligence, so it doesn’t get much attention in public discussions – yet it can erode a trader’s decisiveness and stress levels over time.
Constant Strategy Switching (System Hopping)
Another subtle pitfall is the tendency to jump between trading strategies too frequently, known as “system hopping.” Eager for a perfect method, traders might abandon a system after just a couple of losing trades and immediately switch to a new approach, never giving any strategy enough time to prove its worth. This habit – often fueled by impatience or get-rich-quick expectations – means the trader is always restarting the learning curve and never capitalizing on a method’s long-term edge. It’s an operational inconsistency that traders seldom admit openly, but it quietly undermines confidence and prevents the development of a stable, repeatable trading process.
Each of these problems tends to fly under the radar in trading forums or education, yet they subtly impact consistency and mindset. By recognizing these lesser-discussed challenges, traders can begin to address them and strengthen their overall discipline and performance.