Using Bands to define the stages according to WeinsteinAlways hard to see which stage a stock is in. This is a tentative way to define it
Community ideas
Power of trendline + support/resistanceI would like to show the power of combining trendlines and support & resistance on your chart work. As we all know in order for a trendline to be effective it must be used with key major points and the trend must be clear whether it's an uptrend or downtrend, cause if the trend is neither then that would lead to false signals that would cause people to get stopped out.
If used with S&R it can give us way better entries and more accurate with high probability of winning, We all know if for example an Uptrend trendline is broken then that would mean we have sellers active and that means the trend will go down, however that is not entirely true if it was then we would all be millionaires lol. So in order to fix this and know for sure the trend is changing for real we need to combine both our Trendlines and S&R, as you can see from the chart our uptrend trendline was broken and those who entered immediately after the breakout would have been trapped by professional traders when the price pulled back to their entry points, but to avoid this and get a much better entry that has high accuracy like mine you would also need to use your "visible" support and resistance.
As the uptrend line was broken that gave us a sign sellers are active and might push the price down but that is not enough confirmation to sell, unless you want to make a loss obviously💀,If you noticed I also marked my Visible Support(CHANGE OF TREND), since this is the lowest point in the uptrend then we know if price breaks below it then it's a clear confirmation that sellers will overpower buyers and push the price down, our first confirmation was Price breaking the uptrend(not enough to sell), our second powerful confirmation was price breaking below the CHANGE OF TREND, now this shows that bears overpowered bulls causing a CHANGE OF TREND and a much higher winning probability and a much better R:R.
I know most people would see this as a late entry, but it's not trust me there's no better entry you can get better than this that has higher chance of winning and a better R:R also less risky. Most people chase the trend instead of waiting for the trend to come to them, that's also why they make many losses because they enter with few confirmations that have low probability
Gann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price CyclesGann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price Cycles.
Gann Trading Strategy with a deep dive into Gann Price Cycles and candle range averaging to forecast upcoming highs and lows. Learn how to apply Gann's time and price principles, predict market turning points, and enhance your trading accuracy.
Gann Price Cycles: Understanding Market Movements with Precision
- Gann Price Cycles are a fundamental concept in W.D. Gann's trading methodology, used to predict market highs and lows based on historical price movements and time cycles. Gann believed that markets move in predictable cycles, influenced by both price and time relationships. By studying these cycles, traders can anticipate future turning points with greater accuracy.
Key Principles of Gann Price Cycles:
1. Repeating Market Patterns – Price movements follow specific cyclical patterns that repeat over time. Identifying these patterns helps traders forecast future price swings.
2. Time and Price Symmetry – Gann emphasized that time and price must be in balance. When a market completes a significant time cycle, it often results in a reversal or acceleration of trend.
3. Natural Market Rhythms – Just like planetary cycles, financial markets move through predictable 360-degree price cycles, based on Gann’s Square of Nine and Gann Angles.
4. Averaging Price Ranges – By analyzing historical price ranges and averaging them, traders can estimate the next high or low in the market.
Repaying the Italian debt in 40 years. The method.
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an ambitious, innovative and potentially revolutionary idea for the management of the Italian public debt. A strategy that, in theory, could heal the enormous accumulated debt and bring Italy to a stronger and more stable financial position. Let's find out together how it could work.
The basic idea
Italy, with a public debt that amounts to about 2,900 billion euros, pays 70 billion euros in interest annually to its creditors. However, imagine an alternative scenario in which those 70 billion, instead of being paid for the payment of interest, are invested in index funds with an estimated average annual return of 10%. Furthermore, the profits generated would be reinvested annually. It is a solution that is based on the power of compound interest.
From the second year, Italy would also have the 70 billion euros available annually no longer tied to the payment of interest. These funds could be used in strategic ways to support economic recovery.
Agreements with creditors
To make this proposal feasible, Italy would have to negotiate an agreement with creditors. The agreement would include a temporary suspension of interest payments, with the promise that the State will repay the entire debt within 40 years, also guaranteeing a compensatory interest of 10% as a "disturbance".
This implies that creditors must accept a long-term vision, trusting in the profitability of investments and the ability of the Italian State to honor the final commitment.
Simulation: how it could work
If the 70 billion were invested from the first year in index funds with an average annual return of 10%, the capital would grow exponentially thanks to compound interest. Over 40 years, the investment would accumulate over 3,241 billion euros, a sum sufficient to repay the public debt of 2,900 billion and to provide a surplus to satisfy the extra interest promised to creditors.
Meanwhile, from the second year, Italy would have at its disposal the 70 billion annually previously earmarked for interest payments. Over 40 years, this figure would represent a total of 2,800 billion euros, which could be used to:
Strengthen strategic infrastructure in the transport, energy and digital sectors.
Reduce the tax burden and encourage economic growth.
Improve social services, such as healthcare, welfare and education.
Further reduce the residual debt, strengthening the country's financial stability.
Conclusion
With this strategy, Italy would not only repay its public debt, but would also start an unprecedented phase of economic recovery. The combination of compound interest and the reallocation of freed funds represents an innovative vision to solve one of the main economic challenges of our time.
However, the implementation of such an ambitious plan would require financial discipline, political stability and careful management of investments. Furthermore, it would be essential to negotiate a transparent and advantageous agreement with creditors, ensuring trust and credibility in international markets.
Whether this is a utopia or a real opportunity will depend on the ability to imagine and adopt bold solutions for the good of the country.
Decoding Fed Rate Changes via Federal Funds Futures Index◉ What Are Federal Funds Futures?
● Definition: Federal Funds Futures are financial contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) that allow market participants to bet on or hedge against future changes in the federal funds rate (the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight).
● Purpose: These futures reflect the market's expectations of where the Fed will set interest rates in the future.
◉ How Federal Funds Futures Work?
● Pricing: The price of a federal funds futures contract is calculated as 100 minus the expected average federal funds rate for the contract month.
➖ Example: If the futures price is 95.00, it implies an expected federal funds rate of 5.00% (100 - 95 = 5).
● Contract Expiry: Each contract represents the market's expectation of the average federal funds rate for a specific month.
◉ Why Use Federal Funds Futures?
● Predict Fed Policy: Traders and investors use these futures to gauge the likelihood of the Fed raising, cutting, or holding interest rates.
● Hedge Risk: Institutions use them to protect against potential losses caused by interest rate changes.
● Market Sentiment: They provide insight into what the broader market expects from the Fed.
◉ Steps to Analyze Fed Policy Using Federal Funds Futures
● Step 1: Check Current Federal Funds Futures Prices
Look up the prices of federal funds futures contracts for the months you're interested in. These are available on financial platforms like Bloomberg, Reuters, or the CME Group website.
● Step 2: Calculate the Implied Federal Funds Rate
Implied Federal Funds Rate = 100 - Futures Price.
➖ Example: If the futures price for March is 95.5, the implied rate is 4.5% (100 - 95.5 = 4.5).
● Step 3: Compare Implied Rates to the Current Rate
If the implied rate is higher than the current federal funds rate, the market expects the Fed to raise rates. If it's lower, the market expects a rate cut.
● Step 4: Estimate the Probability of Rate Changes
By comparing the implied rates of contracts expiring before and after an FOMC meeting, you can estimate the probability of a rate change.
➖ Example: If the implied rate for March is 4.75% and the current rate is 4.5%, the market is pricing in a 25 basis point (0.25%) hike.
● Step 5: Monitor Changes Over Time
Track how futures prices change over time. Shifts in prices indicate changes in market expectations. For example, if futures prices drop (implying higher rates), it suggests the market is anticipating a more hawkish Fed.
◉ Practical Applications
● Trading: Traders use federal funds futures to speculate on interest rate movements.
● Economic Forecasting: Economists use them to predict the Fed's monetary policy and its impact on the economy.
● Investment Strategy: Investors adjust their portfolios based on expected rate changes (e.g., shifting from bonds to equities if rates are expected to rise).
◉ Limitations of Federal Funds Futures
● Market Sentiment: Futures prices reflect market expectations, which can be influenced by sentiment and may not always accurately predict Fed actions.
● External Shocks: Unexpected events (e.g., geopolitical crisis, pandemics) can disrupt rate expectations.
● Liquidity: Less liquid contracts (further out in time) may not accurately reflect expectations.
◉ Example Analysis
Let’s assume:
➖ Current federal funds rate: 4.5%
➖ March federal funds futures price: 95.5
● Step 1: Calculate the implied rate:
100 − 95.5 = 4.5%.
● Step 2: Compare to the current rate:
The implied rate (4.5%) is equal to the current rate (4.5%), suggesting the market expects no change in rates by March.
● Step 3:
If the futures price drops to 95.25, the implied rate becomes 4.75%, indicating the market now expects a 25 basis point rate hike..
◉ Why This Matters?
● For Traders: Federal funds futures provide a direct way to bet on or hedge against interest rate changes.
● For Investors: Understanding rate expectations helps in making informed decisions about asset allocation.
● For Economists: These futures offer valuable insights into market expectations of monetary policy.
◉ Conclusion
Federal funds futures are a powerful tool for analyzing and predicting the Fed's interest rate decisions. By understanding how to interpret these futures, traders, investors, and economists can gain valuable insights into market expectations and make more informed decisions. However, it's important to consider their limitations and use them in conjunction with other economic indicators for a comprehensive analysis.
Behind the Curtain The Economic Pulse Behind Euro FX1. Introduction
Euro FX Futures (6E), traded on the CME, offer traders exposure to the euro-dollar exchange rate with precision, liquidity, and leverage. Whether hedging European currency risk or speculating on macro shifts, Euro FX contracts remain a vital component of global currency markets.
But what truly moves the euro? Beyond central bank meetings and headlines, the euro reacts sharply to macroeconomic data that signals growth, inflation, or risk appetite. Using a Random Forest Regressor, we explored how economic indicators correlate with Euro FX Futures returns across different timeframes.
In this article, we uncover which metrics drive the euro daily, weekly, and monthly, offering traders a structured, data-backed approach to navigating the Euro FX landscape.
2. Understanding Euro FX Futures Contracts
The CME offers two primary Euro FX Futures products:
o Standard Euro FX Futures (6E):
Contract Size: 125,000 €
Tick Size: 0.000050 per euro = $6.25 per tick per contract
Trading Hours: Nearly 24 hours, Sunday to Friday (US)
o Micro Euro FX Futures (M6E):
Contract Size: 12,500 € (1/10th the size of 6E)
Tick Size: 0.0001 per euro = $1.25 per tick per contract
Accessible to: Smaller accounts, strategy testers, and traders managing precise exposure
o Margins:
6E Initial Margin: ≈ $2,600 per contract (subject to volatility)
M6E Initial Margin: ≈ $260 per contract
Whether trading full-size or micro contracts, Euro FX Futures offer capital-efficient access to one of the most liquid currency pairs globally. Traders benefit from leverage, scalability, and transparent pricing, with the ability to hedge or speculate on Euro FX trends across timeframes.
3. Daily Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
For day traders, short-term price action in the euro often hinges on rapidly released data that affects market sentiment and intraday flow. According to machine learning results, the top 3 daily drivers are:
Housing Starts: Surging housing starts in the U.S. can signal economic strength and pressure the euro via stronger USD flows. Conversely, weaker construction activity may weaken the dollar and support the euro.
Consumer Sentiment Index: A sentiment-driven metric that reflects household confidence. Optimistic consumers suggest robust consumption and a firm dollar, while pessimism may favor EUR strength on defensive rotation.
Housing Price Index (HPI): Rising home prices can stoke inflation fears and central bank hawkishness, affecting yield differentials between the euro and the dollar. HPI moves often spark short-term FX volatility.
4. Weekly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
Swing traders looking for trends spanning several sessions often lean on energy prices and labor data. Weekly insights from our Random Forest model show these three indicators as top drivers:
WTI Crude Oil Prices: Oil prices affect global inflation and trade dynamics. Rising WTI can fuel EUR strength if it leads to USD weakness via inflation concerns or reduced real yields.
Continuing Jobless Claims: An uptick in claims may suggest softening labor conditions in the U.S., potentially bullish for EUR as it implies slower Fed tightening or economic strain.
Brent Crude Oil Prices: As the global benchmark, Brent’s influence on inflation and trade flows is significant. Sustained Brent rallies could create euro tailwinds through weakening dollar momentum.
5. Monthly Timeframe: Key Economic Indicators
Position traders and institutional participants often focus on macroeconomic indicators with structural weight—those that influence monetary policy direction, capital flow, and long-term sentiment. The following three monthly indicators emerged as dominant forces shaping Euro FX Futures:
Industrial Production: A cornerstone of economic output, rising industrial production reflects strong manufacturing activity. Strong U.S. numbers can support the dollar, while a slowdown may benefit the euro. Likewise, weaker European output could undermine EUR demand.
Velocity of Money (M2): This metric reveals how quickly money is circulating in the economy. A rising M2 velocity suggests increased spending and inflationary pressures—potentially positive for the dollar and negative for the euro. Falling velocity signals stagnation and may shift flows into the euro as a lower-yield alternative.
Initial Jobless Claims: While often viewed weekly, the monthly average could reveal structural labor market resilience. A rising trend may weaken the dollar, reinforcing EUR gains as expectations for interest rate cuts grow.
6. Strategy Alignment by Trading Style
Each indicator offers unique insights depending on your approach to market participation:
Day Traders: Focus on the immediacy of daily indicators like Housing Starts, Consumer Sentiment, and Housing Price Index.
Swing Traders: Leverage weekly indicators like Crude Oil Prices and Continuing Claims to ride mid-term moves.
Position Traders: Watch longer-term data such as Industrial Production and M2 Velocity.
7. Risk Management
Currency futures provide access to high leverage and broad macro exposure. With that comes responsibility. Traders must actively manage position sizing, volatility exposure, and stop placement.
Economic indicators inform price movement probabilities—not certainties—making risk protocols just as essential as trade entries.
8. Conclusion
Euro FX Futures are shaped by a deep web of macroeconomic forces. From Consumer Sentiment and Oil Prices to Industrial Production and Money Velocity, each indicator tells part of the story behind Euro FX movement.
Thanks to machine learning, we’ve spotlighted the most impactful data across timeframes, offering traders a framework to align their approach with the heartbeat of the market.
As we continue the "Behind the Curtain" series, stay tuned for future editions uncovering the hidden economic forces behind other major futures markets.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.sweetlogin.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
How to Trade Descending Channels Like a Pro!
🚀 TRON (TRX) is stuck in a descending channel! But how can you trade this setup effectively? Let’s break it down:
📌 What is a Descending Channel?
A descending channel forms when price makes lower highs and lower lows, staying between two parallel trendlines. It shows a downtrend, but it also creates trading opportunities!
🔥 How to Trade It?
✅ Breakout Strategy: If price breaks above the channel and retests, it could signal a bullish move! (Potential target: $0.29)
✅ Breakdown Strategy: If price drops below the key level, it might dump to the next support ($0.19).
✅ Mid-Range Trades: You can short at resistance and long at support inside the channel – but only with strong confirmations!
💡 Pro Tip: Always wait for confirmation candles before entering a trade to avoid false breakouts!
📊 What do you think? Will TRX break out or dump? Comment below! 👇👇
🔄 Tag a trader who needs to learn this! 🚀 #CryptoEducation #TradingTips #TRX #TradingView
#Miracle #TradeWithMky #MegaAltseason 2025
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor.
I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks.
Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits.
Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results.
Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions.
In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video.
I look forward to your comments and suggestions.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Let's Explore Swing Trading !Hello, Trading Community!
I'm excited to share my 100th publication with you all! Grateful for the support and learning from this journey. To mark this milestone, I’m sharing an educational post on Swing Trading—hope it adds value to your trading.
Thank you for being a part of this! Let’s keep growing together.
Happy trading!
Introduction-:
Swing trading is a powerful trading strategy that allows traders to capture market fluctuations over a period of several days to weeks. Unlike day trading, which requires constant monitoring of charts, swing trading enables traders to take advantage of medium-term price movements without being glued to the screen all day.
This guide explores the fundamentals of swing trading, key indicators, strategies, risk management, and common mistakes traders should avoid. By the end of this article, you’ll have a solid foundation to approach swing trading effectively and improve your trading success.
Have you ever wondered how professional traders capitalize on market swings without constantly watching the charts? Let's break it down.
🔹What is Swing Trading-:
Swing trading is a trading style that focuses on capturing short- to medium-term price movements in financial markets. Traders hold positions for several days or weeks, aiming to profit from price swings within a trend.
Unlike day traders, who enter and exit positions within the same day, or long-term investors who hold assets for months or years, swing traders take advantage of short-term fluctuations while aligning with the broader trend.
A key principle in swing trading is identifying trends and trading in their direction. For instance, in an uptrend, a trader looks for pullbacks to enter at a favorable price, while in a downtrend, they may look for rallies to enter short positions.
A well-structured chart example showing an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows can help illustrate this concept effectively.
🔹Key Indicators and Tools for Swing Trading-:
Swing traders rely on technical analysis to find high-probability trade setups. Some of the most commonly used indicators and tools include:
1. Moving Averages (50 & 200 EMA) – Helps identify the overall trend. A price above the 50-day EMA indicates an uptrend, while a price below suggests a downtrend.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) & MACD – Used for entry confirmation. RSI helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, while MACD provides trend direction and momentum shifts.
3. Fibonacci Retracement – Useful for identifying pullback levels within a trend. Traders use Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to anticipate where price might find support or resistance.
4. Support and Resistance Levels – Key price areas where reversals or consolidations often occur. Identifying these levels helps traders find entry and exit points.
A well-annotated chart with these indicators applied can illustrate their importance in real trading scenarios.
🔹Swing Trading Strategies with Examples-:
Trend-Following Swing Trading
This strategy involves entering trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Traders wait for pullbacks to enter a position rather than buying at the peak.
Moving averages and RSI are commonly used to confirm the trend and entry points.
Example: A stock in an uptrend retracing to the 50-day moving average with RSI bouncing from the 40 level can be an ideal entry point.
🔹Breakout Swing Trading-:
This strategy focuses on trading breakouts from consolidation patterns such as triangles, flags, and channels.
Traders use volume and MACD to confirm the breakout’s strength before entering.
Example: A stock breaking out from a flag pattern with increased volume signals a strong continuation. A stop-loss is placed below the breakout level to manage risk.
🔹Mean Reversion Swing Trading-:
This approach involves buying oversold conditions and selling overbought conditions.
Bollinger Bands and RSI divergence help identify potential reversals.
Example: If the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is below 30, traders anticipate a reversal and enter a long position.
Charts illustrating each strategy with proper entry, stop-loss, and target levels can significantly enhance the reader’s understanding.
🔹Risk Management in Swing Trading-:
Successful swing trading isn’t just about finding the right setups—it’s also about managing risk effectively.
1. Risk-Reward Ratio (Minimum 1:2) – Ensuring that potential profits outweigh potential losses. If a trade has a stop-loss of 10 points, the target should be at least 20 points.
2. Stop-Loss Placement – Placing stop-loss orders below swing lows for long trades and above swing highs for short trades to limit downside risk.
3. Position Sizing – Avoiding excessive exposure by ensuring no more than 2% of total capital is risked on a single trade.
4. Using ATR (Average True Range) – A dynamic way to set stop-loss levels based on market volatility.
An example chart demonstrating a well-placed stop-loss and take-profit target can reinforce these concepts.
Common Mistakes to Avoid in Swing Trading-:
1. Overtrading – Entering too many trades based on impulse rather than solid setups.
2. Ignoring Market Context – Trading against the trend or ignoring macroeconomic factors.
3. Not Using Stop-Loss Orders – Holding onto losing trades in the hope that the market will reverse.
4. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Trades – Entering trades too late, after the move has already happened.
Understanding these common pitfalls can help traders refine their strategy and improve long-term success.
🔹Conclusion: Becoming a Profitable Swing Trader-:
Swing trading offers an excellent balance between short-term trading and long-term investing. By using technical indicators, proper risk management, and well-defined strategies, traders can capitalize on price movements while minimizing risk.
Before implementing these strategies in a live market traders should backtest them using TradingView to see how they perform over historical data.
Best Regards-: Amit
Ultimate 2025 Forex Prop Trading FAQ + Strategy Guide🧠 Forex Prop Trading: What Is It?
Prop trading (proprietary trading) is when a trader uses a firm’s capital to trade the markets (instead of their own), and keeps a share of the profits – usually 70–90%.
✅ Low startup cost
✅ No personal risk (firm takes the loss)
✅ Big upside potential with scaling plans
📋 Step-by-Step Action Plan to Get Started (2025)
🔍 1. Understand the Prop Firm Model
🏦 Prop firms fund skilled traders with $10K to $500K+
🎯 You pass a challenge or evaluation phase to prove your skills
💵 Once funded, you earn a profit split (70%–90%)
🧪 2. Choose a Top Prop Firm (2025)
Look for reliable and regulated firms with transparent rules:
FTMO 🌍 – Trusted globally, up to $400K scaling
MyFundedFX 📊 – Up to 90% profit split, no time limit
E8 Funding ⚡ – Fast scaling and instant funding
FundedNext 💼 – 15% profit share during challenge phase
The Funded Trader 🏰 – Up to $600K with leaderboard bonuses
🔎 Compare features: fees, drawdown limits, trading style freedom
💻 3. Train & Master Your Strategy
🧠 Pick a clear, rule-based strategy (e.g. trend following, breakout, supply/demand)
📅 Backtest over 6–12 months of data
💡 Use AI tools & trade journals like Edgewonk or MyFXBook
🎯 Focus on:
Win rate (above 50–60%)
Risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better)
Consistency, not wild profits
🧪 4. Pass the Evaluation Phase
🔐 Follow risk rules strictly (daily & max drawdown)
⚖️ Use proper risk management (0.5–1% risk per trade)
🧘♂️ Trade calmly, avoid overtrading or revenge trades
📈 Most challenges:
Hit 8–10% profit target
Stay under 5–10% total drawdown
Trade for at least 5–10 days
🧠 Tip: Pass in a demo environment first before going live!
💵 5. Get Funded & Start Earning
🟢 Once approved, you trade real firm capital
💰 You keep up to 90% of profits, with withdrawals every 2 weeks to 1 month
🚀 Many firms offer scaling plans to grow your account over time
💬 FAQ – Prop Trading in 2025
❓ How much can you make?
🔹 Small accounts ($50K): $2K–$8K/month with 4–8% returns
🔹 Large accounts ($200K+): $10K+/month possible for consistent traders
💡 Many traders start part-time and scale as they build trust with the firm
❓ How much do I need to start?
💳 Challenge fees range from:
$100 for $10K
$250–$350 for $50K
$500–$700 for $100K+
⚠️ No need to deposit trade capital – just the challenge fee
❓ What are the risks?
You can lose the challenge fee if you break rules or over-leverage
You won’t owe money to the firm
The biggest risk is psychological – many fail from overtrading or emotional decisions
🚀 Final Tips to Succeed
✅ Trade like a robot, think like a CEO
✅ Journal every trade – self-awareness is key
✅ Avoid over-leveraging and gambling mindset
✅ Stick to one strategy and master it
✅ Focus on consistency over quick wins
DOGS Main Trend. Tactics of Working on Risky Crypto 03 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Tactics of working on super-risky cryptocurrencies of low liquidity, which are always sold (without loading the glass), by the creators of “nothing”. In order to increase sales, of course, when they rationally reverse the trend and make pumps at a large % and marketing positive news "have time to buy". On such assets with such liquidity, “killed faith” (at the moment), and control of the emission in “one hand” it is not difficult. Something like in BabyDOGE.
On such assets you should always remember:
1️⃣ allocate a certain amount for work in general on such assets from the deposit as a whole.
2️⃣ distribute money (potential reversal and decline zones) from this allocated amount to each similar asset in advance.
3️⃣ diversify similar assets themselves (5-10 cryptocurrencies), understanding that sooner or later they will scam. The scam of one of them should not be reflected significantly on the balance of the pump/dump group of low liquidity. It is impossible to guess everything that does not depend on you, and it is not necessary. Your miscalculations (what does not depend on you) are smoothed out by your initial trading plan and risk control, that is, money management (money management).
4️⃣ Set adequate goals. Part of the position locally trade 40-80% (not necessary, but this sometimes reduces the risk).
5️⃣ Work with trigger orders and lower them if they did not work and the price falls.
6️⃣ Remember that in consolidation and cut zones in assets of such liquidity, stops are always knocked out, so the size of the stop does not really matter. It will be knocked out, especially before the reversal.
7️⃣ Before the reversal of the secondary trend, as a rule, they first do a “hamster pump” by a conditionally significant %, when everyone is "tired of waiting". They absorb all sales. Then the main pumping without passengers by a very large % takes place to form a distribution zone. As a rule, it will be lower than the pump highs, that is, in the zone when they are not afraid to buy, but believe that after a large pump, the highs will be overcome significantly.
8️⃣ Remember that assets of such liquidity decrease after listings or highs by:
a) active hype, bull market -50-70%
b) secondary trend without extraordinary events -90-93%
c) cycle change -96-98% or scam, if it is a 1-2 cycle project (there is no point in supporting the legend, how it is easier to make a candy wrapper from scratch without believing holders with coins).
9️⃣In the capitulation zone, there can be several of them depending on the trend of the market as a whole and rationality, the asset is of no interest to anyone. Everyone gets the impression that everything is a scam. That is, on the contrary, you need to collect the asset, observing money management, that is, your initial distribution of money and the risk that you agreed with in advance. As a rule, in such zones people "give up" and abandon their earlier vision.
🔟 After the entire position is set (pre-planned, according to your money management), stop and do not get stuck in the market and news noise. Wait for your first goals.
Remember, people always buy expensive, and refuse to buy cheap ("it's a scam", they try to "catch the bottom"), when "the Internet is not buzzing". This all happens because there is no vision, and as a consequence, no tactics of work and risk control . Many want to guess the “bottom”, or “maximums”, and refuse to sell when they are reached. The first and second are not conditionally available, on assets of such liquidity and emission control. But, there are probabilities that you can operate and earn on this, without getting stuck in the market noise. And also in the opinions of the majority (inclination to the dominant opinion and rejection of your plan and risk control), from which you must fence yourself off.
Most people, immersed in market noise and the opinions of others , choose for themselves the price movement, which is beneficial to them at the moment , and to which they are inclined, but do not provide themselves with the tactics of work. This is a key mistake, and the main manipulation that the conditional manipulator achieves, who, by the way, is sometimes not on the asset, to form an opinion and, as a consequence, the actions of the majority.
Because, in essence, most people do not have the tactics of work. Where the news FUD (inclination to the dominant opinion), “market noise” (cutting zones and collecting liquidity), the opinion of the majority, is directed, that is what they are inclined to.
When the price goes in the other direction, it is disappointment.
If these are futures — liquidation of the position. Zeroing out due to greed.
If this is spot — "proud random holders" , without the ability to average the position (no money), to reduce the average price of the position set as a whole, and as a result increase the % of profit in the future.
A trading plan and risk control are the basis, not guessing the price movement. If you do not have the first “two whales” of trading in your arsenal, then you have nothing. It doesn't matter how much you guess the potential movement, as the outcome of such practice is always the same, and it is not comforting.
Gann Trading Strategy | Predict Market Highs & Lows with Gann.Gann Trading Strategy | Predict Market Highs & Lows with Gann Trading Strategy
In this video we will unlock historical secrets of Sacred Geometry and how they apply to financial markets through W.D. Gann's Time & Price concepts. This video explores the deep connection between natural mathematical principles, the Golden Ratio (0.618), Fibonacci levels, and market structure—all rooted in ancient sacred geometry used in art, architecture, and astronomy.
Markets are not random; they follow universal laws found in nature, human anatomy, and celestial movements. Gann discovered that time and price cycles repeat in predictable patterns, allowing traders to anticipate reversals with precision. This video will guide you through how to use these ancient principles in modern trading.
What You'll Learn in This Video:
✅ Understanding Gann’s Time & Price Geometry – The foundation of market movements
✅ Golden Ratio & Fibonacci Trading – How 0.618, 0.786, and 1.618 shape market trends
✅ The ABCD Pattern in Trading – How to use structured price action setups.
Discover the hidden connections between Sacred Geometry, W.D. Gann’s Time & Price principles, and financial markets in this powerful Gann trading lesson. Markets are not random; they move according to natural laws, mathematical ratios, and planetary cycles—the same principles found in ancient architecture, astronomy, and human biology. Gann’s work revealed that time and price must synchronize for major market reversals, and by understanding these patterns, traders can anticipate key turning points with accuracy. This lesson will dive deep into Gann’s geometric approach, the Golden Ratio (0.618), Fibonacci levels, and structured price action setups, all of which play a crucial role in market movements.
THE IMPORTANCE of Multiple Time Frame Analysis in Forex Gold
In my daily posts, I quite frequently use multiple time frame analysis.
If you want to enhance your predictions and make more accurate decisions, this is the technique you need to master.
In the today's post, we will discuss the crucial importance of multiple time frames analysis in trading the financial markets and forex gold in particular.
1️⃣ Trading on a single time frame, you may miss the important key levels that can be recognized on other time frames.
Take a look at the chart above. Analyzing a daily time frame, we can spot a confirmed bullish breakout of a key daily resistance.
That looks like a perfect buying opportunity.
However, a weekly time frame analysis changes the entire picture, just a little bit above the daily resistance, there is a solid weekly resistance.
From such a perspective, buying GBPUSD looks very risky.
2️⃣ The market trend on higher and lower time frames can be absolutely different.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a bullish trend on a 4h time frame.
It may appear for a newbie trader that buyers are dominating on the market. While a daily time frame analysis shows a completely different picture: the trend on a daily is bearish, and a bullish movement on a 4H is simply a local correctional move.
3️⃣ It may appear that the market has a big growth potential on one time frame while being heavily over-extended on other time frames.
Take a look at GBPJPY: on a weekly time frame, the market is trading in a strong bullish trend.
Checking a daily time frame, however, we can see that the bullish momentum is weakening: the double top pattern is formed and the market is consolidating.
The sentiment is even changing to a bearish once we analyze a 4H time frame. We can spot a rising wedge pattern there and its support breakout - very bearish signal.
4️⃣ Higher time frame analysis may help you to set a safe stop loss.
In the picture above, you can see that stop loss placement above a key daily resistance could help you to avoid stop hunting shorting the Dollar Index.
Analyzing the market solely on 1H time frame, stop loss would have been placed lower and the position would have closed in a loss.
Always check multiple time frame when you analyze the market.
It is highly recommendable to apply the combination of at least 2 time frames to make your trading safer and more accurate.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
About the Volume OBV indicator...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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I think TradingView is attractive because users can create charts as they want.
However, since the number of indicators that can be added to the chart is limited depending on the plan, you have to add indicators that fit your plan.
As a result, I ended up integrating multiple indicators into one indicator.
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The HA-MS indicator in this chart is a public indicator.
If you search the Internet, you can find detailed explanations on how to interpret the OBV indicator.
I expressed it as follows to make this interpretation method more realistic.
The body color of the candlestick is indicated by the 4-stage OBV indicator.
The OBV indicator is distinguished in the same way as the Price Channel indicator.
You can interpret it like the Bollinger Band.
That is, if the middle line that divides 2 and 3 rises by more than 3, you can interpret that the buying force is increasing.
1: It means below the lower line of the Price Channel and is indicated in dark red.
If you enter this section, there is a high possibility of a sharp decline.
You should check the support and resistance points because it is likely to stop falling soon and rise to 2.
2: It means between the lower line and the middle line of the Price Channel and is indicated in red.
This section is likely to show a weak downward sideways movement.
Therefore, if it rises from 1->2, there is a possibility of a short rise. However, if it fails to rise to 3, it is likely to fall back to 1, so it is recommended to make short trades.
3: It means between the middle line and the upper line of the Price Channel and is displayed in green.
This section is likely to show a weak upward sideways movement.
If it rises from 2 -> 3 and shows a sideways movement, you should focus on finding a buying point.
4: It means above the upper line of the Price Channel and is displayed in dark green.
If it enters this section, there is a high possibility of a sharp rise.
Since it is likely to stop rising soon and fall to 3, you should check the support and resistance points.
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What we should pay attention to is when it changes from 1 -> 2, 4 -> 3.
As explained above, 1 is a section located below the lower line of the Price Channel, so there is a high possibility of a sharp fall.
4 is a section located above the upper line of the Price Channel, so there is a high possibility of a sharp rise.
Therefore, you can proceed with an aggressive buy when it changes from 1 -> 2, and you can proceed with a sell when it changes from 4 -> 3.
In the case of futures, it can be used as reference information for entering and liquidating LONG and SHORT positions.
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They say that the only things you need on a chart are price and trading volume.
However, it is not easy to interpret this in reality.
To compensate for this, we hid the colors of the existing candles and displayed them in 4 stages of OBV so that you can intuitively see which stage the current price is at.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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A much easier way to use Anchored VWAPs: a BandI created this indicator to make life easier when using anchored VWAPs and ended up finding out that it's a no brainer.
Enhance Your Trading with Dual MACD OverlaysBy using two MACD overlays—one based on the current timeframe and another on a higher timeframe—you gain a more comprehensive view of market momentum. This approach helps identify short-term opportunities while aligning trades with the broader trend, reducing false signals. As seen in my chart, combining multiple MACD perspectives can improve decision-making and trade timing.
Try it out and refine your strategy with better trend confirmation!
SMART MONEY FOOTPRINT ON NIFTY CHART, REVERSAL SIGN APPEAR ?Today on 21/03/2025 with upward rally, on hourly chart I found similarity or smart money footprint (sign of weakness) at the time of closing bell same as (sign of strength) on 28 February 2025. what was that? Let's try to Dig....
previous days when market was forming lower low, that was downtrend look at the time on 28 February 2025 that was 14.15 pm on hourly chart an ultrahigh volume rejection candle appear which volume was around164 M. thereafter short seller trapped to see big red candle and market move toward upward.
:
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Today on 21/03/2025 also market gave a rejection candle on hourly chart with around 164 M ultrahigh volume Exact at 14:15 Pm so conclusion is that market may give correction after trapping Buyers or it may go downtrend again if fundamental don't support.
what is similarity?
: Same Time 14:15
: Same Volume
: same Candle body Size
: appear after strong moment
REVERSAL INDICATION:
Nifty may Facing resistance of downtrend channel on Daily Chart.
Away from 50 EMA on hourly chart.
Smart money Ultra High volume on Rejection candle indicating selling zone there
:
SO, INVESTOR NO NEED TO TRAP TO JUST SEE NEXT BIG GREEN CANDLE
Where are high probable trades are found?High probable trades and high quality set ups are found in your premium and discount levels.
Machine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market AnalysisMachine Learning Algorithms for Forex Market Analysis
Machine learning is transforming the currency trading landscape, offering innovative ways to analyse market trends. This article delves into how machine learning algorithms are reshaping forex trading. Understanding these technologies' benefits and challenges provides traders with insights to navigate the currency markets potentially more effectively, harnessing the power of data-driven decision-making.
The Basics of Machine Learning in Forex Trading
Machine learning for forex trading marks a significant shift from traditional analysis methods. At its core, machine learning involves algorithms that learn from and provide signals based on data. Unlike standard trading algorithms, which operate on predefined rules, these algorithms adapt and improve over time with exposure to more data.
Machine learning forex prediction algorithms analyse historical and real-time market data, identifying patterns that are often imperceptible to the human eye. They can process a multitude of technical and fundamental factors simultaneously, offering a more dynamic approach to analysing market trends.
This capability can allow traders to make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell currency pairs. The increasing availability of market data and advanced computing power has made machine learning an invaluable tool in a trader's arsenal.
Types of Machine Learning Algorithms in Forex Trading
In the realm of forex trading, various machine-learning algorithms are utilised to decipher complex market patterns and determine future currency movements. These algorithms leverage forex datasets for machine learning, which encompass historical price data, economic indicators, and global financial news, to train models for accurate analysis.
- Support Vector Machines (SVMs): SVMs are particularly adept at classification tasks. In forex, they analyse datasets to categorise market trends as bullish or bearish, helping traders in decision-making.
- Neural Networks: These mimic human brain functioning and are powerful in recognising subtle patterns in market datasets. They are often embedded in forex forecasting software to determine future price movements based on historical trends and fundamental data.
- Linear Regression: This straightforward approach models the relationship between dependent and independent variables in forex data. It's commonly used for its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying trends.
- Random Forest: This ensemble learning method combines multiple decision trees to potentially improve analysis accuracy and reduce overfitting, making it a reliable choice in the forex market analysis.
- Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs): Suited for sequential data, RNNs can be effective in analysing time-series market data, capturing dynamic changes over time.
- Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks: A specialised form of RNNs, LSTMs are designed to remember long-term dependencies, making them effective tools for analysing extensive historical forex datasets.
Benefits of Machine Learning in Forex Trading
Machine learning offers significant advantages for forex analysis. Its integration into forex prediction software may enhance trading strategies in several key ways:
- Real-Time Data Analysis: Algorithms excel in analysing vast amounts of real-time data, which is crucial for accurate forex daily analysis and prediction.
- Automated Trading: These algorithms automate the buying and selling process, which may increase efficiency and reaction speed to market changes.
- Enhanced Market Understanding: It helps in dissecting historical market data, providing a deeper understanding for informed decision-making.
- Accuracy in Analysis: Software powered by machine learning offers superior analysis abilities, leading to potentially more precise and timely trades.
- Risk Reduction: By minimising human error and maintaining consistency, machine learning may reduce trading risks, contributing to a safer trading environment.
Challenges and Limitations
Machine learning in currency trading, while transformative, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations:
- Data Quality and Availability: Accurate machine learning analysis depends on large volumes of high-quality data. Forex markets can produce noisy or incomplete data, which can compromise the reliability of the analysis and signals.
- Complexity and Overfitting: Developing effective algorithms for forex trading is complex. There's a risk of overfitting, where models perform well on training data but poorly in real-world scenarios.
- Interpretability Issues: Machine learning models, especially deep learning algorithms, can be "black boxes," making it difficult to understand how decisions are made. This lack of transparency can be a hurdle in regulatory compliance and trust-building.
- Regulatory Challenges: Currency markets are heavily regulated, and incorporating machine learning must align with these regulatory requirements, which can vary significantly across regions.
- Cost and Resource Intensive: Implementing machine learning requires significant computational resources and expertise, which can be costly and resource-intensive, especially for smaller trading firms or individual traders.
The Bottom Line
Machine learning represents a paradigm shift in forex trading – it may offer enhanced analysis accuracy and decision-making capabilities. While challenges like data quality, complexity, and regulatory compliance persist, the benefits of advanced algorithms in understanding and navigating market dynamics are undeniable. For those looking to trade forex, opening an FXOpen account could be a step towards a wide range of markets, lightning execution and tight spreads.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
(Part 2) TUTORIAL: How To Use Open Interest to Find Pivot PointsIn this video I demonstrate directly why VARA network is NOT diluted. This is open for discussion as you may prove me wrong, I just am not seeing it.
AMP Futures - Instant order placementIn this idea we will go over how the instant order placement feature works in Tradingview.
Hidden Forces: Decoding Buyer & Seller Activity on ChartsTotal Volume vs. Volume Delta: The total volume on the chart includes both buys and sells, making it less useful for analysis. Volume Delta, however, shows whether buyers or sellers dominated within a candle.
A green Delta candle means more aggressive retail buying; a red one means more retail selling. This helps analyze market sentiment beyond price movement.
Price & Delta Relationships:
1. Price and Delta move together → Organic movement, likely driven by retail.
2. Delta moves, but price doesn’t → Retail is heavily biased in one direction, absorbing limit orders. Possible smart money trap.
3. Price moves, but Delta doesn’t → Retail didn’t participate in the move. Lack of belief or failed market-making attempt.
4. Price moves against Delta → Strong indication of market manipulation. Large players using aggressive strategies against retail.
Market Manipulation & Smart Money:
* Whales leverage retail psychology and order flow to position themselves.
* Retail often gets caught in fake moves, unknowingly providing liquidity to big players.
Final Thought: By analyzing Delta and price movement together, we can spot hidden large buyers and sellers and understand market dynamics beyond surface-level price action.
How the Hammer Chart Pattern Signals a Market ComebackHello, Traders! 👋🏻
Let’s be honest — wouldn’t it be great if the market had clear signs that screamed, “Hey! The downtrend is over!”? Well, sometimes, it hints. One of those signals is the hammer candlestick pattern — a small but mighty formation that can indicate a shift in momentum.
But before you grab a hammer and start breaking things when the market dips, let’s talk about what this pattern really means. Is it a bullish hammer pattern, or is the market just playing games with your emotions? Let’s dive in.
What Is a Hammer Candlestick Pattern?
The hammer pattern is a single candlestick formation that typically appears after a downtrend. It has a small body and a long lower wick, showing that sellers tried to push the price lower but failed, as buyers stepped in and drove the price back up.
Imagine the market trying to take prices to new lows, but buyers show up and say, “Nope, not today!” That’s the essence of the hammer candle pattern — a potential sign of strength and reversal.
Key Features of the Hammer Pattern Candlestick:
✔ Small Candle Body at the Top.
✔ Long Lower Wick (at Least Twice the Size of the Body).
✔ Little to No Upper Wick.
✔ Appears After a Downtrend.
Sounds easy to spot, right? Well, not so fast. Sometimes, what looks like a hammer chart pattern might just be a random bounce. Context is everything.
The Inverted Hammer Pattern: A Bullish Twist
If the hammer candlestick pattern is the market’s way of pushing back against bears, its upside-down cousin—the inverted hammer candlestick pattern — is just as enjoyable.
The inverted hammer pattern looks like, well, a hammer flipped upside down. It has a small body at the bottom with a long upper wick, signaling that buyers attempted to push the price higher but didn’t fully succeed — yet.
While it still suggests a possible reversal, the inverted hammer pattern isn’t as strong as a regular hammer because it shows some hesitation from buyers. Think of it as the market raising its hand and saying, “I might be ready to reverse… but let’s wait and see.”
Why Do Traders Love the Hammer Trading Pattern?
Well, besides the fact that it looks kind of cool on a chart, it’s a psychological shift. It shows that buyers are fighting back, and if the momentum continues, a trend reversal could be on the horizon.
But here’s the catch — one hammer candle pattern doesn’t guarantee anything. Markets love to trick traders, and sometimes, a hammer pattern candlestick is just a temporary bounce before the trend continues downward.
So, next time you see a hammer chart pattern, ask yourself:
❓ Is This Really a Reversal, or Is the Market Just Messing With Me?
❓ Is There Enough Volume To Support a Strong Move?
❓ Are Other Indicators Confirming the Shift in Momentum?
Final Thoughts
The hammer trading pattern is one of those setups that traders love for its simplicity and reliability. But like any other pattern, it’s not a magic bullet — it’s a clue. And trading is all about putting the clues together to get the full picture.
So, the next time you see a hammer pattern candlestick, take a deep breath, check the context, and don’t rush into trades. After all, even the most substantial hammer won’t help if you’re trying to nail down the wrong trend.
What’s your experience with the hammer candlestick pattern? Let’s discuss it below!
