‘Everything Rally’ in Full Swing. What About Tariffs & Earnings?It’s official: we’re witnessing one of those rare, confounding moments when nearly every big risk-on thing is screaming ATH! (All-Time High, for those who haven’t worn out that abbreviation on X this month).
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blew past $122,000 on Monday — a turbo rally that made anyone who stepped away to brew coffee rethink their life choices.
Meanwhile, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ? It didn’t just approach the $4 trillion milestone — it showed up, took the crown as the world’s most valuable company , and made the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC pop a fresh record close for dessert.
And the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? The broadest slice of US equities did its part too, hitting a record high last week, despite the world’s loudest tariff chatter from Trump 2.0. So, what gives?
💎 Bitcoin: Too Fast to Chart
Let’s start with the fire-breathing dragon. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rocketed to $122,500 on Monday morning, bruising all those short sellers and juicing up the memes. The OG coin now has a market cap above $2.3 trillion — bigger than most economies, enough to make gold bugs break into cold sweats. (True, it did pare back some of those gains to float at $119,000 Thursday morning.)
What’s fueling it? Institutional FOMO. Forget diamond hands — big money managers, ETF behemoths , and corporates are scooping up every sat they can find.
When you see that, plus macro tailwinds — a weaker dollar, simmering inflation that nudges the Fed toward cuts — the rocket fuel writes itself. But we all know what traders really want to know: is $125,000 next? Short answer: if momentum holds, you bet. Long answer: mind the next Fed move and the tariff chess match.
🎯 Nvidia: From GPUs to GDPs
If you thought Bitcoin’s wild run was the only headline, look again. The real flex this month came from Jensen Huang’s chip juggernaut. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA didn’t just break a record — it basically invented a new category for corporate mega-caps.
The world’s biggest semiconductor firm hit the $4 trillion mark — the first company ever to do so. And this isn’t some overnight fad. Back in 2019, Nvidia crossed $100 billion for the first time on the back of crypto mining booms.
Five years later, it’s stacked on 4,000% gains, riding the AI hype like it’s a permanent bull market. Governments, hyperscalers, cloud titans — they’re all shoving billions at Huang’s AI chips.
💻 Nasdaq: AI, Chips, Crypto — Party On
The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC logged yet another record close , up about 7.5% on the year so far.
Just three months ago, this index looked battered — trade war threats, tariff rants, sticky inflation. Who’s doing the heavy lifting? The Magnificent Seven, mostly. But it’s Nvidia’s chart that’s turned this whole index into a de facto AI ETF.
Is it healthy? That depends. As long as earnings season doesn’t break the dream — and there’s no rug-pull from the Fed — traders are letting the momentum do its thing.
🏦 S&P 500: The Record Chaser
What about the S&P 500 SP:SPX — the broadest barometer of America’s corporate muscle? It rose to set its own record high last week before coming down on Friday on renewed tariff jitters.
The Wall Street darling looks less explosive than its tech-packed peer, the Nasdaq. But it’s still up nearly 7% year-to-date — and up 26% from the April dip when tariffs spooked everyone out of their leveraged longs. Now? It’s back in record territory, brushing aside GDP contraction and inflation that won’t quit.
Why? Because the market is forward-looking. Tariffs may sting, but when the Fed hints at cuts and Trump sticks to his MAGA narrative, risk assets catch a bid.
🧨 What About Those Tariffs, Though?
Speaking of tariffs, let’s not pretend they’re not looming. Trump threatened over the weekend to ramp up levies on EU goods to 30% starting August 1 if no new deal emerges. Canada got an earful too: 35% on certain Canadian exports — and Ottawa announced a $21 billion tit-for-tat.
The “pause” on reciprocal tariffs ends in a few weeks. So, is this noise or real risk?
For now, markets are calling the bluff. Investors have tuned out the saber-rattling, choosing to front-run the Fed’s next move instead. If tariffs spark a deeper trade war, stocks may get a reality check. Until then, the melt-up rules.
🔮 What’s Next? Eyes on Earnings
Earnings season is around the corner (be sure to follow the Earnings Calendar ), and you can bet every fund manager is watching Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and the rest of the Mag 7 for cracks in the AI gold rush.
If the big names keep printing double-digit revenue growth, investors should be happy. But any hint of deceleration, cautious guidance, or margin pressure could slam the brakes on this record run.
Your turn : Do you see this melt-up stretching into the second half of the year? Or are we due for a rude awakening once the earnings calls roll in? Drop your take below!
Community ideas
GBP/USD Plunges to Make-or-Break SupportSterling is poised to mark a third consecutive weekly decline after turning from resistance at multi-year highs. The decline takes price into critical support at the yearly trendline- this is a make-or-break level for the bulls.
GBP/USD is testing confluent support today at 1.3372/90- a region defined by the 2024 high-week close (HWC) and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for a reaction off this mark with a weekly close below the April HWC / median-line at 1.3270 ultimately needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / invalidate the yearly uptrend. Subsequent support rests with the 2023 HWC / 38.2% retracement at 1.3091-1.3143 and the 52-week moving average, currently near ~1.2980.
Weekly resistance now eyed at the yearly high-week reversal close at 1.3648 with a breach / close above the 2022 high at 1.3749 still needed to mark resumption of the broader Sterling up trend. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003 and the 2021 HWC at 1.4158.
Bottom line: Sterling is attempting to break below the yearly uptrend and the focus is on the weekly close with respect to 1.3372/90- risk for price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops- rallies should be limited to 1.3648 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 1.3270 needed to suggest a reversal is underway.
-MB
GBPAUD to turnaround?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 2.0495.
We look to Buy at 2.0495 (stop at 2.0425)
Our profit targets will be 2.0775 and 2.0820
Resistance: 2.0670 / 2.0750 / 2.0830
Support: 2.0490 / 2.0440 / 2.0400
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ETH eyes on $3431.83: Golden Genesis fib may END this SurgeETH finally got a surge after a long consolidation.
But has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $3431.83
Like hitting a brick wall, it is now staggering back.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject here to end the surge.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we Break-n-Retest to continue.
We were here at this EXACT spot 8 months ago:
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Spotify's Valuation Is Red-Lining (Rating Downgrade)📈 Spotify's Remarkable Comeback
Spotify NYSE:SPOT has transformed itself from a money-losing audio platform into a disciplined, profit-generating tech firm. Through smarter podcast investments, layoffs, and better monetization strategies, the company recently swung from red ink to positive free cash flow and strong earnings — a major shift for long-frustrated shareholders.
This operational turnaround helped fuel a massive rally: Spotify shares have surged nearly 140% since May 2024.
💵 Financials Look Strong... for Now
Revenue jumped from $15 billion to $17.4 billion over the past year — a 16% increase. Spotify also improved gross margins from 25% to 31.6%, while net margins turned positive at 7%. Bottom-line earnings exploded from a $119 million loss to $1.25 billion in profit.
These gains came from several smart moves:
- Reduced payouts to creators (from 75% to 70%)
- AI-generated content, like white noise playlists, cutting royalty costs
- Ad growth in podcasts and better ad tech
- Higher efficiency in infrastructure and operations
Analysts now expect Spotify’s earnings to grow another 74% this year, 45% in 2026, and 30% in 2027.
💰 But Valuation Is Stretched
Despite the impressive financial performance, Spotify's stock appears overheated. It now trades at:
117x trailing earnings
71x forward earnings
37x estimated 2027 earnings
These multiples are far above historical norms — and could spell trouble if growth slows even slightly. The company is running out of levers to improve margins further, and rising operational costs may start to weigh on profits.
Spotify also trades at its highest-ever price-to-sales ratio, indicating elevated investor expectations. If the company underdelivers, the stock could face a significant correction.
⚖️ Our Take: Time to Hold, Not Buy
We still believe in Spotify's long-term story. Its subscription model, improving margins, and global scale offer compelling advantages. But after this big run-up, the stock no longer offers favorable risk-reward.
We’re downgrading from "Strong Buy" to "Hold", suggesting investors with gains may want to trim positions and wait for a more attractive entry point.
📌 Bottom Line: Spotify has executed well — but the stock price now reflects near-perfect performance. A pause, or pullback, wouldn’t surprise us.
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal?
If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart.
However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there.
So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
Trendline Breakout for Wave 3Navitas is currently looking at breaking out of its recent downtrend to potentially begin wave 3 of its move up, which, as we all know, is the most impulsive move.
Could be very tasty after a 350% pump already
Need to get above the range POC and breakout of the trend line, would be looking to get in on the retest of the downtrend line.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bounce off a multi-swing-low supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 64.84 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 61.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 70.04 which is a pullback resistance.
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BITCOIN- MONSTER ORDERS IN THE BOOK -> You Know What This Means COINBASE:BTCUSD “Monster orders” are exceptionally large buy-limit orders clustered roughly 7 % beneath the current market price.
Large buy-limit walls can act like a price magnet—deep liquidity attracts algos and traders hunting fills, often pulling price straight toward the level.
Once the wall absorbs the selling pressure, the magnet flips: liquidity dries up, supply thins, and price can rip away from that zone with force.
They create a visible demand wall in the order book, signalling that whales / institutions are ready to absorb a dip and accumulate at that level.
Price will often wick into this zone to fill the wall, then rebound sharply—treat the 7 % band as potential support or entry.
Such walls can act as liquidity traps : market makers may push price down to trigger retail stop-losses before snapping it back up.
Confirm that the wall persists as price approaches and that spot + derivatives volume rises; if the wall disappears, it may have been spoofing.
Always combine order-book context with trend, momentum and higher-time-frame support for higher-probability trades, Just like the extremely powerful indicators on the chart.
🚀 Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that 👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
End-of-Session Market ReviewToday was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets:
S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range.
NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close.
Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high.
Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out.
Crude Oil: We saw a significant drop right from the start, with prices falling about 1.5 points and ending the day lower, though still within the prior day’s range.
Euro Dollar: It tested the CVA low, dipped below the prior day’s low, and then bounced back to close around that level.
Yen Dollar: It started near the prior value area low, accepted below it by midday, and remained balanced in that lower range.
Aussie Dollar: Initially, it held above the CVA area and tested a higher level before sharply dropping below the prior day’s low and then balancing in that lower area.
In total, I took eight trades today. Two of them were in the Yen, both valid setups that didn’t work out and ended in stop-outs. I also took some long trades in the Aussie Dollar that I probably could have avoided since the market was choppy.
On the positive side, I managed risk well and ended up with two winning trades that put me in the green by about $1,200. Overall, I’d rate today as an A- day. Moving forward, I’ll focus on staying out of choppy markets, paying attention to the developing value area, and possibly using Heikin Ashi bars for better clarity.
Bitcoin Skyrockets as Everyone Now Wants a Piece. What Happened?If you took a few days off last week and went to get coffee this morning, you likely missed Bitcoin torching its all-time high and soaring into the uncharted.
The world’s most popular digital asset took off in an unstoppable rocket ride, smashing records so fast that even the always-wired-in day traders couldn’t keep up.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blasted through $122,000 Monday morning after gobbling up sell walls at $120,000 and $121,000 in less than one hour. That’s not a typo.
That’s an actual snapshot of what happens when you mix onchain whale movements, fresh institutional FOMO, and traders rediscovering their appetite for risk. Billions upon billions swirled up and Bitcoin passed $2.3 trillion in market cap (ref: our Crypto Heatmap ).
🙌 Bow Down Before the King
Bitcoin has officially reminded every altcoin who wears the crown when markets go haywire. While some tiny tokens get to pump 100% on hype alone, Bitcoin does it with the weight of its market cap behind it — which now surpasses the GDP of entire countries.
Its dominance share has climbed back above 64%, a level we haven’t seen since the last time crypto Twitter argued whether “flippening” would happen by next Thursday (spoiler: it didn’t, and we mean 2021). And right now, all eyes are pinned on that round, meme-ready milestone: $125,000 or even $150,000.
Why these levels? Because traders love round numbers. They’re clean, symbolic, and if that next ceiling shatters, the chain reaction of liquidated shorts and new leveraged longs can turn an orderly bull run into pure market mayhem.
📈 Institutional Hoarding: The Secret Fuel
If you think this is just retail traders YOLO’ing in from their parents’ basement, think again. Onchain data showed earlier this month that this moon mission was being quietly underwritten by the big boys — institutional funds, overflowing Bitcoin ETFs , and corporate treasuries that once scoffed at Bitcoin as “magic internet money.”
Does this mean Bitcoin is becoming boring? Not quite. It means the foundation for this rally is sturdier than the TikTok-fueled moonshots of yesteryear. Think steady inflows, regulated vehicles, and balance sheets that no longer flinch when they see “digital assets” on a line item.
👀 So, Why Now?
Bitcoin doesn’t need much of a reason to get volatile — you know that. But a few more stars than usual aligned to give this surge its lift-off moment.
First, the macro backdrop: US inflation is at 2.4% (next ECONOMICS:USCPI report coming Wednesday, pay attention to the Economic Calendar ), which makes a Fed rate cut more likely later this year.
Lower rates mean cheaper dollars, weaker bond yields, and renewed appetite for risk assets. Oh, and don’t forget about gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the OG “no yield, no problem” hedge.
Second, corporate treasuries are all-in on Bitcoin again. If Michael Saylor’s Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy — we all know what business they’re really in) keeps adding coins and onboarding new public companies like GameStop NYSE:GME , you know the institutions smell long-term value. Add Trump’s full-throated crypto endorsement and you’ve got a narrative tailwind no trader wants to miss.
🥂 Record Highs Everywhere — COINcidence?
Now let’s go back to those aligning stars. Bitcoin’s fresh all-time high didn’t happen in a vacuum. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the world’s most expensive company — all clocked record closing highs last week.
So, is this a “rising tide lifts all boats” moment? Or are we partying on borrowed time? Equities are riding a wave of hope that the Fed will start easing soon, and any whiff of a rate cut is pure oxygen for risk assets.
But seasoned traders know that record highs can sometimes be the most dangerous places to FOMO in. Ask anyone who went all-in on dot-com stocks in 1999.
🏹 Eyes on the Big 120K — Will It Hold the Line?
Short-term, the $120,000 milestone is the line in the sand everyone’s watching. Break it decisively, see if it holds above it for a week or so, and the floodgates of speculative capital might open for another leg higher. Stall out below it? You could see a healthy round of profit-taking and some bruised egos during quiet dinners.
Macro factors will loom large: the Fed’s policy meeting, surprise tariff talks from the White House, or an unexpected bout of inflation could swing sentiment overnight. But for now, the mood is simple: bullish, frothy, and more than a little bit greedy.
💭 Final Take: From Moonshots to Maturity?
The shift from whales to suits means fewer wild swings but steadier institutional demand. The days of “Lambo tomorrow” might be giving way to “slow grind higher for the next 5 years.” For the retirement portfolio, that’s not the worst outcome.
For the traders who crave the adrenaline, there’s still plenty of room to catch the waves — just don’t expect them to come as easily or as frequently as they did in the wild west days.
📢 Your Turn: Moon or Swoon?
Over to you: is Bitcoin ready to break out above $125,000 and send shorts scrambling for cover? Or is this just another overbought stall before a healthy pullback?
Either way, grab your popcorn — and your stop-loss — because if there’s one thing crypto never does, it’s sit still for long. Drop your hot take below — and may your diamond hands be stronger than your coffee.
ETH/BTC: Golden Cross Reloaded?This is ETH/BTC on the daily chart.
A major event is about to unfold: the golden cross, where the 50MA crosses above the 200MA.
The last time this happened was in early 2020, around the same price zone, right after a bounce off the 2019 low double bottom and a rejection from the 0.5 Fib level, which sits halfway between the 2019 low and the 0.786 Fib.
In 2025, we’re seeing a strikingly similar pattern:
– Price bounced off the 2019 low
– Got rejected again from the 0.5 level
– And now appears to be gathering strength to flip that level and the 200MA to confirm the Golden Cross
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
While You Were Watching NVIDIA, Oracle Quietly Ate the BackendEveryone's chasing the AI hype but Oracle is one of the only companies selling the picks and shovels behind the scenes.
While headlines focus on NVIDIA, Meta, and ChatGPT, Oracle has been building the back-end massive AI-ready data infrastructure, hyper scale cloud partnerships, and GPU clusters feeding OpenAI and Nvidia workloads directly.
This isn’t some pivot or marketing gimmick Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is quietly powering the largest LLMs in the world. And Wall Street is only beginning to price that in.
Why Oracle’s Move Is Just Getting Started
1. AI Cloud Infrastructure – Not Just Software
Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is integrated directly into OpenAI, NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Cohere LLM workflows. Ellison confirmed that AI demand on Oracle’s cloud is now booked out for years, including custom GPU clusters. OCI outperforms AWS in specific AI workloads at a lower cost. That’s a disruptor narrative in itself.
2. Earnings Momentum + Smart Money Rotation
Oracle just printed double-digit YoY cloud growth, increased margins, and committed billions in CapEx classic early-growth behaviour. It’s now a value + AI hybrid, attracting funds rotating into defensible, profitable AI infrastructure plays.
3. Stage 2 Breakout – Repricing in Motion
ORCL broke above its 2021 all-time high ($188) with conviction. Stage 2 began around $195–200, with high volume + range expansion. This is a textbook Stage 2 expansion phase not a short squeeze, not a blow-off top. Monthly structure confirms 23+ years of consolidation is complete.
Technical Markup Summary
- Stage 2 Breakout Level - $195–200
- Support Zone (Prior ATH) - $185–190
- Volume Confirmation - Highest range + volume since Dotcom era
- Current Price Action - Early parabolic expansion = healthy trend
Projected Price Targets
- TP1 $275 Fib 1.618 + round number magnet
- TP2 $310–320 Revaluation zone if earnings accelerate
- TP3 $420+ AI AWS narrative fully priced in
Why This Isn’t a Late Entry
Most traders wait for headlines and miss the Stage 2 phase, which is where real money is made. Oracle is now being repriced for the role it’s actually playing in AI not just as a legacy tech name, but as a global infrastructure layer. This breakout isn’t the end it’s the beginning.
Oracle is no longer just “that enterprise database company.” It’s becoming a core infrastructure provider for the AI era, with multi-year demand, sticky revenue, and strong technical structure.
If you missed NVIDIA’s early breakout this may be your redemption arc.
Defined support at $190
Open runway to $275+
This is a swing-to-position hold for high-conviction players. What's your thoughts?
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout retest?Donald Trump escalated trade tensions again, threatening a 35% tariff on Canadian goods shortly after reopening trade talks, and floated doubling global tariffs to 20%. This reinforces his aggressive protectionist stance and puts renewed pressure on allies like Canada and Vietnam, the latter blindsided by a 20% levy. Meanwhile, US-China relations may be entering a critical phase, with a possible Trump-Xi summit hinted at by Marco Rubio during talks in Malaysia.
On the geopolitical front, Trump is signaling a harder line on Russia, previewing a “major statement” and backing expanded sanctions as the US sends more weapons to Ukraine. This raises global uncertainty, especially for energy and defense sectors.
Conclusion for NSDQ100 trading:
Rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks may dampen market sentiment and lead to volatility in tech-heavy Nasdaq stocks, particularly those reliant on global supply chains. While traders have grown numb to tariff talk, the cumulative pressure suggests a downside risk is building. In the short term, maintain a cautious stance—watch for potential pullbacks and heightened intraday volatility as policy clarity remains elusive.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 22940
Resistance Level 2: 23060
Resistance Level 3: 23180
Support Level 1: 22410
Support Level 2: 22300
Support Level 3: 22130
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Airbnb: Downtrend Set to Resume SoonSince our last update, Airbnb has experienced a rebound, which diverted the stock from the anticipated sell-off. However, the price is expected to soon resume its downward trajectory and, as the next key step, break through support at $108.60. This move should complete turquoise wave 3, with all subsequent waves of this downward impulse likely to unfold below this level. Ultimately, the stock is expected to finish the broader correction of the beige wave II.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
A bit of profit taking on NVDA and then up again?NASDAQ:NVDA is the most talked about and everyone is capitalizing on that. Let's take a look.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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GBP/AUD - Bearish Flag (10.07.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0671
2nd Support – 2.0607
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Let’s talk about technical analysis & stops.Technical analysis is not your decision-making process — it’s a tool to help you structure better trading decisions by studying past price movements to anticipate likely future moves.
👉 Every time you look at a chart, you should decide:
✅ Do I want to trade at all?
✅ What’s my entry?
✅ Where’s my stop (when does my thesis fail)?
✅ What’s my target (where will I take profits)?
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🛑 Where to put your stop?
Take the S&P 500 daily chart. It’s been trending up strongly. Many traders use an exponential moving average (EMA) as a dynamic stop.
But:
• A 9 EMA often stops you out too early on strong trends.
• Adjusting to a 15 or 16 EMA could keep you in the trade longer, letting your winners run.
In tools like TradingView, you can visually adjust the EMA and see in real time how it would have kept you in or taken you out.
________________________________________
💡 Key takeaway:
When price closes below your EMA stop — that’s your signal to exit and lock in profits.
Use TA to structure your trades, not just spot pretty patterns.
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💬 What’s your favourite method for setting stops?
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Eth $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally?Ethereum Stuck at $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally to $3,400?
Ethereum has been trading in a prolonged consolidation phase around the $2,500 level — a region that has acted as resistance for several weeks. This extended period of sideways action could signify either accumulation or distribution, depending on what comes next. Technically, Ethereum remains capped below major resistance and has yet to confirm a bullish breakout. However, a deeper corrective move followed by a reclaim of key levels could activate a larger harmonic pattern, which presents a potential rally scenario toward the $3,400 region.
-$2,500 Resistance Zone: Price continues to stall at this critical area, signaling indecision
-$2,200 Support Level: A potential bounce zone where bulls may re-enter the market
-Harmonic Pattern Forming: Possible C-to-D leg expansion targeting $3,400, pending confirmation
Ethereum’s price has remained stuck around the $2,500 region, which has evolved into a high time frame resistance. Price has yet to show a decisive breakout, and this extended stay near resistance typically signals one of two things: stealth accumulation before a breakout, or distribution before a breakdown. The direction will become clearer once price action reacts to either a support retest or a break of the current range.
From a bullish perspective, a potential corrective move toward the $2,200 region — a well-established support — would provide a healthy reset for price action. This zone has previously acted as a demand area and aligns closely with the value area low. If Ethereum bounces from this level and reclaims the point of control (POC) around $2,550 — which also aligns with weekly resistance — it would be a strong structural signal.
This sequence of moves could activate a larger harmonic pattern currently visible in Ethereum’s price action. If valid, the market could enter the C-to-D expansion phase of the harmonic setup, targeting the $3,400 region. While this pattern remains speculative and unconfirmed, its structure is valid and aligns with both historical Fibonacci extensions and support/resistance dynamics.
For this pattern to be confirmed, Ethereum must hold the $2,200 support level and produce a strong reclaim of $2,550 backed by volume. Without this confirmation, the idea remains purely speculative and should be approached with caution.
If Ethereum corrects to $2,200 and reclaims $2,550, a bullish C-to-D harmonic expansion may play out targeting $3,400. Until then, ETH remains range-bound and capped under major resistance.
SOLANA Loves THIS Pattern | BULLISHSolana usually increases alongside ETH. Possible because its a big competitor.
We can see SOL follows ETH very closely, with the exception of dipping earlier than ETH by a week:
In the 4h, we see a push to breakout above the neckline resistance:
In the daily timeframe, SOL is just about to break out above the moving averages - which would be the final confirmation of a bullish impulse to come:
Could this pattern be the confirmation of the start of another big pump for SOL?
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Is Bitcoin Working Out a New Leg Up? Onchain Data Says It May BeDiamond hands are waving goodbye and institutions are loading up — it’s why Bitcoin may be struggling to break out of its current consolidation range. How long can this accumulation phase continue?
And yes — we look at the trades of the decade — two transactions where each one moved a cool billie from a $7.8K investment in 2011.
Some people cling to their Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash like it’s their last protein bar before a marathon. Others, apparently, wake up one day and decide to dump their coins and browse the market for islands.
Welcome to the silent shift that’s redefining the big players in the Bitcoin market, worth about $2.2 trillion as per data from our Crypto Coins Heatmap .
Old-school whales — the very early adopters and miners holding the OG wallets — are quietly selling, while institutional heavyweights sweep in to buy every dip (part of the reason why lately every breakout never breaks out).
Over the past year, these OG whales have shed about half a million Bitcoin — worth north of $50 billion — according to data from 10x Research. And guess who’s gobbling it all up? ETFs, corporate treasuries, and family offices that didn’t want anything to do with crypto five years ago.
Is it bullish? Is it bearish? Is it just Bitcoin being Bitcoin? Let’s pull up the charts, squint at the data, and see what the world’s most famous digital coin might be plotting next.
📈 A Record High — And Now What?
So here’s the setup. Bitcoin has been strutting under its record high of $111,000 for months now. You’d think the hype machine — from Trump’s pro-crypto administration, to corporate balance sheets going full Michael Saylor (looking at you, GameStop NYSE:GME ) — would send BTC blasting past the Moon and landing on Mars.
Instead? It’s just... chilling. Volatility’s drying up like the last drop of liquidity in a summer Friday session. And the reason is surprisingly simple: the massive handover happening between big, anonymous early adopters and the suit-and-tie institutional crowd.
😌 From Wild Ride to Easy Cruising?
You could argue this is exactly what Bitcoin needs: maturity, respectability, less drama. But don’t tell that to the day traders who want 20% swings before breakfast. As these whales get out and institutions get in, analysts say the upside could be capped at a chill 10% to 20% a year.
Good news for your retirement portfolio, maybe not so great for that “Lambo by Labor Day” dream.
Institutions now hold about 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation — and once these get in, they tend to sit tight for years.
🚀 The $1.1 Billion Time Capsule
Speaking of whales: ever wonder what happens when a Bitcoin wallet goes dark for 14 years? It pops back online to make your mind melt.
On April 3, 2011, a wallet labeled “1HqXB...gDwcK” moved 23,377 BTC to three addresses. At the time, Bitcoin was worth a mere 78 cents. Fast forward: two of those receiving wallets, each with 10,000 BTC, sat dormant for over a decade.
This month, both wallets moved their treasure troves — worth over $1.1 billion each — within 30 minutes of each other. Talk about a coordinated exit. What’s behind the move? Tax planning? A lost key finally found?
A savvy crypto thief who figured how to crack the earliest key generation method? We may never know. Also, OG guy, if you’re reading this — props for the all-at-once move without even a test transaction.
⛓️ What Onchain Data Says
Onchain data is like reading tea leaves for nerds with Bloomberg terminals. It says the supply is tightening — not because there’s less Bitcoin, but because fewer coins are actually available to trade.
When long-term holders move coins, that typically signals big-picture changes. Here’s the twist: the net effect has been… stability. Institutional demand, like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds , soaks up supply just as fast as whales drip it back in.
That’s why Bitcoin’s been stuck in this $100K–$110K limbo, ping-ponging while the accumulation phase is still going strong.
👀 So, Is a New Leg Up Coming?
This is where the optimists and realists start to bicker over the charts. On the one hand, the structural handover to institutions makes Bitcoin more credible, more regulated, and more boring.
But less volatility can mean steadier gains — especially if you believe that the world will always want an inflation hedge that no central bank can print into oblivion.
On the other hand, a sideways market can test your patience more than a typical drawdown. Some of the whales are gone, the suits have arrived, and the easy moonshots might not be so easy anymore.
🌱 The Trade-Offs of Growing Up
Bitcoin was born in the wild west of finance — an anonymous, volatile, meme-fueled phenomenon. Now, it’s drifting deep into the mainstream. That might limit the fireworks, but it also locks in its place as an asset class that’s not going away.
🌊 Closing Thoughts: The Next Billion-Dollar Move
Will we see another $7,800 investment turn into a cool $1 billion? Maybe not exactly like that. But the game isn’t over — it’s just evolving.
Keep your eyes on the whales, the ETFs, the Fed’s next move , and those onchain breadcrumbs.
Over to you , chart-watchers: does this calm consolidation make you bullish, bearish, or just plain bored? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC monthly yelling at us for something interesting ?We read daily news about ETF, accumulation by institutes and scarcity in the exchanges, but I recognize something different in the chart based on multiple indicators. Historically, BTC boomed after touching 50 EMA and whenever it is extended it traces back to 50 EMA on monthly chart. As per current data, BTC is extended far from it. Also RSI and MACD indicating that it is losing momentum with -ve divergence. Volume as well descreasing since last leg, though price moved up. So, I expect price to retrace to 50 EMA which coincides with previous high at 60K. Let us see how it unfolds.
Gold on the Move – Major Resistance Levels to Watch AheadThe current price action looks strong, and if the bullish momentum continues, we have three main target levels in mind.
The first target is $3,380. This is an important level we expect gold to reach soon if the trend continues upward.
If the price breaks above $3,380, the next target is $3,433. This level is likely to act as a strong resistance, meaning the price might slow down or pull back here. But if gold can push through it with strength, that’s a strong signal of continued upside.
After that, the third target is $3,495, which would mark a strong extension of the current bullish trend.
As long as gold stays above key support levels, we believe the bullish outlook remains valid, and these targets are possible in the coming days or weeks.