Silver: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: Silver
Pattern – resistance stall, continuation
Support – $28.70
Resistance – $31.30
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Silver on the daily chart.
As per most reports, we have started looking out, highlighting the main trend and key points before moving into the current price action. Looking at the current break higher and resistance point, will we see the current continuation contnue?
We have run over what we are looking for to confirm this and some warning signs to watch out for as well.
Good trading.
Community ideas
Setup SundayHello traders!
Here we are again with another Setup Sunday!
We had some amazing last 3 weeks, only profits!
For the next week there are a lot of great potentials again and yet again a nice profit on gold with my strategy :)
Check out the video and let me know what you think!
Good luck everybody!
Happy trading :D
TURN BY TURN: IS XRP A BITCOIN HEDGE?XRP, the digital currency created by Ripple Labs, is often discussed in the context of its potential as a hedge against Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ). Here’s a brief analysis of whether XRP can serve as an effective hedge.
What is XRP?
XRP is designed to facilitate fast, low-cost cross-border transactions. Unlike Bitcoin, which is primarily viewed as a store of value or digital gold, XRP focuses on enabling efficient payments and transfers between different currencies.
Correlation with Bitcoin
Market Trends:
Historically, XRP has shown a significant correlation with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. This means that when Bitcoin's price rises or falls, XRP often follows suit. This high correlation reduces its effectiveness as a hedge against Bitcoin price movements.
Volatility:
Both Bitcoin and XRP are subject to high volatility. For a cryptocurrency to act as a hedge, it should ideally exhibit lower volatility or inverse price movements compared to Bitcoin. XRP's volatility is often comparable to or even exceeds that of Bitcoin, which further undermines its potential as a hedge.
Use Case Differentiation
Payment Systems:
XRP’s primary use case is in the realm of cross-border payments and financial institution settlements, which differs significantly from Bitcoin's use as a store of value. This fundamental difference in use cases could, in theory, provide some level of diversification for investors.
Regulatory Factors:
XRP's price is also influenced by regulatory developments specific to Ripple Labs and its ongoing legal issues with the SEC. These factors can lead to price movements in XRP that are independent of Bitcoin’s price dynamics, offering a potential, albeit limited, hedge.
Market Sentiment
Investor Behavior:
Market sentiment plays a crucial role in the price movements of both Bitcoin and XRP. During periods of high market optimism or pessimism, both cryptocurrencies often move in tandem due to overall market sentiment affecting the crypto space.
Conclusion
While XRP and Bitcoin serve different purposes within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the high correlation and similar volatility patterns between the two mean that XRP is not an ideal hedge against Bitcoin. However, its unique use case in cross-border payments and the influence of specific regulatory developments on its price could offer some level of diversification for investors. For those looking for a hedge against Bitcoin, other assets such as stablecoins or traditional financial instruments might be more suitable.
FULL ANALYSIS GUIDE - (Using ICT's Concepts)Hey guys,
In this video I will show you my process for performing analysis. Yes, it takes some work, but generally once you get into the swing of it, it doesn't take long, and the higher timeframes only require analysis once in awhile. It allows me to have a higher win-rate and be more on side with how the market is predisposed to move. Whilst it is not required in order to be profitable, my personality and system requires me to make more frequent wins.
I hope you find this video insightful.
- R2F
The TradingView Show: Breakout Charts with TradeStationWatch our latest episode of The TradingView Show and dive deep into the markets with TradeStation and their Head of Strategy. We examine breakout charts, significant money movements, and invaluable educational insights for traders of all levels.
For daily charts and research, visit the TradeStation profile on TradingView, where they share scripts and engaging charts. They're also a connected broker allowing for instant connectivity between TradeStation and TradingView. See the official TradeStation broker profile here: tradingview.sweetlogin.com
The TradingView Show occurs monthly, focusing exclusively on market education and welcoming traders of all backgrounds. Each episode dives into a variety of topics, including equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more, offering a comprehensive roundup of market trends and developments that are capturing traders' attention.
Please note, the TradingView Show is dedicated solely to education, offering valuable insights and lessons for traders at every stage of their journey. It is important to emphasize that the show does not provide financial advice or recommendations; its primary goal is to enhance trader knowledge and understanding through educational content, including TradingView tips, scripts, charting techniques, and social networking.
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Thanks for watching! We'll see you at our next show.
Bitcoin: Double Bottom Long To 64K.Bitcoin has confirmed a double bottom within the 60K major support area. The scenario that I outlined in my previous analysis is STILL in play (see illustration on chart). An inside bar is also present on this time frame along with a break of the high of that candle. As a result of all of this, a new buy signal is in effect which can result in a test of the 64K resistance over the coming week or two.
A good question is: what is the risk associated with this long setup? Risk can be measured in a number of ways. One simple and more conservative way is to note the most recent low which is around the 59K area. A long taken now or from the low 61Ks puts the associated risk around 2K points on THIS time frame. In contrast to the potential reward around 64K, the R:R ratio is about 2:1 which makes this opportunity attractive for swing traders and investors.
Before you go nuts and start buying though, it is important to understand that just because a buy signal appears (my criteria being met) does NOT guarantee a positive outcome. I believe there is a greater probability based on my experience. Probability MEANS there is also potential for the market is go the other way as well. This is why RISK management is the key to effective management and decision making NOT "high win rates" etc. As I remind my followers regularly so unexpected news can come out and Bitcoin can be pushing 56K in a matter of hours.
Another things to watch out for is all the rocket ship talk. The "it's going to 100K by tomorrow and you are going to miss it!" nonsense. If you follow people that proliferate fear of missing out messages, stop following. Bitcoin has been in a consolidation since the March peak which has resulted in NUMEROUS opportunities on both sides of the market. There is NO reason to feel like you are missing anything, ESPECIALLY when you have a tool that helps you easily identify opportunities, clarify RISK and measure profit potential (like my Trade Scanner Pro).
Without a rational decision making framework, you become vulnerable to your own emotions of greed and fear. And this is what leads to being exploited by "experts" that you identify with and trust, along with making irrational, high risk decisions like buying when a market looks its best (aka the top).
As I remind my followers regularly, before you even assume risk, you must have a specific idea as to how you intend to exploit an opportunity in the market. Just trying to "make money" is not an enough of a reason. The market is NOT your personal ATM. It is a mechanism to transfer wealth from those who have material knowledge from those who "think" they have material knowledge. If your results over the previous year or more appear to be stagnant or random, which side do you think you're on?
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Navigating Frothy US Equities with S&P SpreadsNavigating frothiness in US equities requires both caution and tact. With the S&P 500 nearing its all-time high amid flashing recession signals, investors must be vigilant with volatility during upcoming earnings season, driven by outsized expectations.
This paper explores the persistent recession indicators and forces at play during upcoming earnings. The paper posits a spread trade using CME’s Micro E-Mini futures (Long S&P 500 and Short Russell 2000) to maintain upside potential with reduced downside risk.
RECESSION RISKS PERSIST AS RATES REMAIN HIGH
On Friday, the PCE Price Index (Fed’s preferred gauge) showed inflation cooling to 2.6% in May, in line with expectations. Price pressures are slowly abating.
Numbers aside, the broader economic landscape presents a complex picture.
Signals from the job market point to unemployment claimants at a record high for the past two and a half year with job openings shrinking drastically. Personal earnings were higher than anticipated in May (0.5% vs 0.4%), but spending was below expectations. Consumers are being more cautious. Mint Finance covered these nuances in a previous paper .
Housing is flashing weakness as new housing starts hit a four-year low in May. Soaring prices and steep mortgage rates are weighing on demand.
The Fed’s policy path remains unconfirmed. However, consensus point to a rate cut as early as September. Even if that happens, rates are expected to decline gradually.
Source: CME FedWatch
Despite risk of recession, the S&P 500 has had an exemplary showing this year, trading near their all-time high. YTD performance of 15% in 2024 has been far higher than the 74-year average of 4%.
Yet, the performance has been increasingly top-heavy. Nvidia, Apple, and the rest of the tech titans have contributed much of the gains in the broad S&P500 index as it is market cap weighted. The index is heavily reliant on and sensitive to the performance of these mega-caps.
The equal-weighted S&P 500 index is up only by 4% in sharp contrast. The spread between the S&P 500 and its equal-weighted counterpart is near its highest point since 2008. The spreads between the S&P 500 and both the Russell 2000 and S&P Midcap indexes have reached multi-decade highs.
Outperformance was re-affirmed after the recent earnings season. Mega-caps crushed EPS and revenue expectations and reported phenomenal guidance while other stocks, especially utility and energy sector reported revenue and EPS figures below estimates according to FactSet report .
Rallies in mega-cap stocks are being driven by idiosyncratic tailwinds, such as advancements in AI. Meanwhile, slowing consumer spending in the US is raising concerns for the broader market.
RISK OF SHARP CORRECTION WARRANTS SPREAD POSITION
According to FactSet , Q1 earnings season was positive. Only 19% of firms reported earnings below expectations. Actual average EPS YoY growth for the index was 5.9% (above 3.4% expected as of March 31).
Frothiness in the equity market is palpable. Consistent outperformance by mega caps is baked into investor expectations. Strong earnings are already factored into prices, as evidenced by the S&P 500's P/E ratio of 28.38x (far higher than the 10-year average of 20x translating to a 42% above average earnings expectations). Average P/E ratio in the best performing tech sector is even higher at 37.47x.
Even minor shortfalls in guidance or revenue/earnings can lead to significant corrections in such a climate. The FactSet reports that 31.8% of firms which beat earnings EPS estimates by up to +5% saw average price decline of -0.9%.
Source: FactSet Research
In fact, overall, positive earnings only drove a 0.9% increase in price (1% 10Y historical average) while a negative earnings report led to 2.8% drop (-2.3% 10Y historical average).
Source: FactSet Research
Market frothiness elevates risk of a sharp price correction in single names during Q2 earnings. Analysts are concerned as expectations for Q2 EPS YoY growth have been lowered from 9% on 31/March to 8.8% as of 22/June.
Despite this, mega-caps remain in solid position. Robust demand for AI, buoyant advertising revenue, globalized revenue streams, and substantial market dominance have positioned them to continue growing at a disproportionate rate.
In case the upcoming Q2 results pan out similarly to Q1 in favor of mega-caps, the S&P 500 will continue to outperform the broader market indices.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
The S&P 500, with its high concentration of mega-cap stocks, is likely to perform better than broader market indices in the coming earnings season. However, recession signals are also flashing.
The S&P 500 does not perform well during recessions. Over the last four recessions, it has declined an average of -14%. Comparatively the spread between S&P 500/Russell 2000 spread has increased 1.7%.
The S&P 500/Russell 2000 spread has also outperformed during the six-month preceding recessions.
Given the S&P 500-Russell 2000 spread's historical outperformance during recessions, a spread position presents less downside risk compared to an outright long position in the S&P 500.
This strategy also maintains a bullish outlook on the top-heavy S&P 500's potential to outperform in the upcoming season.
Moreover, the spread trade preserves the upside potential in the ongoing rally, as its performance has been comparable to an outright long position in the S&P 500.
A view on the spread between the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 can be expressed using CME Micro E-Mini Equity futures. At 1/10th the size of the full-size E-mini futures, the Micro contracts allow for smaller trades with more granular exposure.
A long position in the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures expiring in September (MESU2024) can be offset by a short position on 2 x Micro E-Mini Russell 2000 futures expiring in September (M2KU24). This position is highly margin-efficient as CME offers margin credit for this spread.
Hypothetical trade set up in summary requires entry at 2.69x, with a target at 2.78x coupled with stop loss at 2.6x.
The simulated payoffs are described below.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
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Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Amazon at $2 Trillion: What’s Driving the Stock to Record Highs?Tripled profits, a bet on AI, and a strategy to take on rising rivals from the East have propelled the ecommerce and cloud computing giant to the lofty price tag.
Innovation on Amazon’s Mind
Amazon (ticker: AMZN ) hit $2 trillion in market value just before the year clocked out for the first half. In the final week of June, the Jeff Bezos-founded online retailer soared past the formidable milestone, becoming the fifth company to ever breathe the rarefied air beyond $2 trillion.
What’s been driving Amazon stock to line up right after Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )? It’s a mix of fortunate and timely events, and all can be summed up with one word: innovation.
Amazon raked in sky-high profits of $15 billion for the most recent quarter. The figure was up three times from the same quarter last year. More importantly, the company, now under the stewardship of Andy Jassy as chief exec, is pivoting more resources to meet the growing demand for artificial intelligence.
Shifting Focus to Artificial Intelligence
Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the firm’s cloud computing business and also the world’s biggest one. It’s largely the cash cow at Amazon with profit margins as wide as 38%. Now, it’s getting a boost from businesses looking to inject AI into their products and services. The fast-growing AI-focused unit is growing at a “$100 billion annual revenue run rate,” according to Jassy.
For the quarter ended March 31, AWS sales rose 17% to $25 billion, beating forecasts for $24.5 billion and also coming ahead of the previous quarter’s 13% growth pace. It seems that the AI hype is sweeping across the Amazon halls and conference rooms.
Generative AI got praised by Amazon’s chief financial officer Brian Olsavsky as “a multibillion-dollar revenue run rate business for us.” Looking for a meaningful edge doesn’t stop with artificial intelligence.
Pitted Against Temu and Shein
Rising ecommerce competition from the East is forcing the $2 trillion giant to embrace a new line of business — ultra-low-cost goods shipped directly from China. A new discount section is in the works for Amazon.com after smaller rivals Temu and Shein have threatened to slurp up a significant market share.
The new section, according to reports, will be added to the homepage of the retailer’s app. It will be targeting American customers willing to wait nine to 11 days for goods shipped from China warehouses, as opposed to the regular one or two-day delivery time for goods delivered from within the US. Also, each item will get a price tag of no more than 20 bucks.
Temu, owned by PDD Holdings, and China-founded Shein have flooded the internet with cheap stuff and massive discounts thanks to splurging billions of dollars in advertising campaigns.
Amazon, a mainstay in the FAANG stocks list , is among the few companies to be of gargantuan size yet nimble enough to stay relevant in the changing landscape of its industry. Will the pivot to cheap goods succeed in stamping out the aggressive competition from China? Or will the corporate giant be outperformed by the brilliant maneuvering of low-caliber foreign retailers?
Share your thoughts in the comments!
NIKE - Dead or a Cheap Opportunity? Nike has been on a rough patch recently & this past week didn't help as it saw it's worst day in over 20 years.
Now the question is, is Nike dead in the water or has price gotten so cheap that it makes for a good investment opportunity?
Now, I'm not here to tell you that you should or shouldn't buy Nike, rather if you were considering it, where you may want to look to do so at & what you need to be aware of if you do.
I'd love for you guys to continue the discussion by sharing your opinions below!
And as always I wish you a fantastic week of trading and investing.
Akil
AUD/USD swing trade setup
This AUD/USD pair could completed its correction already
Wave (1) = diagonal
Wave (2) = complex correction W-X-Y (expanded triangle)
Wave 1-2 (expanded flat completed last night 26/6/2024) of 3
If this wave count is valid, possible short term target (days-weeks) are
1) 0.68
2) 0.694
Price should not go lower than 0.664
If it goes lower than 0.658 -> this idea will be invalidated
Looking at DXY, this bullish idea may be possible
GOLDTrend Analysis
Downward Trend Line: There is a red downward trend line indicating that gold has been in a downtrend. This line acts as a resistance level.
Support Zone: There is a green support zone around the $2,318.00 level. This indicates that there is buying interest around this price, and it has historically acted as a support level.
Resistance Levels
First Resistance: Around $2,325.66.
Second Resistance: Around $2,332.00.
These resistance levels indicate where selling pressure has previously been strong enough to halt upward price movement.
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A Fair Value Gap is highlighted in a beige rectangle from approximately $2,340.00 to $2,354.60. This gap suggests an area where the price might move quickly if it enters this zone, potentially due to a lack of liquidity or previous rapid price movement.
Price Action
Current Price: As of the latest data on the chart, gold is trading at $2,319.26.
Recent Movement: The price recently bounced off the support zone but faced resistance near $2,332.00, aligning with the downward trend line.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If the price can break above the resistance at $2,325.66 and subsequently the downward trend line, it may target the next resistance level at $2,332.00. A break above this level could lead to a move towards the Fair Value Gap, potentially reaching the upper boundary around $2,354.60.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the support level at $2,318.00, it might move lower, with the next significant support level potentially being around $2,312.00. Further bearish movement could target levels below $2,310.00.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: $2,318.00, $2,312.00.
Resistance: $2,325.66, $2,332.00, $2,354.60 (FVG zone).
Ichimoku Watch: Nvidia Eyeing Ichimoku Cloud Support In three successive days of selling, triggered after a bearish outside reversal formed on Thursday last week from all-time highs of $140.76, Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) has shed approximately -15.0% from the peak.
The company’s market value dropped more than US$500 billion to US$2.91 trillion, consequently pulling the chipmaker back to third place after briefly becoming the most valuable company in the world and surpassing Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) and Apple (ticker: AAPL).
Behind the sell-off is a combination of the CEO, Jensen Huang, selling almost US$100 million worth of shares a handful of days before (and after) it became the world’s most valuable company, along with worries about the company’s effect on the broader stock market indexes, and profit-taking after what has been a meteoric rise.
Ichimoku Cloud Support
As can be seen from Nvidia's daily chart, the stock’s recent movement has easily crossed below the Conversion Line (blue at $129.40) and is fast approaching the Base Line (red at $116.28), which could deliver support.
However, should further downside develop, the Ichimoku Cloud support (made up of the Leading Span A at $122.95 and the Leading Span B at $108.23) could be seen as a logical downside target for sellers in this market at the moment. You will also see that the chart offers support at $96.77 around the Ichimoku support zone.
Price Direction?
While it is unlikely that the party is over for Nvidia, the current correction will likely be viewed as an opportunity to get in at cheaper prices. Dip buyers, therefore, may seek suitable support levels to enter this market long. The combination of support just below $100.00 at $96.77 and the Ichimoku Cloud support area could be worthy of the watchlist.
Nvidia - Massive rejection soon!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended after the +1.000% rally and ready for a correction.
Trees simply do not grow to the sky. And neither do stocks, especially Nvidia. I know that a lot of people are calling price targets of $250 and beyond, but we still have to respect gravity and the nature of fear and greed. Nvidia is simply overextended a retesting a 6 year resistance trendline. I do expect a correction between -20% and -30%, but also -60% is definitely possible.
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
GBPJPY - BIG BULLISH CONTINUATION OPPORTUNITY Here's a big potential bullish trend continuation opportunity on the GBPJPY using structure and price action.
In this video I walk you through the 4-step I.P.D.E. process used to set up the trading idea & talk about different ways to both get in & out of the trade.
We'll probably revisit this opportunity as it develops so make sure you watch this space.
If you have any questions or comments about the setup (or anything else) please leave it in the comment section below as I do read each and every one.
I wish you a great week in the markets - Akil
TSLA : its now or never!TSLA is coiling to make a large directional move.
The Question is...up or down?
With August appraoching quickly, this could be a key pivotal shift in TSLA business model
Once they announce their ROBO - TAXI, this could be a huge winning success for the company and stock .
A ROBO - TAXI could be a mega disruption for many sectors and companies.
I think theres a strong chance that investors are going to start bidding up this name ahead of that 1st week of August in anticipation of the massive launch.
Keep in mind with every new launch comes hiccups and capital expenditures so its not always smooth sailing.
Lets face it though...no other company has attempted this yet and if anyone can have success it would be Elon.
I also think now that Elons pay package has been approved, he really is incentivized to grow this business.
Will his Optimus Robot be the new taxi, uber or Lyft drivers?
Is USD/JPY Trade of Decade? US Dollar Nears 34-Year High Again.If you’re a ‘90s baby, the yen is the weakest you’ve ever seen it. Putting it back with the cool guys in forex town isn’t going to be easy. In this Idea, we discover why.
Yen Languishes in 34-Year Lows
The Japanese yen is trading at a 34-year low against the stronger US dollar. This means that the volatile USD/JPY pair is flying high. Very high. To many, this is the opportunity of a lifetime — pop a short, load up on the leverage and go for the jugular (to use Soros slang ). Only that it’s not as easy as it looks.
So not-easy that there’s even a term for that. It’s called “widow maker trade” and it describes those unfortunate souls who dare to bet against the Bank of Japan in hopes of anticipating the right direction. It’s so difficult to predict the path of Japan’s interest rates that many have seen their fortunes wiped out in trying to do so.
So why’s the yen so badly hurt? Until recently, Japan’s central bank was the only one in the world to flaunt negative interest rates. It was holding on to an easy-money regime to stimulate economic growth — low to negative rates encourage businesses and consumers to borrow cheap money and spend it on whatever they want.
Biggest Loser on Forex Board
But this loose money policy has a downside — it makes the local currency highly unattractive. The Japanese yen is the biggest loser among the major currencies on the forex board so far in 2024. It’s down more than 13% against the dollar this year.
Against that backdrop, in March, the Bank of Japan abandoned its negative rate regime and hiked interest rates for the first time since 2007. The shift provided little relief to the yen.
The USD/JPY this week blasted beyond ¥159 and extended its winning streak to seven days in a row. But bulls’ efforts to carry the exchange rate above the ¥160 milestone might meet an archnemesis.
Japanese officials have been monitoring the speculative moves around the yen and have said many times they’re ready to intervene by buying boatloads of it. Traders, however, have already seen this play out. And they've seen the aftermath, too.
A Failed InterYention
In late April, the Japanese yen tumbled beyond the key ¥160 level to the dollar, hitting ¥160.20 — a low last seen in 1990. Japan then decided to lean against the skyrocketing dollar and sank as much as $60 billion going long the yen and shorting the dollar.
Briefly, the yen rose about 5% before bargain-hungry traders were back for more.
Moral of the story? The downturn of the yen is predictable and until the Bank of Japan introduces a more aggressive policy to buck the trend, it may remain vulnerable to attacks.
More of the Same?
Meanwhile, bullish traders are excited to try their hand at shooting the dollar-yen pair to a fresh 34-year high. It must be noted, however, that the exchange rate is overstretched and overbought. This skews the risk-reward ratio and makes the upside look fairly limited, at least in the short term. Or does it?
Zoom out, and you’ll see the yen was trading at ¥300 to the dollar back in the ‘70s. And that’s not something Japan wants to see now. A cheap yen is generally good for exports but it makes imports a lot more expensive. And that’s where the Asian economy is getting its technology, energy, cars, and many foods from.
Japanese officials, namely the Ministry of Finance, remain tight-lipped about any potential intervention. What’s more, the Bank of Japan joins the silence with no forward-looking guidance on future interest rate hikes.
And all this means one thing — yen volatility is bound to continue as traders engage in some extra spicy speculation fundamental price discovery.
Long or Short?
If you’re in the trade, which side are you on? Are you long the dollar-yen or short it? Let us know in the comments below!
Elliott Wave Expects Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to Continue HigherShort Term Elliott Wave in Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) suggests it shows a bullish sequence from 4.20.2024 low favoring more upside. Up from 4.20.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 461.5 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 443.06. The ETF has extended higher in wave 3. Internal subdivision of wave 3 is unfolding as a nesting impulsive structure. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 455.58 and wave (ii) ended at 447.9. Wave (iii) higher ended at 465.55 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 460.54. Last leg wave (v) ended at 465.74 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 461.5 and the ETF has extended higher.
Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 465.19 and wave ii dips ended at 462.03. Then it rallied higher in wave iii towards 478.28 and wave iv pullback ended at 473.80. Last leg wave v ended at 478.95 which completed wave (i) in higher degree. The ETF then pullback in wave (ii) towards 474.42. Near term, as far as it stays above 461.51, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
TSLA / NVIDIA / INTC - The rotation trade?TSLA has been upderperfing the market, but is now showing some signs of potential life since Elon musks pay package was approved.
A bullish breakout pattern is on watch.
NASDAQ:INTC looks ready for a bullish move. Just like NASDAQ:ADBE & NASDAQ:TSLA popped on earnings, it looks like NASDAQ:INTC could be the next oversold S&P500 stock to bounce.
If we see any weakness in NASDAQ:NVDA we may see capital rotate into other cheaper semis.
S&P500 setting nee ATH.
World's Top Companies: Who’s in the Exclusive $1T Club & Beyond?But wait, it gets even more exclusive than a mere $1 trillion! There’s a $2 trillion club with just a single player and a super-duper hyper-elite ultra club of $3 trillion. Can you name the participants?
Being part of the world’s biggest companies isn’t easy. It may look easy — these corporate giants gain billions of dollars in market cap before you make your morning cup of coffee (especially if you’re drowsy after a late-night options trading action).
In this Idea, we look at the dynamic docket of the world's most expensive companies, neatly stacked up in the TradingView Top companies list .
The world has never seen so much money concentrated in a few select companies. Fun fact: all of them had humble beginnings like starting out of a garage and trying to get clients through cold calling — but ended up changing the world with things like the iPhone.
Today, a total of seven companies are worth $1 trillion or more each and three of them boast a valuation of over $3 trillion each. Can you guess the common theme across all? It starts with “A” and ends with “I”.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has been popping these stocks to record highs for months now. And there’s no sign of slowing down the insane growth. All of these companies, except for one that’s not based in the US, are listed in the broad-based S&P 500 index and make up about 30% of its total weight. Can you spot them in the S&P 500 Stock Heatmap ?
Note that all numbers and rankings are measured by the companies' performances through mid-June of this year.
Let’s roll!
1. 🧩 Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )
Microsoft is the world’s most valuable company worth a staggering $3.289 trillion. The software maker quickly swooped in to lead the AI race by backing ChatGPT parent OpenAI . It has invested $13 billion in the startup.
Microsoft’s growth is largely driven by the adoption of AI across its product suite. Artificial intelligence-powered assistants such as Microsoft Copilot can operate without human intervention or direct commands, making companies’ lives easier and more productive.
💰 Market Cap : $3.289 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $211.91 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Microsoft's first major deal was with IBM in 1980. They developed the operating system for IBM's new computer, which they named PC DOS. The deal was worth $50,000.
2. 🧩 Apple (ticker: AAPL )
Apple has entered the chat. The iPhone maker just recently figured out how to play catch up in the AI race after doing virtually nothing for a year. Apple Intelligence — the company’s response to AI — got investors excited about the future growth prospects of iPhone sales and overall revenue generation.
The AI announcement, made during Apple’s annual developer conference, helped lift its shares by 10% and propelled the company to the number one spot, dethroning Microsoft. Briefly, though .
💰 Market Cap : $3.258 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $383.29 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Apple traces its humble origins to Steve Jobs’s garage where he and another founder — Steve Wozniak, would test the products before selling them over the phone. A third founder — Ronald Wayne — was in the company for just 12 days and sold his 10% stake for $800. That stake today is worth more than $325 billion.
3. 🧩 Nvidia (ticker: NVDA )
Nvidia is the highflyer technology company responsible for building out the infrastructure layer of the artificial intelligence revolution. Its coveted AI chips are the hottest commodity for all other technology giants and that’s where Nvidia’s power comes from.
Earlier this month, Nvidia’s market value crossed $3 trillion for the first time, overtaking Apple and becoming the third company to ever breathe the rarefied air of so much money. First place coming soon?
💰 Market Cap : $3.244 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $60.92 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Jensen Huang, who never interviews wearing anything other than a black jacket, was cleaning tables and washing dishes at his local Denny’s diner. And that’s where he sat with his two friends — hardware savant Chris Malachowsky and software geek Curtis Priem — when he founded his chip making business Nvidia.
4. 🧩 Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL )
Alphabet, parent of search dominator Google, is taking on Microsoft in the rushed race to market an AI assistant. The company’s first generation AI bot, Bard, suffered a major blow at launch (it returned false information). Subsequent attempts failed to present any threat to ChatGPT so Alphabet rebranded it to Gemini.
💰 Market Cap : $2.194 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $307.39 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : The founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, initially worked on their search engine project from their dorm rooms at Stanford University. They later moved to a garage in Menlo Park, California, which was owned by Susan Wojcicki, former CEO of YouTube. Google purchased YouTube for $1.65 billion in 2005. Today, YouTube generates that amount in two weeks.
5. 🧩 Amazon (ticker: AMZN )
Amazon, the ecommerce and cloud computing heavyweight, is riding the AI wave thanks to its cloud computing division Amazon Web Services (AWS). It’s the company’s cash cow, revenue generator, profit driver, or however you want to call it.
For the most recent quarter, AWS hit $100 billion in annual revenue run rate — a financial metric that estimates future growth based on current performance. Or the opposite of "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."
💰 Market Cap : $1.911 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $574.78 billion
👶 How It Started : Amazon was founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 after he left his analyst job at the hedge fund D. E. Shaw & Co, inspired by the rapid growth of the internet. He took the risk of selling things online and picked books due to their wide selection and ease of distribution. And the rest is history.
6. 🧩 Saudi Arabian Oil (ticker: 2222 )
An outlier in the rankings saturated by tech giants, Saudi Arabian Oil is the world’s largest oil producer. Also known as Saudi Aramco, it’s the single most important revenue source for the Saudi government (makes up 92% of its budget to be exact). In 2022, when energy prices boomed following the Covid lockdown, Aramco pocketed record profits of $161 billion.
💰 Market Cap : $1.783 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $440.80 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Saudi Aramco was established in the 1930s when Standard Oil of California discovered oil in Saudi Arabia and formed the California-Arabian Standard Oil Company. By the 1980s, the Saudi government had fully nationalized the company, renaming it Saudi Aramco.
7. 🧩 Meta Platforms (ticker: META )
Last on our list of $1 trillion companies and beyond is Meta Platforms, previously known as Facebook. The brainchild of Harvard dropout Mark Zuckerberg had a rough 2022 with more than 70% wiped out of its value and knocking it out of the $1 trillion club.
The following year, 2023, was a lot more generous to the social media behemoth as it gained nearly 200% and jumped right back into a 13-digit valuation. The company was up another 45% for the first half of 2024.
💰 Market Cap : $1.279 trillion
🐮 Revenue : $134.90 billion (2023)
👶 How It Started : Facebook was initially called "Thefacebook" and was limited to Harvard students when it first launched on February 4, 2004. The company’s first office was Mark Zuckerberg’s dorm room.
📣 Let’s Hear from You!
What’s your favorite pick of the world’s top seven companies ranked by market capitalization? Let us know in the comments!
You Need An Edge In The Markets - Tradingview Has The Tools!👉📈 In the video, we look at a EURUSD trade opportunity, but more importantly, we delve into essential features and tools available on TradingView, which can considerably enhance your trading edge. Here’s what we cover:
✅ 1: Multi-Chart Layout:
- TradingView’s workspace allows you to view multiple charts simultaneously. This feature is particularly useful when analyzing currency pairs like EURUSD.
- By comparing different timeframes or related assets, you gain a broader perspective on market dynamics.
✅ 2: Currency Indexes:
- Currency indexes provide crucial insights. They help answer questions like:
Is the EUR (Euro) truly under pressure?
Is the USD (US Dollar) gaining strength?
- For instance, even if the EURUSD pair appears bearish, understanding the individual currency strengths is vital. Sometimes, two currencies may be trending in the same direction with one slightly stronger than the other.. you might look to avoid trading the currency pair associated with this scenario.
✅ 3: Entry, Stop Loss, and Target Levels:
- We explore how to identify optimal entry points, setting a suitable stop-loss, and define profit targets.
📢Leveraging TradingView’s tools, you can fine-tune your trading strategy and gain a real edge in the currency markets.
📢 Remember, steady conservative and consistant trading, along with rigorous risk management, is key. Happy trading! 🛡️🌟
BTC looks ready to deliver a 9% moveBitcoin prices are currently stuck in a rectangle pattern. A break below $66,000 could potentially send prices down to $60,000, a drop of 9%. Conversely, a break above $72,000 could lift prices towards $77,970 per coin.
Recent trends show a stronger dollar, particularly against the Euro and British pound. If this strength continues, it could negatively impact Bitcoin prices, potentially leading to a break below the $66,000 support level. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 is up 7.5% from its last swing low on May 31st without a major correction. While shorting the Nasdaq 100 is a high risk idea, a pullback is likely and could influence Bitcoin, pushing it below the critical $66,000 support.
If Bitcoin breaks out of this rectangle pattern, traditional risk management suggests placing a stop loss at the high of the breakout candle for a bearish break and below the breakout candle low for a bullish breakout. This strategy allows the price to return to the pattern but prevents it from moving too deeply, which could result in reaching the other side of the pattern.
As always, do your own research and proceed with caution. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK.
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