Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs.
Levels to watch: $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Community ideas
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward.
I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs.
Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week.
BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks.
Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO).
Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
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GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations
As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data:
1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices.
Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example:
Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43.
Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds.
The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold.
2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example:
10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025)
U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it.
Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields.
3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑).
Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes).
4. Interest Rates and Gold
Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold.
2025 Outlook:
Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025).
Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists.
Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued.
Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support.
Conclusion
While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term.
WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
Reddit breaks out for bullish run I have been watching Reddit for a couple of weeks and identified that we had put in the .786 low from the correction since February and then formed a range that was well respected for the past 4 months .
In this video I highlight zones where i expect price to gravitate too and where a nice entry will be if you are looking to long reddit.
Tools used Fib suite , trend based fib , tr pocket , 0.786 + 0.382 and fixed range .
Nvidia - 100% new all time highs!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is just too bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Honestly it was not unexpected that Nvidia is now the most valuable company in the world. The chart is just so strong and perfectly following structure; it seems to be just a matter of days until Nvidia will create a new all time high. If this happens, a breakout rally will follow.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
CRYPTO - 4 Year Cycle May Fail But AltSeason May Yet Arrive Late50 minutes depth TA covering many aspects of crypto + considerations of the dominant influence of stock indexes.
If you appreciate the effort given for FREE then do hit the BOOST - it encourages me to continue to operate on this website 👍
Not advice.
THE PILLARS OF PRICE ACTION - This is what I look for!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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How to find pre-earnings runs weeks ahead of the actual earningsThere is far more opportunities to make higher profits BEFORE a CEO announces the Earnings Report on the public exchanges.
In this lesson, you will learn about how the Buy Side Dark Pools consult with the CEO and CFO to determine weeks ahead of the earnings season whether the report will be stellar, average, or weak.
Retail Analysts do not have access to this information and are guessing much of the time and often just state an estimate which the Corporation can easily beat or meet.
However, there are far greater profits from trading pre-earnings swing style runs of a stock.
This educational training helps you choose stocks to trade for this upcoming earnings season.
Put together a watchlist of not just big blue chip stocks, but also lesser known companies that have new technologies or services that are going to help that company grow into a big blue chip.
Pre Earnings runs start much earlier than you may think.
For a list of ALL of the companies reporting each day starting in late June or early July, go to NASDAQ.com which provides a list of all companies reporting and on what day that report is due out.
Then put together a watchlist of stocks that have charts that are showing some Dark Pool activity and pro trader activity well ahead of the earnings report date.
This is an Earnings Strategy that is excellent for Swing Trading, Momentum Trading, etc.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Review and plan for 17th June 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing trading ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Weekly trading plan for XRP BINANCE:XRPUSDT Price has reached the weekly pivot point, so now it is important to understand the further reaction. Several trend lines can be seen on the chart. If the lower trend line and the level of 2.18 are broken, the price will probably continue its downward movement to the support zone, but it will already renew the local bottom.
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura