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[$BA] Boeing's black friday?NYSE:BA Quick-Take Unfortunately, an accident occured with a Boeing Dreamliner 787 in India. This triggered a 'small crash' in the stock as well, due to Boeing's (ongoing) raising concerns for quality and safety. However, we should see it as chance for a potential swing-trade of 7 days. ⭕ Risks The analysis of the plane crash will take a couple of days and there are even rumors about an 'external factor' being the reason for the plane to fall from the sky. Eitherway: Volatility is a two-edged sword that we should utilize to our advantage. 🟢 Pros The Iran/Israel conflict is escalating, that led to a spike for a Defense companies such as $ NYSE:LMT XETR:RHM . But NYSE:BA takes also part of the military-industrial complex that should profit of the bad times in geopolitics. 📏 Position We position ourselves bullish via options: -> buy Call-Options (long-call or bull-call-spreads) -> sell Put-Options (short-put (cc) or bull-put-spreads) What do you guys think?
NYSE:BALong
by OiconomiX_io
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #gold #dollar
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #GOLD #DOLLAR
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
₿ Bitcoin: SlippedAfter holding steady for two days, Bitcoin broke lower yesterday, confirming a setback within green wave B. This countertrend move delays the anticipated climb, which we still expect to reach its peak in the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891). From there, bearish wave C should take over. The upper blue zone remains a tactical area for partial profit-taking or hedging long positions with shorts. Wave C is expected to drive the price sharply lower into the blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323), where we anticipate the completion of orange wave a. Orange wave b may trigger a corrective bounce, but ultimately, renewed downside should wrap up the intermediate correction of blue wave (ii). Still, there’s a 30% chance that Bitcoin forms a higher high as part of blue wave alt.(i)—temporarily breaching the upper blue zone. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
Ethereum - This structure decides everything!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - trades at a key structure: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) After Ethereum retested the previous all time high in the end of 2024, we saw quite a harsh move lower. This move was followed by an expected recovery, however Ethereum is still trading below a key structure. Either move is still possible and will shape the future of Ethereum. Levels to watch: $2.500, $4.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
11
Amd - This starts the next +200% rally!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - is preparing a major rally: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) It has - once again - not been unexpected at all that we now see a major reversal rally on Amd. After the harsh drop of about -65%, Amd retested a significant confluence of support and already created bullish confirmation. It is quite likely that this now starts the next bullrun. Levels to watch: $100, $300 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
23
Meta Platforms - This stock tastes sooo good!Meta Platforms - NASDAQ:META - will print a new all time high: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the course of the past two months, Meta has been rallying +40%. This recent behaviour was not unexpected at all but rather the consequence of the all time high break and retest. Now - back at the previous all time high - Meta will most likely break out higher again. Levels to watch: $700, $900 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:METALong
by basictradingtv
4
Tensions in the Middle East. (Levels to watch, things to do). Iran and Israel situation is tense. Lot of investors have lot of questions in mind. I am trying to provide my opinion for the same in the video. I am trying to give my Technical and Political commentary on the situation in this educational video. The political commentary is based on my 15+ years of experience in the Middle East and is my personal opinion. I hope this will answer a lot of questions for you. I have also tried to give Techincal support and resistance levels for Nifty. In the 10 minute I have tried to cover as many points as I can. Along with the list of things to do as an investor. I hope this will help many of you. As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself. Q&A The Question now are we out of danger? Answer: Not yet. Question 2: Why we are not out of danger? Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know. Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries? Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense. Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets? Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense. Question 5: What should investors do? Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start. Things you can do: 1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times. 2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners. 3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly. 4) Re-calibrate your portfolio 5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective. The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down. Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market. To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by THEPROTRADERZA
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range. After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news. I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend. I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty. I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD. Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets. Happy Friday the 13th - everyone. Going to be an interesting day to say the least. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Israel creates a risk-off environmentThe current geopolitical tensions continue to escalate and this is creating a risk-off environment, forcing investors to worry. Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:OIL TVC:USOIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
AUDUSDDOLLAR INDEX on a dramatic twist of reversal on friday june 13th 00;00 time asian session at demand floor 97.621. dollar reclaims 98.360 by londom session putting pressures on EURUSD,AUDUSD ,USDJPY,GBPUSD ,NZDUSD. 3:00pm USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 53.5 52.2 USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 6.6% The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data will influence the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Federal Reserve policy expectations based on whether the prints exceed or miss forecasts. Scenario 1: Better-Than-Expected Data Consumer Sentiment greater than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations > 6.6%: DXY Reaction: Likely to rise as stronger sentiment and sticky inflation expectations reduce odds of near-term Fed rate cuts. Traders may price out dovish bets, supporting the dollar. Fed Implications: Elevated inflation expectations (above 6.6%) would reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance, delaying rate cuts until late 2025 or 2026. Key Levels: DXY could retest 99.206 –99.00 resistance. Scenario 2: Worse-Than-Expected Data Consumer Sentiment less than 53.5 and Inflation Expectations < 6.6%: DXY Reaction: Likely to decline as softer sentiment and easing inflation fears boost bets on Fed rate cuts. Markets could price in a September cut more aggressively. Fed Implications: Lower inflation expectations (e.g., 6.0–6.5%) would align with recent CPI/PPI cooling, giving the Fed confidence to ease policy sooner. Key Levels: DXY may drop toward 97.954 Scenario 3: Mixed Data Sentiment beats, inflation misses (or vice versa): DXY Reaction: Range-bound or choppy. For example, higher sentiment but lower inflation could offset, keeping DXY in a range bound Fed Implications: The Fed would emphasize the inflation component over sentiment, as price expectations directly influence policy. Contextual Factors Recent Trends: May’s UoM sentiment hit a 2025 low (50.8), while 1-year inflation expectations spiked to 7.3% (later revised to 6.6%). June’s data will test whether inflation fears are easing. Fed’s Focus: The Fed views inflation expectations as critical to actual inflation trends. A sustained rise above 6% could delay cuts despite softer CPI/PPI. Broader Risks: Trade tensions (Trump’s tariffs) and political pressure on the Fed add volatility to dollar dynamics. Conclusion The dollar’s reaction hinges most critically on inflation expectations. A print above 6.6% would signal lingering price pressures, bolstering the Fed’s hawkish resolve and supporting DXY. Conversely, a drop below 6.0% could accelerate dollar selling as markets bet on earlier easing. Traders should also watch for revisions to May’s inflation expectations (previously revised down from 7.3% to 6.6%), which could amplify volatility. #audusd
Short
by Shavyfxhub