Surely the RBA Must Cut Rates Now?The RBA defied expectations of a cut in July, despite soft trimmed mean inflation figures in the monthly CPI report. The quarterly figures have now dropped, which I suspect leaves little wriggle room to hold at 2.85% in August. I 6ake a look at the quarterly and monthly inflation prints that matter, then wrap up on AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Community ideas
BIASOne thing i will tell you for free is that, you should stop worrying about entries, and always focus on the market direction, of the current leg of price that you find yourself paired with the HTF perspective, that way even if your entry is wrong, you can always find another entry and join in the given direction.
EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid.
Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ).
I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall.
If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4.
We'll see how this all develops.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
XAUUSD 5M SUPPLY SETUPDuring the Asia-to-London session, price was in a clear uptrend, printing higher highs. However, in the pre-New York session, momentum shifted , price failed to break the recent high and instead formed a new low, eventually breaking structure with a lower low and confirming a trend reversal. This move left a clean supply zone behind. Price later retraced to that supply zone and showed strong rejection with a clear wick reaction, signaling potential selling pressure. I waited for the candle break and entered short, placing stops above the highest wick within the zone. Targeted a 1:2 R:R. Price consolidated briefly but eventually hit target, securing profits and wrapping up the session with discipline and precision.
United Health - The perfect time to buy!⛑️United Health ( NYSE:UNH ) finished its massive drop:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past couple of months, United Health managed to drop an incredible -60%. This drop however was not unexpected and just the result of a retest of a massive resistance trendline. Considering the confluence of support though, a bullish reversal will emerge quite soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$300.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Dogecoin - It is all totally expected!🐶Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) will break out soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just this month, Dogecoin perfectly retested a significant confluence of support and is starting the expected rejection. With bullish momentum picking up, there is a very high chance that Dogecoin will break the all time high in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$0.5
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
07/29/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +734
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Been struggling with sleep due to heat waves
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish✅
— 9:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal✅
— 9:36 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! ❌
— 11:49 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal✅
— 11:59 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal❌
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was one of the few short the resistance day and refreshing to see after we been grinding ATH (all time highs)
News
— 1:30 PM
🇺🇸🇨🇳 *CHINA SAYS IT AGREES WITH US TO EXTEND TARIFF TRUCE
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6395= Bullish, Under 6374= Bearish
Crude Oil Spikes - Russia / Ukraine / USA sanction? Concerns about the possibility of tighter global oil supplies are supporting crude prices after President Trump warned of "secondary sanctions" if Russia fails to reach a ceasefire in Ukraine within 10 to 12 days.
These sanctions have absolutely burned the shorts in oil and can cause a 3 bar surge on the daily chart if crude breaks this channel.
Keep you eye on the daily 200 MA...if it holds above we should push higher on crude.
FOMC RATE DECISION TOMORROW - Tune into our live stream.
EURAUD; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaIn this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of EURAUD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
Review and plan for 30th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results- analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Why Are Markets Rising Despite the Tariffs?Because of the
1) Set timeline on finalizing the tariff rates and
2) The ongoing negotiations,
They aimed at striking a balanced deal between the U.S. and its trading partners.
The Liberation Day tariffs were announced on 2nd April, and markets initially crashed in response. However, just seven days later, on 9th April, the U.S. postponed the higher tariff increases for most countries by 90 days. Since then, markets have rebounded and even broken above their all-time highs set in December last year.
Now that the dust is settling with the expiration of timeline and ongoing negotiations, the big question is:
Where will the markets head next?
Mirco Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
SPX Breakdown or Another Push Higher?Hi y'all thanks for tuning in! Here are a few written notes to sum up the video.
Indecision at New Highs
After breaking out to new all-time highs, SPX printed a doji on the weekly chart, signaling indecision. This hesitation could mark the start of digestion.
Still Structurally Bullish, but Extended
The weekly chart shows SPX is still holding trend structure, but price is notably extended from the 10EMA. Historically, when price moves too far from key short-term EMAs, it tends to reset either via time (sideways chop) or price (pullback).
Daily Chart Shows a Shelf Forming
On the daily chart, price has been consolidating just under the prior high with small-bodied candles. This is forming a “shelf” around the 6,260–6,280 zone. It’s acting like a pause, not a breakdown. Holding above this zone keeps the trend intact.
Pullback Risk Increases Below 6,232
If price loses 6,232 (last week's breakout area and short-term shelf), it increases the likelihood of a pullback toward the 6160 or even deeper toward the 5970. That lower zone also marks the bottom of the prior consolidation box from earlier this year.
Seasonality Reminder
Historically, July is strong in the first half, with weakness (if it shows up) arriving mid-to-late month. So far, price has tracked that seasonal strength. Any weakness from here would align with that typical timing.
EURNZD Update: This short trigger could spark a waterfall dropYo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🩵 EURNZD just broke its daily upward trendline, setting up a sharp drop. Weekly shows a fading uptrend. Daily’s got a strong bearish candle, full body, no buyer fight. 4H trendline broke and... more on this video:)
👀Beware of fakeouts this week—volatility’s high! Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
Weekly trading plan for SolanaLast week BINANCE:SOLUSDT played out perfectly according to our orange scenario. Currently, we're in a correction phase, trading below the key weekly reversal level at $190
Key Observations:
Bullish divergence forming on the hourly chart
But 4-hour chart shows further downside potential
Critical Levels:
Break above weekly pivot + trendline → Targets $220
Failure to reclaim above hourly MAs → Opens path to $160
Trade carefully - this could go either way