Gold Technical & Fundamental Outlook for Next WeekIn this video, I break down the recent surge in gold prices, what drove the momentum, including rising tensions between Israel and Iran, and the impact of weaker U.S. inflation data that’s pushing Fed rate cut expectations.
Gold is now sitting just below the all-time high of around $3,500. With major U.S. economic events like Retail Sales and the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision coming up, this is a key moment for us to prepare.
💥 Will we see a breakout above resistance, or is a healthy dip on the cards before the next move? I’ll walk you through the key levels, the market psychology, and how I’m planning my trades this week.
💡 Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more weekly gold and forex market insights.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GoldForecast
#TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #FOMC #FedRateDecision
#RetailSales #SafeHaven #GoldBreakout #TradingStrategy #ForexMentor
Community ideas
BTC BITCOIN ,we are watching every step and price action,the next clear directional bias on long will be on the break and close of daily supply roof at 111k, while the sell confirmation will be on the break and possible retest of the daily ascending trending line holding buyers for today 16th.
Israel and Iran war could be seeing liquidity into crypto especially bitcoin
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
GOLD GOLD 3416 is giving us a strong draw down and we need to get ride of that structure to challenge 3428.be watchful of that zone 3428 for potential drop in price .break and clos ewe go long to challenge 3476. another critical demand will be 3392-3400 level to watch.
while from the down side 3375-3370-3365 is in my watch list.
BITCOIN BITCOIN weekly candle closed respecting the demand ascending trendline and we have seen buyers return against speculation from elite traders,
the retest of daily roof will be watched for potential rejection at 111-117k, and i will be watching 125k-136k ascending trendline roof should we have a daily break of structure above the current ALTH.
keep eyes on break of the current floor break out on daily, close below will be a a new week rejection ,where we will likely hold sell into 98-97k zone .
GOLD GOLD ,LONDON SESSION reporting on gold price movement shows cool off from Friday rally while keeping bias bullish.
the Asians open on sell from 3500 ALTH (BREAK OF STRUCTURE AT 3451-3450) ,when buyers returns today we have used that level as supply roof for 16th june 2025) and that level have held buyers and took out over 400pips and could do more from that bearish fall.
but 3393-3400 will be watched by London gold traders who will weigh the risk on that demand floor ,if they accept it, we win on that level, if they reject it, we still win because we sell on break of demand floor to target 3375-3370 floor
3375-3370 will be London last hope before we head into newyork time where we will experience extreme volatility in trading.
SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week.
despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip.
This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks.
we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today.
As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied.
TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern
META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge.
MSFT new all time high tap
NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors
GOOGL looking strong for continuation
AMZN moving nicely off support
AAPL lagging the mega's but positive
post market ideasSPX rallied into resistance today, so far it's being held back there. Gold looks like a bounce is coming but I don't think it lasts. NG is looking more and more bullish. USOIL found support under 70 and should test the highs from Friday. BTC looks like it could come down a bit here.
GOLD GOLD ,April 3351 supply roof saw Sydney session take instant 100pips on early market open and if that layer is broken then we could be watching buyers print a new weekly high with 3500 ALTH in mind with extended buy touching 3530-3523 based on the structure. Its also giving aggressive buy into 3578-3580
Am watching the demand floor at 3393-3400 for buy
Do you have enough reasons to take the trade? IF NOT...stay outAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Gold prices look set to reach a fresh ATHGold prices are up on Israel's attack on Iran, as traders and investors buy to hedge against inflation and the higher geopolitical war. Watch the video to learn what levels traders are watching.
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Weekly trading plan for ETH In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Weekly trading plan for Bitcoin In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Expect a Retracement... BUT not a Reversal in S&P Hi Trading Community,
Just a quick update on what I expect price action to look like for the ES over the next couple of days.
As you know, I've been bullish on this move — and I still am. However, there is some justification for a potential retracement to key levels. In particular, my attention is on the 5928 area.
It's too early to call this a full reversal, but let’s stay sharp in our trading and continue learning.
#OneCandleStickAtATime
USDJPY recap + adding GBPUSD In watchlist Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
EURUSD, GBPUSD and AUDUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Greer Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF%) — Long-Term Value Signal✅ Title
Greer Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF%) — Long-Term Value Signal
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The Greer Free Cash Flow Yield indicator is part of the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to help long-term investors identify fundamentally strong and potentially undervalued companies.
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Calculates Free Cash Flow Per Share (FY) from official financial reports
Divides by the current stock price to produce Free Cash Flow Yield %
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Color-codes the yield line:
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FCF Yield is a powerful metric that reveals how efficiently a company turns revenue into usable cash. This can be a better long-term value indicator than earnings yield or P/E ratios, especially in capital-intensive industries.
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📌 This tool is for informational and educational use only. Always do your own research before investing.