How to find pre-earnings runs weeks ahead of the actual earningsThere is far more opportunities to make higher profits BEFORE a CEO announces the Earnings Report on the public exchanges.
In this lesson, you will learn about how the Buy Side Dark Pools consult with the CEO and CFO to determine weeks ahead of the earnings season whether the report will be stellar, average, or weak.
Retail Analysts do not have access to this information and are guessing much of the time and often just state an estimate which the Corporation can easily beat or meet.
However, there are far greater profits from trading pre-earnings swing style runs of a stock.
This educational training helps you choose stocks to trade for this upcoming earnings season.
Put together a watchlist of not just big blue chip stocks, but also lesser known companies that have new technologies or services that are going to help that company grow into a big blue chip.
Pre Earnings runs start much earlier than you may think.
For a list of ALL of the companies reporting each day starting in late June or early July, go to NASDAQ.com which provides a list of all companies reporting and on what day that report is due out.
Then put together a watchlist of stocks that have charts that are showing some Dark Pool activity and pro trader activity well ahead of the earnings report date.
This is an Earnings Strategy that is excellent for Swing Trading, Momentum Trading, etc.
Community ideas
Review and plan for 17th June 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing trading ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Dogecoin - Don't forget the dog now!Dogecoin - CRYPTO:DOGEUSD - still remains quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Basically during every major bullrun on Dogecoin, we always saw a correction of at least -60%. Therefore the recent drop of -70% was not a surprise at all but rather a natural all time high rejection. If Dogecoin manages to now create bullish confirmation, the bullrun will continue.
Levels to watch: $0.2. $0.5
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations
As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data:
1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices.
Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example:
Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43.
Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds.
The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold.
2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example:
10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025)
U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it.
Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields.
3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield
Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑).
Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes).
4. Interest Rates and Gold
Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold.
2025 Outlook:
Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025).
Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists.
Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued.
Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support.
Conclusion
While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term.
WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
#gold
A review of multiple markets6.17. 25 an important change in oil to check out. we'll have to wait for some changes on gold to decide its direction.... it's not far below the high but it's not trading well... and I have some concern that the market could wash and rinse buyers and sellers.... so there needs to be more clarity for me to take a trade one way or the other.... it's no big deal but if you're not in a trade and it's not clear of its direction it's better not to take a trade until there's more clarity.
GBPJPY breakout confirmed: what comes next?GBPJPY just triggered an ascending triangle pattern with a 450-pip upside. We dive into the pattern, key levels to watch, and how to manage risk with a 4.8 risk-reward setup. Will it retest before heading higher? Let us know your view in the comments.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Meta Platforms - The rally is clearly not over!Meta Platforms - NASDAQ:META - can rally another +30%:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Some people might say that it seem counterintuitive to predict another +30% rally on Meta Platforms while the stock has been rallying already about +750% over the past couple of months. But price action and market structure both tell us, that this will soon turn into reality.
Levels to watch: $850
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Solana (SOL): Re-Testing Major Moving Average Line | 200 EMASolana has reached the 200EMA line on the daily timeframe, which has been broken recently after a long rally to upper zones. We caught 2 possible trades here, where one would be 1:5 RR and the second one would be 1:3 RR.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
Litecoin (LTC): Looking Bad Now, But Has Good Potential Litecoin is in bad shape, where sellers are showing pressure, which could lead to bigger downward movement.
Despite that, we are still above the local neckline area, so we are still bullish, for now!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
GOLD GOLD brokers have different intraday candle closes which will affect your buy sell decision since we analysis chart based on structure ,multiple brokers charting is key to winning in the market and keep in mind that the 10 year bond yield chart and dxy should be in the picture too..
,the price action on 3hr shows that GOLD trading between demand and supply trendline line ,we have taken advantage of retest at 3373-3375 broken descending trendline and on the retest 3373-3375 activated . but 3403-3398 remains higher intraday day 3hr timeframe supply zone coming as a black ascending trendline. If buyers wont break it, they will continue to sell from that level ,if they start selling and break the current ascending trendline ,i will be waiting at the next demand floor 3342-3347floor and the next floor will be to retest the descending trendline breakout connecting 3500-3438-3365 breakout and that will be 3261-3265 demand floor .
goodluck
Review and plan for 18th June 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Weekly trading plan for SolanaBINANCE:SOLUSDT The price is already below the weekly pivot point. After updating the last bottom, the price may continue its downward movement. There are some level crossings so it is possible to reach them. More details in the video idea
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025)
1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields
Australia (AUD):
The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%.
Japan (JPY):
The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025.
2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties.
Bank of Japan (BOJ):
The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008.
3. Bank Lending Rates
Australia:
The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025.
Japan:
The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025.
4. Interest Rate Differential
Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%.
10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%.
5. Carry Trade Advantage
Mechanism:
Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential.
Current Advantage:
The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment.
Risks:
If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades.
Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal.
6. Summary Table
Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact
10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage)
Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage)
Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher
Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long
Conclusion
The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
DXY OVERVIEW AND ANALYSIS - SELLOFF AT FOMC PRESS CONFERENCE 🟣DXY🟣 H4 CHART
As we witness the unfolding of a conflict in the Middle East this week I expect the commodities of OIL and GOLD to raise more after a pullback that will offer buy entries.
On my view the DXY index will pullback to the previous broken support now resistance in the 99.200 - 99.340 area and selloff to the weekly targets 97.500 and 96.800.
FOMC on Wednesday should catalyse this move and I expect the pullback to take place between the first days of the week
"Downside DAX" is what we will call it in July?Looking at the technical picture purely, we can see that weakness is starting to kick in. Will July be a negative month for DAX? Let's have a look.
XETR:DAX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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