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Understanding How Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions AccumulateThe SPY is the most widely traded ETF in the world. Its price or value movement reflects the S&P 500 index value. It doesn't reflect the buying or selling of the SPY. You must use volume indicators and accumulation/distribution indicators that indicate whether the Buy Side Institutions are in accumulation mode, rotation to lower inventory to buy a different ETF or other instrument, OR distribution due to mutual fund and pension fund redemption demands. ETFs are one of the fastest growing industries in the US and around the world. There are more than 4000 Exchange Traded Derivatives. There are ETDs for just about anything you might wish to invest in long term or trade short term. If you trade the SPY, it is important to study the S&P 500 index, its top 10 components, how their values are changing, and resistance and support levels. SPY will mirror the S&P 500 closely but not precisely. ETFs are built with a variety of types of investments and always have a TRUST FUND, in which the components of that ETF inventory are held. The ETF Inventory is updated and adjusted monthly or sooner as needed to maintain the integrity of the ETF price value to the value of the S&P 500 index. Rules and regulations require that the ETF SPY be closely aligned to the S&P 500. So inventory adjustments are going on regularly. When trading the SPY, you must remember that it is not buyers and sellers of the ETF that change its price. Rather, it is the S&P 500 top components' price fluctuations that change the SPY price value. This is a tough concept to accept and understand. When you do understand it and apply that knowledge to your trading of the SPY, you will be far more profitable. This takes time. You also need to develop Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills so that when a pattern appears, you can recognize it instantly and act accordingly in your trading. Today we cover the resistance levels above the current price value. That resistance is likely to slow down the rapid gains in price value over the past few weeks. The ideal would be a sideways trend to allow corporations time to adjust to the new normal of whatever tarrifs are impacting their imports and exports. Then, the S&P500 move out of that sideways trend would result in a stronger Moderately Uptrending Market Condition. Trade Wisely, Martha Stokes CMT
AMEX:SPYEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
22
GBPUSD1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of recent data, driven by strong UK retail sales and elevated long-term yields). US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025, reflecting fiscal concerns and Fed rate cut expectations). 2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between UK and US 10-year bonds is:4.77%(GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23% 4.77% (GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23% This modest differential favors the British pound, as UK bonds offer a slightly higher return than US Treasuries. 3. Carry Trade Advantage The +0.23% yield spread makes it marginally attractive for investors to borrow in USD (lower yield) and invest in GBP-denominated assets (higher yield). However, the narrow spread limits significant carry trade profits compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. GBP strength is further supported by strong UK economic data (e.g., April retail sales up 1.2% MoM) and easing UK-EU trade barriers. 4. Key Factors Influencing the Differential Bank of England Policy: The BoE cut rates to 4.25% in May 2025 but maintains a cautious stance. Further cuts could pressure gilt yields lower. Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets price in two Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which may reduce the US yield advantage. UK Fiscal Risks: High public debt levels (30-year gilt yields >5.5%) and potential fiscal pressures could weigh on GBP if investor confidence wanes. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.23% (GBP over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, supported by GBP strength — Conclusion The 0.23% yield advantage for GBP provides limited carry trade incentives, but stronger UK economic data and technical bullishness in GBP/USD reinforce near-term GBP strength. UK fiscal sustainability: Elevated long-term yields pose risks to growth and currency stability. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, GBP’s upside is primarily driven by macroeconomic outperformance and reduced trade barriers with the EU. #GBPUSD
Short
by Shavyfxhub
1
Quick Win on MNQ with Over $250 Profit — Here’s the Setup!Today’s trade was a perfect execution using an inverse fair value gap. I spotted a bearish fair value gap that had been disrespected, and instead of fading it, I flipped the bias and used it as an inverse gap, anticipating price would not trade under it. With my stop just below, I targeted the buy-side liquidity near the London kill zone highs. The result? A smooth ride to over 300 points and a $250+ profit in a single entry, reaching target with precision. This is how it’s done when you combine technical setups with market context. Keep your risk low, target the right liquidity zones, and let the market work for you. #MNQ #FuturesTrading #TradeSetup #FairValueGap #PriceAction #TradingTips #MNQTrade #NasdaqFutures #LiquidityHunt
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by BDripTradess
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-27-25 : Blank PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is BLANK. This suggests the market will trend similarly to what we've seen over the past few days - likely melting upward. A BLANK pattern is a price structure I have not identified as some type of price structure yet. I will check the data to see if I can find anything that correlates with this pattern throughout today. Generally, we are rolling into a consolidation phase that may attempt to break higher or continue consolidating and roll downward. Overall, the alignment with the Fibonacci trigger levels suggests the markets will continue to struggle near the ranges I've shown on my charts. Gold and Silver are rolling downward - likely as a result of the EU tariff pause. That move to pause EU tariffs takes quite a bit of pressure off the metals markets. I do believe the Gold/Silver will continue to try to rocket higher - but this week metals may stay somewhat flat and trend downward a bit. BTCUSD is setting up a MASSIVE Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is a very big price rotation that could either INVALIDATE (upward) or CONFIRM (downward). If we get confirmation, BTCUSD could fall back below $75k very easily. If we get invalidation, the sky is the limit to the upside. Ultimately, I believe the global markets need another 60-90+ days to settle with all the global trade/tariff and other issues before moving into a more bullish price trend. We'll see if I'm right or not over the next 60-90+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
10
RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Trump coin forms an ascending triangle patternTrump Coin failed to hold its bullish breakout after unexpected EU tariff news. The setup had a well-defined stop, limiting losses as price reversed. A new ascending triangle may be forming, offering potential for future upside if resistance breaks. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:TRUMPUSD
by ThinkMarkets
EURJPY could be about to soarThe price is stuck in a large ascending triangle pattern. But with stocks moving higher, cryptocurrencies gaining momentum, and the trade war easing, could this pattern finally break? Watch the video to see which levels matter. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets