XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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"Inflation Drops, Jobless Claims Jump — What’s Next for DXY, Gol🚨 Markets are shifting fast. CPI and PPI both came in lower than expected, while jobless claims hit an 8-month high. This triple data combo could mark a turning point for the US economy and the Fed’s next move.
In this video, I break down:
🔹 What soft inflation and rising unemployment mean for monetary policy
🔹 How DXY is reacting to weakening USD sentiment
🔹 Key levels for XAUUSD as rate cut bets rise
🔹 Where BTCUSD may head next with risk-on momentum building
📊 Technical + Fundamental insights — all in one session.
👉 Drop your thoughts in the comments and follow for more real-time market breakdowns!
#DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #Inflation #FedWatch #TradingViewAnalysis #MacroUpdate #Forex #Crypto #Gold
Oil spikes as Israel strikes Iran: What traders need to knowOil prices surged after Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear sites, reversing the recent downtrend and reigniting inflation fears. In this video, we break down the chart patterns, explain the move, and explore what could come next. Is this the start of a new uptrend or just a short-lived spike? Watch for key levels, risk management tips, and trading strategy insights.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
EUR/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortEUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Friday 13th vs. The war
First and foremost, I want to extend my deepest sympathies to all those affected by these wars. The world would be a much better place if everyone were more aware of their mental well-being.
At the moment, I’m long on CAD/JPY. It was a very poorly executed trade due to placing a market buy at a highly unfavorable moment.
Lastly, crypto was discussed. XRP is showing very impressive price action and is holding up incredibly well structurally.
We're in a market environment where management, in my opinion, is more important than ever. I’ll need to assess whether I’ll hold this position over the weekend due to the upcoming market close and potential gaps caused by these ongoing conflicts, among other things.
Price action would need to trade far from my entry point for me to consider holding through the weekend.
The analysis has been discussed in the video.
Stay safe chads!
FX:CADJPY CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTO:ETHUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD
GOLD GOLD ,the sudden rise in price from Asian session is driven by central bank purchase ,gold is heading to 3600 if 3400-3397 retest is successful .
the high of today 3444 on supply roof structure from the 3500 all time high, will need correction into demand floor where we look to unlock next wave of buy at 3400-3397 with the hope that 3500 is retested.
the dollar index 97.620 demand floor on retest bought and moved in the same direction with Gold by ignoring inverse correlation ,this price movement is reflecting fear, geopolitical tension ,economic instability and inflation concern in the global market.
the yesterday economic data print will be watched by feds
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
The Fed will use the datas as reinforcing evidence for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
#gold
GOLD: In-Depth Technical and Fundamental AnalysisGOLD: In-Depth Technical and Fundamental Analysis
In this video, I provide a detailed explanation of why Gold may resume its bearish movement, analyzing both fundamental and technical perspectives.
You May Watch The Video For Further Details!
Thank you!
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade.
It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Why AUDCAD is On My Watchlist for a Short Trade🔎 AUDCAD Trade Idea Overview 🔎
Currently watching AUDCAD closely 👀 — and here’s what I’m seeing across the key timeframes:
📉 On the weekly timeframe, the pair remains in a clear bearish trend, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently.
🕰️ Dropping down to the daily, we’re seeing continued bearish momentum in alignment with the higher timeframe bias.
⏳ On the 4-hour chart, there’s been a clean break of market structure, confirming short-term weakness.
🎯 I’m eyeing a pullback into equilibrium within the current price range for a potential short entry.
🔹 Entry: On retracement into a key value zone
🔹 Stop loss: Positioned above recent swing highs
🔹 Take profit: Targeting previous lows and liquidity pockets 💧
Patience is key here — waiting for the right setup to align across multiple timeframes. 📊
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly. 💼
What is Gold Silver Spread?What is gold silver spread? How to understand them to determine the market direction.
Reuters mentioned that the gold-silver ratio dropped from 105 to 94. What does this mean? Does it indicate that silver is about to trend higher, or is it a sign that gold will continue its trend?
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
06/12/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +437.50
Sleep: 6.5 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
market pumped heavily due to ppi data so I decided today was another oe of those days where you wait on the sideline for a better move.
1. until major levels are hit.
2. or a signal occur.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)**
10:57 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 6010 = Bullish, Under 5950= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
$BTC Post Market update - Bearish MenaceHello Fellow Gamblers,
In this video I talk about our current bullish scenario and bring back the bearish scenario that I shared with you a few days ago since they are both still at play.
- We need the 4h to close above 104k and to reject the trendline for the bullish scenario to play out. A close below 104k will take us to a really dangerous zone at that 101k and increase the chances for the bearish scenario to playout.
- Levels to watch: 110.5k, 106.8k, 104.3k, 101k.
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
MGC Post Market Update - The Battle of the Two CountsHello Fellow Gamblers,
As you know we are tracking 2 EW counts at this time and they are both still in play.
W5's are tricky to deal with but with a little patience we should be able to make our portfolio grow.
- I am currently looking for bearish divergences to support our bearish Scenario but the current price move strength favors our bullish scenario.
- Be aware of a possible Cup and Handle formation
- Levels to watch: 3508.4, 3441.9, 3365.2, 3314.7.
See you next time!
AAPL breakout coming soonWhich way will it squeeze? I share my thoughts if AAPL can hold above 200.
*technically showing caution signs (bearish, but can flip)
*news is affecting the market greatly (esp AAPL re: tarriffs)
*RSI & MACD need a positive signal
*204, 205, 208 immediate targets to be focused on imo
Have a great weekend!