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NFP Setups: Dow Breakout or USDJPY Breakdown?Big moves ahead? Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls could be the trigger. ADP came in weak, jobless claims spiked, and ISM data disappointed. Now all eyes are on the Dow Jones and USDJPY. A strong NFP could send the Dow to new highs, while a weak one may sink USDJPY toward the 2025 low. Watch the full breakdown and share your take in the comments. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30
by ThinkMarkets
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending. As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now. Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out. The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ. Hedging trades is a good idea right now. Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move. I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend. BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase. In my opinion, look out below. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Brent intra-day Analysis 04-Jun-25Explaining the reasons for Oil gapping up during this weekly open, in addition to going over the possible scenarios we could have for the upcoming sessions. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:BRTUSD
by easyMarkets
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
2
FVRR - The Algorithms can tell you everythingI've been following FVRR this entire consolidation period and have been able to track movements based on just two simple algorithms - are we respecting the white taper or are we respecting the red stronger. Once we proved the white taper on the sell side, we immediately broke out of red with strength and found the HTF white. That is the game we play here and it can yield incredible results if handled with patience! Happy Trading :)
NYSE:FVRRLong
by ReigningTrades
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡 Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻. Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉. This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good. In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range. 📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear. 💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view. ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵 I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒. 📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧. ⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately. 💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take! ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
DOLLAR INDEXCorrelation Between DXY, Bond Yields, and Bond Prices 1. Bond Prices and Bond Yields: Inverse Relationship Bond prices and bond yields move inversely: when bond prices rise, yields fall; when bond prices fall, yields rise. This happens because bonds pay fixed coupons; if market interest rates rise, existing bonds with lower coupons become less attractive, pushing their prices down and yields up. 2. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield: Generally Positive Correlation The US Dollar Index (DXY) and the US 10-year Treasury yield typically move in the same direction. When the 10-year yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen, and vice versa. This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar. Historically, this correlation has been strong, with a rolling correlation averaging around 44.5% and recently rising to about 75% in early 2025. However, this relationship can break down temporarily due to shifts in market sentiment or safe-haven flows. For example, in mid-2025, the correlation briefly turned negative amid changing investor preferences. 3. DXY and Bond Prices: Indirect Inverse Correlation Since bond prices and yields are inversely related, and yields and DXY are positively correlated, DXY tends to move inversely to bond prices. Rising bond prices (falling yields) often coincide with dollar weakness, while falling bond prices (rising yields) support dollar strength. 4. Interest Rates and Their Role Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar. Rate hikes generally push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, while rate cuts do the opposite. Interest rate expectations are a key driver behind the bond yield-DXY relationship. Summary Table Relationship Direction/Correlation Explanation Bond Price ↔ Bond Yield Inverse Fixed coupon bonds lose value when rates rise 10-Year Yield ↔ DXY Positive (usually) Higher yields attract capital, boosting USD Bond Price ↔ DXY Inverse (indirect) Bond prices up → yields down → USD weakens Interest Rates ↔ Yield & DXY Positive Rate hikes raise yields and strengthen USD Conclusion The US Dollar Index (DXY) generally rises with increasing 10-year Treasury yields because higher yields attract investment flows into US assets, boosting demand for the dollar. Conversely, bond prices move inversely to yields, so rising bond prices tend to coincide with dollar weakness. While this relationship is strong historically, it can fluctuate due to market sentiment, safe-haven demand, and geopolitical factors. #DOLLAR #DXY
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSDGBP/USD Analysis: June 1–10, 2025 Key Drivers: Economic Data, Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Carry Trade Dynamics 1. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–10) US Data: June 4;1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change June 6: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) – Strong jobs growth (>200k) could revive USD strength. June 6: Average Hourly Earnings – Wage growth impacts Fed policy expectations. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.46% (as of June 2, 2025) . 4.77% (UK)−4.46% (US)=+0.31% The UK’s higher bond yield provides a modest carry advantage for GBP. Policy Rates: BoE Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) . Fed Rate: 4.25–4.50% (steady since May 2025). Rate Differential: 4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0% 3. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in GBP assets (higher bond yields), exploiting the +0.31% yield spread. Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish for GBP, supported by bond yield spreads but tempered by BoE’s dovish stance. Risks: Weak UK PMI/GDP data could narrow yield spreads. Strong US NFP may widen the policy rate gap, boosting USD. Bullish Catalysts: UK CPI >3.5% delays BoE cuts. Weak US jobs data (<150k) weakens USD. Bearish Catalysts: BoE signals further cuts. Strong US wage growth (>0.4% MoM). Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.46% Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50% Yield Spread +0.31% (GBP over USD) — Key Data Focus CPI, GDP, PMIs NFP, Wage Growth Carry Trade Implication Modest GBP advantage USD strength on policy rate Conclusion GBP/USD’s near-term direction hinges on UK inflation and US jobs data. The UK’s higher bond yields offer a carry trade edge, but BoE dovishness and USD resilience may cap gains. #GBPUSD#
Long
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield Gold and 10-year Treasury yields generally exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When bond yields rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa. This is primarily because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not pay interest or dividends. Investors prefer bonds when yields rise, reducing gold demand. However, the key driver for gold is real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Even if nominal yields rise, if inflation rises faster, real yields can remain low or negative, which supports gold prices. Historical data shows gold often rises during periods of falling real yields, even if nominal yields fluctuate. 2. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY) Gold and the US dollar index (DXY) usually have an inverse relationship. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally. However, during times of geopolitical uncertainty or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe havens. 3. Interest Rates and Gold Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar, indirectly affecting gold. Rising interest rates tend to push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, both of which typically pressure gold prices. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts or dovish monetary policy lower yields and weaken the dollar, supporting gold. The real interest rate is the most important factor: low or negative real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting its appeal. 4. Summary of Interactions Factor Relationship with Gold Explanation 10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Higher yields raise opportunity cost, reducing gold demand Real Interest Rate Inverse Negative or low real rates support gold Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally Nominal Interest Rate Inverse Higher rates strengthen dollar and yields, pressuring gold Conclusion Gold prices are strongly influenced by the interplay of real interest rates, bond yields, and the US dollar. Rising nominal yields and a strong dollar generally weigh on gold, but if inflation outpaces yields, resulting in low or negative real rates, gold remains attractive as a hedge. This dynamic explains gold’s resilience despite fluctuating bond yields and dollar strength in 2025. #GOLD #DOLLAR
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
The 3 Step System To Watch Out ForOn this trade we are looking at the forex trade.Now the special thing about this trade is that instead of focussing on the daily chart we are focussing on the weekly chart. You may be thinking “Why are we focussing on the weekly chart?” Well this is because you have to be ahead of the crowd and see the coming trend. If you want to do your own trading strategy thats okay but if you want to learn more about the Rokcet booster strategy Then you need to follow these 3 steps • The price has to be above the 50 EMA • The price has to be above the 200 EMA • The price should gap up in an uptrend This is the rocket booster strategy In order to learn more Rocket boost this content to learn more Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money so please use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.Also learn Risk managment and protif taking strategies.
Long
by lubosi