Weekly trading plan for XRPBINANCE:XRPUSD has shown a good upward correction over the last couple of days. Now the price has returned to the Pivot point and a local bullish divergence is already visible on the chart. If the price continues the downward movement now, I will consider entering near the support zone, in case the price starts to reverse in the near future, I will consider entering when the local hourly trend changes to green.
If the support is broken, we may see a continuation of the downward correction up to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. More details in the video
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Community ideas
Don’t Call the Top Yet! Key Pattern to study in PriceHi Trading Community!
We’re still riding the bullish momentum and looking for price to reach our 6008 level.
Of course, after seeing the +130 point expansion, you might be tempted to call a top. But I encourage you not to jump to conclusions. Instead, observe the price action carefully and respond to what the market actually presents.
In this video, I highlight a key pattern that traders should study over the next few days so be sure to review and study this delivery.
P.S. We have high-impact news releasing this Friday, so as always, stay cautious and Let’s keep growing together by studying OneCandleStickAtATime.
Bullish Trigger Hit! Looking For Longs on the S&PLast time we spoke, I mentioned some key levels I wanted to see price drop to before considering a move to the upside. And what do you know — here we are.
In today’s video, I share an update on the trade idea and how we can position ourselves for the next big play.
Walk with me as I break down this price action, #OneCandlestickAtATime.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you.
Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world.
I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge.
BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset.
We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting.
Buckle Up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Weekly trading plan for LINKBINANCE:LINKUSDT has fallen quite low after the upward correction, but in case the local trend turns green, I will consider long positions with the aim to break PP and reach the first resistance level, and then we will see
Locally, a trend line can be drawn and if it is broken, there is a high probability to renew the local bottom and reach the 0.618 Fibonacci level
Important levels and possible price movement are explained in the video
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
EURUSD BUY IN NOTICE. I just went live with you all, entering a buy position in EURUSD during an important news release. Actually, it was two buy entries, and I managed them really well.
In the first entry, we reached a 1.3% gain, although I couldn’t close it completely. In the second entry, the price hit exactly the point I mentioned it would likely reach during the news event. I’m managing both entries carefully, and at this moment, I already have a significant percentage in profit.
This is how live trading works — with discipline, management, and solid analysis!
Weekly trading plan for ADAGood morning !!
ADA is moving perfectly in our scenarios, since last week we have reached exactly the levels we expected on the chart. At the moment the price may be in a local ABC correction, so I considered opening a Long position, consider your own risks - this is of utmost importance.
Targets for growth are marked on the chart, also in case of a false breakdown I have marked possible support levels in case of price fall
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GOLD XAU/USD (Gold) and Its Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield, Bond Price, DXY, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP), and Carry Trade
1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield / Bond Price
Inverse Relationship with Real Yields:
Gold typically moves inversely to real 10-year Treasury yields (nominal yield minus inflation). When real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold increases, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, falling or negative real yields support gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge and safe haven.
Bond Prices Move Oppositely to Yields:
Since bond prices and yields are inversely related, rising bond prices (falling yields) tend to support gold prices, while falling bond prices (rising yields) can weigh on gold.
Current Context:
In mid-2025, 10-year yields have been relatively elevated but real yields remain low or negative due to inflation, supporting gold prices
2. Gold and DXY (US Dollar Index)
Strong Negative Correlation:
Gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY) usually move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar boosts gold by making it cheaper internationally.
Recent Trends:
Trade tensions, US fiscal concerns, and geopolitical risks have pressured the dollar, helping gold rally . The dollar weakness amid tariff escalations and debt worries has fueled gold’s uptrend toward resistance levels
3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) and Gold
UIP Concept:
UIP suggests that currency exchange rate changes should offset interest rate differentials between countries, eliminating arbitrage opportunities. While UIP primarily applies to currencies, it indirectly affects gold since gold is priced in USD and influenced by US interest rates and inflation expectations.
Implication for Gold:
If US interest rates rise relative to other countries, the dollar tends to strengthen (UIP effect), pressuring gold. Conversely, if real rates fall or inflation expectations rise, gold benefits despite nominal rate changes.
4. Carry Trade and Gold
Carry Trade Basics:
Carry trades involve borrowing in low-yield currencies to invest in higher-yield assets. Gold itself does not yield interest, so it is not a direct carry trade instrument. However, the gold carry trade involves borrowing gold at low lease rates and investing proceeds in higher-yielding assets.
Current Viability:
Rising gold prices increase the cost of repurchasing borrowed gold, reducing carry trade profitability. Yet, negative or low real yields and persistent inflation fears maintain some interest in gold-related carry strategies.
Indirect Influence:
Carry trade flows in currencies and bonds affect the dollar and yields, which in turn influence gold prices.
Summary Table
Factor Relationship with Gold (XAU/USD) Explanation
10-Year Bond Yield
Inverse (via real yields) Higher real yields raise gold’s opportunity cost
Bond Price
Positive (inverse to yields) Rising bond prices lower yields, supporting gold
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Negative Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Indirect, via currency and rate expectations Rate differentials influence USD strength, impacting gold
Carry Trade
Indirect Currency and yield carry trades affect dollar and rates, influencing gold
Current Market Context (June 2025)
Gold is trading near $3,394 -3400 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar amid trade tensions and US fiscal concerns.
Real US yields remain low/negative, maintaining gold’s safe-haven appeal despite elevated nominal yields.
Geopolitical risks and inflation fears continue to drive demand for gold as a hedge.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in 2025 are shaped by the interplay of real US interest rates, bond market movements, and the strength of the US dollar. While nominal 10-year yields have risen, low real yields and dollar weakness amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties support gold’s bullish trend. The carry trade and UIP frameworks influence the broader currency and interest rate environment, indirectly affecting gold’s appeal.
#GOLD
Bitcoin triangle signals drop toward 95kBitcoin is forming a clear triangle pattern after a failed breakout above all-time highs.
The pattern suggests a move down to 95k if price breaks below 103k. Some signs even point to a head and shoulders, with targets near 93k.
Fundamentals back the bearish case. ISM Services fell below 50, ADP jobs missed badly, and NFP could be the trigger.
Will weak data send BTC lower or hold the line? Watch the full analysis and share your take.
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GOLD XAUUSDXAU/USD (Gold) and Its Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield, Bond Price, DXY, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP), and Carry Trade
1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield / Bond Price
Inverse Relationship with Real Yields:
Gold typically moves inversely to real 10-year Treasury yields (nominal yield minus inflation). When real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold increases, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, falling or negative real yields support gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge and safe haven.
Bond Prices Move Oppositely to Yields:
Since bond prices and yields are inversely related, rising bond prices (falling yields) tend to support gold prices, while falling bond prices (rising yields) can weigh on gold.
Current Context:
In mid-2025, 10-year yields have been relatively elevated but real yields remain low or negative due to inflation, supporting gold prices
2. Gold and DXY (US Dollar Index)
Strong Negative Correlation:
Gold and the US Dollar Index (DXY) usually move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar boosts gold by making it cheaper internationally.
Recent Trends:
Trade tensions, US fiscal concerns, and geopolitical risks have pressured the dollar, helping gold rally . The dollar weakness amid tariff escalations and debt worries has fueled gold’s uptrend toward resistance levels
3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) and Gold
UIP Concept:
UIP suggests that currency exchange rate changes should offset interest rate differentials between countries, eliminating arbitrage opportunities. While UIP primarily applies to currencies, it indirectly affects gold since gold is priced in USD and influenced by US interest rates and inflation expectations.
Implication for Gold:
If US interest rates rise relative to other countries, the dollar tends to strengthen (UIP effect), pressuring gold. Conversely, if real rates fall or inflation expectations rise, gold benefits despite nominal rate changes.
4. Carry Trade and Gold
Carry Trade Basics:
Carry trades involve borrowing in low-yield currencies to invest in higher-yield assets. Gold itself does not yield interest, so it is not a direct carry trade instrument. However, the gold carry trade involves borrowing gold at low lease rates and investing proceeds in higher-yielding assets.
Current Viability:
Rising gold prices increase the cost of repurchasing borrowed gold, reducing carry trade profitability. Yet, negative or low real yields and persistent inflation fears maintain some interest in gold-related carry strategies.
Indirect Influence:
Carry trade flows in currencies and bonds affect the dollar and yields, which in turn influence gold prices.
Summary Table
Factor Relationship with Gold (XAU/USD) Explanation
10-Year Bond Yield
Inverse (via real yields) Higher real yields raise gold’s opportunity cost
Bond Price
Positive (inverse to yields) Rising bond prices lower yields, supporting gold
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Negative Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally
Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Indirect, via currency and rate expectations Rate differentials influence USD strength, impacting gold
Carry Trade
Indirect Currency and yield carry trades affect dollar and rates, influencing gold
Current Market Context (June 2025)
Gold is trading near $3,388 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar amid trade tensions and US fiscal concerns.
Real US yields remain low/negative, maintaining gold’s safe-haven appeal despite elevated nominal yields.
Geopolitical risks and inflation fears continue to drive demand for gold as a hedge.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in 2025 are shaped by the interplay of real US interest rates, bond market movements, and the strength of the US dollar. While nominal 10-year yields have risen, low real yields and dollar weakness amid geopolitical and trade uncertainties support gold’s bullish trend. The carry trade and UIP frameworks influence the broader currency and interest rate environment, indirectly affecting gold’s appeal.
#GOLD
AUDCADAUD/CAD Analysis: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differentials, UIP, and Carry Trade
1. Current Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.28% (as of June 4, 2025) .
Canada 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.20% (as of May 30, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.28% (AUD)−3.20% (CAD)=+1.08%
Australia’s higher bond yield provides a carry advantage for AUD.
Policy Rate Differential:
RBA Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
BoC Rate: 2.75% (held steady in April 2025) .
Rate Spread:
3.85% (AUD)−2.75% (CAD)=+1.10%
2. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Theory: The AUD should depreciate against CAD to offset the +1.10% rate spread, eliminating arbitrage opportunities.
Reality: UIP often fails due to risk premiums and market dynamics. Despite Australia’s higher rates, AUD/CAD may remain supported if investors prioritize yield over currency depreciation risks.
3. Carry Trade Dynamics
Mechanics: Borrow CAD (lower rate) to invest in AUD assets (higher yield), profiting from the +1.08% yield spread.
Current Viability:
Opportunity: The yield spread and rate differential favor AUD, making the carry trade attractive.
Risks:
AUD Depreciation: If UIP holds, AUD could weaken, eroding carry profits.
Global Uncertainty: US tariff tensions (cited in RBA’s May 2025 decision ) may increase AUD volatility.
BoC Policy: Canada’s cautious stance on tariffs and stable rates supports CAD stability.
4. Key Economic Context
Australia: Recent RBA rate cuts (to 3.85%) reflect concerns over global trade risks but maintain a yield advantage over Canada.
Canada: BoC held rates at 2.75% in April 2025, citing tariff-related uncertainties but projecting stable inflation near 2% .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) Canada (CAD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.28% 3.20%
Policy Rate 3.85% 2.75%
Yield/Rate Spread +1.08% (bond), +1.10% (policy) —
Carry Trade Bias Bullish for AUD Bearish for CAD
Key Risks Global trade tensions, RBA dovishness BoC tariff caution, stable inflation
Conclusion
AUD/CAD Outlook: Moderately bullish for AUD due to yield and rate advantages, but UIP suggests potential AUD depreciation.
Carry Trade: Profitable if AUD stability persists, but monitor tariff developments and BoC policy shifts.
Trade Strategy: Favor AUD longs on dips
#AUDCAD #CAD #AUD
SILVERThe correlation between Silver and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is generally strongly negative. This means that when the DXY rises (the dollar strengthens), silver prices tend to fall, and when the dollar weakens, silver prices usually rise.
Reasons for the Negative Correlation:
Silver is priced in US dollars: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes silver cheaper internationally, boosting demand and prices.
Safe-haven and inflation hedge: Silver, like gold, is often sought during times of dollar weakness, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainty.
Supporting Details from Recent Analysis:
Silver prices have a strong inverse relationship with the DXY,the Historical trends show silver outperforming during sustained dollar downtrends.
Silver’s smaller market size and greater volatility compared to gold mean silver can experience more pronounced price moves in response to dollar fluctuations.
Recent silver price rallies in 2025 have been supported by dollar weakness, safe-haven demand, and industrial use, with silver trading near $34.50 per ounce.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Silver Price Explanation
DXY Strengthens Silver price tends to fall Silver becomes more expensive globally
DXY Weakens Silver price tends to rise Silver becomes cheaper internationally
Safe-haven Demand Supports silver during dollar weakness or uncertainty Investors seek precious metals as alternatives
Industrial Demand Supports silver price Silver’s use in electronics and renewable energy
Conclusion
Silver and the US Dollar Index exhibit a notable inverse correlation driven by silver’s dollar pricing and its role as a safe-haven and industrial metal. Monitoring key DXY technical levels can provide insights into potential silver price movements, with dollar weakness often heralding strong silver rallies.
#gold #silver